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US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

Quin_Dub

Continuation thread from here

All existing rules still stand.

Everyone will want to be active in this thread over the next few days , but there will be zero tolerance for Forum rule breaches.

Keep it Sensible , Civil and Polite please.

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RobertKK

Friend who is working at a polling station in St Louis:
Line was constant from 6am to 3:30pm
Insane turnout

everlast75

https://twitter.com/BrianDMcBride/status/1323733670520360961?s=19

Big turn out is always good news

bilbot79

How quickly will we see anything interesting? I have an early flight tomorrow and never manage to sleep. Is it worth breaking out the Haagen Dazs and sticking on the telly?

Infini

RobertKK wrote: »

Friend who is working at a polling station in St Louis:
Line was constant from 6am to 3:30pm
Insane turnout

Think this is what will get Biden to Victory in the end IMHO. High turnout is detrimental to Republicana and the biggest potential upset comes from the non alligned block regardless of the R or D vote numbers. After 2016 I'll be waiting for the final confirmation but I'd honestly think we should see a repudition of the repubicans and Trump.

StringerBell

Some of the CNN exit polling would give you anxiety and I say this as someone who is very confident in Biden winning decisively when all is said and done.

Faugheen

StringerBell wrote: »

Some of the CNN exit polling would give you anxiety and I say this as someone who is very confident in Biden winning decisively when all is said and done.

On the flip side, I wouldn’t like to be a Trump voter looking at the Fox exit polls.

They’re all over the place.

[Deleted User]

Trump harvested the older, traditional vote to win the 2016 election.

In 2020, he has ruthlessly and shamelessly thrown them to the scourge of COVID-19 in an attempt to win the rest of the electorate who want to see the economy moving once more.

The US electorate, by and large, can see through this psychopathy -- and will vote accordingly.

All_in_Flynn

StringerBell wrote: »

Some of the CNN exit polling would give you anxiety and I say this as someone who is very confident in Biden winning decisively when all is said and done.

Ye I'm worried now to be honest. I'm hoping it's skewed given expected GOP on the day turnout.

The folks on CNN definitely look a little shook.

human 19

bilbot79 wrote: »

How quickly will we see anything interesting? I have an early flight tomorrow and never manage to sleep. Is it worth breaking out the Haagen Dazs and sticking on the telly?

I took the morning off but will get up early tomorrow rather than stay up tonight. will have more info to absorb tomorrow

letowski

StringerBell wrote: »

Some of the CNN exit polling would give you anxiety and I say this as someone who is very confident in Biden winning decisively when all is said and done.

Are exit polls just Election Day voting? More Trump supporters will be out today as most Biden supporters have already voted.

On a separate note, the Fox News exit polling was very left leaning on a lot of the major issues (though this is in line with a lot of Pew and Gallup research)

Itssoeasy

I’ve seen screenshots of some Fox News exit polls on Twitter and jesus they’re probably not what they expected. The body language from the hosts are funny because it’s clear the hosts hadn’t seen them before hand. Roe vs Wade is hugely supported. Kamala Harris is seen as more favourable than unfavourable and illegal immigrants should get a path to citizenship by 70 to 30.

StringerBell

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

Ye I'm worried now to be honest. I'm hoping it's skewed given expected GOP on the day turnout.

The folks on CNN definitely look a little shook.

I wouldn't have any real cause for worry when I sit and think about it, just when some of them pop up on the screen it's a jolt to the system and a reminder that it's likely to be in a knife edge for the majority of the night.

The exit polling can usually be taken with a pinch of salt and I'd imagine an even larger one this time round because of the amount of early and mail voting.

Christy42

Panrich wrote: »

A federal judge has ordered USPS to do a sweep of offices as something like 300,000 votes may not have been delivered yet and if they are not received by today, they cannot be counted. That would affect democratic votes disproportionately.

Source? That would be a major, major story given how Trump has dismantled the post office with this in mind but I can't see it anywhere?

Zookey123

First time really following the election results. CNN seems to be heavily favoring a certain candidate. It almost turns you off like skysports commentators drooling over English players. I wonder if they actually cause the candidate to lose votes with this poorly hidden promotion.

gmisk

All_in_Flynn wrote: »

Ye I'm worried now to be honest. I'm hoping it's skewed given expected GOP on the day turnout.

