Covid19 Part XVI- 21,983 in ROI (1,339 deaths) 3,881 in NI (404 deaths)(05/05)Read OP

Peanut Butter Jelly · 04-05-2020 08:01PM

Even though some may find it over the top, I do think that if the numbers don't continue to drop when the first stage of these restrictions is lifted, then there should be no move to phase 2 until there is in my opinion. If there's a rise, then I would be all for moving back to where we are now. 3 weeks spent in lockdown now could prevent 6 or 9 in the future

04-05-2020 08:02PM

podgeandrodge wrote: »

A lot of countries seem to be reaching peaks at a similar time regardless of the extent of their lockdowns.

If this was circulating in December (or even before) and people dying with it (as seems to be be proven by the postmortems in France and the USA), then it isn't surprising that it has worked its way through this stage at a similar speed across Europe. The lockdowns were much later in the trajectory of the virus that we thought they were

ZX7R · 04-05-2020 08:02PM

DebDynamite wrote: »

In a couple of months, Ireland isn’t even going to he opened up to its own citizens! (Well, bar the ones who live in Northern Ireland - they have free rein). We have to wait until 20th July to travel more than 20km! Talk of allowing international tourism to start again is ludicrous

According to French midea, France plans no quarantine for EU, UK and Schengen region flying in to the county tweeted by the French embassy in the UK.
Flights to resume as there lockdown ends some flights could be as early as next Monday.

04-05-2020 08:05PM

ZX7R wrote: »

According to French midea, France plans no quarantine for EU, UK and Schengen region flying in to the county tweeted by the French embassy in the UK.
Flights to resume as there lockdown ends some flights could be as early as next Monday.

I think that there is still some confusion about that, as the legal text seen today doesn't exclude EU and UK from quarantine requirements (at least that's what the guardian was reporting).

But I think it does make sense. EUrope seems to all the at the same stage now. It is Africa and the Americas that should be quarantined

Miike · 04-05-2020 08:05PM

Sam Russell wrote: »

I am not talking about health being a competence. I am talking about Public Health - those measures taken at a macro level to improve the health of the whole population.

The EU already has such competence when it comes to safety of toys, animal health, GMOs, the ecology, and other macro matters. Extending this to Public Health would be a natural progression to allow the EU to promote better outcomes for its citizens.

Note: Health matters are not the same as Public Health matters. Your doctor is concerned with the outcome for you, but Public Health is concerned with the benefit for the whole population - of putting folic acid in the flour to safeguard babies from spina-bifida, for example. Or putting fluoride in the water supply to improve dental health. Or which vaccines should be given to children to protect them from those diseases for which vaccines are available and effective. These are not matters for clinicians who treat individual patients, but have to be prescribed by national governments, or by the EU (if it part of their remit).

If this pandemic teaches us anything, it should be that individual countries are unable to work in isolation and must join forces to combat such threats.

There is a Ted Talk podcast with Larry Brilliant who touches on how important it is for everyone to come together in fighting this from a public health and pandemic readiness standpoint. He talks about how some countries were/are so ill prepared for anything of this scale despite the stark warnings of the past and what some nations did in response. It's a short one, about 15 minutes if I remember correctly and its geared towards the general public not people well versed in epidemiology so its generally free of the high falutin language. Well worth a listen if you've got a bit of downtime

Stheno · 04-05-2020 08:16PM

Peanut Butter Jelly wrote: »

Even though some may find it over the top, I do think that if the numbers don't continue to drop when the first stage of these restrictions is lifted, then there should be no move to phase 2 until there is in my opinion. If there's a rise, then I would be all for moving back to where we are now. 3 weeks spent in lockdown now could prevent 6 or 9 in the future

Eh if the numbers dont drop in the next two weeks we wont even get to phase 1!

stephenjmcd · 04-05-2020 08:16PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

I think that there is still some confusion about that, as the legal text seen today doesn't exclude EU and UK from quarantine requirements (at least that's what the guardian was reporting).

But I think it does make sense. EUrope seems to all the at the same stage now. It is Africa and the Americas that should be quarantined

https://twitter.com/FranceintheUK/status/1256990864271986691?s=19

Blanco100 · 04-05-2020 08:18PM

Plans to reboot German football league has been thrown into doubt as 10 players have recently tested positive.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/2020/05/04/sports-return-lockdown-latest-live-premier-league-clubs-divided/

ZX7R · 04-05-2020 08:22PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

I think that there is still some confusion about that, as the legal text seen today doesn't exclude EU and UK from quarantine requirements (at least that's what the guardian was reporting).

