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Covid19 Part XVI- 21,983 in ROI (1,339 deaths) 3,881 in NI (404 deaths)(05/05)Read OP

Beasty · 2020-04-19 21:30:08

Can everyone pay attention to the mod warnings set out below. In particular please remain civil to each other Thread I Thread II Thread III Thread IV Thread V Thread VI Thread VII Thread VIII Thread IX Thread X Thread XI Thread XII Thread XIII Thread XIV Thread XV Mod warnings – I have condensed these given the size the OP…

Comments

#5432 26-04-2020 08:49PM

Spencer Brown

Closed Accounts Posts: 268 ✭✭

Join Date: April 2020

Posts: 254

DevilsHaircut wrote: »

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1254480884801167366

What point are you trying to prove posting worst case scenario stories in this thread?

0
#5433 26-04-2020 08:51PM

joe_99

Closed Accounts Posts: 763 ✭✭✭

Join Date: July 2013

Posts: 752

wakka12 wrote: »

Probably just dont care now anymore either way

Kids have been stuck in apartments for weeks enforced heavily by the police and army. I can really understand why when given 1 hour to leave their apartment they took it.

0
#5434 26-04-2020 08:51PM

pjohnson

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,067 ✭✭✭✭

Join Date: February 2017

Posts: 24679

Spencer Brown wrote: »

What point are you trying to prove posting worst case scenario stories in this thread?

Its called reality. Some people still try to moronically claim this only effects elderly people or people with an underlying condition.

0
#5435 26-04-2020 08:52PM

JP Liz V1

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 91,106 ✭✭✭✭

Join Date: January 2010

Posts: 88212

So 8 weeks from case 1 we are on our way to 20,000 cases

https://forumofgames.com/

0
#5436 26-04-2020 08:57PM

caveat emptor

Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭

Join Date: November 2019

Posts: 5072

Re. Reusable respirators in healthcare setting. Seems like Uk nhs are using them.

The company that makes the masks even said should be done in a pandemic. Cost benefit was done and they make way more sense. Someone please show that committee that published their minutes recently. I’d advocate the full face ones as more protection for HCWs

http://www.3m.co.uk/intl/uk/ohes/segments/healthcare/(9666a)OH_ReusableTechBulletin_lft.pdf

Reduced Product Costs
As 3M half masks are reusable, one mask can be issued per worker per pandemic wave. 3MTM 6035 P3R filters are also reusable, and one pair is considered to have enough capacity to last a pandemic wave. When compared with disposable respirators which are discarded after every shift, or between patients, total product purchase costs for reusable respirators are likely to be considerably lower.
Reduced Storage Costs
Linked to the above, the storage volumes and costs required are often substantially reduced by choosing a reusable respirator option.
Reduced Fit Testing Resource
The Department of Health guidance states that “every user should be fit tested and trained in the use of the respirator.” The 3MTM 7500 Series Reusable Half Mask is supplied in three sizes and features a pliable, silicone face seal, meaning that a successful fit test result is much more likely to be achieved first time across the vast majority of face shapes and sizes. This eliminates the extra time and resource involved in retesting a wearer to an alternative respirator shape, as can happen when issuing disposable respirators.

Q – For how long will a set of particulate filters last in use?
A – Filters should be changed when they become clogged with particulate contaminant. The wearer can determine when this occurs as it becomes harder to breathe through the filters.
The filters are designed to filter out particles in industrial conditions and in concentrations much higher than is likely to be encountered in a pandemic situation. It is therefore expected that one set of filters will cover at least one pandemic wave, after which they should be replaced for infection control reason

0
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#5437 26-04-2020 08:58PM

ek motor

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 548 ✭✭✭

Join Date: February 2013

Posts: 544

DevilsHaircut wrote: »

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1254480884801167366

Thats a hard hitting story. Once again highlights how little is known about the course Covid-19 takes. Truly humbling reading.

0
#5438 26-04-2020 09:02PM

GM228

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,922 ✭✭✭

Join Date: September 2014

Posts: 8801

Ireland Coronavirus Statistics - Day 58 – Sunday 26/04/2020
All data is cumulative and based on the date of official reporting

Day
|
Date
|
Cases
|
New Cases
|
Total Cases
|
Case Increase
|
Reporting Increase
|
New Deaths
|
New Probable Deaths
|
Total Deaths
|
Deaths daily increase
|
CFR
|
New Hosp
|
Total Hosp
|
Hosp %
|
Hosp daily increase
|
New ICU
|
Total ICU
|
ICU %
|
ICU daily increase
|
Recovered**
|
Recovery %
|
Population
| Active Cases***

1
|
29/02/2020
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 1

2
|
01/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 1

3
|
02/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 1

4
|
03/03/2020
|
1
|
1
|
2
|
100%
|
0%
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 2

5
|
04/03/2020
|
2
|
4
|
6
|
200%
|
300%
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 6

6
|
05/03/2020
|
6
|
7
|
13
|
117%
|
75%
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 13

7
|
06/03/2020
|
13
|
5
|
18
|
38%
|
-29%
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 18

