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Covid19 Part XVII-24,841 in ROI (1,639 deaths) 4,679 in NI (518 deaths)(28/05)Read OP

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,113 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    US2 wrote: »
    In the 6 months between October 2019 to April 2020 60,000 Americans died of the flu. What's your point?

    Hadn't we got over this flu comparison?

    50 people averagish die of flu in Ireland in the year, near on 1400 have died in 2 months from covid or complications thereof


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭Gynoid


    We must have watched different press conferences because he did answer that very thing definitively..

    I.E. that a negative testing patient would never be put in a covid ward.


    Great. Glad he was definitive as it is important.

    Time will tell the story as to whether or not the hospital put Sally in a Covid ward when she had tested negative. I do not know the truth of that.

    I have just come across this article in todays Irish Times and the phrase used by Dr H was apparently "as much as can reasonably happen." That is not the same as never.

    Another thing is that private names have been used before in public places when challenging the CMO who has been in his position since 2008. Savita Halappanavar . Vicky Phelan. Emma Mhic Mathuna. It appears Sally's parents want her name in the public sphere. I can understand why. As to whether they have misunderstood what happened or not , I do not know.

    I am not saying the person questioning is not a loon or was not inappropriate. I have honestly never heard of her before and my level of interest in them in so low that I have not even googled them since. I have zero affiliation with them.

    What I experienced for what little that is worth was that in the small bits of the briefing that I watched I thought strongly above all the noise, all the drama - what happened here to that young girl Sally? This is really quite important. I felt perplexed.

    I admit I did not listen to it all, shortly after the mic was switched off I switched off. Up to then I thought the CMO was not being as clear and uniquivocal as he could be in the more general principle at hand. I completely understood he could not address Sally's case.

    And even though I do not mind holding a minority opinion per se, I do think some of the contemptuous dismissal of this unusual event is hasty. What happened to Sally is important. I am very glad it was raised to public consciousness even if in the context of high and inappropriate drama.


    "As much as is reasonably possible" is legalese, it is the language used to avoid legal sanction. It remains to be seen what truly happened in Sally's case.


    This is the IRISH TIMES article frim 7 hours ago -


    "The parents of a 17- year-old Leaving Certificate student have raised questions over the circumstances surrounding her death at Mayo University Hospital on April 24th.

    Abdullah and Rula Maaz say their daughter Sally, who was born with a congenital heart defect, was admitted to the hospital’s Covid-19 ward 10 days before she died.

    The couple, part of the extensive Syrian community in Ballyhaunis, say she was admitted to the Covid-19 ward although, they claim, she had tested negative for coronavirus. However, according to Ibrahim Rahmani, Sally’s first cousin, she tested positive before she died.

    The parents and wider family were interviewed by The Connaught Telegraph at the weekend, and said they have “serious concerns” over Sally’s treatment during the five days (April 14th-April 19th) when they could not visit her.

    They described Sally, a student at Ballyhaunis Community School, as “a fighter” and “strong” who had suffered with medical complications all her life. Her parents brought her to the emergency department on April 14th after she developed severe back pain and respiratory problems .

    Ibrahim Rahmani told the newspaper:“Sally had tested negative. She tested positive just four days before she died.”

    The family say they have a number of questions they want answered in respect of the treatment she received.

    They stressed they “appreciate the hard work of doctors and nurses and the pressure they are under but, at the same time, they have concerns about Sally’s care”.

    The Maaz family say they want Sally’s story publicised as they are “very concerned” about people being admitted to hospital in the present Covid situation.

    Asked about the case at the National Public Health Emergency Team (NPHET) briefing on Wednesday , Chief Medical Officer Dr Tony Holohan said he could not comment on individual cases.

    However, in a general sense, he said that policy “is clearly to limit the spread of this infection by separating, as much as can reasonably happen, patients who are known to have Covid from patients who may not have Covid”.


