Covid19 Part XVIII-25,473 in ROI(1,736 deaths) 5,760 in NI (551 deaths)(30/06)Read OP

ACitizenErased · 11-06-2020 05:15PM

Apologies for length. This is all the modelling data.
https://twitter.com/roinnslainte/status/1271128286194737154?s=20

https://twitter.com/roinnslainte/status/1271128288224837633?s=20

https://twitter.com/roinnslainte/status/1271128290116411393?s=20

https://twitter.com/roinnslainte/status/1271128291701915659?s=20

https://twitter.com/roinnslainte/status/1271128293572575234?s=20

mean gene · 11-06-2020 05:17PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

Latest testing and contact tracing data.

Referrals dropped significantly Tuesday and Wednesday. Average contacts has also plumetted, now just 2.

https://www.hse.ie/eng/services/news/newsfeatures/covid19-updates/integrated-information-service-%E2%80%93-testing-and-contact-tracing-dashboard-11-june-2020.pdf

Rte be reeking with that news

ACitizenErased · 11-06-2020 05:18PM

mean gene wrote: »

Rte be reeking with that news

I reckon there was maybe one or two people with a massive number of contacts

uncleoswald · 11-06-2020 05:19PM

accensi0n wrote: »

This shows an overall continuing decrease up to today (Although worryingly gradual)

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

What you on about?

Overall the numbers are decreasing, largely because the cases in New York have dropped. But elsewhere in the country the numbers are slowly rising, particularly the South and West. Perhaps because they never really got hit so people aren't as inclined to take precautions.

https://twitter.com/PeterJ_Walker/status/1269426528095481858

ACitizenErased · 11-06-2020 05:27PM

https://twitter.com/RobOHanrahan/status/1271131605399207936?s=20

ACitizenErased · 11-06-2020 05:35PM

Some people have been in ICU for 60+ days, average time is 14 days.

eigrod · 11-06-2020 05:39PM

I’d say the lads are heading straight to O Donoghues for a lock in after this press conference, things are looking so rosy &#55357;&#56842;

Eod100 · 11-06-2020 05:41PM

nocoverart wrote: »

My Trimmers arrived the other day but think I'll hold out for a pro, surely only a matter of time for Barbers now.

Rumours of 29th June now alright. Guaranteed if you went to cut it they'd announce it a few weeks later..!

Cork Boy 53 · 11-06-2020 05:45PM

fritzelly wrote: »

Cork boy gonna be mad

Believe it or not I`m not mad at all bud. I still feel though that it would be wise to wait until the beginning of next week and see if there is a continued steady decline in cases before we can safely conclude that this first wave is flatlining.

Cork Boy 53 · 11-06-2020 05:50PM

is_that_so wrote: »

Still only halfway there! A credit to us all of us, including the non-compliant ones!

In spite of the non compliant ones. I fail to see what credit they deserve.

tom1ie · 11-06-2020 05:51PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

8 more deaths RIP

8 new cases (so much for a 'resurgance')

I really hope that message doesn’t come back to haunt you at some point.
How can you be so confident there will be no resurgence?

CSWS101 · 11-06-2020 05:52PM

Cork Boy 53 wrote: »

Believe it or not I`m not mad at all bud. I still feel though that it would be wise to wait until the beginning of next week and see if there is a continued steady decline in cases before we can safely conclude that this first wave is flatlining.

I think it may have flat lined several weeks ago

tom1ie · 11-06-2020 05:56PM

tom1ie wrote: »

I really hope that message doesn’t come back to haunt you at some point.
How can you be so confident there will be no resurgence?

And by “you” I dont personally mean you I should have said us.

Beasty · 11-06-2020 06:02PM

Thread "headline" from 19 weeks ago today

Sorry if there is a thread already on this.

I just received a video of what is happening in wuhan - to say we are all going to die is an understatement!

ceadaoin. · 11-06-2020 06:15PM

Beasty wrote: »

Thread "headline" from 19 weeks ago today

I was thinking about all those videos, like the ones of people apparently dropping dead in the street. Since that doesnt seem to have happened anywhere else in the world, I think we can conclude that they were in fact wind ups. If it did, we would know about it!

DevilsHaircut · 11-06-2020 06:25PM

The infection fatality rate (including undetected cases) is widely agreed to be 0.5-1%. We have a c. 7% CFR.

We are significantly under-detecting cases (as the UK is).

This has much greater significance post-lockdown as we're relying on test and trace to reduce transmission.

https://twitter.com/GeorgeLeeRTE/status/1271134156827889666

https://twitter.com/Jeremy_Hunt/status/1271064795849031680

theballz · 11-06-2020 06:27PM

Simon Harris doing such an amazing job. He will Taoiseach one day.

ACitizenErased · 11-06-2020 06:28PM

tom1ie wrote: »

I really hope that message doesn’t come back to haunt you at some point.
How can you be so confident there will be no resurgence?

It was sarcasm. People predicted a resurgence today.

Boggles · 11-06-2020 06:28PM

Jesus, we have gone from Covid was a cover up to it was a complete wind up.

I'll continue to focus on that bit in the middle, it used to be called reality.

SeaBreezes · 11-06-2020 06:28PM

ceadaoin. wrote: »

I was thinking about all those videos, like the ones of people apparently dropping dead in the street. Since that doesnt seem to have happened anywhere else in the world, I think we can conclude that they were in fact wind ups. If it did, we would know about it!

Apart from Iran and New York and the increase in strokes/heart attacks in excess deaths in every hard hit country.

2 fatal heart attacks in my small community in the last month..

