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Schools closed until February? (part 3)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 105 ✭✭8k71ps


    Lillyfae wrote: »
    I would expect the person making the claim to supply the evidence.

    Yeah what defines a close contact has been changing constantly, as well as contact tracers completely refusing many close contacts that would be close contacts in any other setting (not just that it's specific or broad but wrong). I believe I actually have sent you the studies indicating different symptoms in children and other problems that shows how broken the system is in its current state. This whole thread is littered with teachers talking about how unsystematic the department is about it and how little local knowledge is applied. Also for the most part the onus is on the person who wishes to prove schools are safe rather than that they are dangerous.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 639 ✭✭✭Thats me


    Lillyfae wrote: »
    No, it was actual people tested over 8 weeks and how many of those tested had positive tests. It wasn't an example, it was actual numbers.

    OK, there was exponential growth of new cases over this period.
    To make comparison more objective, i went to https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-todays-data-geographic-distribution-covid-19-cases-worldwide , downloaded there XLS with case stats, filtered data for Ireland only and took sum of new cases (field "Case" in the sheet) for last 7 days * 8 weeks = 56 days. The sum was 24055 or 0.5% from whole population.

    School-related tests you have referred are still times higher than nation-wide averages.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,859 ✭✭✭Lillyfae


    Fair enough. I only said it's there to be read.

    See this is where not actually being in the country or aware of what is happening in schools clouds your point of view.

    Those two things are only connected by the fact that you’ve put them in the same post.

    It’s hard not knowing everything, but to ignore what we do know and refuse to accept it because you don’t want to or don’t understand it demonstrates that people’s opinions are not the basis on which any decision should be made.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,612 ✭✭✭✭meeeeh


    8k71ps wrote: »
    Also for the most part the onus is on the person who wishes to prove schools are safe rather than that they are dangerous.

    Why? The schools are open so deemed safe. If you want that to change you will have to persuade government and parents tgat their kids are not safe. Considering there doesn't seem to be boom in parents taking up homeschooling I would say you will need a bit more than inventing reasons why testing kids doesn't work. I'm not going into it again but positivity rate in schools is lower than in general testing. That means than more close contacts are tested in schools or less kids get infected.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,859 ✭✭✭Lillyfae


    8k71ps wrote: »
    Yeah what defines a close contact has been changing constantly, as well as contact tracers completely refusing many close contacts that would be close contacts in any other setting (not just that it's specific or broad but wrong). I believe I actually have sent you the studies indicating different symptoms in children and other problems that shows how broken the system is in its current state. This whole thread is littered with teachers talking about how unsystematic the department is about it and how little local knowledge is applied. Also for the most part the onus is on the person who wishes to prove schools are safe rather than that they are dangerous.

    I asked you for the criteria for contacts in schools vs the rest of society. We know that contact tracing has broken down but this isn’t just in schools, it’s everywhere.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,027 ✭✭✭St.Spodo


    meeeeh wrote: »
    Children are perfectly fine in schools at the moment. Certainly better of than some ridiculous blended learning that just piles on the pressure on teachers and parents. For all the bluster I didn't see any unions calling for blended teaching.

    The problem is we are dealing with a virus they can potentially pass on to people who may not be fine.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,859 ✭✭✭Lillyfae


    Thats me wrote: »
    OK, there was exponential growth of new cases over this period.
    To make comparison more objective, i went to https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-todays-data-geographic-distribution-covid-19-cases-worldwide , downloaded there XLS with case stats, filtered data for Ireland only and took sum of new cases (field "Case" in the sheet) for last 7 days * 8 weeks = 56 days. The sum was 24055 or 0.5% from whole population.

    School-related tests you have referred are still times higher than nation-wide averages.

    For the love of god, you need to look at the number of tests carried out, not the population of the country!!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,465 ✭✭✭wirelessdude01


    Lillyfae wrote: »
    Those two things are only connected by the fact that you’ve put them in the same post.

    It’s hard not knowing everything, but to ignore what we do know and refuse to accept it because you don’t want to or don’t understand it demonstrates that people’s opinions are not the basis on which any decision should be made.

