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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part III - **Read OP for Mod Warnings**

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  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    seamus wrote: »
    I remember people saying this in 2009 as well. There was no end of people back then willing to bet the farm that the Irish would be eating bread and water for the next two decades.

    This is an exceptional event, there's fvck all really we can do about the fact that we went into this with huge national debt.

    If we don't borrow money to carry us through, then we're going to have to dump hundreds of thousands of people into actual poverty virtually overnight. This will kick off social and legal problems that will persist for decades.

    Why people think that's the preferred option is beyond me. National debt is less of a concern, it spreads the burden over multiples of decades in a way that it barely impacts the life of the individual.

    Like I say, the fact that we went into this with a huge debt is beyond our control. If we would have borrowed because we had no debt, then we should borrow now.

    The sad reality though is that very few irish people really felt the recovery from the last recession. We are still paying taxes and USC. Rents are through the roof. Buying a house is a very difficult task. Its not quite bread + water but people weren't happy. The huge SF vote shows how unhappy the people are.

    I don't think anyone on here thinks we shouldn't borrow. Obviously its better to borrow than to put people in poverty.

    But I don't think we'd need to borrow even half as much if we came out of lockdown in a reasonable time frame. We've waited until the disease is gone from the community to even move into phase 1 of a 3 month plan. A 3 month plan that still won't have us fully back up and running.

    As well as the money that we borrow, we've already also spent the money that was put aside to help us with a hard brexit. So we could potentially end up needing to borrow even more to deal with the economic impact of that. But sure 1 step at a time I guess.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,824 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    seamus wrote: »
    I remember people saying this in 2009 as well. There was no end of people back then willing to bet the farm that the Irish would be eating bread and water for the next two decades.

    This is an exceptional event, there's fvck all really we can do about the fact that we went into this with huge national debt.

    If we don't borrow money to carry us through, then we're going to have to dump hundreds of thousands of people into actual poverty virtually overnight. This will kick off social and legal problems that will persist for decades.

    Why people think that's the preferred option is beyond me. National debt is less of a concern, it spreads the burden over multiples of decades in a way that it barely impacts the life of the individual.

    Like I say, the fact that we went into this with a huge debt is beyond our control. If we would have borrowed because we had no debt, then we should borrow now.

    People and politicians can always find good reasons to borrow. It puts off having to actually make any tough decisions.

    What will will do when the next crisis hits (hello Brexit!) - let me guess, borrow?

    What about the one after that and the one after that?

    I mean, that might all be fine if we took money out of the economy during the boom times and used it to service debt but there is no political appetite to ever do that.


    Saddling future generations with our debt burdens is not the answer just because we're hooked on credit we can't be arsed living within our means.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    I believe that when i see it

    Likewise, its utter nonsense if it's what they want


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 801 ✭✭✭frillyleaf


    KrustyUCC wrote: »
    Only thing they achieved was three more weeks of pent up demand and now more people will be able to travel legally to IKEA

    IKEA wouldn't have been the chaos you think it would have been

    Look at the queues for mc Donald’s, do you really think Ikea would not have been difficult for traffic management? The smaller hardware stores that are struggling throughout towns will hopefully benefit by people shopping more local as opposed to everyone flocking to Ikea over the next few weeks.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,351 ✭✭✭NegativeCreep


    This is the greatest load of sh1te if they plan on bringing this in. It'll not just kill hospitality but a barrier to every other business across the country. Serious clarity needed

    https://twitter.com/adriancummins/status/1263076589044195329?s=19

    I don’t think that’s true. I think if someone test positive for the virus, any colleague they may have spent 2 hours with in the same room will be tested as a contact. I think that’s grand. As long as they get the test back quick enough to get back to work.

    It doesn’t mean you can’t work in the same room as anyone else for more than 2 hours.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 999 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    frillyleaf wrote: »
    Look at the queues for mc Donald’s, do you really think Ikea would not have been difficult for traffic management? The smaller hardware stores that are struggling throughout towns will hopefully benefit by people shopping more local as opposed to everyone flocking to Ikea over the next few weeks.

    Well by your rationale, some of those queuing outside woodies and b&q would instead have gone to ikea. Open up homestore and others too, and you have an even bigger spread of shoppers. Less traffic issues.


