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US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

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Comments

  • #452
    RobertKK
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,774 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    Friend who is working at a polling station in St Louis:
    Line was constant from 6am to 3:30pm
    Insane turnout


  • #453
    everlast75
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,109 ✭✭✭✭everlast75


    https://twitter.com/BrianDMcBride/status/1323733670520360961?s=19

    Big turn out is always good news

    Elect a clown... Expect a circus



  • #454
    bilbot79
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,115 ✭✭✭bilbot79


    How quickly will we see anything interesting? I have an early flight tomorrow and never manage to sleep. Is it worth breaking out the Haagen Dazs and sticking on the telly?


  • #455
    Infini
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,653 ✭✭✭Infini


    RobertKK wrote: »
    Friend who is working at a polling station in St Louis:
    Line was constant from 6am to 3:30pm
    Insane turnout

    Think this is what will get Biden to Victory in the end IMHO. High turnout is detrimental to Republicana and the biggest potential upset comes from the non alligned block regardless of the R or D vote numbers. After 2016 I'll be waiting for the final confirmation but I'd honestly think we should see a repudition of the repubicans and Trump.


  • #456
    StringerBell
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,344 ✭✭✭✭StringerBell


    Some of the CNN exit polling would give you anxiety and I say this as someone who is very confident in Biden winning decisively when all is said and done.

    "People say ‘go with the flow’ but do you know what goes with the flow? Dead fish."



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  • #457
    Faugheen
    Site Banned Posts: 12,341 ✭✭✭✭Faugheen


    StringerBell wrote: »
    Some of the CNN exit polling would give you anxiety and I say this as someone who is very confident in Biden winning decisively when all is said and done.

    On the flip side, I wouldn’t like to be a Trump voter looking at the Fox exit polls.

    They’re all over the place.


  • #458
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Trump harvested the older, traditional vote to win the 2016 election.

    In 2020, he has ruthlessly and shamelessly thrown them to the scourge of COVID-19 in an attempt to win the rest of the electorate who want to see the economy moving once more.

    The US electorate, by and large, can see through this psychopathy -- and will vote accordingly.


  • #459
    All_in_Flynn
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,497 ✭✭✭All_in_Flynn


    StringerBell wrote: »
    Some of the CNN exit polling would give you anxiety and I say this as someone who is very confident in Biden winning decisively when all is said and done.

    Ye I'm worried now to be honest. I'm hoping it's skewed given expected GOP on the day turnout.

    The folks on CNN definitely look a little shook.


  • #460
    human 19
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 854 ✭✭✭human 19


    bilbot79 wrote: »
    How quickly will we see anything interesting? I have an early flight tomorrow and never manage to sleep. Is it worth breaking out the Haagen Dazs and sticking on the telly?


    I took the morning off but will get up early tomorrow rather than stay up tonight. will have more info to absorb tomorrow


  • #461
    letowski
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,381 ✭✭✭letowski


    StringerBell wrote: »
    Some of the CNN exit polling would give you anxiety and I say this as someone who is very confident in Biden winning decisively when all is said and done.

    Are exit polls just Election Day voting? More Trump supporters will be out today as most Biden supporters have already voted.

    On a separate note, the Fox News exit polling was very left leaning on a lot of the major issues (though this is in line with a lot of Pew and Gallup research)


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  • #462
    Itssoeasy
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,143 ✭✭✭✭Itssoeasy


    I’ve seen screenshots of some Fox News exit polls on Twitter and jesus they’re probably not what they expected. The body language from the hosts are funny because it’s clear the hosts hadn’t seen them before hand. Roe vs Wade is hugely supported. Kamala Harris is seen as more favourable than unfavourable and illegal immigrants should get a path to citizenship by 70 to 30.


  • #463
    StringerBell
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,344 ✭✭✭✭StringerBell


    All_in_Flynn wrote: »
    Ye I'm worried now to be honest. I'm hoping it's skewed given expected GOP on the day turnout.

    The folks on CNN definitely look a little shook.

    I wouldn't have any real cause for worry when I sit and think about it, just when some of them pop up on the screen it's a jolt to the system and a reminder that it's likely to be in a knife edge for the majority of the night.

    The exit polling can usually be taken with a pinch of salt and I'd imagine an even larger one this time round because of the amount of early and mail voting.

    "People say ‘go with the flow’ but do you know what goes with the flow? Dead fish."



  • #464
    Christy42
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,106 ✭✭✭Christy42


    Panrich wrote: »
    A federal judge has ordered USPS to do a sweep of offices as something like 300,000 votes may not have been delivered yet and if they are not received by today, they cannot be counted. That would affect democratic votes disproportionately.

    Source? That would be a major, major story given how Trump has dismantled the post office with this in mind but I can't see it anywhere?


  • #465
    Zookey123
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 340 ✭✭Zookey123


    First time really following the election results. CNN seems to be heavily favoring a certain candidate. It almost turns you off like skysports commentators drooling over English players. I wonder if they actually cause the candidate to lose votes with this poorly hidden promotion.


  • #466
    gmisk
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,541 ✭✭✭✭gmisk


    All_in_Flynn wrote: »
    Ye I'm worried now to be honest. I'm hoping it's skewed given expected GOP on the day turnout.