8
|
07/03/2020
|
18
|
1
|
19
|
6%
|
-80%
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 19

9
|
08/03/2020
|
19
|
2
|
21
|
11%
|
100%
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 21

10
|
09/03/2020
|
21
|
3
|
24
|
14%
|
50%
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.000%
| 24

11
|
10/03/2020
|
24
|
10
|
34
|
42%
|
233%
|
0
|
N/A
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.001%
| 34

12
|
11/03/2020
|
34
|
9
|
43
|
26%
|
-10%
|
1
|
N/A
|
1
|
N/A
|
2.3%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.001%
| 42

13
|
12/03/2020
|
43
|
27
|
70
|
63%
|
200%
|
0
|
N/A
|
1
|
0%
|
1.4%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.001%
| 69

14
|
13/03/2020
|
70
|
20
|
90
|
29%
|
-26%
|
0
|
N/A
|
1
|
0%
|
1.1%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.002%
| 89

15
|
14/03/2020
|
90
|
39
|
129
|
43%
|
95%
|
1
|
N/A
|
2
|
100%
|
1.6%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.003%
| 127

16
|
15/03/2020
|
129
|
40
|
169
|
31%
|
3%
|
0
|
N/A
|
2
|
0%
|
1.2%
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
NR
|
N/A
|
NR
|
NR
|
0.003%
| 167

17
|
16/03/2020
|
169
|
54
|
223
|
32%
|
35%
|
0
|
N/A
|
2
|
0%
|
0.9%
|
84
|
84
|
38%
|
N/A
|
84
|
6
|
3%
|
N/A
|
5
|
2%
|
0.005%
| 216

18
|
17/03/2020
|
223
|
69
|
292
|
31%
|
28%
|
0
|
N/A
|
2
|
0%
|
0.7%
|
24
|
108
|
37%
|
29%
|
1
|
7
|
2%
|
17%
|
5
|
2%
|
0.006%
| 285

19
|
18/03/2020
|
292
|
74
|
366
|
25%
|
7%
|
0
|
N/A
|
2
|
0%
|
0.5%
|
32
|
140
|
38%
|
30%
|
5
|
12
|
3%
|
71%
|
5
|
1%
|
0.007%
| 359

20
|
19/03/2020
|
366
|
191
|
557
|
52%
|
158%
|
1
|
N/A
|
3
|
50%
|
0.5%
|
33
|
173
|
31%
|
24%
|
1
|
13
|
2%
|
8%
|
5
|
1%
|
0.011%
| 549

21
|
20/03/2020
|
557
|
126
|
683
|
23%
|
-34%
|
0
|
N/A
|
3
|
0%
|
0.4%
|
38
|
211
|
31%
|
22%
|
4
|
17
|
2%
|
31%
|
5
|
1%
|
0.014%
| 675

22
|
21/03/2020
|
683
|
102
|
785
|
15%
|
-19%
|
0
|
N/A
|
3
|
33%
|
0.4%
|
28
|
239
|
30%
|
13%
|
8
|
25
|
3%
|
47%
|
5
|
1%
|
0.016%
| 777

23
|
22/03/2020
|
785
|
121
|
906
|
15%
|
19%
|
1
|
N/A
|
4
|
33%
|
0.4%
|
38
|
277
|
31%
|
16%
|
11
|
36
|
4%
|
44%
|
5
|
1%
|
0.018%
| 897

24
|
23/03/2020
|
906
|
219
|
1125
|
24%
|
81%
|
2
|
N/A
|
6
|
50%
|
0.5%
|
28
|
305
|
27%
|
10%
|
3
|
39
|
3%
|
8%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.023%
| 1114

25
|
24/03/2020
|
1125
|
204
|
1329
|
18%
|
-7%
|
1
|
N/A
|
7
|
17%
|
0.5%
|
35
|
340
|
26%
|
11%
|
8
|
47
|
4%
|
21%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.027%
| 1317

26
|
25/03/2020
|
1329
|
235
|
1564
|
18%
|
15%
|
2
|
N/A
|
9
|
29%
|
0.6%
|
79
|
419
|
27%
|
23%
|
12
|
59
|
4%
|
26%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.032%
| 1550

27
|
26/03/2020
|
1564
|
255
|
1819
|
16%
|
9%
|
10
|
N/A
|
19
|
111%
|
1%
|
70
|
489
|
27%
|
17%
|
8
|
67
|
4%
|
14%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.037%
| 1795

28
|
27/03/2020
|
1819
|
302
|
2121
|
17%
|
18%
|
3
|
N/A
|
22
|
16%
|
1%
|
75
|
564
|
27%
|
15%
|
10
|
77
|
4%
|
15%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.043%
| 2094

29
|
28/03/2020
|
2121
|
294
|
2415
|
14%
|
-3%
|
14
|
N/A
|
36
|
64%
|
1.5%
|
81
|
645
|
27%
|
14%
|
7
|
84
|
3%
|
9%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.049%
| 2374