  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 18,041 Mod ✭✭✭✭ixoy


    frillyleaf wrote: »
    Look at the queues for mc Donald’s, do you really think Ikea would not have been difficult for traffic management? The smaller hardware stores that are struggling throughout towns will hopefully benefit by people shopping more local as opposed to everyone flocking to Ikea over the next few weeks.
    Well people are more likely to go to Ikea for homeware which the local hardware store won't cover.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,029 ✭✭✭SusieBlue


    frillyleaf wrote: »
    Look at the queues for mc Donald’s, do you really think Ikea would not have been difficult for traffic management? The smaller hardware stores that are struggling throughout towns will hopefully benefit by people shopping more local as opposed to everyone flocking to Ikea over the next few weeks.

    That’s how supply and demand works, if you take away a service that was previously utilised by the public, there will be a demand for it when it returns.
    The longer we are without supply, the bigger the demand will be when it returns.
    Keeping IKEA shut for another few weeks will just increase the demand when it does reopen.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    I don’t think that’s true. I think if someone test positive for the virus, any colleague they may have spent 2 hours with in the same room will be tested as a contact. I think that’s grand. As long as they get the test back quick enough to get back to work.

    It doesn’t mean you can’t work in the same room as anyone else for more than 2 hours.

    Hence clarity needed, especially as the courts today are limiting to 2hr sessions


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,447 ✭✭✭Ginger n Lemon


    All modern economic thinking tells you to borrow and spend in a crisis and save during good times.

    Okay but our savings didnt even last social welfare payments until June this year without more borrowings. What have we saved over the last 8 years? 5 of those years GDP grew 8 - 10% per year... a rainy day fund with 1.5bn??

    Reality is, from 2008 recession, a public servant will pay 58-62% effective tax on income earned above 37,500...... (10% pension levy for income over 30k and obv 40% for income over 37.5k and then our friends USC and PRSI start to contribute 3-4% each)

    We cant tax our workers much further now (unless you discriminate against private sector), we cant increase our corporation tax rate or tons of companies will likely re consider their plans and our social welfare spending has just increased dramatically for the LONG TERM because of OUR actions of being overprotective for 5 months.

    We will be very lucky avoiding asking IMF for a bit of help in the next 2-3 years.

    We are literally leaving only 1 choice on how to deal with our debt and thats get more debt... any suggestions on repayment strategy much welcomed. Only viable strategy is to lift restrictions much quicker than currently planned or that 30bn deficit could get to 40bn before we know it


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  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    People and politicians can always find good reasons to borrow. It puts off having to actually make any tough decisions.

    What will will do when the next crisis hits (hello Brexit!) - let me guess, borrow?

    What about the one after that and the one after that?

    I mean, that might all be fine if we took money out of the economy during the boom times and used it to service debt but there is no political appetite to ever do that.


    Saddling future generations with our debt burdens is not the answer just because we're hooked on credit we can't be arsed living within our means.

    Borrowing from the future is the most efficient way to finance major spending. In general, over a prolonged time period, interest rates will be lower than a combination of growth and inflation. As long as you can repay the interest, you should in the long term be able to continue to re-finance the loan, and future generations can just push it forward again


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,351 ✭✭✭NegativeCreep


    Hence clarity needed, especially as the courts today are limiting to 2hr sessions

    Yeah true. Can’t see many employers abiding the rule even if it existed. If it’s true then it’s a ridiculously over cautious ruling.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 801 ✭✭✭frillyleaf


    What harm are they doing sitting alone or as a family unit in a car?
    People need to look after themselves and stop moaning about what everyone else is doing.

    There is nothing wrong with people queuing up for something they want. If that’s what they want to do of course they can. My point was the traffic and resources it would take to control these scenarios if they were all across the country. Some shops needed to be closed purely from traffic control point of view over the last few weeks as the congestion they were causing was too dense in an area that couldn’t manage the traffic. This isn’t applicable to the above as its on a dual carriageway but if this was happening in smaller towns front it would be hard to manage


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 999 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    frillyleaf wrote: »
    There is nothing wrong with people queuing up for something they want. If that’s what they want to do of course they can. My point was the traffic and resources it would take to control these scenarios if they were all across the country. Some shops needed to be closed purely from traffic control point of view over the last few weeks as the congestion they were causing was too dense in an area that couldn’t manage the traffic. This isn’t applicable to the above as its on a dual carriageway but if this was happening in smaller towns front it would be hard to manage

    Which shops did they close over the last few weeks for traffic congestion? Just out of interest - hadn’t come across anything about that..