    The folks on CNN definitely look a little shook.
    I would think that is it.
    How many voted early?
    Was it 99 million?!


  • #467
    Sierra Oscar
    Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,681 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    RobertKK wrote: »
    Friend who is working at a polling station in St Louis:
    Line was constant from 6am to 3:30pm
    Insane turnout

    Highest turnout in a century it seems.


  • #468
    Faugheen
    Site Banned Posts: 12,341 ✭✭✭✭Faugheen


    gmisk wrote: »
    I would think that is it.
    How many voted early?
    Was it 99 million?!

    102m

    58m voted early in 2016, 136m in total


  • #469
    StringerBell
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,344 ✭✭✭✭StringerBell


    Christy42 wrote: »
    Source? That would be a major, major story given how Trump has dismantled the post office with this in mind but I can't see it anywhere?

    There was links to that earlier, it is a major story. Judge Emmet Sullivan.

    I'd say if you just Google his name or judge Sullivan orders or something to that effect you'll get a raft of links.

    "People say ‘go with the flow’ but do you know what goes with the flow? Dead fish."



  • #470
    Panrich
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,989 ✭✭✭Panrich


    Christy42 wrote: »
    Source? That would be a major, major story given how Trump has dismantled the post office with this in mind but I can't see it anywhere?

    It was reported by the FL reporter on CNN earlier

    https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/524228-federal-judge-orders-usps-to-rush-delivery-of-mail-ballots-as


  • #471
    rosser44
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 571 ✭✭✭rosser44


    Sierra Oscar wrote: »
    Highest turnout in a century it seems.

    High voter turnout is good for the Dems


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  • #472
    Big Pussy Bonpensiero
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,794 ✭✭✭Big Pussy Bonpensiero


    bilbot79 wrote: »
    How quickly will we see anything interesting? I have an early flight tomorrow and never manage to sleep. Is it worth breaking out the Haagen Dazs and sticking on the telly?

    Majority of battleground states are East coast so we should have a decent idea of who's going to win in the next few hours, however they need to taken with a bit of caution given all the early voting.


    A far more important qs for the USA is who is going to win the Senate. At the risk of jumping the gun here, Biden looks a cert. Barring a massive, massive upset he will be sitting in the White House come February 2021.
    However, whether or not he's going to be able to enact any real change over the next 4 years will depend on control of the Senate, and Georgia is an absolutely key state in that regard, given their 2 seats up for grabs. The democrats are tipped to take control of the Senate, but it is still a tight race and too early to call.


  • #473
    Outlaw Pete
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,423 ✭✭✭✭Outlaw Pete


    bilbot79 wrote: »
    How quickly will we see anything interesting?
    1am GMT there's usually some rumblings.

    CNN misscalled Gore as winning Florida around that time in 2000.


  • #474
    tanko
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,422 ✭✭✭tanko


    When will there be some reliable info as to how this is going to go?


  • #475
    Sierra Oscar
    Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,681 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    rosser44 wrote: »
    High voter turnout is good for the Dems

    It's hard not to read into it other than people turning out to punish Trump.

    Can there really be that much of a 'shy Trumpian' factor at play? It's hard to see it.


  • #476
    StringerBell
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,344 ✭✭✭✭StringerBell


    Looking forward to seeing how trump's vote share is holding up in certain parts of Kentucky, obviously he wins the state but he outperformed significantly in 2016 and I want to see how he holds up against his own performance this time round

    Be another hour before we get anything much use in terms of early polling post closing but should have something to go off in Kentucky soon.

    "People say ‘go with the flow’ but do you know what goes with the flow? Dead fish."



  • #477
    Christy42
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,106 ✭✭✭Christy42


    Panrich wrote: »
    It was reported by the FL reporter on CNN earlier

    https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/524228-federal-judge-orders-usps-to-rush-delivery-of-mail-ballots-as

    I mean what the hell, like really. It seems like they are trying to be bad at democracy. Like how are they so bad at it? For a battleground state that is flat out inexcusable.

    Thanks for the link.


  • #478
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 25,611 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Fox News should be live soon.




    The results from Maine and New Hampshire are the first big signs to look out for. For the polls to be accurate Biden need to be leading by 3-4 points early on.


  • #479
    EltonJohn69
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,819 ✭✭✭EltonJohn69


    just poured my first whiskey, Jake "The Bulldog" Tapper is on the big screen, just ate half a peanut butter sandwich....folks... I'm all in...roll on Florida !!! I assume thats when we will actually know who will win ?


  • #480
    Call me Al
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,039 ✭✭✭Call me Al


    Well Marco Rubio is predicting a wave alright... and it appears to be blue...

    https://twitter.com/marcorubio/status/1323747297491116035?s=20


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  • #481
    StringerBell
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,344 ✭✭✭✭StringerBell


    EltonJohn69 wrote: »
    just poured my first whiskey, Jake "The Bulldog" Tapper is on the big screen, just ate half a peanut butter sandwich....folks... I'm all in...roll on Florida !!! I assume thats when we will actually know who will win ?

    No, well unless Biden wins then the election is over but if trump holds on as he likely will there is still plenty of track to go in this election.

    It's more PA than Florida this time around that will be crucial.

    "People say ‘go with the flow’ but do you know what goes with the flow? Dead fish."



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