30
|
29/03/2020
|
2415
|
200
|
2615
|
8%
|
-32%
|
10
|
N/A
|
46
|
28%
|
1.8%
|
58
|
703
|
27%
|
9%
|
29
|
113
|
4%
|
35%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.053%
| 2564

31
|
30/03/2020
|
2615
|
295
|
2910
|
11%
|
48%
|
8
|
N/A
|
54
|
17%
|
1.9%
|
131
|
834
|
29%
|
19%
|
13
|
126
|
4%
|
12%
|
5
|
0%
|
0.059%
| 2851

32
|
31/03/2020
|
2910
|
325
|
3235
|
11%
|
10%
|
17
|
N/A
|
71
|
31%
|
2.2%
|
98
|
932
|
29%
|
12%
|
8
|
134
|
4%
|
6%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.066%
| 3139

33
|
01/04/2020
|
3235
|
212
|
3447
|
7%
|
-35%
|
14
|
N/A
|
85
|
20%
|
2.5%
|
107
|
1039
|
30%
|
11%
|
14
|
148
|
4%
|
10%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.070%
| 3337

34
|
02/04/2020
|
3447
|
402
|
3849
|
12%
|
90%
|
13
|
N/A
|
98
|
15%
|
2.5%
|
79
|
1118
|
29%
|
8%
|
10
|
158
|
4%
|
7%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.078%
| 3726

35
|
03/04/2020
|
3849
|
424
|
4273
|
11%
|
5%
|
22
|
N/A
|
120
|
22%
|
2.8%
|
85
|
1203
|
28%
|
8%
|
7
|
165
|
4%
|
4%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.087%
| 4128

36
|
04/04/2020
|
4273
|
331
|
4604
|
8%
|
-22%
|
17
|
N/A
|
137
|
14%
|
3.0%
|
62
|
1265
|
27%
|
5%
|
4
|
169
|
4%
|
2%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.094%
| 4442

37
|
05/04/2020
|
4604
|
390
|
4994
|
8%
|
18%
|
21
|
N/A
|
158
|
15%
|
3.2%
|
80
|
1345
|
27%
|
6%
|
25
|
194
|
4%
|
15%
|
25
|
1%
|
0.101%
| 4811

38
|
06/04/2020
|
4994
|
370
|
5364
|
7%
|
-5%
|
16
|
N/A
|
174
|
10%
|
3.2%
|
127
|
1472
|
27%
|
9%
|
30
|
224
|
4%
|
15%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.109%
| 5165

39
|
07/04/2020
|
5364
|
345
|
5709
|
6%
|
-7%
|
36
|
N/A
|
210
|
21%
|
3.7%
|
49
|
1521
|
27%
|
3%
|
6
|
230
|
4%
|
3%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.116%
| 5474

40
|
08/04/2020
|
5709
|
365
|
6074
|
6%
|
6%
|
25
|
N/A
|
235
|
12%
|
3.9%
|
110
|
1631
|
27%
|
7%
|
14
|
244
|
4%
|
6%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.123%
| 5814

41
|
09/04/2020
|
6074
|
500
|
6574
|
8%
|
37%
|
28
|
N/A
|
263
|
12%
|
4.0%
|
87
|
1718
|
26%
|
5%
|
9
|
253
|
4%
|
4%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.134%
| 6286

42* ~
|
10/04/2020
|
6574
|
1515
|
8089
|
23%
|
203%
|
25
|
N/A
|
287
|
9%
|
4.0%
|
59
|
1777
|
22%
|
3%
|
8
|
261
|
3%
|
3%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.164%
| 7777

43*
|
11/04/2020
|
8089
|
839
|
8928
|
10%
|
-45%
|
33
|
N/A
|
320
|
11%
|
3.6%
|
72
|
1849
|
21%
|
4%
|
7
|
268
|
3%
|
3%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.181%
| 8583

44*
|
12/04/2020
|
8928
|
727
|
9655
|
8%
|
-13%
|
14
|
N/A
|
334
|
4%
|
3.5%
|
54
|
1903
|
20%
|
3%
|
7
|
275
|
3%
|
3%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.196%
| 9296

45*
|
13/04/2020
|
9655
|
992
|
10647
|
10%
|
36%
|
31
|
N/A
|
365
|
9%
|
3.4%
|
65
|
1968
|
18%
|
3%
|
5
|
280
|
3%
|
2%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.216%
| 10257

46*
|
14/04/2020
|
10647
|
832
|
11479
|
8%
|
-16%
|
41
|
N/A
|
406
|
11%
|
3.5%
|
58
|
2026
|
18%
|
3%
|
4
|
284
|
2%
|
1%
|
25
|
0%
|
0.233%
| 11048

47*
|
15/04/2020
|
11479
|
1068
|
12547
|
9%
|
28%
|
38
|
N/A
|
444
|
9%
|
3.5%
|
56
|
2082
|
17%
|
3%
|
10
|
294
|
2%
|
4%
|
77
|
1%
|
0.255%
| 12026