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,351 ✭✭✭NegativeCreep


    frillyleaf wrote: »
    There is nothing wrong with people queuing up for something they want. If that’s what they want to do of course they can. My point was the traffic and resources it would take to control these scenarios if they were all across the country. Some shops needed to be closed purely from traffic control point of view over the last few weeks as the congestion they were causing was too dense in an area that couldn’t manage the traffic. This isn’t applicable to the above as its on a dual carriageway but if this was happening in smaller towns front it would be hard to manage

    The novelty will wear off in a few days and this won’t be an issue. People get McDonald’s as a treat and have probably felt deprived of it after 8 weeks (I think?) so they want to get is ASAP. You wouldn’t catch me in the queue but it’s inevitable that this will happen as restrictions ease. It won’t last that long


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,854 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    evidence from places like Czechia and similar is that reversing the lockdown still meant their curves dropping, which would question the logic of the lockdown in the fist place if opposite things happen at the same point. The case for speeding things up is mounting

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,858 ✭✭✭✭road_high


    AdamD wrote: »
    Yes its ridiculous that 50 cars are queuing for McDonald's drive through

    But is it actually harming anyone? No. Country has gone a bit hysterical tbh

    Has that started today? Oh that will have the curtain twitchers in a right flap :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,447 ✭✭✭Ginger n Lemon


    silverharp wrote: »
    evidence from places like Czechia and similar is that reversing the lockdown still meant their curves dropping, which would question the logic of the lockdown in the fist place if opposite things happen at the same point. The case for speeding things up is mounting

    Just to point out - factual evidence. Not "models" or "estimates".


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,173 ✭✭✭✭Stark


    For the record, Czech republic is another country that introduced mandatory mask wearing along with easing other restrictions. Evidence seems to be that as a policy, it makes a huge difference.

    Our half arsed approach is going to bite us in the ass when we go to re-open imo.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,173 ✭✭✭✭Stark


    AdamD wrote: »
    Yes its ridiculous that 50 cars are queuing for McDonald's drive through

    But is it actually harming anyone? No. Country has gone a bit hysterical tbh

    Aside from respiratory damage from the pollution. But no-one gets hysterical about that.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 295 ✭✭gourcuff


    Mcdonalds back open in dublin and they go absolutely mental, hopefully the rest of Ireland wont be as embarrassing


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,719 ✭✭✭dundalkfc10


    gourcuff wrote: »
    Mcdonalds back open in dublin and they go absolutely mental, hopefully the rest of Ireland wont be as embarrassing

    What are they doing? Queuing up waiting for their food while social distancing in their cars, same has been happening in stores all over Ireland this weeks, drive tru and people actually standing outside believe it or not


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 566 ✭✭✭stratowide


    Macdonald's and their ilk will probably kill more people in the long run than covid19 ever will.

    Oh well.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 999 ✭✭✭Stormyteacup


    Stark wrote: »
    Aside from respiratory damage from the pollution. But no-one gets hysterical about that.

    If you want changes to society with regards to a healthier environment there’s no problem, most reasonable people do.

    Piggybacking on punitive restrictions however is disgraceful opportunism.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,969 ✭✭✭Assetbacked


    What are they doing? Queuing up waiting for their food while social distancing in their cars, same has been happening in stores all over Ireland this weeks, drive tru and people actually standing outside believe it or not

    Yeah, drive thru is absolutely perfect to ensure there is no possibility of social distancing failing. Far safer than wandering up and down super market aisles or walking past someone on a footpath.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,495 ✭✭✭showpony1


    McDonald's in that video looks no different to people queuing hours for a box of krispy kreme donuts to post a picture of them on their social media. There was no virus then - just the way things are here.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,137 ✭✭✭✭niallo27


    I like a Big Mac every so often.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,969 ✭✭✭Assetbacked


    niallo27 wrote: »
    I like a Big Mac every so often.

    I bet you do big boy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    Stark wrote: »
    For the record, Czech republic is another country that introduced mandatory mask wearing along with easing other restrictions. Evidence seems to be that as a policy, it makes a huge difference.

    Our half arsed approach is going to bite us in the ass when we go to re-open imo.

    Just to add to this but for Denmark where there isn't mask wearing as a requirement and social distancing is now 1 meter, they've basically fully reopened, hospitality opened up on Monday.

    But anyway seeing as they've been opening up for the last few weeks. Today they reported 73 new cases and 3 deaths.

    On our current trajectory we're on a very similar footing but they're essentially in our phase 5


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,824 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    The irony of people scrambling for their MIckey D's with the link between obesity levels and Covid-19 fatalities.

    In principle I don't care if people want to queue up for that swill, but it provides the likes of Holohan and Govt. with more ammunition in their on-going campaign of treating the Irish public like naughty children.


This discussion has been closed.
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