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Covid19 Part XVII-24,841 in ROI (1,639 deaths) 4,679 in NI (518 deaths)(28/05)Read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,150 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    NDWC wrote: »
    So far there's been zero evidence of a second wave anywhere, I don't know why certain people are talking about it like it's an inevitability

    Yet. Its thought it could happen in Autumn so early days to say its early days yet!


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators Posts: 12,384 Mod ✭✭✭✭igCorcaigh


    NDWC wrote: »
    So far there's been zero evidence of a second wave anywhere, I don't know why certain people are talking about it like it's an inevitability

    Still a lot of fuel for the virus to burn through. It's inevitable if the right conditions return.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Harris tells the Dáil that R is between 0.45 & 0.63


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,139 ✭✭✭What Username Guidelines


    NDWC wrote: »
    So far there's been zero evidence of a second wave anywhere, I don't know why certain people are talking about it like it's an inevitability

    Iran on the way back up https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/iran/


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    https://www.euronews.com/2020/05/20/coronavirus-minks-test-positive-for-covid-19-at-two-dutch-farms

    Have a look at this. There's a Dutch mink farm and it's believed a worker there contracted the covid19 infection from a mink. Also cats acn get the covid19 infection. Is animal to human infection only happening from mink to human or is it only happening in the Netherlands. Are we OK here with cats. There's no evidence that cats and pets can give it to humans. Is it only mink to human?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,351 ✭✭✭NegativeCreep


    Eod100 wrote: »
    Yet. Its thought it could happen in Autumn so early days to say its early days yet!

    Thought by who?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,140 ✭✭✭Gregor Samsa


    owlbethere wrote: »
    https://www.euronews.com/2020/05/20/coronavirus-minks-test-positive-for-covid-19-at-two-dutch-farms

    Have a look at this. There's a Dutch mink farm and it's believed a worker there contracted the covid19 infection from a mink. Also cats acn get the covid19 infection. Is animal to human infection only happening from mink to human or is it only happening in the Netherlands. Are we OK here with cats. There's no evidence that cats and pets can give it to humans. Is it only mink to human?

    Do you expect anyone here to have the answers to these questions, given that the people actually investigating the single, unconfirmed case don't have them?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,548 ✭✭✭Martina1991


    is_that_so wrote:
    Apparently they are choosing the best assay(test) over the next week so yes. De Gascun has been talking about it for a few weeks. 5,000 is very manageable and it is just sample and test it.

    What's the 5,000 in reference to?

    Antibody testing could be more cumbersome than the swab testing in terms of getting the samples.

    Blood will have to be drawn by those trained in phlebotomy. I wouldnt think drive through sites wont be suitable for that.

    If GPs or practice nurses are busy taking samples for antibody tests this will effect patients that need blood taken for routine blood tests.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    owlbethere wrote: »
    https://www.euronews.com/2020/05/20/coronavirus-minks-test-positive-for-covid-19-at-two-dutch-farms

    Have a look at this. There's a Dutch mink farm and it's believed a worker there contracted the covid19 infection from a mink. Also cats acn get the covid19 infection. Is animal to human infection only happening from mink to human or is it only happening in the Netherlands. Are we OK here with cats. There's no evidence that cats and pets can give it to humans. Is it only mink to human?

    Well the original case zero for Covid-19 got the virus from an intermediate animal (? pangolin), which was infected with the bat virus.

    I imagine it must be very difficult to decide if the man infected the mink or vice versa, in the setting of a mink farm.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,140 ✭✭✭Gregor Samsa


    What's the 5,000 in reference to?

    Antibody testing could be more cumbersome than the swab testing in terms of getting the samples.

    Blood will have to be drawn by those trained in phlebotomy. I wouldnt think drive through sites wont be suitable for that.

    If GPs or practice nurses are busy taking samples for antibody tests this will effect patients that need blood taken for routine blood tests.

