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Relaxation of Restrictions, Part III - **Read OP for Mod Warnings**

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,021 ✭✭✭✭pgj2015


    Colibri wrote: »
    Didn't he say we need to be cautious because if we lift lockdown and get new cases, we'd have to lockdown again which would be worse for the economy??


    Spoken like a teacher indeed, or a parent trying to warn a child.

    Now now, if you don't eat your dinner you won't get dessert and it'll be your fault



    The way I heard it was he was threatening us with harsher restrictions if we aren't good boys and girls.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,447 ✭✭✭Ginger n Lemon


    You are the desperate one my friend, you haven't shut up about this lock down in god knows how long

    Which one are you again,A. the new world order loony

    Or B. the person that voted for change but didn't get it

    Let me guess A??

    Desperately. Trying. To. Stay. Relevant.

    You need to create " mass graves" posts elsewhere if you are seeking attention so badly.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 654 ✭✭✭Colibri


    You are the desperate one my friend, you haven't shut up about this lock down in god knows how long

    Which one are you again,A. the new world order loony

    Or B. the person that voted for change but didn't get it

    Let me guess A??


    This is the lockdown thread dude


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,344 ✭✭✭chicorytip


    fryup wrote: »
    my gut feeling about all this - is that a month to six weeks down the line we'll be back to square one again and back indoors, lockdown part deux
    Why? In six weeks we will have entered only the beginning of the second stage of this very prolonged "unlocking" by which time the rate of transmission of the virus ought to be at zero. The predicted second wave is likely to occur at a much later stage.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 654 ✭✭✭Colibri


    chicorytip wrote: »
    Why? In six weeks we will have entered only the beginning of the second stage of this very prolonged "unlocking" by which time the rate of transmission of the virus ought to be at zero. The predicted second wave is likely to occur at a much later stage.

    Tony won't be satisfied until people start resurrecting. Even then he'll advise caution because the numbers are not where he'd like :pac:


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,447 ✭✭✭Ginger n Lemon


    Colibri wrote: »
    This is the lockdown thread dude

    Cant stop laughing. Poor William thought hes in homeware thread, lashing out at anyone who says lockdown.


  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    MadYaker wrote: »
    Still waiting on a figure for how many people the lockdown has killed.

    I’m fairly sure you already nobody can provide such a figure.

    Many will die as a result of cancer treatments and screenings being cancelled. Others may die to other treatments getting cancelled.

    But most will die due to the recession. Suicides, death from stress related illnesses, death from addiction, death from homelessness.

    All of those things majority increase in a recession. And our recession gets worse every day we stay in lockdown.

    The number will be much greater than Covid. But it won’t be highly reported on in the mainstream media so no one will feel responsible.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,612 ✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    SNNUS wrote: »
    Gut feeling or hoping for another lock down? The allure of lock down for some must be masking some issues...

    'ThEyRe JeAlOuS oF oUr FrEeDoMs!!111"


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 784 ✭✭✭daydorunrun


    Saw an ice cream/ sweet shop in greystones today putting up ‘we now sell hardware’ Signs obviously getting ready for Monday.,....., you’ll never beat the Irish!!

    “You tried your best and you failed miserably. The lesson is, never try.” Homer.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,621 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    MadYaker wrote: »
    Still waiting on a figure for how many people the lockdown has killed.

    How many would be still here today if Covid didn't exist?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 654 ✭✭✭Colibri


    There was an ice cream van today in my estate and people were out with their kids queueing up.

    Fine day, nice breeze, little chance of infection.

    It was lovely to see.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    I’m fairly sure you already nobody can provide such a figure.

    Many will die as a result of cancer treatments and screenings being cancelled. Others may die to other treatments getting cancelled.

    But most will die due to the recession. Suicides, death from stress related illnesses, death from addiction, death from homelessness.

    All of those things majority increase in a recession. And our recession gets worse every day we stay in lockdown.

    The number will be much greater than Covid. But it won’t be highly reported on in the mainstream media so no one will feel responsible.
    This is all completely unsubstantiated - economic recession is for some known and other unknown reasons associated with decreased mortality trends.
    https://www.genre.com/knowledge/blog/does-an-economic-downturn-lead-to-an-increasing-mortality-rate-en.html
    However, data charting the percentage change in per capita GDP and life expectancy in the U.S. for the years 1910 to 2012 reveals a clear trend of increasing life expectancy by negative change in GDP. Counter-intuitively it seems mortality may actually fall during economic downturns.

