Covid19 Part XVII-24,841 in ROI (1,639 deaths) 4,679 in NI (518 deaths)(28/05)Read OP

Eod100 · 13-05-2020 06:11PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

19,470 recoveries so far

Does taking this from current number of confirmed cases give the number of people who currently have a confirmed case of covid19, I wonder? Or is that not necessarily the case?

ACitizenErased · 13-05-2020 06:12PM

Eod100 wrote: »

Does taking this from current number of confirmed cases give the number of people who currently have a confirmed case of covid19, I wonder? Or is that not necessarily the case?

23401 confirmed cases - 19470 recoveries - 1497 deaths = approximately 2,434 active cases if my calculations are correct

owlbethere · 13-05-2020 06:13PM

George Lee says that evidence from Sars 1 and MERS (cousins to this virus) there is some immunity but it doesn't last forever. About 2 years for Sars 1 and 3 years for mers.

That is a little bit of good news today. More good news are the lower case numbers today. Hopefully it continues to go down.

lbj666 · 13-05-2020 06:13PM

Sleety_Rain wrote: »

Had Hope's for lower case numbers but the war wont be won in a few days

Just look at 5 day averages for more comfort and the case definition was broadened most of us expected a mini spike that didn't happen.

martingriff · 13-05-2020 06:13PM

Away With The Fairies wrote: »

159 new cases?

Wonder will this burn out in two weeks time like that man said? I'm confused with the low numbers.

Why are you so confused? You know we had a restrictions with people meeting meaning less chance of contact so less cases

is_that_so · 13-05-2020 06:13PM

Current performance testing not expected to influence the decision to ease restrictions.

Arghus · 13-05-2020 06:15PM

Has anyone got a link to the briefing? RTE Player is absolutely woeful.

nacho libre · 13-05-2020 06:16PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

19,470 recoveries so far

That's very good, hopefully none of them have been left with long term damage to their lungs and kidneys.

no.8 · 13-05-2020 06:16PM

Gael23 wrote:

The lockdown merchants will be running for cover with those figures

Back to clown college with you

Eod100 · 13-05-2020 06:17PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

23401 confirmed cases - 19470 recoveries - 1497 deaaths = approximately 2,434 active cases if my calculations are correct

Thanks, good to know. Guess this will slowly start to go down with reduced number of cases.

JazzyJ · 13-05-2020 06:17PM

Away With The Fairies wrote: »

159 new cases?

Wonder will this burn out in two weeks time like that man said? I'm confused with the low numbers.

Not sure what's confusing about the numbers. The fact that there's a lockdown and mass social distancing going on, I'd hazard a really really wild guess as to that's why they're low.

nacho libre · 13-05-2020 06:17PM

Away With The Fairies wrote: »

159 new cases?

Wonder will this burn out in two weeks time like that man said? I'm confused with the low numbers.

Why are you confused? The r- o is at level whereby community transmission is very low at this stage, most of these cases are from nursing homes. It would appear it has been largely brought under control in that setting too.

Lyle · 13-05-2020 06:18PM

Arghus wrote: »

Has anyone got a link to the briefing? RTE Player is absolutely woeful.

https://pscp.tv/rtenews

walshb · 13-05-2020 06:18PM

I’m sure Tony’s a sound owl skin, but I’m sick to the teeth of him on the telly!!!

Strazdas · 13-05-2020 06:19PM

Arghus wrote: »

Has anyone got a link to the briefing? RTE Player is absolutely woeful.

Here you go :

https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1260615816011284480

Eod100 · 13-05-2020 06:19PM

owlbethere wrote: »

George Lee says that evidence from Sars 1 and MERS (cousins to this virus) there is some immunity but it doesn't last forever. About 2 years for Sars 1 and 3 years for mers.

That is a little bit of good news today. More good news are the lower case numbers today. Hopefully it continues to go down.

That is good. I always thought immunity might only be a few months if there was any.

blowitupref · 13-05-2020 06:21PM

nacho libre wrote: »

That's very good, hopefully none of them have been left with long term damage to their lungs and kidneys.

I presume most that get long term damage were the ones that were in serious or critical condition with the virus.

MonkieSocks · 13-05-2020 06:23PM

hotmail.com wrote: »

Leo doesn't want us to be the last European country to reopen schools.

Does Leo see this as some kind of competition?

Leo is totally oblivious to how a viral infections can spread, maybe he should read what is happening in New York.

About 100 children in N.Y. are suspected of having a rare illness tied to the virus.