    What am I not accepting? Be interesting to hear what you come out with.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,539 ✭✭✭Icyseanfitz


    What am I not accepting? Be interesting to hear what you come out with.

    that schools are pure magic :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,859 ✭✭✭Lillyfae


    What am I not accepting? Be interesting to hear what you come out with.

    That the positivity rate in schools, based on the information we have, is not alarming.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,539 ✭✭✭Icyseanfitz


    Lillyfae wrote: »
    That the positivity rate in schools, based on the information we have, is not alarming.

    how can we possibly know what the actual positivity rate is? schools arnt being tested correctly, they keep changing the criteria for contact tracing in schools.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,465 ✭✭✭wirelessdude01


    Lillyfae wrote: »
    That the positivity rate in schools, based on the information we have, is not alarming.

    Where have I said that? It really is alarming the amount of times you seem to imagine people saying things on here.

    At least if you are picking an argument pick it with the people saying whatever it is that you are arguing about.


  • Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    how can we possibly know what the actual positivity rate is? schools arnt being tested correctly, they keep changing the criteria for contact tracing in schools.

    If contract tracing is not casting the net wide enough, the positive % will be higher than it otherwise would have been.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,859 ✭✭✭Lillyfae


    Where have I said that? It really is alarming the amount of times you seem to imagine people saying things on here.

    At least if you are picking an argument pick it with the people saying whatever it is that you are arguing about.

    I’m not picking any argument with you.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,023 ✭✭✭Deeec


    We got an email last week that the our kids school had a positive case. Close contacts of the child/teacher would be contacted and given further advise. If we didnt hear anything we were advised to send our children to school as normal. I heard nothing further and I sent my kids to school as normal. The following day I heard that 2 classes were off school which would suggest there was more than one case. We have heard nothing more from the school - they never even communicated what classes were affected. We had to find that info out through mammy gossip. As of today there are over 60 children off school ( between the 2 classes involved). I couldnt tell you though the amount of children that have covid tested positive- it could be 1 child or it could be 60 children. Surely it would make sense for the school to be able to communicate to parents how many confirmed cases there is. Some of these children travel on buses - Ive heard the bus driver wasnt even told. As you can imagine the mammy gossip is in overdrive because of this but nobody knows the truth. Some are even saying the positive case is a teacher.

    Personally I feel the child/teacher should be named. There is no shame in getting covid - it could happen any one of us. If we knew the positive cases we could decide for ourselves if our child was in contact. There is no social distancing happening outside the school gate! It is also worrying that the contact tracing system is not working. I understand that the school has done nothing wrong ( they are doing an excellent job) but the amount of info they can give out is ridiculous and will lead to spread.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,612 ✭✭✭✭meeeeh


    that schools are pure magic :D

    Until you prove that contact tracers and those taking swabs are together with government intentionally massaging the numbers your claims that cases in schools are intentionally missed and underrepresented are complete bs. I might not agree with all nephet suggestions but at least I'm not claiming that they are doing cover up for the government.

    So next time when are making snarky remarks just bear in mind that you conclusions are based on nothing more but pure arrogant belief that figment of your imagination is fact.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,465 ✭✭✭wirelessdude01


    Lillyfae wrote: »
    I’m not picking any argument with you.

    So then where did I say what you claim I did?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,612 ✭✭✭✭meeeeh


    how can we possibly know what the actual positivity rate is? schools arnt being tested correctly, they keep changing the criteria for contact tracing in schools.

    We know exactly what the positivity rate is. There is no doubt about it. Positivity rate is how many of the swabs taken come back positive. Nothing more nothing less.