    According to this article (https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/coronavirus-ireland-to-start-antibody-testing-early-next-month-1.4259083)

    Dr Cillian De Gascun (director of the National Virus Reference Laboratory) says the plan is to test a sample of 5,000 people from two geographic regions, and repeat a few times over the coming year. If they find that 5,000 is too low (that not enough of them show signs of having been exposed), they'll increase that. Blood tests with lab analysis will be used whatever specific test they settle on.

    Over 3,000 regular blood donations handled by the IBTS each week, so it doesn't seem impossible to organise the one-off taking of 5,000 blood samples with minimal impact to other services if there's a concerted effort.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    Herd immunity... but at what cost !

    Community screening for antibodies suggest that 4.5% of the French population and 5% of the Spanish population have been infected and (?) acquired immunity so far.

    'Herd immunity' depends on between 60% and 80% of the population becoming immune. (depending on the size of R0)

    That means that those two countries must repeat their recent deadly carnage 12 to 16 times before herd immunity is useful to them.

    Why do pseudo-macho right wing fwits still keep banging on about this lunatic 'herd immunity' notion ?

    !


    EXsC29hVAAAHH8E.jpg


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 166 ✭✭Tockman


    Hasn't it be shown that herd immunity can be got from as low as 20 percent of the population.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,140 ✭✭✭Gregor Samsa


    Tockman wrote: »
    Hasn't it be shown that herd immunity can be got from as low as 20 percent of the population.

    Anything I've read says 70% to 90% (assuming immunity is possible in the first place).


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,351 ✭✭✭NegativeCreep


    Herd immunity... but at what cost !

    Community screening for antibodies suggest that 4.5% of the French population and 5% of the Spanish population have been infected and (?) acquired immunity so far.

    'Herd immunity' depends on between 60% and 80% of the population becoming immune. (depending on the size of R0)

    That means that those two countries must repeat their recent deadly carnage 12 to 16 times before herd immunity is useful to them.

    Why do pseudo-macho right wing fwits still keep banging on about this lunatic 'herd immunity' notion ?

    !

    What’s the alternative? Lockdown until there’s a vaccine? Also I don’t think the recent carnage will be seen again now that social distancing and general hand washing and respiratory hygiene are now known things that can keep this virus somewhat at bay


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 912 ✭✭✭bekker


    Alan Kelly TD trying to get clarification on 2-hour exposure in 24 hours as applicable generally, getting no answer after 3 attempts.

    Harris waffling all over the place, no answer.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,248 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    bekker wrote: »
    Alan Kelly TD trying to get clarification on 2-hour exposure in 24 hours as applicable generally, getting no answer after 3 attempts.

    Harris waffling all over the place, no answer.

    https://www.thejournal.ie/close-contacts-two-hours-5104123-May2020/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,501 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    What’s the alternative? Lockdown until there’s a vaccine? Also I don’t think the recent carnage will be seen again now that social distancing and general hand washing and respiratory hygiene are now known things that can keep this virus somewhat at bay
    Quarantine and facemasks with social distancing. We'll eradicate the virus if we do that.
    Quarantine means being isolated until tested and cleared and being sent home if you don't.
    Obviously you can agree to allow travel with other countries which have eradicated the virus and have the same quarantine protocols in place.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 912 ✭✭✭bekker


    iamwhoiam wrote: »
    Linked piece adds no clarity, refers to retrospective evaluation, not forward guidelines to businesses.

    You seemingly fail to understand the function of the Dáil and the responsibilities of Ministers by linking to such a piece..


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,351 ✭✭✭NegativeCreep


    eagle eye wrote: »
    Quarantine and facemasks with social distancing. We'll eradicate the virus if we do that.
    Quarantine means being isolated until tested and cleared and being sent home if you don't.
    Obviously you can agree to allow travel with other countries which have eradicated the virus and have the same quarantine protocols in place.