    Mayo University Hospital and the HSE Saolta Hospital Group were contacted by The Connaught Telegraph on the issues raised by the Maaz family but no statement had been forthcoming at the time of the paper going to press."


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,401 ✭✭✭Nonoperational


    Haven’t been on this thread in a while, but thought I’d give my opinion on yesterdays events.

    As regards complications shuch as stroke, Kawasaki disease etc, we really haven’t noted any signal here yet. What we are seeing is a signal for pericarditis and possibly myocarditis. The incidence of stroke etc would be so small in Ireland if compared to the US that it will still be incredibly rare.

    Regarding people testing negative put in “covid” wards. This is being treated by some people as absolute when the reality is different.

    The general procedure in my hospital is as follows:

    Patient comes in and a clinical decision is made based on symptoms if the patient goes to the “covid ed” or the “normal ed”. We don’t have test results at this stage. They usually take 24 hours.

    If the patient goes to “covid ed” they are still kept away from other patients. PPE is used both for them and for all staff. If they go to a ward with Covid patients then they are kept alone, they wear masks, staff wear full PPE. It’s not like they are put into close proximity with positive patients. They then go to a query ward where there are a mix of patients. There will be many many patients who test negative and are then moved to a non covid ward.

    The issue is that the covid test only picks up what the swab contacts with. If you have a high clinical index of suspicion then a patient can and most likely will have covid even after swabbing negative. We then more to tests like CT to see if we can get a further insight.

    The issue in the case mentioned appears to be where they went. If they went to a single room then being in a covid area or not should not make a significant difference. It is entirely possible and indeed in my opinion likely that, at the moment, a person could have covid after 2 negative tests if the symptoms fit. We had a number of cases where this was the case. One we confirmed by CT, one by bronchial washing. Multiple negative swabs but clinically consistent with covid.

    I would say that at risk patients should always be isolated if at all possible ideally in single rooms with appropriate air systems. I’m not sure of the situation in Mayo.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,524 ✭✭✭Gynoid


    Haven’t been on this thread in a while, but thought I’d give my opinion on yesterdays events.

    As regards complications shuch as stroke, Kawasaki disease etc, we really haven’t noted any signal here yet. What we are seeing is a signal for pericarditis and possibly myocarditis. The incidence of stroke etc would be so small in Ireland if compared to the US that it will still be incredibly rare.

    Regarding people testing negative put in “covid” wards. This is being treated by some people as absolute when the reality is different.

    The general procedure in my hospital is as follows:

    Patient comes in and a clinical decision is made based on symptoms if the patient goes to the “covid ed” or the “normal ed”. We don’t have test results at this stage. They usually take 24 hours.

    If the patient goes to “covid ed” they are still kept away from other patients. PPE is used both for them and for all staff. If they go to a ward with Covid patients then they are kept alone, they wear masks, staff wear full PPE. It’s not like they are put into close proximity with positive patients. They then go to a query ward where there are a mix of patients. There will be many many patients who test negative and are then moved to a non covid ward.

    The issue is that the covid test only picks up what the swab contacts with. If you have a high clinical index of suspicion then a patient can and most likely will have covid even after swabbing negative. We then more to tests like CT to see if we can get a further insight.

    The issue in the case mentioned appears to be where they went. If they went to a single room then being in a covid area or not should not make a significant difference. It is entirely possible and indeed in my opinion likely that, at the moment, a person could have covid after 2 negative tests if the symptoms fit. We had a number of cases where this was the case. One we confirmed by CT, one by bronchial washing. Multiple negative swabs but clinically consistent with covid.

    I would say that at risk patients should always be isolated if at all possible ideally in single rooms with appropriate air systems. I’m not sure of the situation in Mayo.

    Thank you.
    I understood one could have covid and still test negative.
    I think if Sally was in a single room in the "covid" ed it is perfectly fine. It will hopefully be clarified soon what happened to Sally.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,854 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    Miike wrote: »
    24,000 - 62,000 is the official estimation range [95% UI] as per the CDC. Note the huge range in those figures. Your statement isn't exactly accurate.