    We don't and can't know how many kids have covid-19 (for that we would havd to test everyone daily) but we know positivity rate up to a decimal.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,465 ✭✭✭wirelessdude01


    Deeec wrote: »
    We got an email last week that the our kids school had a positive case. Close contacts of the child/teacher would be contacted and given further advise. If we didnt hear anything we were advised to send our children to school as normal. I heard nothing further and I sent my kids to school as normal. The following day I heard that 2 classes were off school which would suggest there was more than one case. We have heard nothing more from the school - they never even communicated what classes were affected. We had to find that info out through mammy gossip. As of today there are over 60 children off school ( between the 2 classes involved). I couldnt tell you though the amount of children that have covid tested positive- it could be 1 child or it could be 60 children. Surely it would make sense for the school to be able to communicate to parents how many confirmed cases there is. Some of these children travel on buses - Ive heard the bus driver wasnt even told. As you can imagine the mammy gossip is in overdrive because of this but nobody knows the truth. Some are even saying the positive case is a teacher.

    Personally I feel the child/teacher should be named. There is no shame in getting covid - it could happen any one of us. If we knew the positive cases we could decide for ourselves if our child was in contact. There is no social distancing happening outside the school gate! It is also worrying that the contact tracing system is not working. I understand that the school has done nothing wrong ( they are doing an excellent job) but the amount of info they can give out is ridiculous and will lead to spread.

    An information vacuum will always be filled. Lack of information is a huge issue across the board with this. Communication issues across the board leads to mistrust of what is being said. Gaps in the information due to GDPR in a school setting means we always question what we are told. I'm guilty of this myself at times.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,630 ✭✭✭jrosen


    Deeec wrote: »
    r.

    Personally I feel the child/teacher should be named.

    No one has any right to know any medical information about any other person. The child/children/teacher or teachers have a right to privacy. There is zero need to name anyone anyway. It doesnt matter who has covid, once the proper steps are taken regarding control


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 41,392 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    Anyone ever have a child come home with a bug and then the whole family got it?
    If so how is this virus different?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 498 ✭✭JP100


    46 identified outbreaks of Covid in schools last week, that's a pretty high number.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,391 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    Lillyfae wrote: »
    I asked you for the criteria for contacts in schools vs the rest of society. We know that contact tracing has broken down but this isn’t just in schools, it’s everywhere.

    Ironicilly enough contact tracing has broken down because there has been such an increase in cases and such an increase in contacts of those cases.
    If people want contact tracing to work, contacts need to be reduced for everyone.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,612 ✭✭✭✭meeeeh


    JP100 wrote: »
    46 identified outbreaks of Covid in schools last week, that's a pretty high number.

    It could be 92 people. Or it could be 1000.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,023 ✭✭✭Deeec


    An information vacuum will always be filled. Lack of information is a huge issue across the board with this. Communication issues across the board leads to mistrust of what is being said. Gaps in the information due to GDPR in a school setting means we always question what we are told. I'm guilty of this myself at times.

    You are exactly right. In the absence of information people draw there own conclusions ( which is nearly always wrong). Its like chinese whispers - people are spreading information that is completely untrue. If we are going to beat covid GDPR needs to be relaxed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 639 ✭✭✭Thats me


    Lillyfae wrote: »
    For the love of god, you need to look at the number of tests carried out, not the population of the country!!

    OK, please feel free to share your calculations. Lets compare how different they are.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,391 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    JP100 wrote: »
    46 identified outbreaks of Covid in schools last week, that's a pretty high number.

    Is it?
    There were close to 9000 actual cases of Covid last week.
    Assuing even each of those 46 outbreaks took in 10 people (which is doubtful) 500 out of 9000 cases isn't a major percentage.
    Again its down to keeping the cases down everywhere - cases is schools will be lower as well.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,465 ✭✭✭wirelessdude01


    JP100 wrote: »
    46 identified outbreaks of Covid in schools last week, that's a pretty high number.

    Pretty much doubling every week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,391 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    eagle eye wrote: »
    Anyone ever have a child come home with a bug and then the whole family got it?
    If so how is this virus different?

    Is anyone saying it isn't different?
    It's a contageous virus. Keeping the virus out of schools in the first place is the main aim and to do that it has to be reduced within the community.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,391 ✭✭✭✭kippy


    Pretty much doubling every week.

    Is it any different to cases in the community?


This discussion has been closed.
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