    You actually think we’re going to eradicate this virus? Not a chance. What happens trade during this eradication period? We just don’t import or export anything?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,949 ✭✭✭✭yourdeadwright


    5k distance has become a joke,
    A quick look on instagram and every second person is far further than 5 k form there home,
    I even know people who have drove the motor way from Dublin to Cork and back twice this wek without being stopped once ,

    I guess the 5k limit makes little sense to beging with as long as you social distance ,


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,719 ✭✭✭dundalkfc10


    is_that_so wrote: »
    Apparently they are choosing the best assay(test) over the next week so yes. De Gascun has been talking about it for a few weeks. 5,000 is very manageable and it is just sample and test it.

    What about the 100,000 tests a week?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,294 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    What’s the alternative? Lockdown until there’s a vaccine? Also I don’t think the recent carnage will be seen again now that social distancing and general hand washing and respiratory hygiene are now known things that can keep this virus somewhat at bay

    The 'waiting for a vaccine' thing is a definite non runner. Scientists admit there may never be one (or it could take 5-10 years).


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,351 ✭✭✭NegativeCreep


    5k distance has become a joke,
    A quick look on instagram and every second person is far further than 5 k form there home,
    I even know people who have drove the motor way from Dublin to Cork and back twice this wek without being stopped once ,

    I guess the 5k limit makes little sense to beging with as long as you social distance ,

    Another joke is the fact that I’m allowed to go to work and work with strangers for 12 hours a day close together but I’m not allowed visit my boyfriends house or my sisters houses at all until the 8th of June. What’s the logic in that?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 40,501 ✭✭✭✭eagle eye


    You actually think we’re going to eradicate this virus? Not a chance. What happens trade during this eradication period? We just don’t import or export anything?
    Of course we can import and export. Why do you think we cannot? We can have drivers delivering and collecting from our ports. I'm sure they'd be delighted to do that rather than drive overseas to covid-19 riddled countries.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    Tockman wrote: »
    Hasn't it be shown that herd immunity can be got from as low as 20 percent of the population.

    Nope.

    The R0 in the UK was 4 before they started mitigation efforts, which puts it at the lower limit for mumps

    The table below shows the threshold for herd immunity in various diseases.

    HerdImmunityThresholdsSingh.png


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,597 ✭✭✭crossman47


    This thing about two hours is being totally misunderstood. They are not giving that advice to all businesses. They are only trying to say that anyone in a room for two hours may be considered a close contact. So its fine for businesses to have 20 people in an office, but if one of them tests positive all 20 will be contacted and tested, as they said they are now testing all close contacts regardless of symptoms. The other 19 will have to self isolate until they get a result. Its not more regulation for business, its a definition of close contact thats been there all along but only came to prominence now because Dail officials decided, based on that, they could not let all members of a Dail Committee have to potentially self isolate. I think its the decision of the Dail thats the problem, not the general health advice.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,950 ✭✭✭polesheep


    What about the 100,000 tests a week?

    That 'target' was simply a stick with which to beat us.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,150 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    Herd immunity... but at what cost !

    Community screening for antibodies suggest that 4.5% of the French population and 5% of the Spanish population have been infected and (?) acquired immunity so far.

    'Herd immunity' depends on between 60% and 80% of the population becoming immune. (depending on the size of R0)

    That means that those two countries must repeat their recent deadly carnage 12 to 16 times before herd immunity is useful to them.

    Why do pseudo-macho right wing fwits still keep banging on about this lunatic 'herd immunity' notion ?

    !


    EXsC29hVAAAHH8E.jpg

    As Dr Michael Ryan from WHO says herd immunity is for animals. There is herd immunity in context of providing vaccination but people have been conflating this.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    The sacrificial lambs.

    herd_immunity_policy__peter_sully.jpeg


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  • Moderators, Arts Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 78,101 Mod ✭✭✭✭New Home


    Another joke is the fact that I’m allowed to go to work and work with strangers for 12 hours a day close together but I’m not allowed visit my boyfriends house or my sisters houses at all until the 8th of June. What’s the logic in that?

    ;) Depends on what kind of work you do. :pac:


This discussion has been closed.
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