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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part V - **Read OP for Mod Warnings**

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,312 ✭✭✭paw patrol


    Ninthlife wrote: »
    Im far from naive and I do understand the point you are making but NPHET can only offer its expert advice. If Government doesnt want to enact on it thats up to them.

    fair enough , sorry I didn't mean the naive as a personal dig btw.

    Ninthlife wrote: »
    Michael Martin former teacher and full time politician for many years is not in a position of knowledge to disagree with medical experts neither is Leo or any other member of cabinet.

    Ninthlife wrote: »
    Id rather the health advice of a professional medical person than anyone in the Dail.





    they should ask questions though.

    The science is one impact of this there are many our measures of success that NPHET are NOT experts on.
    Like the economy, society and the effect on people and all that good stuff etc.. that should be the TDs area. We need to have the balance - ties in with the risk assessment point that each of us should be allowed to make for ourselves.


    NPHET reminds me of the simpsons when the council of alphas ( the clever people ruled) sometimes our betters are the best to lead.







    https://youtu.be/OH8s4N15zdg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,625 ✭✭✭Micky 32


    hynesie08 wrote: »
    Go on, I'll bite, how would you have them enforce this without it being a human rights violation?

    I would doubt it would be made mandatory. But if case numbers stay high because of anti vaxxers i’d say restrictions maybe imposed on people who don’t take it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,623 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    Micky 32 wrote: »
    I would doubt it would be made mandatory. But if case numbers stay high because of anti vaxxers i’d say restrictions maybe imposed on people who don’t take it.

    Numbers high of people not sick though!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭xhomelezz


    Numbers high of people not sick though!

    And? Do you think it's gonna stay that way?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,623 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    xhomelezz wrote: »
    And? Do you think it's gonna stay that way?

    Do you think it wont?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭xhomelezz


    Do you think it wont?

    Not 100% sure. Are you


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,668 ✭✭✭walus


    Lockdowns 100% work, that is blatantly obvious. We would be having 10’s of thousands of cases and thousands of deaths per day now without the lockdown in March to June.

    Thousands of deaths per day? Who are you? Nphet?

    ”Where’s the revolution? Come on, people you’re letting me down!”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭xhomelezz


    Not looking for fight. But personally think more cases of positive people will inevitably lead to more people in hospitals and more deaths. No effective treatment on the table doesn't help it either. All you can do is treat symptoms without knowing what's happening.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭xhomelezz


    walus wrote: »
    Thousands of deaths per day? Who are you? Nphet?

    Oh come on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,668 ✭✭✭walus


    xhomelezz wrote: »
    Not looking for fight. But personally think more cases of positive people will inevitably lead to more people in hospitals and more deaths. No effective treatment on the table doesn't help it either. All you can do is treat symptoms without knowing what's happening.

    When should we expect the death tool in France go through the roof then? There were many theories for how long it takes from the diagnosis to death.

    ”Where’s the revolution? Come on, people you’re letting me down!”



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭xhomelezz


    walus wrote: »
    When should we expect the death tool in France go through the roof then? There were many theories for how long it takes from the diagnosis to death.

    Dunno mate. I guess you'll tell me. At some stage it will start hitting vulnerable population. And the state of hospitals here are not ready for it. That's all.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,401 ✭✭✭Charles Babbage


    walus wrote: »
    When should we expect the death tool in France go through the roof then? There were many theories for how long it takes from the diagnosis to death.


    Deaths in France are not at April levels, but they have increased 4 times in two weeks.

    Death rates/ cases will be less because of more testing and some improvements in treatment, but there will still be deaths.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    walus wrote: »
    Thousands of deaths per day? Who are you? Nphet?

    We've really lost the plot when being compared to a group of experts in their fields is an insult


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,993 ✭✭✭Captain_Crash


    xhomelezz wrote: »
    At some stage it will start hitting vulnerable population
    Did it not hit the vulnerable population at the start?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,229 ✭✭✭✭normanoffside


    Deaths in France are not at April levels, but they have increased 4 times in two weeks.

    Death rates/ cases will be less because of more testing and some improvements in treatment, but there will still be deaths.

    If more people have it then logically more people will die with it but not necessarily from it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭xhomelezz


    Did it not hit the vulnerable population at the start?

    Yes it did. That's why Ireland did so bad. Do you think it won't hit that part of population again? What's the point of your post?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭xhomelezz


    If more people have it then logically more people will die with it but not necessarily from it.

    :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,623 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    If more people have it then logically more people will die with it but not necessarily from it.

    Of course, a number of the 80 people dying each day will happen to have a positive Covid test


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,668 ✭✭✭walus


    We've really lost the plot when being compared to a group of experts in their fields is an insult

    The fact that they are so called experts in the field does not mean that they are right on this. People have tendency to think that because the opinion or advice comes from an expert, it must be correct. Looking at how nphet dealt with this “pandemic” it has to be questioned what real expertise they have got.
    Experts suffer from the “ expert problem” - they think they know a lot more than they really do. It is scientifically proven phenomenon. They are often no good when it comes to situations they have never experienced before.

