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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part VI - **Read OP for Mod Warnings**

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,240 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    Aren't you ignoring one highly relevant little tidbit of a fact that might influence that supposed 95% happy compliance?

    Are the majority complying with the regulation or not - that is the question. Not "why are they complying" - "are they happy to be complying?"

    If the majority weren't complying surely, you'd see more fines being handed out, more enforcement measures?

    It's just a narrative that some people are intent on putting out with zero factual backup.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 999 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    kippy wrote: »
    Are the majority complying with the regulation or not - that is the question. Not "why are they complying" - "are they happy to be complying?"

    If the majority weren't complying surely, you'd see more fines being handed out, more enforcement measures?

    It's just a narrative that some people are intent on putting out with zero factual backup.

    Perhaps the hassle with being perceived a danger to society by going about your daily business, or being spotted more than 5km from your house, or being seen calling into your neighbour who most definitely isn’t in your bubble.

    Evidence of conformity is not evidence of happy compliance. I reckon the why of compliance is an important to be aware of, especially if it’s being taken as an indication of vaccine uptake.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,946 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    kippy wrote: »
    Are the majority complying with the regulation or not - that is the question. Not "why are they complying" - "are they happy to be complying?"

    If the majority weren't complying surely, you'd see more fines being handed out, more enforcement measures?

    It's just a narrative that some people are intent on putting out with zero factual backup.

    It might be your question, but I wasn't replying to you, I was replying to the poster who said that people were happily wearing masks and then using that as evidence for his point on vaccines.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,109 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    Would it not be the case that by default introducing level 5 for 6 weeks, leaving about 3 weeks to Christmas that the decision is essentially made that Christmas shopping and celebrations are pretty much dead in the water.

    If restrictions are reduced in 2 weeks time, does anyone seriously think there is not going to be a stampede outside retail outlets, shopping centres etc. Its going to be absolute chaos with enevitable consequences.

    Various retail lobbying groups are on every spare moment looking for early lifting of restrictions, Publicans bizzarely claiming if they were open, it would stop crowding outside venues and on our city streets.

    There is no conceivable way to gradually reopen retail. I may be wrong but is it time to face reality?

    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,240 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    Perhaps the hassle with being perceived a danger to society by going about your daily business, or being spotted more than 5km from your house, or being seen calling into your neighbour who most definitely isn’t in your bubble.

    Evidence of conformity is not evidence of happy compliance. I reckon the why of compliance is an important to be aware of, especially if it’s being taken as an indication of vaccine uptake.

    The goal posts have changed from "the majority are not complying with regulations" to "the majority are not *happily* complying with regulations".
    Fine.

    The majority are not "happily" complying with regulations - that's true, very few people are happy with not seeing their family/friends, not being able to socialise, and of course not happy that they cannot work and are extremely worried about the future.

    That does't mean that they aren't complying with the regulations.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,240 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    It might be your question, but I wasn't replying to you, I was replying to the poster who said that people were happily wearing masks and then using that as evidence for his point on vaccines.

    Fair enough - I don't think people are "happy" about any of this to be honest.
    But the majority will be eager to see the back of this period in our history.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    One thing is for sure, theres literally 0 difference in terms of new cases between level 3 and level 5.

    Neither get you to <100 a day. both get you 500 cases daily on average.

    We need to go back to level 3, starting tomorrow.

    Its level 5 in name only
    Traffic on the roads will tell you thousands are not obeying it
    I drove from Killester to Crumlin and back and traffic was mental and no sign of the Gardai
    Its pointless at this stage


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,240 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    brisan wrote: »
    Its level 5 in name only
    Traffic on the roads will tell you thousands are not obeying it
    I drove from Killester to Crumlin and back and traffic was mental and no sign of the Gardai
    Its pointless at this stage

    Were you expecting traffic levels to match those in March or April?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    Sorry am I missing something? But do people think the intention of take away pints is to bring them in the ****ing car home with you? The whole point of take away pints is to bring them out on the street and drink them. If you ban the drinking on the street, you effectively ban takeaway pints.

    Plenty of pubs doing takeaway pints that you bring home in the suburbs
    Its only in the city centre people are drinking in the streets


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    kippy wrote: »
    Were you expecting traffic levels to match those in March or April?

    No but I think Tony hoped they would


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,563 ✭✭✭stateofflux


    Dempo1 wrote: »
    There is no conceivable way to gradually reopen retail. I may be wrong but is it time to face reality?

    What reality.?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    nofools wrote: »
    The sensible majority or the difficult minority earning us more and more restrictions daily.

    Some people are slow learners that can't put 2 and 2 together about cause and effect.

    Not sure it's much of a minority any more


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    nofools wrote: »
    How did it get into the hospitals Jac? Who's fault is it and why?

    No matter how it got in there the situation should not be made worse by it spreading in there
    Is everyone tested for covid before they leave hospital ?
    You could go into hospital without covid
    Come out of hospital with covid,be asymptomatic and spread it in the community


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    Damn. For a second there we were having a quality debate. But you went ahead and ruined it.

    So you are essentially saying that even though PUP is given under Urgent needs payments under Section 202 of the Social Welfare Consolidation Act 2005, it is fine to be taxed purely because govt had no time to make it means tested?

    Or you are saying that all income is taxable. Regardless of actual laws of this country? (I ll give you a hint, not all income is taxable.)


    Your point of "to not tax it would be unfair to all those others receiving government money (for work performed or under social welfare act)" is quite moot and is lacking substance.
    You are right there
    Children's allowance (or whatever it is called nowadays
    14,000 a year under the rent a room scheme not taxable


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,240 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    brisan wrote: »
    No but I think Tony hoped they would

    Why would he hope they would?
    There's literally hundreds of thousands of people on their way to work and close to a million kids back in School.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,506 ✭✭✭Seweryn


    TRANQUILLO wrote: »
    I thought the data showed that excess mortality was minimal. it's essentially a normal year for people dying (in the UK anyway).