New York State health officials are investigating about 100 cases of a rare and dangerous inflammatory syndrome that afflicts children and appears to be connected to the coronavirus, Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said on Tuesday.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/12/nyregion/coronavirus-new-york-update.html#link-28c645f6

If they can get it...they can spread it

martingriff · 13-05-2020 06:24PM

walshb wrote: »

I’m sure Tony’s a sound owl skin, but I’m sick to the teeth of him on the telly!!!

I bet he wishes for a day he doesn't have to share these cases and deaths

Arghus · 13-05-2020 06:24PM

Lower deaths than any day in recent memory, but there are more cases than yesterday. I know the average over the past few days is still trending downwards, but the confirmed cases yesterday were 107, 159 today.

Deeper Blue · 13-05-2020 06:28PM

ICU numbers are dropping, that and hospital admissions are all I've been looking at for a while now.

Considering there were 110 or so in ICU when Leo gave his extension speech you can sort of see where they were coming from in saying the numbers weren't where they needed to be. Surely we're close to that point now however.

lbj666 · 13-05-2020 06:28PM

Arghus wrote: »

Lower deaths than any day in recent memory, but there are more cases than yesterday. I know the average over the past few days is still trending downwards, but the confirmed cases yesterday were 107, 159 today.

Theres no point looking at day to day variances

Strazdas · 13-05-2020 06:29PM

Arghus wrote: »

Lower deaths than any day in recent memory, but there are more cases than yesterday. I know the average over the past few days is still trending downwards, but the confirmed cases yesterday were 107, 159 today.

Not a huge difference, it represents only a 0.68% increase on the overall total

Deeper Blue · 13-05-2020 06:30PM

owlbethere wrote: »

So far the news and the situation with animals getting the covid19, is small.

The Facebook group I'm on that's for covid19, there's a thread about pets. The news that we have so far about the animals, that's not isolated cases. People on the group with covid19 and their pets have experienced sickness along with the family. People aren't taking their pets to the vets so we aren't getting a true picture of the situation on animals. I can understand why they are not taking their pets to the vets, I don't think it's neglect, it's more of a position where they can't due to being sick themselves.

One person of many who posted there said that the first member of the family to get symptoms was their cat who was sneezing. Hard to say what that situation is exactly. If members of the family came down with the virus first and passed it onto the cat and it was the cat who was first to show symptoms.

If anyone wants the name of the group, PM me and I will share it, if you want to have a read of things yourself.

This has to be a wind up? :pac:

martingriff · 13-05-2020 06:30PM

Arghus wrote: »

Lower deaths than any day in recent memory, but there are more cases than yesterday. I know the average over the past few days is still trending downwards, but the confirmed cases yesterday were 107, 159 today.

I would not worry 2 much about cases as will go up when restrictions are eased. Deaths, ICU admission are the real concerns

Eod100 · 13-05-2020 06:31PM

Arghus wrote: »

Lower deaths than any day in recent memory, but there are more cases than yesterday. I know the average over the past few days is still trending downwards, but the confirmed cases yesterday were 107, 159 today.

Think then it would be useful to know how many test results were provided in that 24 hour period. And per cent of positive cases. I guess when confirmed case numbers per day are relatively low, there could be a bit of an uptick day to day.

13-05-2020 06:33PM

Arghus wrote: »

Lower deaths than any day in recent memory, but there are more cases than yesterday. I know the average over the past few days is still trending downwards, but the confirmed cases yesterday were 107, 159 today.

Seems like there are a lot of people looking at the numbers every day and expecting them (deaths and infections) to get closer and closer to zero. That is not going to happen. We are relaxing restrictions now and there is a good chance that they stabilise here or maybe deteriorate. As we continue to relax more and more, and schools go back etc. we will probably run with a a pretty steady level of infections. I Think that some people need to manage their expectations here

13-05-2020 06:34PM

MonkieSocks wrote: »

Leo is totally oblivious to how a viral infections can spread, maybe he should read what is happening in New York.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/12/nyregion/coronavirus-new-york-update.html#link-28c645f6

If they can get it...they can spread it

You know more obviously but there are multiple studies that show children are far less infectious, hence far safer
https://www.hiqa.ie/reports-and-publications/health-technology-assessment/evidence-summary-spread-covid-19-children

13-05-2020 06:36PM

martingriff wrote: »

I would not worry 2 much about cases as will go up when restrictions are eased. Deaths, ICU admission are the real concerns

Day to day variations will be large also, 7 day average is what to look at

is_that_so · 13-05-2020 06:38PM

Some interesting reflections, especially on the challenges in the care home sector.

Covid19 Part XVII-24,841 in ROI (1,639 deaths) 4,679 in NI (518 deaths)(28/05)Read OP

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