    People need to stop comparing this to the flu, it's insanity.

    Those numbers are bull sh1t , its an algorithm calculation, you wont find those numbers on death certs. There were some US A&E doctors talking about this and they all basically agreed they couldn't remember any flu deaths in their careers. You would also be struggling to find someone in the US who could say they knew someone who died of flu. Its been suggested the real annual flu death is around 4 to 10K but probably the lower figure

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Hadn't we got over this flu comparison?

    50 people averagish die of flu in Ireland in the year, near on 1400 have died in 2 months from covid or complications thereof
    About 100 this year but can be 200-500 annually according to the HSE.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    While these are good numbers, I've no doubt that some of the drop has been due to deaths unfortunately.

    Not completely, 2 ICU deaths recorded in the previous 24 hours, that was 0 in the 24 previous.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,711 ✭✭✭cloudatlas


    I’m worried about the uk easing restrictions, my parents live near a park in Northern Ireland. Cyclists and joggers especially have refused to distance. Loads of people will travel in their cars to get here now and the place will be mobbed making it difficult for them to exercise.

    I fear there will be another surge in cases and we’ll be back in again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 331 ✭✭All that fandango


    Like I said a few tweets up, she’s only making herself look bad. Knock yourself out there, Jemima.


    Who the heck is this one? "Western News" as a newspaper hasn't existed since the 19th century, the Western People newspaper have said she has nothing to do with them. Really bizzare, is any tom dick and harry let into these things to have a go at Tony H?


  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    Tony EH wrote: »
    To put this into some perspective, in the 10 years that US troops were involved in the Vietnam war, they lost 58,220 people.

    The death toll from Covid is where it's at in just over 3 months. The first death occurring on the 6th Feb.


    But the USA had circa. 400,000 deaths in 10 years from FLU.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    https://m.independent.ie/world-news/coronavirus/hse-whistleblower-claims-nursing-home-safety-warning-was-ignored-39187140.html

    The first of many one would think. Reading it, it's quite shocking and if you had a family member in a nursing home would make you feel more concerned again.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,148 ✭✭✭✭Eod100


    Doubt it will have a successful outcome but interesting to see where treatment/cure is being looked for. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/05/06/llama-hidden-secret-belgian-location-could-defeat-coronavirus/


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Eod100 wrote: »
    Doubt it will have a successful outcome but interesting to see where treatment/cure is being looked for. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/05/06/llama-hidden-secret-belgian-location-could-defeat-coronavirus/
    I think the number of prospective treatment and vaccine studies is now into 3 figures. We'll need them and more as the vast majority are likely to fall by the wayside.


  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    cloudatlas wrote: »
    Cyclists and joggers especially have refused to distance. Loads of people will travel in their cars to get here now and the place will be mobbed making it difficult for them to exercise.

    I fear there will be another surge in cases and we’ll be back in again.


    Another jogger "passed" me on the footpath last night. Not the type going for a normal run. The loon type, the equivalent of the tour de france cyclist, coming at me with a crazed look from 100 yards like he was running from the Walking Dead. The spluttering and heavy gasping as he approached would have been heard across the road. Then it's me that has to go out onto the road to avoid him.

    Ignorant muppets these types.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    Another jogger "passed" me on the footpath last night. Not the type going for a normal run. The loon type, the equivalent of the tour de france cyclist, coming at me with a crazed look from 100 yards like he was running from the Walking Dead. The spluttering and heavy gasping as he approached would have been heard across the road. Then it's me that has to go out onto the road to avoid him.

    Ignorant muppets these types.

    Last time I was out, about a week ago... I had to step out onto the road 5 times... Not one of them would move off themselves. It seems alot of people are happy to walk close by to you.


  • Site Banned Posts: 5,975 ✭✭✭podgeandrodge


    Tony EH wrote: »
    To put this into some perspective, in the 10 years that US troops were involved in the Vietnam war, they lost 58,220 people.

