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Covid 19 Part XXVIII- 71,942 ROI(2,050 deaths) 51,824 NI (983 deaths) (28/11) Read OP

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Comments

  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 837 ✭✭✭John O.Groats


    niallo27 wrote: »
    So its ok to risk 1000s of lives so little Johnny doesn't miss a few months of school.

    Where are you going with this? Are you suggesting that schools should be closed or what s your angle?


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I see the zero Covid guys still getting air time. Well, single figure cases Covid according to Tomas Ryan tonight.

    Their main flaw seems to be the inability to understand borders (both county and international ones).

    Surely with the announcement of multiple vaccines, pursuing a zero covid approach in the coming months through non-vaccine means is an utterly ridiculous suggestion


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,437 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    Thierry12 wrote: »
    I know all that, I read the stats too

    I just want to know

    Why are they doing so well in schools?

    Why are they not a driver of spread?

    How are they doing it?

    I don't know how the cases are so low there, its like a miracle

    Cases nationally are down significantly despite schools being open

    Considering the amount of people in schools every day, if they were a significant driver of spread the cases nationally would surely not have reduced by as much as they have.

    Therefore I believe the conclusion that they're not a significant driver of spread can be drawn.

    I have no agenda here, I'm just putting forward the stats. That's what the stats indicate to me, if somebody wants to argue against that then fair enough. It's up to them to prove the stats wrong.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,181 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    Cases probably will rise, but my point is that surely America should never be looked at as a country that is comparable to us.

    I think NPHET look at data from around the world routinely anyway. Whether it will have a huge impact on guidelines here I wouldn't think so. Think ECDC might release specific guidelines for Europe for Christmas over next few weeks possibly.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,437 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    AdamD wrote: »
    Surely with the announcement of multiple vaccines, pursuing a zero covid approach in the coming months through non-vaccine means is an utterly ridiculous suggestion

    It is an utterly ridiculous suggestion. Yet our national broadcasters continue to give airtime to those putting said arguments forward.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,421 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Jimson wrote: »
    i wonder what the daily numbers would be if they tested every school tomorrow, my guess would be close to 20,000.

    Well they appear to be testing all in that school. It should give a good indication.

    If they tested the entire population over night, the positivity rate in school going children will be about 1/3 of that in adults, as has already been reported multiple times with close contact testing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,437 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    Jimson wrote: »
    Asymptomatic. Same as premier league footballers who get tested and have no clue they have the virus.

    But if there's 50,000 cases, even if they're asymptomatic they'll still spread it, therefore there should be North of 100,000 cases in the coming weeks, is that what you're saying?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,139 ✭✭✭✭niallo27


    Where are you going with this? Are you suggesting that schools should be closed or what s your angle?

    If retail is closed then yes I think schools should be closed too, I don't understand how nphet see retail as such a risk but schools as such low risk.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 763 ✭✭✭rodders999


    niallo27 wrote: »
    If retail is closed then yes I think schools should be closed too, I don't understand how nphet see retail as such a risk but schools as such low risk.

    They don’t. They just reckon sending kids to school is more important than people going to Pennys to buy an underpants.

    Crazy eh?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,301 ✭✭✭patnor1011


    AdamD wrote: »
    Surely with the announcement of multiple vaccines, pursuing a zero covid approach in the coming months through non-vaccine means is an utterly ridiculous suggestion

    Zero covid is entirely achievable. We can get there tomorrow if we simply stop testing. :D

    We will have to live with it. There are not enough vaccines for everyone and that is a simple fact. There is not enough limulus amebocyte lysate which is a crucial part of mRNA vaccines and we can't get enough of it to give everyone 2 doses. Not to mention that plan may be to get this vaccine every year.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 164 ✭✭Jimson


    El Sueño wrote: »
    But if there's 50,000 cases, even if they're asymptomatic they'll still spread it, therefore there should be North of 100,000 cases in the coming weeks, is that what you're saying?

    with the 5km lockdown i don't see it as a huge issue, maybe been a bit hefty with the 50k, ill revert to 20k.

    its when the lockdown ends we will back to 1200 a day and more.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 89 ✭✭FinglasFollain


    El Sueño wrote: »
    It is an utterly ridiculous suggestion. Yet our national broadcasters continue to give airtime to those putting said arguments forward.

    I must say, on a purely grifting level, I do somewhat admire some of these “experts” who have managed to put themselves front and centre of anything Covid related in the media. They must be making some decent cash. The zero Covid lads have been getting serious air time based on one idea they had about 6 months ago.

