Covid 19 Part XX-26,644 in ROI (1,772 deaths) 6,064 in NI (556 deaths) (08/08)Read OP

ShineOn7 · 02-08-2020 10:28PM

Santy2015 wrote: »

https://m.independent.ie/world-news/coronavirus/ireland-to-escape-a-second-wave-of-covid-19-says-nobel-prize-winning-scientist-39416411.html

The Nobel Prize-winning scientist who looked at raw data and correctly predicted Ireland's death and infection rate would "burn itself out" in the last two weeks of May is back to reassure people there will be no second wave.
Dr Michael Levitt (73) was speaking as he prepared to jet off on his summer holiday travelling in Europe.

The Nobel Laureate made world headlines when he found that the number of people infected with coronavirus in any given region was not growing exponentially. He also correctly calculated the demise of China's spread long ahead of most health experts.

Well that's the best news I've read about it all week

Has he correctly predicted much more about this? (apart from the above)

Really hoping he's right

fritzelly · 02-08-2020 10:29PM

hmmm wrote: »

https://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Nobel-laureate-Israel-will-have-no-more-than-ten-coronavirus-deaths-621407

Surely his prediction were not wrong there as well :rolleyes:

Chivito550 · 02-08-2020 10:31PM

Will phase 4 be an all or nothing thing. I'm involved in athletics and the Leinster and National Championships in August are dependant on the outdoor limit going to 500. The risk of having these competitions behind closed doors is as close to zero as they come. Why should we suffer because pubs aren't deemed safe for opening? I'm sure GAA, Soxcer6abd other sports feel the same, but athletics of all sports, with no physical contact is as low risk as they come.

ACitizenErased · 02-08-2020 10:33PM

Chivito550 wrote: »

Will phase 4 be an all or nothing thing. I'm involved in athletics and the Leinster and National Championships in August are dependant on the outdoor limit going to 500. The risk of having these competitions behind closed doors is as close to zero as they come. Why should we suffer because pubs aren't deemed safe for opening? I'm sure GAA, Soxcer6abd other sports feel the same, but athletics of all sports, with no physical contact is as low risk as they come.

As far as I know the media is reporting the outside limit will be extended

Santy2015 · 02-08-2020 10:33PM

hmmm wrote: »

https://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Nobel-laureate-Israel-will-have-no-more-than-ten-coronavirus-deaths-621407

He’s a cod Bill!!

Beanybabog · 02-08-2020 10:34PM

ShineOn7 wrote: »

Well that's the best news I've read about it all week
Has he correctly predicted much more about this?

We were talking about this early on- I think it’s quite hard to find his predictions. He’s on twitter but you have to scroll to find links. Stanford had a link to a basic website but it’s not working today. I’d love for people to look at his work and discuss it because I can’t understand the graphs but it’s quite hard to find it all.

hmmm · 02-08-2020 10:36PM

Chivito550 wrote: »

Will phase 4 be an all or nothing thing. I'm involved in athletics and the Leinster and National Championships in August are dependant on the outdoor limit going to 500. The risk of having these competitions behind closed doors is as close to zero as they come. Why should we suffer because pubs aren't deemed safe for opening? I'm sure GAA, Soxcer6abd other sports feel the same, but athletics of all sports, with no physical contact is as low risk as they come.

There is some risk in everything unfortunately, but outdoor events are lower - not zero, lower.

The problem we have is that case numbers seem to be going up, and we need to create room to get schools open. We can't open schools safely if the virus is spreading in the community. If we all wore masks and stopped with the parties it might create room for other things to re-open.

ExMachina1000 · 02-08-2020 10:39PM

Chivito550 wrote: »

Will phase 4 be an all or nothing thing. I'm involved in athletics and the Leinster and National Championships in August are dependant on the outdoor limit going to 500. The risk of having these competitions behind closed doors is as close to zero as they come. Why should we suffer because pubs aren't deemed safe for opening? I'm sure GAA, Soxcer6abd other sports feel the same, but athletics of all sports, with no physical contact is as low risk as they come.

Can you not still run around the track without a crowd?

hmmm · 02-08-2020 10:39PM

Santy2015 wrote: »

He’s a cod Bill!!

I think his predictions are being taken out of context, and used to try and justify a lifting of restrictions. In reality if you read a bit more, he is giving predictions based on the restrictions remaining in place - but that's being ignored by the headline writers.

gmisk · 02-08-2020 10:39PM

Santy2015 wrote: »

https://m.independent.ie/world-news/coronavirus/ireland-to-escape-a-second-wave-of-covid-19-says-nobel-prize-winning-scientist-39416411.html

Dr Michael Levitt (73) was speaking as he prepared to jet off on his summer holiday travelling in Europe......

Okie dokie...

ShineOn7 · 02-08-2020 10:45PM

gmisk wrote: »

Dr Michael Levitt (73) was speaking as he prepared to jet off on his summer holiday travelling in Europe......

Soooo .... turns out he's a spoofer too then

The first link built my hopes up as well

Has any world event had so much Misinformation as Covid? It's a clusterfcuk

Santy2015 · 02-08-2020 10:47PM

https://youtu.be/0FganRtg5-QHi

Arghus · 02-08-2020 10:49PM

hmmm wrote: »

I think his predictions are being taken out of context, and used to try and justify a lifting of restrictions. In reality if you read a bit more, he is giving predictions based on the restrictions remaining in place - but that's being ignored by the headline writers.

