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Armenia and Azerbaijan conflict

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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,275 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Ganging up on the Christians

    I wouldn't read it that way at all.

    This conflict involves cultural identity tied to land, with a poisoned history. It is not a sectarian conflict as such, more a question of how cultural belonging is mapped to territory.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,817 ✭✭✭Tea drinker


    Gatling wrote: »
    Has anyone seen any evidence to back up the claims made on twitter or the guardian (which came from twitter) about jihadis been shipped in by Azerbaijan ,we heard a Turkish F16 shot down an Armenian su25 jet again claimed zero evidence ,we got another claim written in an Armenian news paper saying this and that .

    Both sides were asked to attend peace talks which Armenia ,if we see hospitals getting bombed from the air it's safe to say putin is officially involved .

    With a localised conflict which has been on and off for 30 years there will always be claim and counter claims to make the other side look bad and to try draw in allies to the conflict
    SOHR supported claim Syrians were being brought in to azeri/Turkish side by announcing first death of a Syrian. I would have guessed ex FSA but the article claims they are turkmen so maybe another group?
    https://www.syriahr.com/en/186288/


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,705 ✭✭✭Cheerful Spring2


    igCorcaigh wrote: »

    According to the MOD of Armenia, four drones penetrated into the non-disputed territory 50km from the Capital City. Seems they used the S-300 to take them out. The S-300 not used in Syria despite the claims. The system still manned by Russians in Syria. They don't want to use the system against Israeli warplanes. Russia now upgraded to S-400 and not got used yet in a combat situation.


  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    According to the MOD of Armenia, four drones penetrated into the non-disputed territory 50km from the Capital City. Seems they used the S-300 to take them out. The S-300 not used in Syria despite the claims. The system still manned by Russians in Syria. They don't want to use the system against Israeli warplanes. Russia now upgraded to S-400 and not got used yet in a combat situation.

    Don't believe everything you read ,s300 is a big ticket item to a relatively poor country , considering they actually borrow from Russia to buy older weapons systems off Russia .
    Russia won't engage Israel or cant see there aircraft to shoot them ,
    Whole different thread


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,705 ✭✭✭Cheerful Spring2


    Gatling wrote: »
    Has anyone seen any evidence to back up the claims made on twitter or the guardian (which came from twitter) about jihadis been shipped in by Azerbaijan ,we heard a Turkish F16 shot down an Armenian su25 jet again claimed zero evidence ,we got another claim written in an Armenian news paper saying this and that .

    Both sides were asked to attend peace talks which Armenia ,if we see hospitals getting bombed from the air it's safe to say putin is officially involved .

    With a localised conflict which has been on and off for 30 years there will always be claim and counter claims to make the other side look bad and to try draw in allies to the conflict

    Armenia is threatening to use Islander missiles https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/9K720_Iskander ( a advanced weapon system supplied by Russia) Said they'll use it, learn for sure, Turkey air force is bombing them. There's still no confirmation yet Turkey F-16s are involved, but Western states claim terrorist fighters have joined the war and originated from Syria.

    Azerbaijan is using a lot of military recon and killer drones secured from Israel.

    Russia has a military on paper alliance with Armenia but there not going to ask for help till they are overwhelmed by the opposition army.


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  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,275 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    According to the MOD of Armenia, four drones penetrated into the non-disputed territory 50km from the Capital City. Seems they used the S-300 to take them out. The S-300 not used in Syria despite the claims. The system still manned by Russians in Syria. They don't want to use the system against Israeli warplanes. Russia now upgraded to S-400 and not got used yet in a combat situation.

    Yes.

    What would be the use of drones towards Yerevan? Would they be considered a threat? (Well, obviously they are, but what I mean I'd I don't know the intention. They are unarmed?)