    But yeah, grifters who deal mainly in “I told you so”.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 979 ✭✭✭Thierry12


    El Sueño wrote: »
    Cases nationally are down significantly despite schools being open

    Considering the amount of people in schools every day, if they were a significant driver of spread the cases nationally would surely not have reduced by as much as they have.

    Therefore I believe the conclusion that they're not a significant driver of spread can be drawn.

    I have no agenda here, I'm just putting forward the stats. That's what the stats indicate to me, if somebody wants to argue against that then fair enough. It's up to them to prove the stats wrong.

    Forget the stats for a second

    Most stats are bull**** anyway

    How are the kids not getting infected and not spreading it?

    How are they evading it?

    Why are schools doing so well ?

    Explain how your stats became, not the end result

    How did you get your answer?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,547 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    Thierry12 wrote: »
    Forget the stats for a second

    Most stats are bull**** anyway

    How are the kids not getting infected and not spreading it?

    How are they evading it?

    Why are schools doing so well ?

    Explain how your stats became, not the end result

    How did you get your answer?

    Stats are bull**** when they don't suit your narrative

    Why do you want to know

    Why should someone tell you

    Have you a link to that?

    You need to answer my questions rather than prove them wrong?

    Etc?

    Etc?

    Boring?


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 837 ✭✭✭John O.Groats


    niallo27 wrote: »
    If retail is closed then yes I think schools should be closed too, I don't understand how nphet see retail as such a risk but schools as such low risk.

    This has already been answered on this thread tonight. The government consider that keeping the schools open is an acceptable risk worth taking for educational reasons not because there is little or no possibility of the virus being contracted or spread within them.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,069 ✭✭✭boggerman1


    Because cases will prob rise significantly after Thanksgiving over there and will give RTE reason to push their scaremongering and go on about how restrictions can't be eased for Christmas,George Lee will be salivating at the prospect

    Tomás Ryan was peddling that same crap on the last word about watching the fallout after thanksgiving.what the fcuk has that got to do with this country.whats going on now is about more than a virus at this stage.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    I would love to be positive about today's numbers, but covid can feel like a cold in some people, so how many walking around with self diagnosed colds?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,523 ✭✭✭kwestfan08


    Do people reckon when the vaccine comes around to be given out will food production/meat plants be given it first along side other frontline workers? They were a huge source of cases earlier on and it's one of the few jobs that needs people in close proximity to each other to do.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,243 ✭✭✭giveitholly


    I would love to be positive about today's numbers, but covid can feel like a cold in some people, so how many walking around with self diagnosed colds?

    About Eleventy million


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,437 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    Thierry12 wrote: »
    Forget the stats for a second

    Most stats are bull**** anyway

    How are the kids not getting infected and not spreading it?

    How are they evading it?

    Why are schools doing so well ?

    Explain how your stats became, not the end result

    How did you get your answer?


    Why would we forget the stats? They're literally the only thing we have to go by :confused: Anything else is pure speculation which I'm not interested in.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,437 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    Jimson wrote: »
    with the 5km lockdown i don't see it as a huge issue, maybe been a bit hefty with the 50k, ill revert to 20k.

    its when the lockdown ends we will back to 1200 a day and more.
    But that means you think it's not schools that are driving spread?:confused:

    The argument prior to level 5 was that it was the schools

    Since level 5 came in cases have dropped steadily despite schools being open

    Hence it can be deduced that it's not the schools

    That's what the data is saying


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,135 ✭✭✭Peter Flynt


    El Sueño wrote: »
    But that means you think it's not schools that are driving spread?:confused:

    The argument prior to level 5 was that it was the schools

    Since level 5 came in cases have dropped steadily despite schools being open

    Hence it can be deduced that it's not the schools

    That's what the data is saying

    FFS.

    The number of cases have dropped because economic activity/travel/people meeting has dropped significantly.
    There are no pubs, restaurants, retail, etc . . . and yet cases are still averaging at 400 per day after over month of level 5.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,547 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    I would love to be positive about today's numbers, but covid can feel like a cold in some people, so how many walking around with self diagnosed colds?

    I wish I thought you were joking, unfortunately there are so many people who have overreacted to this to the point of long term psychological change in them, it's not shorter working hours we should look for it's longer, from what I can see the people that work longer and harder have better mental and physical health.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    I wish I thought you were joking, unfortunately there are so many people who have overreacted to this to the point of long term psychological change in them, it's not shorter working hours we should look for it's longer, from what I can see the people that work longer and harder have better mental and physical health.