The folks on CNN definitely look a little shook.

I would think that is it.
How many voted early?
Was it 99 million?!

Sierra Oscar

RobertKK wrote: »

Friend who is working at a polling station in St Louis:
Line was constant from 6am to 3:30pm
Insane turnout

Highest turnout in a century it seems.

Faugheen

gmisk wrote: »

I would think that is it.
How many voted early?
Was it 99 million?!

102m

58m voted early in 2016, 136m in total

StringerBell

Christy42 wrote: »

Source? That would be a major, major story given how Trump has dismantled the post office with this in mind but I can't see it anywhere?

There was links to that earlier, it is a major story. Judge Emmet Sullivan.

I'd say if you just Google his name or judge Sullivan orders or something to that effect you'll get a raft of links.

Panrich

Christy42 wrote: »

Source? That would be a major, major story given how Trump has dismantled the post office with this in mind but I can't see it anywhere?

It was reported by the FL reporter on CNN earlier

https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/524228-federal-judge-orders-usps-to-rush-delivery-of-mail-ballots-as

rosser44

Sierra Oscar wrote: »

Highest turnout in a century it seems.

High voter turnout is good for the Dems

Big Pussy Bonpensiero

bilbot79 wrote: »

How quickly will we see anything interesting? I have an early flight tomorrow and never manage to sleep. Is it worth breaking out the Haagen Dazs and sticking on the telly?

Majority of battleground states are East coast so we should have a decent idea of who's going to win in the next few hours, however they need to taken with a bit of caution given all the early voting.

A far more important qs for the USA is who is going to win the Senate. At the risk of jumping the gun here, Biden looks a cert. Barring a massive, massive upset he will be sitting in the White House come February 2021.
However, whether or not he's going to be able to enact any real change over the next 4 years will depend on control of the Senate, and Georgia is an absolutely key state in that regard, given their 2 seats up for grabs. The democrats are tipped to take control of the Senate, but it is still a tight race and too early to call.

Outlaw Pete

bilbot79 wrote: »

How quickly will we see anything interesting?

1am GMT there's usually some rumblings.

CNN misscalled Gore as winning Florida around that time in 2000.

tanko

When will there be some reliable info as to how this is going to go?

Sierra Oscar

rosser44 wrote: »

High voter turnout is good for the Dems

It's hard not to read into it other than people turning out to punish Trump.

Can there really be that much of a 'shy Trumpian' factor at play? It's hard to see it.

StringerBell

Looking forward to seeing how trump's vote share is holding up in certain parts of Kentucky, obviously he wins the state but he outperformed significantly in 2016 and I want to see how he holds up against his own performance this time round

Be another hour before we get anything much use in terms of early polling post closing but should have something to go off in Kentucky soon.

Christy42

Panrich wrote: »

It was reported by the FL reporter on CNN earlier

https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/524228-federal-judge-orders-usps-to-rush-delivery-of-mail-ballots-as

I mean what the hell, like really. It seems like they are trying to be bad at democracy. Like how are they so bad at it? For a battleground state that is flat out inexcusable.

Thanks for the link.

[Deleted User]

Fox News should be live soon.

The results from Maine and New Hampshire are the first big signs to look out for. For the polls to be accurate Biden need to be leading by 3-4 points early on.

EltonJohn69

just poured my first whiskey, Jake "The Bulldog" Tapper is on the big screen, just ate half a peanut butter sandwich....folks... I'm all in...roll on Florida !!! I assume thats when we will actually know who will win ?

Call me Al

Well Marco Rubio is predicting a wave alright... and it appears to be blue...

https://twitter.com/marcorubio/status/1323747297491116035?s=20

StringerBell

EltonJohn69 wrote: »

just poured my first whiskey, Jake "The Bulldog" Tapper is on the big screen, just ate half a peanut butter sandwich....folks... I'm all in...roll on Florida !!! I assume thats when we will actually know who will win ?

No, well unless Biden wins then the election is over but if trump holds on as he likely will there is still plenty of track to go in this election.

It's more PA than Florida this time around that will be crucial.