    A correlation definitely exists between macro-economic activity and total mortality for all causes.3 Data from 23 OECD countries highlights this effect. Mortality decreases by 0.4% for each 1% increase in unemployment, mainly driven by a reduction in vehicle accident deaths offset by an increase in deaths by suicide and homicide.4 Similar patterns are seen in U.S. data where mortality due to heart disease, liver disease, influenza and pneumonia all decrease during economic downturns.5
    A clear correlation exists between economic downturn and decreased mortality – even if this seems counterintuitive. While it is easy to explain a decrease in accidental deaths, the influence of economics on natural deaths is more of a mystery.
    So if there is recession, it is likely even less people will die than normal. One less thing for you to scare monger about

    Meanwhile COVID remains the leading cause of death in Europe despite a two month lockdown, thats the actual reality, not some made up theory of everyone dying from drug addiction and homelessness and mass suicide in this hellish post lockdown social landscape you have manufactured in your mind. Jesus get a grip, COVID has and will remain far more dangerous than a lockdown, no matter how much you hate lockdowns. I am not disputing the awful economic situation we face due to this very unnnecessarily harsh lockdown but the silly accusations of it killing more people than COVID are pathetic.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,021 ✭✭✭✭pgj2015


    Colibri wrote: »
    There was an ice cream van today in my estate and people were out with their kids queueing up.

    Fine day, nice breeze, little chance of infection.

    It was lovely to see.





    Tony would probably be furious if he saw it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 400 ✭✭bettyoleary


    SusieBlue wrote: »
    Yeah I never said that either, or even indirectly implied it, so you’re making yourself look quite stupid now.
    Still waiting for evidence that the majority of the Irish workforce suffer from that long list of life threatening ailments.
    https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/projects/time-think-differently/trends-disease-and-disability-long-term-conditions-multi-morbidity
    Pretty much the same in Ireland too. Same diet, lifestyle etc. Many. many people from the age of 50 are on some form of medication for conditions described in link. These conditions are treatable and not life threatening. Have a look at the age groups of the people in ICU with Covid. You will find a large majority are in the 50-65 age group.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,663 ✭✭✭KaneToad


    Colibri wrote: »
    Didn't he say we need to be cautious because if we lift lockdown and get new cases, we'd have to lockdown again which would be worse for the economy??


    Spoken like a teacher indeed, or a parent trying to warn a child.

    Now now, if you don't eat your dinner you won't get dessert and it'll be your fault

    I don't care about his tone, or delivery. But he's speaking facts...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,337 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    ceadaoin. wrote: »
    Don't worry, we'll be finding that out for years to come due to mass unemployment, poverty and wrecked economies.

    Jaysus in the trump thread you’re saying everything will be grand. Which is it?

    Can you put a number on how many deaths that will lead to? We have to base our actions on facts and statistics not feelings unfortunately.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,252 ✭✭✭deisedevil


    How many would be still here today if Covid didn't exist?

    You'd be banging a different drum on here if we had put no restrictions in place. Our disfunctional health system would have folded and people like you would be berating those who didn't put restrictions in place to give it a chance.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,029 ✭✭✭SusieBlue


    https://www.kingsfund.org.uk/projects/time-think-differently/trends-disease-and-disability-long-term-conditions-multi-morbidity
    Pretty much the same in Ireland too. Same diet, lifestyle etc. Many. many people from the age of 50 are on some form of medication for conditions described in link. These conditions are treatable and not life threatening. Have a look at the age groups of the people in ICU with Covid. You will find a large majority are in the 50-65 age group.

    But the ‘majority of the Irish workforce’ isn’t aged 50-65 years old, so that’s completely irrelevant.

    He said the majority of the workforce suffer from conditions such as cystic fibrosis, kidney failure, cancer, diabetes and a few other seriously debilitating illnesses.
    That’s simply not true.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,621 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    deisedevil wrote: »
    You'd be banging a different drum on here if we had put no restrictions in place. Our disfunctional health system would have folded and people like you would be berating those who didn't put restrictions in place to give it a chance.

    No restrict the vulnerable.
    Everyone else as normal as Sweden done


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,337 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    No restrict the vulnerable.
    Everyone else as normal as Sweden done

    Their nursing homes have been routed just like ours. Half their deaths were in nursing homes.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 654 ✭✭✭Colibri


    pgj2015 wrote: »
    Tony would probably be furious if he saw it.

    But he'd deny any tension between him and the ice cream van


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,621 ✭✭✭FintanMcluskey


    MadYaker wrote: »
    Their nursing homes have been routed just like ours. Half their deaths were in nursing homes.

    Thats proving restrictions make little difference


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,978 ✭✭✭growleaves


    MadYaker wrote: »
    We have to base our actions on facts and statistics not feelings unfortunately.

    The statistical models we based our actions on were wrong, meaning the assumptions behind them were wrong.