    ”Where’s the revolution? Come on, people you’re letting me down!”



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 12,653 ✭✭✭✭Plumbthedepths


    Will Nphet try and keep the country in semi lockdown till a vaccine arrives, hope the money lasts ( doubt it though).



    http://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-only-one-in-10-to-be-protected-from-covid-19-in-first-year-of-vaccine-use-12072473


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    walus wrote: »
    The fact that they are so called experts in the field does not mean that they are right on this. People have tendency to think that because the opinion or advice comes from an expert, it must be correct. Looking at how nphet dealt with this “pandemic” it has to be questioned what real expertise they have got.
    Experts suffer from the “ expert problem” - they think they know a lot more than they really do. It is scientifically proven phenomenon. They are often no good when it comes to situations they have never experienced before.

    Yep you know better


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭xhomelezz


    Yep you know better

    That


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,862 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Yep you know better

    Well what have nphet achieved? Fcuk all. This is an endemic virus. It can’t be stopped with stupid rules- nature obeys no rules


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,939 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    xhomelezz wrote: »
    Yes it did. That's why Ireland did so bad. Do you think it won't hit that part of population again? What's the point of your post?
    And "that part of the population" are now much more aware of their risks and how to mitigate them. Is that not a hugely relevant factor in predicting a future death rate?
    walus wrote: »
    The fact that they are so called experts in the field does not mean that they are right on this. People have tendency to think that because the opinion or advice comes from an expert, it must be correct.

    Blindly accepting that NPHET are infallible also ignores that I have never yet seen a quango that wasn't jobs for the boys to at least some extent.

    Call them experts all you want, I still would advise taking their advice critically.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,097 ✭✭✭✭Zebra3


    road_high wrote: »
    Well what have nphet achieved? Fcuk all. This is an endemic virus. It can’t be stopped with stupid rules- nature obeys no rules

    Yes, but our politicians will one day be up for re-election.

    They need to be able to say "we did something"

    A bit like with the banks back in the day.

    Doing something good is secondary.

    And once you've committed to something, it's all in. Can't show any weakness and change tack when you realise you've fcked up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,950 ✭✭✭xhomelezz


    And "that part of the population" are now much more aware of their risks and how to mitigate them. Is that not a hugely relevant factor in predicting a future death rate?



    Blindly accepting that NPHET are infallible also ignores that I have never yet seen a quango that wasn't jobs for the boys to at least some extent.

    Call them experts all you want, I still would advise taking their advice critically.

    Yes they are, but if the rest won't respect safe behaviour, we'll probably end up in the same situation. And don't get me wrong, I'm far away from advocating lockdowns. If people get their act together and follow few basics, we wouldn't have this talk. Unfortunately virus is highly contagious so it takes very little to spread it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,862 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    Will Nphet try and keep the country in semi lockdown till a vaccine arrives, hope the money lasts ( doubt it though).



    http://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-only-one-in-10-to-be-protected-from-covid-19-in-first-year-of-vaccine-use-12072473

    Well they have pretty no other strategy or real ideas so yes.
    And of course the money will not last, we are in big big trouble economically


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,668 ✭✭✭walus


    xhomelezz wrote: »
    Dunno mate. I guess you'll tell me. At some stage it will start hitting vulnerable population. And the state of hospitals here are not ready for it. That's all.

    If the French put measures in place to make sure that the virus does not hit clusters of vulnerable people (i.e. care homes) the death tool will be very low. Much lower than originally.
    Other countries have already addressed the problem with clusters of vulnerable people. For example a guy from work has his grandad in care home in Poland. This elderly gentleman is 90 years of age and recently got sick with pneumonia. The family were trying to go and see him, thinking this might be the last time they see him alive, only to be told: “Stay away”. No access to vulnerable people when the virus is in circulation. Period.

    ”Where’s the revolution? Come on, people you’re letting me down!”



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,338 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    And "that part of the population" are now much more aware of their risks and how to mitigate them. Is that not a hugely relevant factor in predicting a future death rate?



    Blindly accepting that NPHET are infallible also ignores that I have never yet seen a quango that wasn't jobs for the boys to at least some extent.

    Call them experts all you want, I still would advise taking their advice critically.

    Clearly the population in general are not more aware of the risks and how to mitigate them, if they were they'd be following the guidelines and Dublin wouldn't be back in a semi lockdown. If you read any page of this thread it's abundantly clear that loads of people still don't understand what's happening.

    NPHET members don't get paid for being on NPHET, they were pulled out of universities and hospitals and are still getting their original salaries.

    We need to find a balance and not be constantly swinging in and out of lockdown, NPHET gave us guidelines on what needs to be done to achieve that balance but the advice was poorly relayed by government ignored by too many.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,797 ✭✭✭✭hatrickpatrick


    Not saying this is the intention, but it really does feel this way with some of the decisions which have been made around restrictions in more recent times:

    ze93SBk.png

    The extreme level 3 limits on socially distant outdoor interaction make absolutely zero sense if they don't also apply to restaurants, workplaces, weddings etc.


This discussion has been closed.
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