    Also, yeah the use of S-300 is significant, people elsewhere will watch that.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,817 ✭✭✭Tea drinker


    Armenia withdraws ambassador from Israel over Azerbaijan arms deal
    Azerbaijan has acknowledged using Israeli-made weapons in its fighting with ethnic Armenian forces around Nagorno-Karabakh.
    https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/armenia-withdraws-allies-from-israel-over-azerbaijan-arms-deal-644212

    Supposedly a large ramp up in cargo from Israel was was noted in past few weeks. Seems Azerbaijan has a huge lead in drones
    igCorcaigh wrote: »
    Yes.

    What would be the use of drones towards Yerevan? Would they be considered a threat? (Well, obviously they are, but what I mean I'd I don't know the intention. They are unarmed?)

    Assist in targeting for other weapons / draw out the S-300 for elimination / surveillance/ drop condoms. who knows.


  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Armenia withdraws ambassador from Israel over Azerbaijan arms deal
    Azerbaijan has acknowledged using Israeli-made weapons in its fighting with ethnic Armenian forces around Nagorno-Karabakh.
    https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/armenia-withdraws-allies-from-israel-over-azerbaijan-arms-deal-644212

    Supposedly a large ramp up in cargo from Israel was was noted in past few weeks. Seems Azerbaijan has a huge lead in drones



    Assist in targeting for other weapons / draw out the S-300 for elimination / surveillance/ drop condoms. who knows.


    Big money in drone warfare ,a relatively cheap aircraft that can kill tanks , bunkers and personal ,and are relatively expendable and easy to replace and a bitch to track it you don't have equipment and personell with experience,

    Seems to be a one sided fight so far , video's of the Armenian forces don't inspire confidence ,
    Russia has forces already in Armenia


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,316 ✭✭✭nthclare


    Gatling wrote: »
    Big money in drone warfare ,a relatively cheap aircraft that can kill tanks , bunkers and personal ,and are relatively expendable and easy to replace and a bitch to track it you don't have equipment and personell with experience,

    Seems to be a one sided fight so far , video's of the Armenian forces don't inspire confidence ,
    Russia has forces already in Armenia

    Sounds like another quagmire.
    Hopefully it's not going to turn into a mess like middle East


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,705 ✭✭✭Cheerful Spring2


    igCorcaigh wrote: »
    Yes.

    What would be the use of drones towards Yerevan? Would they be considered a threat? (Well, obviously they are, but what I mean I'd I don't know the intention. They are unarmed?)

    Also, yeah the use of S-300 is significant, people elsewhere will watch that.

    I just see the claim 4 drones got shot down by the S-300. It hard to know because i saw videos of drones being used to target battle positions online

    This video from today.The drone here sounds like a German Stuka dive bomber. I think it hit an Armenia military position on the ground.

    https://twitter.com/KyleJGlen/status/1311725913172856833


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  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    nthclare wrote: »
    Sounds like another quagmire.
    Hopefully it's not going to turn into a mess like middle East

    It's very complicated so many of the outside players have open grudges already ,down the road you have Belarus , Ukraine still under russian occupation , Syria and else where does Russia really need another potential war to fight where there is no real gain for them ,other than spending more money to prop us regimes while there economy is in the gutter for the 6/7 years


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 321 ✭✭TheBlackPill


    Armenia is threatening to use Islander missiles https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/9K720_Iskander ( a advanced weapon system supplied by Russia) Said they'll use it, learn for sure, Turkey air force is bombing them. There's still no confirmation yet Turkey F-16s are involved, but Western states claim terrorist fighters have joined the war and originated from Syria.

    Azerbaijan is using a lot of military recon and killer drones secured from Israel.

    Russia has a military on paper alliance with Armenia but there not going to ask for help till they are overwhelmed by the opposition army.

    Based on the previous Armenian genocide by turks and Armenia now facing being overun by Turks amd Turkic peoples, will they be tempted to use WMDs as an Armenian ad-hoc version of the Israeli Samson Option?


  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Based on the previous Armenian genocide by turks and Armenia now facing being overun by Turks amd Turkic peoples, will they be tempted to use WMDs as an Armenian ad-hoc version of the Israeli Samson Option?