    Lockdown is empirically-untested theoretical science. (Please don't contradict this statement without also producing datasets, studies validating lockdown, which you won't find because they don't exist.)

    We don't 'have to' base our actions on statistics actually. This iron law of scientific-advisory absolutism that has sprung up is a choice.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,252 ✭✭✭deisedevil


    No restrict the vulnerable.
    Everyone else as normal as Sweden done

    Sweden themselves are admitting they aren't doing very well right now but they are pinning their hopes on their second wave not being quiet as bad as other countries. They're willing to sacrifice vulnerable people. Should we be as cold here too? I meant that's what it comes down to isn't it really? And our ICU capacity is nothing like what they have so we'd have struggled badly.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,447 ✭✭✭Ginger n Lemon


    growleaves wrote: »
    The statistical models we based our actions on were wrong, meaning the assumptions behind them were wrong.

    Lockdown is empirically-untested theoretical science. (Please don't contradict this statement without also producing datasets, studies validating lockdown, which you won't find because they don't exist.)

    We don't 'have to' base our actions on statistics actually. This iron law of scientific-advisory absolutism that has sprung up is a choice.

    We put healthy people into quarantine. And now majority dont want to listen to reason, because reason says this has been a big disaster from 12th of March onwards. Every day passing by of this absolute nonsense. No justification.

    Are people more safe in a hardware shop than homeware? Shambles.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,252 ✭✭✭deisedevil


    We put healthy people into quarantine. And now majority dont want to listen to reason, because reason says this has been a big disaster from 12th of March onwards. Every day passing by of this absolute nonsense. No justification.

    Are people more safe in a hardware shop than homeware? Shambles.

    It's not that they are more safe. They are lifting restrictions based on what is more necessary. All along food shops were necessary so they stayed open. So as time goes on the things that are more necessary will open up bit by bit while monitoring the numbers in case the hospitals look like they won't cope.


  • Posts: 4,727 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    wakka12 wrote: »
    This is all completely unsubstantiated - economic recession is for some known and other unknown reasons associated with decreased mortality trends.
    https://www.genre.com/knowledge/blog/does-an-economic-downturn-lead-to-an-increasing-mortality-rate-en.html


    So if there is recession, it is likely even less people will die than normal. One less thing for you to scare monger about

    Meanwhile COVID remains the leading cause of death in Europe despite a two month lockdown, thats the actual reality, not some made up theory of everyone dying from drug addiction and homelessness and mass suicide in this hellish post lockdown social landscape you have manufactured in your mind. Jesus get a grip, COVID has and will remain far more dangerous than a lockdown, no matter how much you hate lockdowns. I am not disputing the awful economic situation we face due to this very unnnecessarily harsh lockdown but the silly accusations of it killing more people than COVID are pathetic.

    Tanya who now?

    It’s a proven fact that richer countries have a higher life expectancy. It’s a well known fact that recession is terrible for a country.

    GDP drops, deaths go up.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,029 ✭✭✭SusieBlue


    deisedevil wrote: »
    It's not that they are more safe. They are lifting restrictions based on what is more necessary. All along food shops were necessary so they stayed open. So as time goes on the things that are more necessary will open up bit by bit while monitoring the numbers in case the hospitals look like they won't cope.

    Most shops & services besides supermarkets weren’t deemed necessary on the 15th of March, when businesses started closing.
    It made sense to close them because we didn’t see them as essential. But it’s now 9 weeks later and we need them now.

    By August 10th, 21 weeks will have passed.
    That’s 21 weeks, or over 5 months, that some people are going to be out of work and that we as a society are without a service that we previously relied upon.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 400 ✭✭bettyoleary


    SusieBlue wrote: »
    But the ‘majority of the Irish workforce’ isn’t aged 50-65 years old, so that’s completely irrelevant.

    He said the majority of the workforce suffer from conditions such as cystic fibrosis, kidney failure, cancer, diabetes and a few other seriously debilitating illnesses.
    That’s simply not true.
    No its not true that the majority of the work force have serious conditions such as the ones you describe, But, many people 50 upwards do have conditions that would have a significant impact on their outcome if they contracted Covid. I was just pointing out that 50 -65 make up a substantial and very important part of the work force in Ireland. So its not just the elderly and very vunerable that the lockdown is protecting.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 379 ✭✭Mike3287


    Thats proving restrictions make little difference

    We have the best data in the world to measure lockdown restriction/herd immunity to Covid19

    Dont know why scientists havent been testing this group

    Never mind Sweden

    We have a much better case study here

    No social distancing, havent been locked down, participate in mass gatherings

    Should be the first group to be antibody tested next month, be interested in the results tbh


This discussion has been closed.
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