    The death toll from Covid is where it's at in just over 3 months. The first death occurring on the 6th Feb.
    US2 wrote: »
    In the 6 months between October 2019 to April 2020 60,000 Americans died of the flu. What's your point?
    Miike wrote: »
    24,000 - 62,000 is the official estimation range [95% UI] as per the CDC. Note the huge range in those figures. Your statement isn't exactly accurate.

    People need to stop comparing this to the flu, it's insanity.

    I think it is perfectly acceptable, in terms of casualties, to "compare" this to the flu. I'm not saying the virus IS comparable to the flu, which is entirely different.

    Yes, the 62k US2 referred to is the outside of the range for those 6 months, but it is a potential figure, in the same way as deaths from Covid-19 may include deaths of people with Covid-19 as opposed to deaths of Covid-19.

    I read somewhere that Covid is 2.5 times more lethal? But even if you look at US deaths over 10 years (300k-400k) and say it's 35k a year average, it could be said that Covid is 5 times more lethal (but I think that is overstating it).

    Even then you could ask the question is the response to this, in terms of closing down the world economy, 5 times as reactive as the response to Flu, or many many times that reaction in terms of the amount of deaths.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,907 ✭✭✭BronsonTB


    JemimaburkeIRL@ on Twitter.

    She has videos of her persistent questioning and subsequent decision by the department to turn off her mic.

    Hope she is banned from future Press conferences...she was ignorant, zero respect for her & her opinions...It was shameful.
    She asked her question & was given an answer, just because she wasn't getting the answer she wanted she continued to interrupt. (They need a better policy of shutting people like that off rather than letting it get farcical).

    Sligo Metalhead



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,443 ✭✭✭✭stephenjmcd


    The reproduction rate of coronavirus in Germany is currently estimated at 0.65 according to the Robert Koch Institute.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19 JJandthebear


    I think it is perfectly acceptable, in terms of casualties, to "compare" this to the flu. I'm not saying the virus IS comparable to the flu, which is entirely different.

    Yes, the 62k US2 referred to is the outside of the range for those 6 months, but it is a potential figure, in the same way as deaths from Covid-19 may include deaths of people with Covid-19 as opposed to deaths of Covid-19.

    I read somewhere that Covid is 2.5 times more lethal? But even if you look at US deaths over 10 years (300k-400k) and say it's 35k a year average, it could be said that Covid is 5 times more lethal (but I think that is overstating it).

    Even then you could ask the question is the response to this, in terms of closing down the world economy, 5 times as reactive as the response to Flu, or many many times that reaction in terms of the amount of deaths.

    As someone (I believe) has already mentioned before in this thread and something which should be mentioned more often whenever these US flu death estimates are brought up; They are not very accurate at all owing to the way the CDC produces these estimates. In reality over the last 6 flu seasons actual reported flu deaths in America have ranged between roughly 3-15 thousand deaths.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,854 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    Last time I was out, about a week ago... I had to step out onto the road 5 times... Not one of them would move off themselves. It seems alot of people are happy to walk close by to you.

    I never get out of the way of joggers (when walking) and I jog too, stay strong and look them straight in the eye :pac:

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,419 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


    I think it is perfectly acceptable, in terms of casualties, to "compare" this to the flu. I'm not saying the virus IS comparable to the flu, which is entirely different.

    Yes, the 62k US2 referred to is the outside of the range for those 6 months, but it is a potential figure, in the same way as deaths from Covid-19 may include deaths of people with Covid-19 as opposed to deaths of Covid-19.

    I read somewhere that Covid is 2.5 times more lethal? But even if you look at US deaths over 10 years (300k-400k) and say it's 35k a year average, it could be said that Covid is 5 times more lethal (but I think that is overstating it).

    Even then you could ask the question is the response to this, in terms of closing down the world economy, 5 times as reactive as the response to Flu, or many many times that reaction in terms of the amount of deaths.