    They are badly outnumbered and out gunned going by their compared military forces they have ,


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,316 ✭✭✭nthclare


    Gatling wrote: »
    They are badly outnumbered and out gunned going by their compared military forces they have ,

    What wmds do they have access to


  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    nthclare wrote: »
    What wmds do they have access to

    Not sure they have any they signed up to various treaty's and Non-Proliferation agreements once they gained independence from Russia .

    It's possible they have some stashed for a rainy day , remember russia signed a similar treaty with Ukraine which saw Ukraine give up it's nukes for friendship a few years down the road russia invades ,annexes part of Ukraine and occupaties other parts .


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,275 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Gatling wrote: »
    It's very complicated so many of the outside players have open grudges already ,down the road you have Belarus , Ukraine still under russian occupation , Syria and else where does Russia really need another potential war to fight where there is no real gain for them ,other than spending more money to prop us regimes while there economy is in the gutter for the 6/7 years

    Well, I can see Russia keeping an eye too on the north Caucasus. They certainly don't want more jihadi fighters going to the border again. This is very much their sphere.

    Still though, Russia is ostensibly neutral regarding this conflict, and still has its role in the Minsk process, for whatever relevance that has anymore.


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 11,275 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Gatling wrote: »
    They are badly outnumbered and out gunned going by their compared military forces they have ,

    They are, Azerbaijan choose the right moment to move. They see themselves as on the attack with a lot to gain, so I don't see any movement to the peace table soon. Not until they take enough territory to use as a bargaining chip.

    This is very WWI type of stuff. People will die for each inch of land. Awful.


  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    igCorcaigh wrote: »

    Still though, Russia is ostensibly neutral regarding this conflict, and still has its role in the Minsk process, for whatever relevance that has anymore.

    Minsk agreements are a joke ,this came up numerous times in Ukraine , where agreements were made between russian ,french , German and Donbass leaders (russian military) which was supposed to bring peace but was repeatedly broken by russian forces to gain more Ukraine territory then decrying Ukraine broke agreements which they had little or no part in .

    It's almost comical that they are using Belarus as a neutral country


  • Registered Users Posts: 736 ✭✭✭Das Reich


    da_miser wrote: »
    Istanbul will be Constantinople once again.

    OIP.R9cQmJlaGlR9NBxFxB6nhwHaGi?pid=Api&rs=1

    My dream.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,316 ✭✭✭nthclare




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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,817 ✭✭✭Tea drinker


    nthclare wrote: »

    It only depends on the attitude of the rest of NATO. France is growing tired of Turkish expansionism and can legitimize Russian actions, or can itself help Armenia , same as it helps greece to counter turkey, or helps Haftar in Libya to oppose Turkey. NATO is quite divided on Libya with bulk of NATO supporting Turkey. Added to that Egypt is threatening involvement if situation deteriorates further for Haftar forces.
    There's no reason why same division won't happen in the Armenia / Azerbaijan conflict as NATO's primary role is countering and weakening Russia.
    Well ok maybe some reasons are the fact this conflict has been dragging for decades and has huge explosive potential. Israel has been sending huge amount of arms as it's in their interest to have a strong anti Iran influence up there and they are probably getting paid for the arms anyway. They can care less what happens there as long as Iran can be damaged.

    So Israel can damage Iran, NATO can damage Russia, I don't see a concerted effort in NATO to contain this conflict.
    Oh and only part joking:P : NATO apparent secondary goal to manufacture refugees and bring them to Europe can be fulfilled whilst fulfilling the primary goal listed above. It is, how to say, "win win" :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 40,291 ✭✭✭✭Gatling


    Looks like the Armenians are getting hammered quite Badly , they've supposedly a large amount of their tank force and suffering high casualties to their ground forces ,
    I'd half expect Azerbaijan to mount an invasion of Nagorno-Karabakh at some point ,
    Still quiet on the Russians on what or if the Russians get involved


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,239 ✭✭✭Jimbob1977


    Armenia has confirmed that it suffered heavy casualties today.

    Turkey seems to be arming Azerbaijan via the Georgian road network.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,758 ✭✭✭stockshares


    Latest from BBC
    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54407436

    Quote
    Azerbaijan's military says its forces have retaken control of seven villages since Sunday, while Nagorno-Karabakh says its troops have "improved" their frontline positions.