ACitizenErased · 11-06-2020 06:33PM

Analysed cases as of midnight Tuesday 9th June - 25,230 cases (+18)

Healthcare Workers +15
Clusters +14
Cases associated with clusters +114

Age Range Affected
0-4 +1
5-14 No Change
15-24 +5
25-34 +3
35-44 +3
45-54 +3
55-64 No Change
65-74 No Change
75-84 No Change
85+ +3

Counties
Clare +1
Cork +1
Dublin +4
Galway +2
Kildare +2
Kilkenny +1
Monaghan +3
Offaly +1
Roscommon +2
Tipperary +1

Non solum non ambulabit · 11-06-2020 06:49PM

tom1ie wrote: »

I really hope that message doesn’t come back to haunt you at some point.
How can you be so confident there will be no resurgence?

It was carried forward from a conversation last evening when some posters were really concerned that last night's 19 cases was the beginning of a resurgence.

Plumbthedepths · 11-06-2020 06:54PM

theballz wrote: »

Simon Harris doing such an amazing job. He will Taoiseach one day.

You meant like the rest of the government he hid behind Holohan and Nphet.

Polar101 · 11-06-2020 06:57PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

Analysed cases as of midnight Tuesday 9th June - 25,230 cases (+18)

Healthcare Workers +15
Clusters +14
Cases associated with clusters +114

Age Range Affected
0-4 +1
5-14 No Change
15-24 +5
25-34 +3
35-44 +3
45-54 +3
55-64 No Change
65-74 No Change
75-84 No Change
85+ +3

Hmm, 14 out of 18 are healthcare workers. Looks like other 4 fall within the 0-4 and 85+ range (I am assuming there would be no healthcare workers in those age groups).

ACitizenErased · 11-06-2020 07:00PM

Polar101 wrote: »

Hmm, 14 out of 18 are healthcare workers. Looks like other 4 fall within the 0-4 and 85+ range (I am assuming there would be no healthcare workers in those age groups).

14 healthcare workers could also be old cases. It's common for the numbers of healthcare workers, clusters, cases associated with clusters to not equal the daily total.

11-06-2020 07:04PM

SeaBreezes wrote: »

Apart from Iran and New York and the increase in strokes/heart attacks in excess deaths in every hard hit country.

2 fatal heart attacks in my small community in the last month..

as opposed to how many heart attacks normally?? WTF.
You do know stress and lack of exercise increase your risk of heart attacks don't you???

11-06-2020 07:17PM

Can I just be sure on something.

We have 4.9 million people in ireland...ish correct.
As of today, the confirmed cases of covid -19 were 25,238.00, testing over the last 3 months say.

Am I correct in saying as of today, .0051% of Ireland are infected yes?
or at least that we know of. a half of 1% of Ireland, have been reported as having covid 19 since march, many of whom have recovered because of the time which has lapsed.

before anyone starts saying, THAT we know of, Paul reid said of the 100% tested in the last two weeks!! 98% were negative.

I also know that restrictions had a huge impact of course but Jesus, they're all far from the great modern plague stories. we've been fed NO?

with the lockdown, Covid has "RAVAGED" ireland to the tune of.005% of the population, killing 1703 people.
It's taken the lives of .0003% of Irish people, almost 65% of which were in care homes and over 30% of which were front line workers
many with underlying issues.

Of the infected 25,238 Covid cases, 1703 passed away, 6%..

Maths was never a love of mine but by jasus, that all reads crazy to me

in 2012, COPD and Pneumonia killed 2491..throw in heart attacks and you've got 4751 deaths.

I'd love to see if there's a huge drop in these deaths between the months of February and June or are they just being lumped into
death with Covid but BY heart Attack in persons otherwise having COPD, Pneumonia or heart disease.

Jim_Hodge · 11-06-2020 07:24PM

rusty cole wrote: »

Can I just be sure on something.

We have 4.9 million people in ireland...ish correct.
As of today, the confirmed cases of covid -19 were 25,238.00

Am I correct in saying as of today, .0051% of Ireland are infected yes?
or at least that we know of. a half of 1% of Ireland, have been reported as having covid 19 since march, many of whom have recovered because of the time which has lapsed.

before anyone starts saying, THAT we know of, Paul reid said of the 100% tested in the last two weeks!! 98% were negative.

I also know that restrictions had a huge impact of course but Jesus, they're all far from the great modern plague stories. we've been fed NO?

0.5% not .0051%.

For every million people 345 have died and the number of cases is probably much higher.

2ndcoming · 11-06-2020 07:28PM

rusty cole wrote: »

Can I just be sure on something.

We have 4.9 million people in ireland...ish correct.
As of today, the confirmed cases of covid -19 were 25,238.00

Am I correct in saying as of today, .0051% of Ireland are infected yes?
or at least that we know of. a half of 1% of Ireland, have been reported as having covid 19 since march, many of whom have recovered because of the time which has lapsed.

before anyone starts saying, THAT we know of, Paul reid said of the 100% tested in the last two weeks!! 98% were negative.

I also know that restrictions had a huge impact of course but Jesus, they're all far from the great modern plague stories. we've been fed NO?

The vast majority of those 25,000 caught the virus (or a member of their household did) in the first three weeks of March. Look to the UK to see the difference a one week delay on restrictions made.

It is all down to the restrictions, without them by the end of April we would have been at half a million cases more than likely. Complete collapse of the health service and nothing to stop total infection.

If you think a bunch of neoliberal Tory boys like FG would have shut down the economy if there was any chance they could get away with it you're dreaming.

celt262 · 11-06-2020 07:29PM

FG have really nailed this well done all keep on fighting.

Covid19 Part XVIII-25,473 in ROI(1,736 deaths) 5,760 in NI (551 deaths)(30/06)Read OP

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