48 * ~
|
16/04/2020
|
12547
|
724
|
13271
|
6%
|
-32%
|
43
|
N/A
|
486
|
9%
|
3.7%
|
86
|
2168
|
16%
|
4%
|
2
|
296
|
2%
|
1%
|
77
|
1%
|
0.270%
| 12708

49*
|
17/04/2020
|
13271
|
709
|
13980
|
5%
|
-2%
|
44
|
N/A
|
530
|
9%
|
3.8%
|
55
|
2223
|
16%
|
3%
|
7
|
303
|
2%
|
2%
|
77
|
1%
|
0.284%
| 13373

50*
|
18/04/2020
|
13980
|
778
|
14758
|
6%
|
10%
|
41
|
N/A
|
571
|
8%
|
3.9%
|
49
|
2272
|
15%
|
2%
|
3
|
306
|
2%
|
1%
|
77
|
1%
|
0.300%
| 14110

51*
|
19/04/2020
|
14758
|
493
|
15251
|
3%
|
-37%
|
39
|
N/A
|
610
|
7%
|
4.0%
|
51
|
2323
|
15%
|
2%
|
9
|
315
|
2%
|
3%
|
77
|
1%
|
0.310%
| 14564

52
|
20/04/2020
|
15251
|
401
|
15652
|
3%
|
-19%
|
77
|
N/A
|
687
|
13%
|
4.4%
|
64
|
2387
|
15%
|
3%
|
7
|
322
|
2%
|
2%
|
77
|
0%
|
0.318%
| 14888

53 ~
|
21/04/2020
|
15652
|
388
|
16040
|
2%
|
-3%
|
44
|
N/A
|
730
|
6%
|
4.6%
|
37
|
2424
|
15%
|
2%
|
9
|
331
|
2%
|
3%
|
9233
|
58%
|
0.326%
| 6077

54 ~
|
22/04/2020
|
16040
|
631
|
16671
|
4%
|
63%
|
49
|
N/A
|
769
|
5%
|
4.6%
|
62
|
2486
|
15%
|
3%
|
7
|
338
|
2%
|
2%
|
9233
|
55%
|
0.339%
| 6669

55 ~
|
23/04/2020
|
16671
|
936
|
17607
|
6%
|
48%
|
28
|
N/A
|
794
|
3%
|
4.5%
|
50
|
2536
|
14%
|
2%
|
6
|
344
|
2%
|
2%
|
9233
|
52%
|
0.358%
| 7580

56 ~
|
24/04/2020
|
17607
|
577
|
18184
|
3%
|
-38%
|
37
|
185
|
1014
|
28%
|
5.6%
|
40
|
2576
|
14%
|
2%
|
5
|
349
|
2%
|
1%
|
9233
|
51%
|
0.369%
| 7937

57
|
25/04/2020
|
18184
|
377
|
18561
|
2%
|
-35%
|
42
|
10
|
1063
|
5%
|
5.7%
|
0
|
2576
|
14%
|
0%
|
0
|
349
|
2%
|
0%
|
9233
|
50%
|
0.377%
| 8265

58
|
26/04/2020
|
18561
|
701
|
19262
|
4%
|
86%
|
23
|
3
|
1087
|
2%
|
5.6%
|
0
|
2576
|
13%
|
0%
|
0
|
349
|
2%
|
0%
|
9233
|
48%
|
0.391%
| 8942

CFR = Case fatality rate
NR = Not reported

Source: Department of Health, the Health Protection Surveillance Centre and the HSE.

NOTES: -
* Daily increase numbers on these dates represent both new cases and older cases reported from Germany which results in skewed daily % increases and average case reporting % changes, numbers are broken down as:-
Day|Date|New Irish Cases|German Cases
42|10/04/20|480|1035
43|11/04/20|553|286
44|12/04/20|430|297
45|13/04/20| 527|465
46|14/04/20|548|284
47|15/04/20|657|411
48|16/04/20|629|95
49|17/04/20|597|112
50|18/04/20|630|148
51|19/04/20|445|48

~ Denotification of deaths:-
10/04/20 – 1
16/04/20 – 1
21/04/20 – 1
22/04/20 – 10
23/04/20 – 3
24/04/20 – 2
25/04/20 – 3
26/04/20 – 2

** "Recovered" rates are not reported by the Department of Health in the above link, these figures are taken from the Worldmeters and Johns Hopkins websites which use data supplied by the DoT to the ECDC under the WHO Guidelines for reporting.

Recovered statistics are only be published as "recovered" following two successful tests of being clear of the virus under the WHO reporting guidelines, as a result it is likely the recovered data is skewed. Updated on 15/04/20 - The WHO reporting criteria has been changed recently to eliminate the 2 test requirement before reporting as recovered, now an outcome report is sent within one month of initial notification or when an outcome is known, the available health outcomes are either “recovered/healthy”, “not recovered", “death", “unknown" or “other", weather this helps create more accurate recovery numbers or skews them further is yet to be seen.