    Im open to correction.
    Yeah, similar here in Ireland...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,109 ✭✭✭✭Dempo1


    What reality.?

    We're not going to see reduction in level 5, not difficult to comprehend, if gov reduce levels (which I believe were excessive), there will be absolute chaos in retail etc

    Is maith an scáthán súil charad.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,447 ✭✭✭Ginger n Lemon


    hmmm wrote: »
    We know that the superspreading events happen in places which are indoors, poorly ventilated and usually with people speaking loudly or shouting. There has been multiple examples worldwide of pubs, restaurants and cafes being sources of mass cases - e.g.
    https://www.irishexaminer.com/news/arid-40058144.html
    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/covid-19-college-students-on-a-break-and-middle-aged-people-in-rural-pub-linked-to-large-clusters-1.4369322
    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/health/covid-19-seventy-cases-in-cork-traced-to-local-pubs-and-restaurants-in-recent-weeks-1.4366678

    I agree with Kermit. Until we get the virus numbers back down to very low levels, it is difficult to see how the government will allow pubs and restaurants to reopen without us having to go back into lockdown a few weeks or short few months later.

    The good news is that the vaccines will become available probably in January. As we vaccinate more people, the supply of humans for Covid to infect will decrease which should allow us open up more.

    Each of those 3 articles says "linked".

    Linked does not mean it actually happened there.

    You ever heard of Messi being linked to Arsenal? :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,881 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    brisan wrote: »
    No matter how it got in there the situation should not be made worse by it spreading in there
    Is everyone tested for covid before they leave hospital ?
    You could go into hospital without covid
    Come out of hospital with covid,be asymptomatic and spread it in the community




    You are tested for Covid twice if over a certain amount of days in hospital. Once in A&E if they are admitting you and once day before you leave


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    nofools wrote: »
    Ok that isn't a derivation of how one will be worse than the other, you are just shouting numbers for drama like the papers do.

    Numbers need context and comparison.

    The healer should do no harm and if you can convince I will change my mind completely.

    I am not seeing it yet.

    Tell that to the people who got covid in hospital
    Tell that to the people who will die from cancer because the hospital cancelled their screening


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,881 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    Each of those 3 articles says "linked".

    Linked does not mean it actually happened there.

    You ever heard of Messi being linked to Arsenal? :rolleyes:






    He is just doing what you do. You put up stuff and never back it up with evidence.


  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Dublin zoo at risk of closing for good due to restrictions.

    We need this nonsense to stop.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,506 ✭✭✭Seweryn


    Several have been posted, but they get lost in the nonsense here I guess.

    This video has full references and graphs

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mboEkVl9ooc

    and here is a sample graph from that video

    all-cause-mortality-Ire.png

    That pic is taken from about 9mins 45secs in.

    There was another comparison sheet posted earlier in this thread.

    Yeah, more less in line with my summary posted a few days earlier:

    https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=115256955&postcount=7142


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,881 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    Dublin zoo at risk of closing for good due to restrictions.

    We need this nonsense to stop.




    Government will step in there for sure.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,563 ✭✭✭stateofflux


    Dempo1 wrote: »
    We're not going to see reduction in level 5, not difficult to comprehend, if gov reduce levels (which I believe were excessive), there will be absolute chaos in retail etc

    I guarantee there will be a reduction of some sort.. They have no choice at this stage.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,447 ✭✭✭Ginger n Lemon


    He is just doing what you do. You put up stuff and never back it up with evidence.

    what are you talking about my friend? I always back up my stuff when I say there is 20% unemployment in the country and 45% youth unemployment

    https://www.buzz.ie/news/unemployment-figures-october-2020-covid19-adjusted-397769

    But thank you for admitting OP posting "stuff" and not backing it up with any evidence.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,881 ✭✭✭✭average_runner


    I guarantee there will be a reduction of some sort.. They have no choice at this stage.




    Might do what the UK are thinking about doing. A 4 day window into xmas, 21-26th


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,870 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    They'll fold like a deck of cards after last time they don't want to be seen openly going against NPHET and Holohan knows it. The very fact he's 'spoiling for a fight' allegedly tells you he knows he's got them by the bollocks.

    True unfortunately. The govt have never faced down Holohan and Nphet- it would be a fairly radical departure for them


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 999 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    Government will step in there for sure.

    Hope so. But where do you draw the line then if they do? All other visitor attractions in the country are similarly suffering. Sports clubs and charities too. I know most don't have to spend half a million each month to feed animals, but still it will add up. Bail out Dublin Zoo and you'll have thousands of other affected organisations lined up for same.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,242 ✭✭✭brisan


    thebaz wrote: »
    Does the number of increases not relate to schools re-opening after mid-term ?

    But not to worry Tony and the Doom and gloom merchants at NPHET will keep preaching to its citizens how we are not behaving , and as bold school children our Christmas might be taken away .
    We have the strictest and longest lockdowns in Europe and no one in the media is questioning the effectiveness of this self elected highly paid elite , perhaps many in the public are getting jaded of this never-ending lockdown and that is why they are disobeying our betters.
    Why did NPHET not increase ICU capacity dramatically over the summer , something practical rather than the never ending Fear inducing lockdown or threat of lockdown.

    If you let it get to the stage where you have more people in ICU you have lost the battle
    Protect the nursing homes
    Ask the elderly to cocoon and support them
    Ask the rest of us to wear masks ,sanitise ,social distance and let retail and hospitality get back to level 2
    Any Bar pub or restaurant breaking the rules ,close them for 90 days


This discussion has been closed.
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