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Covid 19 Part XXIII-33,444 in ROI(1,792 deaths) 9,541 in NI(577 deaths)(22/09)Read OP

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,702 ✭✭✭✭BoatMad


    Presumably the key fact is that many many cases were not detected.

    Deaths are not detected. Hmmm maybe they snuck out of the hospitals to have a pint


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,439 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    Immunocompetent not immunocompromised.

    It is still not evidence that reinfection is going to be a very frequent event however. We would have loads of cases in Ireland alone if this was the case

    But we don't know, do we, with invisible cases due to asymptomatics.

    I would suspect very small though. Perhaps a reflection of some individuals rather than a general property of the virus?

    I don't know.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,406 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    There's been about half a dozen reinfection reports out of 30,000,000+ cases

    I think it's fair to assume it's a rare occurrence

    Thank god


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    spookwoman wrote: »
    No way of knowing if reinfection has happened here when our testing was very low and the criteria was very high as the start

    About 25,000 people tested positive from March to July. About 23,000 recovered. About 6,500 got it since start of August. The odds of reinfection being prevalent and none of the earlier cases being exposed more recently are astronomically small. On a random basis it should be about 8 cases. However it’s not random as those exposed earlier are probably more likely to be reexposed on average


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,439 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    El Sueño wrote: »
    There's been about half a dozen reinfection reports out of 30,000,000+ cases

    I think it's fair to assume it's a rare occurrence

    Thank god

    I think for now, it's safe enough to assume it's rare. Fingers crossed.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 387 ✭✭Goldrickssan


    El Sueño wrote: »
    There's been about half a dozen reinfection reports out of 30,000,000+ cases

    I think it's fair to assume it's a rare occurrence

    Thank god

    Some people are **** over reports of single reinfection as if it's proof covid can't be stopped.

    Bizarre to see it


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 527 ✭✭✭lukas8888


    The daily 14 day epidemiology report was last published on Saturday,first time it's gone 2 days with no update.Very important to track the county incidence.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,454 ✭✭✭mloc123


    I see Luke O’Neill has sold his company off today... after building up his celebrity profile over the last 6 months jumping on every bandwagon :)

    Every single one of these Covid talking heads are only interested in one thing, how can I gain from this... Gerry Killeen, Maitiu o Tuathail, Sam McConkey etc.. and yet they are all wheeled out on TV as neutral experts.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,702 ✭✭✭✭BoatMad


    mloc123 wrote: »
    I see Luke O’Neill has sold his company off today... after building up his celebrity profile over the last 6 months jumping on every bandwagon :)

    Every single one of these Covid talking heads are only interested in one thing, how can I gain from this... Gerry Killeen, Maitiu o Tuathail, Sam McConkey etc.. and yet they are all wheeled out on TV as neutral experts.

    He’s milked this to death , fear mongering at its worst


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,429 ✭✭✭PCeeeee


    mloc123 wrote: »
    I see Luke O’Neill has sold his company off today... after building up his celebrity profile over the last 6 months jumping on every bandwagon :)

    Every single one of these Covid talking heads are only interested in one thing, how can I gain from this... Gerry Killeen, Maitiu o Tuathail, Sam McConkey etc.. and yet they are all wheeled out on TV as neutral experts.

    It was Roche that purchased his company. I sincerely doubt Roche were influenced by his 'celebrity profile'


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,059 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    About 25,000 people tested positive from March to July. About 23,000 recovered. About 6,500 got it since start of August. The odds of reinfection being prevalent and none of the earlier cases being exposed more recently are astronomically small. On a random basis should be about 8 cases. However it’s not random as those exposed earlier are probably more likely to be reexposed on average

    There is still no number to say how many could be reinfected and no way to know how people previously infected are going about their lives. We don't know.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,077 ✭✭✭KrustyUCC


    lukas8888 wrote: »
    The daily 14 day epidemiology report was last published on Saturday,first time it's gone 2 days with no update.Very important to track the county incidence.

    Latest figures from Gavan Reilly

    https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1308085352385609728


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,751 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    lukas8888 wrote: »
    The daily 14 day epidemiology report was last published on Saturday,first time it's gone 2 days with no update.Very important to track the county incidence.
    It's never published on the weekend, it'll be out tomorrow for today


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,454 ✭✭✭mloc123


    PCeeeee wrote: »
    It was Roche that purchased his company. I sincerely doubt Roche were influenced by his 'celebrity profile'

    You don't think that his constant media presence for the last 6 months has raised his, and the companies profile at all?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Good article in nature summing up what we know and don’t know yet about reinfection.

    It’s rare now but will be in a year’s time.
    Will it be more severe or milder?

    https://twitter.com/nature/status/1306409287649026048?s=21
    But if symptoms are consistently worse during a second bout of COVID-19, as they were in the person in Nevada, the immune system might be making things worse, says immunologist Gabrielle Belz at the University of Queensland and the Walter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research in Victoria, Australia. For example, some cases of severe COVID-19 are worsened by rogue immune responses that damage healthy tissue. People who have experienced this during a first infection might have immune cells that are primed to respond in a disproportionate way again the second time, says Belz.

    Another possibility is that antibodies produced in response to SARS-CoV-2 help, rather than fight, the virus during a second infection. This phenomenon, called antibody-dependent enhancement, is rare — but researchers found worrying signs of it while trying to develop vaccines against related coronaviruses, responsible for severe acute respiratory syndrome and Middle East respiratory syndrome.

    As researchers accumulate more examples of reinfection, they should be able to sort out these possibilities, says virologist Yong Poovorawan at Chulalongkorn University in Bangkok.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,751 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Good article in nature summing up what we know and don’t know yet about reinfection.