But I think it does make sense. EUrope seems to all the at the same stage now. It is Africa and the Americas that should be quarantined

The quarantine legislation went to there government for approval, it appears that to put EU citizens in quarantine breaches EU law and the Schengen area is also protected, reading about it on another site ,
I don't understand the technical stuff to be honest

poppers · 04-05-2020 08:23PM

Blanco100 wrote: »

Plans to reboot German football league has been thrown into doubt as 10 players have recently tested positive.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/2020/05/04/sports-return-lockdown-latest-live-premier-league-clubs-divided/

10 people not necessaraily players out of 1700 test. unless a vacinnce is found this is going to be the new norm

hmmm · 04-05-2020 08:23PM

Peanut Butter Jelly wrote: »

Even though some may find it over the top, I do think that if the numbers don't continue to drop when the first stage of these restrictions is lifted, then there should be no move to phase 2 until there is in my opinion. If there's a rise, then I would be all for moving back to where we are now. 3 weeks spent in lockdown now could prevent 6 or 9 in the future

If the numbers start rising, it will mean that something we have done in the most recent phase has caused it. The good thing about phasing is hopefully we only have to roll back the most recent measures, rather than implementing a full lock down.

But no-one really knows what will happen do they?

04-05-2020 08:23PM

stephenjmcd wrote: »

https://twitter.com/FranceintheUK/status/1256990864271986691?s=19

I know. But that tweet contradicts the text of the bill itself, according to the Guardian (which is only draft, and is being debated in both houses of the French parliament this week). I’ll wait until the final bill is passed before raising my hopes too much. This is a big deal

ZX7R · 04-05-2020 08:41PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

I know. But that tweet contradicts the text of the bill itself, according to the Guardian (which is only draft, and is being debated in both houses of the French parliament this week). I’ll wait until the final bill is passed before raising my hopes too much. This is a big deal

Looking at French news reports it appears the draft has been amended and it went before the first house of parliament today

speckle · 04-05-2020 08:44PM

Xertz wrote: »

Is this for real?

Aer Lingus 8:45am Belfast City to London Heathrow:

https://twitter.com/kellybonner/status/1257323982400831491?s=21

Looks quite full and no social distancing or masks applied at all.

I realise this is an internal flight within UK jurisdiction, even though it's Aer Lingus, but it seems very surprising how easy going it all is.

Interesting going by the hair and bald patches seems to be mainly men.

wakka12 · 04-05-2020 08:45PM

NH2013 wrote: »

Very interesting, and begs the question as to why all cases were asymptomatic, were they a particularly healthy bunch, something in the diet, manual labour etc that made them all not feel any major effects of the virus?

Or could it be that if an asymptomatic person spreads the virus it doesn't pack as much of a punch as a symptomatic person?

Certainly something that warrants looking into.

I hate how these articles NEVER have a follow up. Like are they asymptomatic or just havnt been monitored long enough to see who shows symptoms?

Cases on the Diamond Princess showed that the rate of asymptomatic was the same amongst the elderly and very young. It was only 50% among the passengers in their 20's, and roughly same for those in their 60s,70s,80s.

WoollyRedHat · 04-05-2020 08:45PM

Surely public health of a nation should trump freedom of movement whether it be EU/Schengen area, during a pandemic?

I would not support Irish people travelling to France or vice versa for travel during this time. I imagine a lot of people would be of the same mind.

wakka12 · 04-05-2020 08:46PM

Almost 200 deaths in India today. By far the highest so far in a day. High number of new cases too, 4000. Could India really be going through the start of an epidemic only now in the midst of a harsh nationwide lockdown? Or is it just people/deaths actually being finally tested for now?

kilkenny31 · 04-05-2020 08:49PM

Stheno wrote: »

Eh if the numbers dont drop in the next two weeks we wont even get to phase 1!

The numbers are dropping. Deaths, new cases, hospitalisations, ICU. All down. By next week I'd say maybe between 10-20 deaths per day. Under 200 new cases.

eagle eye · 04-05-2020 08:51PM

kilkenny31 wrote:

The numbers are dropping. Deaths, new cases, hospitalisations, ICU. All down. By next week I'd say maybe between 10-20 deaths per day. Under 200 new cases.

So your saying we'll be back to where we were when we decided we had to lockdown?