*** Due to the above issue with reporting of recovered cases the number of active cases is also likely skewed.

From 24/04/20 probable deaths are included in the official death figures, this is to comply with the WHO definition of COVID-19 deaths issued on the 16th and adopted in Europe by the ECDC yesterday, this is in compliance with what is known as the International Statistical Classification of Diseases known as the ICD-10, as a result a new column has been added into the charts to separate confirmed and suspected COVID-19 deaths – see this post for an explanation on this change.

Case increase averages:-

Day
| Date | ▲Day 1 | ▲10 Days | ▲7 days | ▲3 Days | ■ Day 1 | ■ 10 Days | ■ 7 Days | ■ 3 days

1
| 29/02/2020 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% | N/A | N/A | N/A

2
| 01/03/2020 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0% | N/A | N/A | N/A

3
| 02/03/2020 | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | 0% | 0% | N/A | N/A | 0%

4
| 03/03/2020 | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | 33% | 0% | N/A | N/A | 0%

5
| 04/03/2020 | 60.0% | N/A | N/A | 100% | 60% | N/A | N/A | 100%

6
| 05/03/2020 | 69.4% | N/A | N/A | 139% | 63% | N/A | N/A | 125%

7
| 06/03/2020 | 65.0% | N/A | 65% | 118% | 49% | N/A | 49% | 115%

8
| 07/03/2020 | 57.6% | N/A | 66% | 54% | 33% | N/A | 38% | -11%

9
| 08/03/2020 | 52.4% | N/A | 67% | 18% | 41% | N/A | 52% | -3%

10
| 09/03/2020 | 49% | 49% | 69% | 10% | 42% | 42% | 59% | 23%

11
| 10/03/2020 | 48% | 53% | 61% | 22% | 59% | 65% | 93% | 128%

12
| 11/03/2020 | 46% | 55% | 36% | 27% | 53% | 64% | 49% | 91%

13
| 12/03/2020 | 47% | 62% | 29% | 44% | 65% | 84% | 66% | 141%

14
| 13/03/2020 | 46% | 54% | 27% | 39% | 58% | 81% | 67% | 55%

15
| 14/03/2020 | 46% | 39% | 33% | 45% | 61% | 61% | 92% | 90%

16
| 15/03/2020 | 45% | 30% | 35% | 34% | 57% | 54% | 78% | 24%

17
| 16/03/2020 | 44% | 30% | 38% | 35% | 56% | 60% | 76% | 44%

18
| 17/03/2020 | 43% | 32% | 36% | 31% | 54% | 71% | 46% | 22%

19
| 18/03/2020 | 43% | 34% | 36% | 29% | 52% | 61% | 49% | 23%

20
| 19/03/2020 | 43% | 37% | 35% | 36% | 57% | 72% | 43% | 64%

21
| 20/03/2020 | 42% | 36% | 34% | 33% | 53% | 46% | 42% | 44%

22
| 21/03/2020 | 41% | 34% | 30% | 30% | 49% | 45% | 25% | 35%

23
| 22/03/2020 | 40% | 30% | 28% | 18% | 48% | 27% | 28% | -11%

24
| 23/03/2020 | 39% | 29% | 27% | 18% | 49% | 37% | 34% | 27%

25
| 24/03/2020 | 38% | 27% | 25% | 19% | 47% | 27% | 29% | 31%

26
| 25/03/2020 | 37% | 25% | 24% | 20% | 46% | 28% | 30% | 30%

27
| 26/03/2020 | 37% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 45% | 26% | 9% | 6%

28
| 27/03/2020 | 36% | 22% | 18% | 17% | 44% | 25% | 17% | 14%

29
| 28/03/2020 | 35% | 21% | 17% | 16% | 42% | 24% | 19% | 8%

30
| 29/03/2020 | 34% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 40% | 5% | 12% | -5%

31
| 30/03/2020 | 34% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 40% | 13% | 7% | 4%

32
| 31/03/2020 | 33% | 15% | 14% | 10% | 39% | 16% | 9% | 9%

33
| 01/04/2020 | 32% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 37% | 10% | 2% | 8%

34
| 02/04/2020 | 31% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 38% | 11% | 14% | 22%

35
| 03/04/2020 | 31% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 37% | 13% | 12% | 20%

36
| 04/04/2020 | 30% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 36% | 9% | 9% | 24%

37
| 05/04/2020 | 30% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 35% | 10% | 16% | 0%

38
| 06/04/2020 | 29% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 34% | 7% | 9% | -3%

39
| 07/04/2020 | 28% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 7% | 6% | 2%

40
| 08/04/2020 | 28% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 32% | 11% | 12% | -2%

41
| 09/04/2020 | 27% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 32% | 10% | 5% | 12%

42
| 10/04/2020 | 27% | 10% | 10% | 13% | 37% | 29% | 33% | 82%

43
| 11/04/2020 | 27% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 35% | 28% | 30% | 65%

44
| 12/04/2020 | 26% | 10% | 10% | 14% | 34% | 18% | 25% | 48%

45
| 13/04/2020 | 26% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 34% | 21% | 31% | -7%

46
| 14/04/2020 | 26% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 33% | 21% | 30% | 2%

47
| 15/04/2020 | 25% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 33% | 16%