I've seen him in the media a few times. I think he's happy enough to accept the attention of those who most acutely feel their civil liberty being curtailed.

ixoy · 02-08-2020 10:53PM

ShineOn7 wrote: »

Soooo .... turns out he's a spoofer too then

Am I missing something - how does going on holidays abroad make him a spoofer? If his facts and predictive model hold up then he's far from a spoofer. Going on a holiday doesn't invalidate the model - it's a completely different issue.

Strumms · 02-08-2020 10:53PM

Bad shït over the water, not a million miles away, in Manchester. Major incident declared, usually only done so in times of war or terror attack.

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-major-incident-declared-in-greater-manchester-after-covid-19-rise-12041276

Cases rapidly rising , not good at all, I have a friend there who has a little girl with asthma, a confidant guy but he’s going out of his mind.

ShineOn7 · 02-08-2020 10:55PM

ixoy wrote: »

Am I missing something - how does going on holidays abroad make him a spoofer? If his facts and predictive model hold up then he's far from a spoofer. Going on a holiday doesn't invalidate the model - it's a completely different issue.

I meant the link to the Israel stuff. Didn't he get that very wrong?

JP Liz V1 · 02-08-2020 10:58PM

Influencers Ellie Kelly, Conor Ryan, Rob Lipsett and Sarah Godfrey holiday in Ibiza despite government guidelines

ShineOn7 · 02-08-2020 10:58PM

Strumms wrote: »

Bad shït over the water, not a million miles away, in Manchester. Major incident declared, usually only done so in times of war or terror attack.

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-major-incident-declared-in-greater-manchester-after-covid-19-rise-12041276

When I clicked into the article it said this

Leader of Manchester City Council Richard Leese said: "People should not be alarmed that a major incident has been declared. This is standard practice for complex situations which require a multi-agency response.

Still though, looks more serious than the Leicester lockdown

ShineOn7 · 02-08-2020 11:00PM

JP Liz V1 wrote: »

Influencers Ellie Kelly, Conor Ryan, Rob Lipsett and Sarah Godfrey holiday in Ibiza despite government guidelines

I'm absolutely feckin' delighted I haven't got a clue who any of them are

giveitholly · 02-08-2020 11:00PM

JP Liz V1 wrote: »

Influencers Ellie Kelly, Conor Ryan, Rob Lipsett and Sarah Godfrey holiday in Ibiza despite government guidelines

Never heard of them,What do they influence?

ACitizenErased · 02-08-2020 11:02PM

HSE Daily Operations Update

12 in hospital, increase of 1.
2 confirmed cases in hospitals, one in Drogheda, one in UHL.
4 in ICU and 2 ventilated, no change.

Mater -- (2)
Drogheda +1 (2)
Tallaght -- (1)
Beaumont -- (1)
Cavan -- (1)
Temple Street -- (1)
Mullingar -- (1)
Sligo -- (1)
UHL -- (1)

Plumbthedepths · 02-08-2020 11:04PM

JP Liz V1 wrote: »

Influencers Ellie Kelly, Conor Ryan, Rob Lipsett and Sarah Godfrey holiday in Ibiza despite government guidelines

The advice is no non essential travel, it may be essential in the mind of those travelling. If the government didn't want people to travel they could have put a ban in place. Then again people with trips booked would be able to claim. Far better if they concentrated on travellers from the US and UK arriving here instead of trying to shame citizens here into cancelling holidays.

JP Liz V1 · 02-08-2020 11:04PM

ShineOn7 wrote: »

I'm absolutely feckin' delighted I haven't got a clue who any of them are ;-)

giveitholly wrote: »

Never heard of them,What do they influence?

I think they are connected to Love Island and / or You Tube

Sammy2012 · 02-08-2020 11:04PM

JP Liz V1 wrote: »

Influencers Ellie Kelly, Conor Ryan, Rob Lipsett and Sarah Godfrey holiday in Ibiza despite government guidelines

Eh who?

ACitizenErased · 02-08-2020 11:05PM

giveitholly wrote: »

Never heard of them,What do they influence?

They've large instagram and youtube followings, mostly associated with makeup/fashion

Plumbthedepths · 02-08-2020 11:05PM

Sammy2012 wrote: »

Eh who?

You clearly are not being influenced.

Sammy2012 · 02-08-2020 11:07PM

Plumbthedepths wrote: »

You clearly are not being influenced.

No. They are not doing their job. Altho I'm mid 30s now and well passed influencing!!!

JP Liz V1 · 02-08-2020 11:07PM

ShineOn7 wrote: »

I'm absolutely feckin' delighted I haven't got a clue who any of them are ;-)

Plumbthedepths wrote: »

The advice is no non essential travel, it may be essential in the mind of those travelling. If the government didn't want people to travel they could have put a ban in place. Then again people with trips booked would be able to claim. Far better if they concentrated on travellers from the US and UK arriving here instead of trying to shame citizens here into cancelling holidays.

I suppose instagram pictures they see as essential :P I agree travel incoming from covid hot spots needs forced quarantine and testing or complete banning

Strumms · 02-08-2020 11:08PM

ShineOn7 wrote: »

When I clicked into the article it said this

Still though, looks more serious than the Leicester lockdown

I think it’s a bit futile using the terms major incident, corona, and asking people not to be alarmed but hey, maybe .

Plumbthedepths · 02-08-2020 11:09PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

They've large instagram and youtube followings, mostly associated with makeup/fashion

So far I have been wrong guessing the gender of other posters. Let's go 3 for 3. You're Male right?

Covid 19 Part XX-26,644 in ROI (1,772 deaths) 6,064 in NI (556 deaths) (08/08)Read OP

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