    Earlier this week, Armenia said it stood "ready to engage" with mediators from France, Russia and the US to try to agree a ceasefire.

    Azerbaijan, which is openly backed by Turkey, has demanded the withdrawal of Armenian troops from Nagorno-Karabakh and adjacent areas seized by ethnic Armenian troops.

    Nagorno-Karabakh - key facts
    A mountainous region of about 4,400 sq km (1,700 sq miles)
    Traditionally inhabited by Christian Armenians and Muslim Turks
    In Soviet times, it became an autonomous region within the republic of Azerbaijan
    Internationally recognised as part of Azerbaijan, but majority of population is ethnic Armenian
    Self-proclaimed authorities are not recognised by any UN member, including Armenia
    An estimated one million people displaced by war in 1988-94, and about 30,000 killed
    Separatist forces captured some extra territory around the enclave in Azerbaijan
    Stalemate has largely prevailed since a 1994 ceasefire
    Turkey openly supports Azerbaijan
    Russia has a military base in Armenia


    Map
    _114669926_nagorno-karabakh_conflict_map_v2_640-nc.png


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,472 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    Jimbob1977 wrote: »
    Armenia has confirmed that it suffered heavy casualties today.

    Turkey seems to be arming Azerbaijan via the Georgian road network.

    Mounting evidence that Turkish soldiers and officials are on the ground in Azerbaijan.

    https://twitter.com/MuradGazdiev/status/1312679702541238274


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,758 ✭✭✭stockshares


    Mounting evidence that Turkish soldiers and officials are on the ground in Azerbaijan.

    https://twitter.com/MuradGazdiev/status/1312679702541238274

    Do you know of a reliable article on whether Islamic Fighters are being used by Turkey?


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,033 ✭✭✭pearcider


    Gatling wrote: »
    Looks like the Armenians are getting hammered quite Badly , they've supposedly a large amount of their tank force and suffering high casualties to their ground forces ,
    I'd half expect Azerbaijan to mount an invasion of Nagorno-Karabakh at some point ,
    Still quiet on the Russians on what or if the Russians get involved

    One thing is clear the war on Christians by Islam continues relentlessly.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,705 ✭✭✭Cheerful Spring2


    Jimbob1977 wrote: »
    Armenia has confirmed that it suffered heavy casualties today.

    Turkey seems to be arming Azerbaijan via the Georgian road network.

    Russia will watch that closely. Georgia seems to have picked a side.

    Azerbaijan fired a heavy volley of artillery fire into the city of Stepanakert.

    A video from today.

    https://twitter.com/AraksyaY/status/1312766133502644224


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,705 ✭✭✭Cheerful Spring2


    Gatling wrote: »
    Looks like the Armenians are getting hammered quite Badly , they've supposedly a large amount of their tank force and suffering high casualties to their ground forces ,
    I'd half expect Azerbaijan to mount an invasion of Nagorno-Karabakh at some point ,
    Still quiet on the Russians on what or if the Russians get involved

    Seems to be the case, from what i see. Azerbaijani forces are using advanced drones to wipe out tanks, military gear, and the enemy troops on the ground. The camera you see clearly observe the Armenia troops moving about before they got hit hard by a missile.

    https://twitter.com/FreakingBeasts/status/1311359897582223360

    Russia doesn't want another war.

    Nobody can inside the head of Putin here ands know what the eventual plans are to end this fighting.

    The war mostly happening inside disputed territory right now. I would not be surprised if Russian peacemakers show up, eventually?. I be shocked if Russia decided Azerbaijan was a threat and they invaded. Russia also has to think of western reaction to joining this deep-rooted tribal conflict. Turkey seems to be doing it covertly for the most part giving Turkmen from Syria arms and money to go fight there. Turkey also has military advisors managing the war against Armenia.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,239 ✭✭✭Jimbob1977


    Russia took back the Crimea and nobody tried stop them.

    The Russians aren't fazed by much.


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