48
| 16/04/2020 | 25% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 31% | 20% | 23% | -7%

49
| 17/04/2020 | 25% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 30% | 20% | -6% | -2%

50
| 18/04/2020 | 24% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 30% | 21% | 2% | -8%

51
| 19/04/2020 | 24% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 29% | 13% | -2% | -10%

52
| 20/04/2020 | 23% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 28% | -9% | -10% | -15%

53
| 21/04/2020 | 23% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 27% | -5% | -8% | -20%

54
| 22/04/2020 | 23% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 28% | 3% | -3% | 14%

55
| 23/04/2020 | 22% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 28% | 4% | 9% | 36%

56
| 24/04/2020 | 22% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 27% | 2% | 3% | 24%

57
| 25/04/2020 | 22% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 26% | -5% | -3% | -8%

58
| 26/04/2020 | 21% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 27% | 7% | 15% | 4%

▲ = Daily case increase averaged over the past 10, 7 and 3 days and from day 1
■ = Daily case reporting change averaged over the past 10, 7 and 3 days and from day 1

Northern Ireland Statistics:-

Day
|
Date
|
Cases
|
New Cases
|
Total Cases
|
Case Increase
|
Reporting Increase
|
New Deaths
|
Total Deaths
|
% Increase
|
CFR
| Population %

1
|
29/02/2020
|
0
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
N/A
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

2
|
01/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

3
|
02/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

4
|
03/03/2020
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

5
|
04/03/2020
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
200%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

6
|
05/03/2020
|
3
|
0
|
3
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

7
|
06/03/2020
|
3
|
1
|
4
|
33%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

8
|
07/03/2020
|
4
|
3
|
7
|
75%
|
200%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.000%

9
|
08/03/2020
|
7
|
5
|
12
|
71%
|
67%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

10
|
09/03/2020
|
12
|
0
|
12
|
0%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

11
|
10/03/2020
|
12
|
4
|
16
|
33%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

12
|
11/03/2020
|
16
|
2
|
18
|
13%
|
-50%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

13
|
12/03/2020
|
18
|
2
|
20
|
11%
|
0%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.001%

14
|
13/03/2020
|
20
|
9
|
29
|
45%
|
350%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.002%

15
|
14/03/2020
|
29
|
5
|
34
|
17%
|
-44%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.002%

16
|
15/03/2020
|
34
|
11
|
45
|
32%
|
120%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.002%

17
|
16/03/2020
|
45
|
7
|
52
|
16%
|
-36%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.003%

18
|
17/03/2020
|
52
|
10
|
62
|
19%
|
43%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.003%