    Covid can feel like a cold in some. People walking around with self diagnosed colds. How is that an overreaction?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    I wish I thought you were joking, unfortunately there are so many people who have overreacted to this to the point of long term psychological change in them, it's not shorter working hours we should look for it's longer, from what I can see the people that work longer and harder have better mental and physical health.

    Do you happen to own a business?


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 837 ✭✭✭John O.Groats


    FFS.

    The number of cases have dropped because economic activity/travel/people meeting has dropped significantly.
    There are no pubs, restaurants, retail, etc . . . and yet cases are still averaging at 400 per day after over month of level 5.

    No they are not that high in recent days.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,437 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    FFS.

    The number of cases have dropped because economic activity/travel/people meeting has dropped significantly.
    There are no pubs, restaurants, retail, etc . . . and yet cases are still averaging at 400 per day after over month of level 5.
    With the amount of people in schools every day, if schools were a significant driver of spread the cases would've increased well above the 1200 cases a day we were getting.

    Forget about the "average over the month of level 5", what matters is that cases have been dropping for pretty much the entirety of that month.

    The data is there and I've yet to see anybody put forth any sort of coherent argument against it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,251 ✭✭✭speckle


    Just wondering are many dentists getting it? I know they wear masks but if masks were that good the retail and the pubs/restaurants would be open. So working all day a few inches from other people's mouths must surely be a big risk?

    Wondering about Gardaí in pairs in their squad cars too - all day long roaming around with their partner - risky no?


    I'm sure there are other examples, but I accept in fairness, that not much compares to the risk of passing the gravy bowl.

    Had a dentist apoinment yet again during lockdown... my dentist doing fine... stayed open all year.. still looks like a bit of a astronaut. mask goggles visor and the usual surgical gown etc .. not worried. Counter has screen... apointments spaced... screen at counter.. temperature check and phone pre screen for symptoms and reminders ...automatic hand sanitiser... even will sanitise your card if you have one... took on extra clients from other dentists who couldnt work possibly due to age or lack of facilities/space/ventillation.

    The problem is as a higher risk person... had to walk the town with an abcess for two and half hours in the rain with all cafes and bars shut. The government dont get it... they put people at risk in otherways..those who are disabled or in illhealth cannot afford cars/insurance . got a takeway tea and sat on a wall 2 meters away from where normaly I would be sitting nice and warm. By the time I got to the dentist my temperature check was 32.4 !!!

    And just incase anyone thinks this is an isolated incident.. the week before a friend had a two part doctors apointment and had to walk around for 2 hours inbetween in bad weather... they are even higher risk than me.

    So if anyone thinks level 5 is protecting high risk people yeh maybe no covid.. but hypothermia instead laughable. Met another high risk younger person while walking they also think goverment restrictions are not protecting the vulnerable just like in 2008.

    Oh and last time sitting on said same wall met a young man who cannot find accomadation due to a relationship breakdown and had to give him every helpline number I could think of as well as winter camping tips as that is what he had resorted too... only one advert for a place to rent in towns newspaper.

    Scandalous government but hey they have nice big cars to get everywhere staying nice and warm while disability services and charitys get closed down by a lack of funding and rules which many of dont have scientific data to back them up.

    Too angry to post more.. as have 80 year olds that they have let down by aswell.. when I am finished sorting that mess out will post about it too if they give me permission

    And it took 5 days to get pscription and 7 days for appointment to tie on with safe public transport. Even some high risk people are having problems getting safe transport to hospital apointments if they dont drive or are too ill to drive.

    Thankyou to those who have volunteered especially for cancer patients as I know someone who availed of that service recently... but they still need volunteers in some parts of the country if anyone intetested.


  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    El Sueño wrote: »
    With the amount of people in schools every day, if schools were a significant driver of spread the cases would've increased well above the 1200 cases a day we were getting.

    Forget about the "average over the month of level 5", what matters is that cases have been dropping for pretty much the entirety of that month.

    The data is there and I've yet to see anybody put forth any sort of coherent argument against it.

    It spreads in kids who don't really get sick or get tested. It spreads to the parents who are mostly fine when they get it. Then it hits the grandparents and the small percentage of younger people who are vulnerable and numbers rise. That last part would start happening around a month or two after spread in schools, if that's what's happening.

    That would be my take on it, but I'm not in Ireland so haven't been paying as much attention recently as I was.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,958 ✭✭✭political analyst


    MOR316 wrote: »
    Probably but, they didn't have classrooms of 30 students to go back to after lunch, after doing it though.

    But they're obliged to wear masks when they're in class.


This discussion has been closed.
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