04-05-2020 08:53PM

WoollyRedHat wrote: »

Surely public health of a nation should trump freedom of movement whether it be EU/Schengen area, during a pandemic?

I would not support Irish people travelling to France or vice versa for travel during this time. I imagine a lot of people would be of the same mind.

But why would anybody travel right now? Nowhere to stay, nothing to do. This is about facilitating family connections and lives that span borders (like mine, between UK and Ireland). When tourism kicks off in a few months I’d think that all of Europe will be in a very similar place with the virus and benefits of travel economically will outweigh the small risk of increasing contagion

kilkenny31 · 04-05-2020 08:55PM

eagle eye wrote: »

So your saying we'll be back to where we were when we decided we had to lockdown?

Come on. That's a ridiculous statement. At that point the numbers were grown close to exponentially. This time they are falling and the umbers in ICU didn't get anywhere near the way they looked like they were going to. Stop the nonsense.

WoollyRedHat · 04-05-2020 09:00PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

But why would anybody travel? Nowhere to stay, nothing to do. This is about facilitating family connections and lives that span borders (like mine, between UK and Ireland). When tourism kicks off in a few months I’d think that all of Europe will be in a very similar place with the virus and benefits of travel economically will outweigh the small risk of increasing contagion

That is provided the risk of contagion is quite small and can be managed. Appropriate measures need to be taken to protect people, what we don't need is a free for all. I agree if there was nowhere to stay likelihood of many people travelling abroad is slim, but we need to be careful and not lower our guard all the same. It remains my opinion that safeguards have to be put in place to avoid new cases springing up, especially once containment is achieved. The consequences of secondary waves occuring is still a real threat and it only takes one case for everything to spiral out of control again.

BorneTobyWilde · 04-05-2020 09:09PM

New Zealand a mile up the road from Antarctica boasting about beating Covid 19 first. WTF . They never had a problem in the first place. Had 6 cases and shut down whole place and allowed no one into country from early March. They took the '' prevention is better than cure'' attitude, and they stamped it out, but it was just a spark.
Once they open up they actually might get infected, as they never did.

Ficheall · 04-05-2020 09:13PM

kilkenny31 wrote: »

Come on. That's a ridiculous statement. At that point the numbers were grown close to exponentially. This time they are falling and the umbers in ICU didn't get anywhere near the way they looked like they were going to. Stop the nonsense.

Did you not notice the restrictions that were put in place to stop the exponential growth?

kilkenny31 · 04-05-2020 09:14PM

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

New Zealand a mile up the road from Antarctica boasting about beating Covid 19 first. WTF . They never had a problem in the first place. Had 6 cases and shut down whole place and allowed no one into country from early March. They took the '' prevention is better than cure'' attitude, and they stamped it out, but it was just a spark.
Once they open up they actually might get infected, as they never did.

So you agree they did beat it then. I think preventing the spread and pushing the virus out of the country could most definalty be classed as beating it.

Non solum non ambulabit · 04-05-2020 09:15PM

poppers wrote: »

10 people not necessaraily players out of 1700 test. unless a vacinnce is found this is going to be the new norm

Exactly. Well into 2021/22 players will still be testing positive. Football will have to continue, just like many other businesses.

kilkenny31 · 04-05-2020 09:16PM

Ficheall wrote: »

Did you not notice the restrictions that were put in place to stop the exponential growth?

Yes. They worked. Now we can start easing them. Or maybe we stay like this for ever?

ChelseaRentBoy · 04-05-2020 09:19PM

kilkenny31 wrote: »

The numbers are dropping. Deaths, new cases, hospitalisations, ICU. All down. By next week I'd say maybe between 10-20 deaths per day. Under 200 new cases.

I hope you are right but i fear you are wrong.

From what i witnessed over the last 3 days people think the emergency is over :mad:

Boggles · 04-05-2020 09:20PM

kilkenny31 wrote: »

Yes. They worked. Now we can start easing them. Or maybe we stay like this for ever?

If they could start easing them, they would have all ready.

A lot has to take place before that happens, we are not there yet, hopefully we are when they start easing.

Larger scale community testing should tell us a lot in the next 10 days.

04-05-2020 09:20PM

Jim_Hodge wrote: »

Pardon me Einstein. It still doesn't mean cases won't grow which is the salient point.

I didn't realise the time spent here equals credence.

Great. Except you're wrong again Jim. But glad you admit you have no credibility.

Covid19 Part XVI- 21,983 in ROI (1,339 deaths) 3,881 in NI (404 deaths)(05/05)Read OP

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