19
|
18/03/2020
|
62
|
6
|
68
|
10%
|
-40%
|
0
|
0
|
N/A
|
N/A
| 0.004%

20
|
19/03/2020
|
68
|
9
|
77
|
13%
|
50%
|
1
|
1
|
N/A
|
1.3%
| 0.004%

21
|
20/03/2020
|
77
|
9
|
86
|
12%
|
0%
|
0
|
1
|
100%
|
1.2%
| 0.005%

22
|
21/03/2020
|
86
|
22
|
108
|
26%
|
144%
|
0
|
1
|
100%
|
0.9%
| 0.006%

23
|
22/03/2020
|
108
|
20
|
128
|
19%
|
-9%
|
1
|
2
|
100%
|
1.6%
| 0.007%

24
|
23/03/2020
|
128
|
20
|
148
|
16%
|
0%
|
1
|
3
|
50%
|
2.0%
| 0.008%

25
|
24/03/2020
|
148
|
24
|
172
|
16%
|
20%
|
2
|
5
|
67%
|
2.9%
| 0.009%

26
|
25/03/2020
|
172
|
37
|
209
|
22%
|
54%
|
2
|
7
|
40%
|
3.3%
| 0.011%

27
|
26/03/2020
|
209
|
32
|
241
|
15%
|
-14%
|
3
|
10
|
43%
|
4.1%
| 0.013%

28
|
27/03/2020
|
241
|
34
|
275
|
14%
|
6%
|
3
|
13
|
30%
|
4.7%
| 0.014%

29
|
28/03/2020
|
275
|
49
|
324
|
18%
|
44%
|
2
|
15
|
15%
|
4.6%
| 0.017%

30
|
29/03/2020
|
324
|
86
|
410
|
27%
|
76%
|
6
|
21
|
40%
|
5.1%
| 0.021%

31
|
30/03/2020
|
410
|
123
|
533
|
30%
|
43%
|
1
|
22
|
5%
|
4.1%
| 0.028%

32
|
31/03/2020
|
533
|
53
|
586
|
10%
|
-57%
|
6
|
28
|
27%
|
4.8%
| 0.031%

33
|
01/04/2020
|
586
|
103
|
689
|
18%
|
94%
|
2
|
30
|
7%
|
4.4%
| 0.036%

34
|
02/04/2020
|
689
|
85
|
774
|
12%
|
-17%
|
6
|
36
|
20%
|
4.7%
| 0.041%

35
|
03/04/2020
|
774
|
130
|
904
|
17%
|
53%
|
12
|
48
|
33%
|
5.3%
| 0.047%

36
|
04/04/2020
|
904
|
94
|
998
|
10%
|
-28%
|
8
|
56
|
17%
|
5.6%
| 0.052%

37
|
05/04/2020
|
998
|
91
|
1089
|
9%
|
-3%
|
7
|
63
|
13%
|
5.8%
| 0.057%

38
|
06/04/2020
|
1089
|
69
|
1158
|
6%
|
-24%
|
7
|
70
|
11%
|
6.0%
| 0.061%

39
|
07/04/2020
|
1158
|
97
|
1255
|
8%
|
41%
|
3
|
73
|
4%
|
5.8%
| 0.066%

40
|
08/04/2020
|
1255
|
84
|
1339
|
7%
|
-13%
|
5
|
78
|
7%
|
5.8%
| 0.070%

41
|
09/04/2020
|
1339
|
138
|
1477
|
10%
|
64%
|
4
|
82
|
5%
|
5.6%
| 0.077%

42
|
10/04/2020
|
1477
|
112
|
1589
|
8%
|
-19%
|
10
|
92
|
12%
|
5.8%
| 0.083%

43
|
11/04/2020
|
1589
|
128
|
1717
|
8%
|
14%
|
15
|
107
|
16%
|
6.2%
| 0.090%

44
|
12/04/2020
|
1717
|
89
|
1806
|
5%
|
-30%
|
11
|
118
|
10%
|
6.5%
| 0.095%

45
|
13/04/2020
|
1806
|
76
|
1882
|
4%
|
-15%
|
6
|
124
|
5%
|
6.6%
| 0.098%

46
|
14/04/2020
|
1882
|
85
|
1967
|
5%
|
12%
|
10
|
134
|
8%
|
6.8%
| 0.103%

47
|
15/04/2020
|
1967
|
121
|
2088
|
6%
|
42%
|
6
|
140
|
4%
|
6.7%
| 0.109%

48
|
16/04/2020
|
2088
|
113
|
2201
|
5%
|
-7%
|
18
|
158
|
13%
|
7.2%
| 0.115%

49
|
17/04/2020
|
2201
|
137
|
2338
|
6%
|
21%
|
18
|
176
|
11%
|
7.5% [/c

0
#5439 26-04-2020 09:03PM

coastwatch

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 909 ✭✭✭

Join Date: November 2009

Posts: 899

Away With The Fairies wrote: »

Did people think it just went away?

It would be great if you got to ask questions at the daily HSE briefings,

" Another question for the CMO from Away With The Fairies"

0
#5440 26-04-2020 09:05PM

walshb

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Posts: 58190

Is there talk of them testing 100 thousand a day?

This some sort of wind up?

Eileen Whelan 9 o’clock news says this for mid May..

Then the following report says 100k a week...

Can our broadcasters not get this right?

Second time recently this glaring cockup. George Lee also said 100k a day due.

0
#5441 26-04-2020 09:05PM

gabeeg

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Posts: 1588

growleaves wrote: »

Presumably the second wave will kill 49.8 million people in line with the predictions of many on here that this is a one in 100 years pandemic that will be as deadly as the Spanish Flu.

Find me one solitary example of anyone saying this.

Go on

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#5442 26-04-2020 09:06PM

growleaves

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Posts: 7853

pjohnson wrote: »

Its called reality. Some people still try to moronically claim this only effects elderly people or people with an underlying condition.

No they just claim that those outside of the main infected cohorts (elderly, obese, very infirm) are outliers. Which of course they are.

0
#5443 26-04-2020 09:07PM

Strazdas

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,344 ✭✭✭✭

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Posts: 20343

wakka12 wrote: »

First day of children being allowed out to play in Spain

And so wave two begins in Europe before wave one even ends

Though it's debatable how risky this outdoor play would be compared to adults doing the same. Prof Luke O'Neill said during the week that there is virtually no evidence now that children are 'super spreaders'.

Classrooms are a different matter, indoors and everyone on top of each other.

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#5444 26-04-2020 09:09PM

Strumms

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 26,794 ✭✭✭✭

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Posts: 26384

Spencer Brown wrote: »

Where do you live? It must be party central as I haven't seen any parties around here. Is there load of parties going on around your parts?

Yes there is a party in my pants, ohhh sorry parts... err right... no here no is quiet, when the restrictions were made come into force not much changed, actually saw a good bit of stupidity , but I think as a couple of weeks passed and the reality started to sink in and the actual implications to people’s lives started to hit home and they realized that the only way out of this IS copping on and knuckling down with discipline for the sake of everyone...

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#5445 26-04-2020 09:20PM

coastwatch

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Posts: 899

walshb wrote: »

Is there talk of them testing 100 thousand a day?

This some sort of wind up?

Eileen Whelan 9 o’clock news says this for mid May..

Then the following report says 100k a week...

Can our broadcasters not get this right?

Second tone recently this glaring cockup. George Lee also said 100k a day due.

George is not good with numbers and now he has infected Eileen.