    "Lethal" is relevant to the amount of people who get it and how fast they get it.

    It's more transmissible and has a higher mortality rate.

    80% of the population of the USA getting it will result in 2 million+ people dying based on .9%.

    It's nothing like a flu, nor is it even remotely comparable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,142 ✭✭✭Babooshka


    Last time I was out, about a week ago... I had to step out onto the road 5 times... Not one of them would move off themselves. It seems alot of people are happy to walk close by to you.

    Don't know where you're all living but where I live joggers are very considerate, me included. I move onto grass verges to let people walk by and I certainly don't splutter or breathe on anyone. You could always begin coughing as they're passing, I'm sure they'd move sharpish if you did.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭Away With The Fairies


    silverharp wrote: »
    I never get out of the way of joggers (when walking) and I jog too, stay strong and look them straight in the eye :pac:

    But I don't want to get close to people. And it's them getting close to me. Somebody has to move. Wish people would be more considerate.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Anyone else think the 2 meters and 15 mins thing is complete bullsh*t. Would anyone here be confident to sit 2 meters away from a confirmed case for even 30 seconds. I know I wouldn't.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 154 ✭✭magic17


    Another jogger "passed" me on the footpath last night. Not the type going for a normal run. The loon type, the equivalent of the tour de france cyclist, coming at me with a crazed look from 100 yards like he was running from the Walking Dead. The spluttering and heavy gasping as he approached would have been heard across the road. Then it's me that has to go out onto the road to avoid him.

    Ignorant muppets these types.


    What an inconvenience for you. I'm sorry to hear about your trouble. Are you ok?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,676 ✭✭✭elefant


    Gynoid wrote: »
    And even though I do not mind holding a minority opinion per se, I do think some of the contemptuous dismissal of this unusual event is hasty. What happened to Sally is important. I am very glad it was raised to public consciousness even if in the context of high and inappropriate drama.

    "As much as is reasonably possible" is legalese, it is the language used to avoid legal sanction. It remains to be seen what truly happened in Sally's case.

    Nobody thinks somebody dying in hospital is unimportant. Most people just know that the line of questioning was in bad faith, raised in the wrong forum and by somebody who had no business being present in the first place.

    You say 'it remains to be seen what truly happened' like there was some sort of obfuscation on Dr. Holohan's part. He can't control what happens in a hospital. It's not legalese to speak to policy rather than absolutes in his position- that's all that he can do.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,809 ✭✭✭Hector Savage


    https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2020/may/06/next-years-australian-open-under-threat-admits-chief-executive
    Next year's Australian Open under threat, admits chief executive

    Grand slam tournament scheduled for January 2021
    No supporters from overseas will be able to attend


    The Australian Open may be eight months away and partitioned by a new year, but the organisers are already mindful of the possibility that it may not take place.

    This really depressed me if I'm honest, even if it does go ahead no foreign fans - now I know it's necessary it's just depressing and another confirmation of how looooonnnnnnngggggg this is gonna drag on for.

    The tournament is scheduled for late January btw.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,809 ✭✭✭Hector Savage


    Anyone else think the 2 meters and 15 mins thing is complete bullsh*t. Would anyone here be confident to sit 2 meters away from a confirmed case for even 30 seconds. I know I wouldn't.

    I'm paranoid on the beach 20m away from people wearing masks .... it's nuts, if something like that happened I'd think I'd be in a heap for weeks after it ...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,347 ✭✭✭Wombatman


    https://m.independent.ie/world-news/coronavirus/hse-whistleblower-claims-nursing-home-safety-warning-was-ignored-39187140.html

    The first of many one would think. Reading it, it's quite shocking and if you had a family member in a nursing home would make you feel more concerned again.

    I expect this to dominate the press conference this evening.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,126 ✭✭✭Snow Garden


    232 days until Christmas


This discussion has been closed.
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