    It’s rare now but will be in a year’s time.
    Will it be more severe or milder?

    https://twitter.com/nature/status/1306409287649026048?s=21
    You are infatuated at the thought of re-infection, I've never seen such an obsession


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,702 ✭✭✭✭BoatMad


    spookwoman wrote: »
    There is still no number to say how many could be reinfected and no way to know how people previously infected are going about their lives. We don't know.

    If you don’t know , then you react as if it’s not occurring

    When u hear hooves think horses not zebras

    Equally , we don’t know when the zombie apocalypse is coming but sanity suggests we don’t lock ourselves indoors in antipication just yet , mind you if NPHET has a chance ......


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 251 ✭✭HeyV


    So strange this evening walking home after work and seeing all the pub doors open along the Main Street...
    what happens to the pubs that have been open a few weeks now serving pizza etc from local restaurants? Are they ok to now stop the food?
    Sorry if it’s been answered before, I don’t get time to log on here everyday to read all the posts :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,721 ✭✭✭DebDynamite


    mloc123 wrote: »
    I see Luke O’Neill has sold his company off today... after building up his celebrity profile over the last 6 months jumping on every bandwagon :)

    Every single one of these Covid talking heads are only interested in one thing, how can I gain from this... Gerry Killeen, Maitiu o Tuathail, Sam McConkey etc.. and yet they are all wheeled out on TV as neutral experts.

    Maitiu O Tuathail anyway. He’s not even an expert in the field - he’s just a GP. Though he seems to be fond of a bit of self-promotion, so it’s no surprise he’s trying to get his name out there.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,753 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    It's always the way. RTÉ are very enthusiastic about telling us how great it is that something has opening and the interview goes something like...

    "So is it great for you to be back to normality at long last? The whole community must be gathering to celebrate!"

    And then a couple of weeks later everything changes and they wheel out the prophets of doom to tell us the closure could be seen coming from the outset.

    just can't stand the centre of the universe schtick that accompanies the Irish pub

    ffs visiting the pubs for these types of chats is for Henry Kean on Moncrief


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,751 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    HeyV wrote: »
    So strange this evening walking home after work and seeing all the pub doors open along the Main Street...
    what happens to the pubs that have been open a few weeks now serving pizza etc from local restaurants? Are they ok to now stop the food?
    Sorry if it’s been answered before, I don’t get time to log on here everyday to read all the posts :)
    Yep, there is no longer a requirement to serve food


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,406 ✭✭✭Deeper Blue


    Good article in nature summing up what we know and don’t know yet about reinfection.

    It’s rare now but will be in a year’s time.
    Will it be more severe or milder?

    https://twitter.com/nature/status/1306409287649026048?s=21

    What we know is that there have been less than half a dozen reinfection reports out of 30,000,000+ cases.

    I don't see the point in speculating about what might happen in a year.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,454 ✭✭✭mloc123


    Maitiu O Tuathail anyway. He’s not even an expert in the field - he’s just a GP. Though he seems to be fond of a bit of self-promotion, so it’s no surprise he’s trying to get his name out there.

    I think I dislike him the most... a GP, go back to handing out antibiotics


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,260 ✭✭✭mr_edge_to_you


    mloc123 wrote: »
    I see Luke O’Neill has sold his company off today... after building up his celebrity profile over the last 6 months jumping on every bandwagon :)

    Every single one of these Covid talking heads are only interested in one thing, how can I gain from this... Gerry Killeen, Maitiu o Tuathail, Sam McConkey etc.. and yet they are all wheeled out on TV as neutral experts.

    Fair play to him. He's a talented man! By the time its all divied up he's probably looking at a decent lump sum.

    Roche paid what they did because they feel that is potential to generate multiples of what they paid from the work that Inflamazone have already done.

    Seems like a good guy and I wish him well.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,089 ✭✭✭Non solum non ambulabit


    188, downward trend starting.

    Exponentially decreasing


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,702 ✭✭✭✭BoatMad


    Fair play to him. He's a talented man! By the time its all divied up he's probably looking at a decent lump sum.

    Roche paid what they did because they feel that is potential to generate multiples of what they paid from the work that Inflamazone have already done.

    Seems like a good guy and I wish him well.
    Great guy. Just never let him inside a radio station


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    You are infatuated at the thought of re-infection, I've never seen such an obsession

    Yeah it’s not as if it has implications for every single country and economy in the world. Probably the most important question in science for the last 50 years.

    Don’t worry anecdotally it can’t happen.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,751 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Yeah it’s not as if it has implications for every single country and economy in the world. Probably the most important question in science for the last 50 years.

    Don’t worry anecdotally it can’t happen.
    Do you honestly think that less than a dozen cases out of 30+ million is concerning, you sound like a mad man posting tweets about it constantly


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,429 ✭✭✭PCeeeee


    mloc123 wrote: »
    You don't think that his constant media presence for the last 6 months has raised his, and the companies profile at all?

    I do.

    I doubt that the largest pharmaceutical company in the world was in anyway swayed by that however. They are buying something they think can make money for them. The due diligence performed for a 380M purchase would absolutely not include his profile. Thats not the way it works. IMO.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,702 ✭✭✭✭BoatMad


    You are infatuated at the thought of re-infection, I've never seen such an obsession

    Perhaps because a lot of people are going to get annoyed when we see most of these “ restrictions “ are ineffectual and half baked, they “ want “ outbreaks so they can say “ see told u so “


This discussion has been closed.
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