It's 100k per week

0
#5446 26-04-2020 09:24PM

growleaves

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Find me one solitary example of anyone saying this.

Go on

I'm not trawling back through all these threads now that there is 26 of them, but I do remember individual posters saying it. We had people predicting final mortality rates of 1-7% and one poster even predicted 21%. That puts us into tens of millions dead territory.

The poster I responded to posted a chart 2 weeks ago which seemed to show that covid-19 would be far deadlier than the 1957 pandemic (1.5 million dead) by many multiples, which I disputed.

Many of these remarks are scattered throughout other posts on the forum. I don't keep a series of "I told you so" bookmarks.

More to the point, the models by Dr. Neil Ferguson and his Imperial College Covid Response team predicted in mid-March that coronavirus would be deadlier than the Spanish Flu.

The UK government abandoned their "herd immunity" strategy and went into lockdown based on this assumption.

The creator of this site, DeVore created a number of posts explicating the Imperial models. I'm not digging these posts up - they are there if you want to look for them. Myself and others on these threads objected to the assumption that Dr. Ferguson's modelling was correct, based on his huge over-estimations previously in the foot-and-mouth crisis.

Relevant:

Post #8132

0
#5447 26-04-2020 09:24PM

owlbethere

Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭

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Posts: 2291

Strazdas wrote: »

Though it's debatable how risky this outdoor play would be compared to adults doing the same. Prof Luke O'Neill said during the week that there is virtually no evidence now that children are 'super spreaders'.

Classrooms are a different matter, indoors and everyone on top of each other.

Surely if children become infected with the virus, they can transmit the virus to those around them if they cough/sneeze/snotty nose.

0
#5448 26-04-2020 09:26PM

walshb

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coastwatch wrote: »

George is not good with numbers and now he has infected Eileen.

It's 100k per week

Yes. Twice now this ridiculous error...

Really is poor...

0
#5449 26-04-2020 09:27PM

Beanybabog

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Posts: 1402

Will the numbers in nursing homes tell us anything about the spread - can they be used to make guesses as to the actual number in the community? I read one article said 179 nursing homes had clusters- with around 550 nursing homes in Ireland that seems high, given the overall % of cases in the country based on the tests.

0
#5450 26-04-2020 09:33PM

Beasty

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Posts: 73462

walshb wrote: »

Is there talk of them testing 100 thousand a day?

This some sort of wind up?

Eileen Whelan 9 o’clock news says this for mid May..

Then the following report says 100k a week...

Can our broadcasters not get this right?

Second time recently this glaring cockup. George Lee also said 100k a day due.

It's only ever going to be 100k a week. The UK are looking to get o 100k a day but are probably going to struggle to get to that many for some time yet

Of course 100k a week is around 15k a day - wonder why they didn't simply say that - it was good enough the last time they said we would be getting to 15k a day, but that was a few weeks ago:rolleyes:

0
#5451 26-04-2020 09:34PM

walshb

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Posts: 58190

Beasty wrote: »

It's only ever going to be 100k a week. The UK are looking to get o 100k a day but are probably going to struggle to get to that many for some time yet

Of course 100k a week is around 15k a day - wonder why they didn't simply say that - it was good enough the last time they said we would be getting to 15k a day, but that was a few weeks ago:rolleyes:

I know..

Wish they’d clean up their act. Not that difficult thing to report on!

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#5452 26-04-2020 09:37PM

wakka12

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Posts: 9740

Lowest deaths today in the US since March 31st

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#5453 26-04-2020 09:44PM

Jim_Hodge

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Posts: 10995

wakka12 wrote: »

Lowest deaths today in the US since March 31st

They always take a big dip in the US on Sundays. Let's wait until Tuesday before any assumptions.

0
#5454 26-04-2020 10:08PM

Away With The Fairies

Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,077 ✭✭✭

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Posts: 3942

Who's reporting the recovery cases? We were very slow with the recovery cases at first, now it's just under 10,000 recovery cases.

0
#5455 26-04-2020 10:11PM

ek motor

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wakka12 wrote: »

Lowest deaths today in the US since March 31st

Weekend dip

0
#5456 26-04-2020 10:12PM

Jim_Hodge

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Posts: 10995

Away With The Fairies wrote: »

Who's reporting the recovery cases? We were very slow with the recovery cases at first, now it's just under 10,000 recovery cases.

It's low priority stuff and was just reported once about 20th April.

0
#5457 26-04-2020 10:17PM

tobefrank321

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Posts: 4506

s1ippy wrote: »

https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1254130742600380422?s=19

How lovely that they get to go on day trips. Can't see anything wrong here.

Same applies to any visitor from outside the state. The 2km restriction can't be applied to them.

0
#5458 26-04-2020 10:46PM

Polar101

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,039 ✭✭✭

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Posts: 3892

Beasty wrote: »

It's only ever going to be 100k a week. The UK are looking to get o 100k a day but are probably going to struggle to get to that many for some time yet

Of course 100k a week is around 15k a day - wonder why they didn't simply say that - it was good enough the last time they said we would be getting to 15k a day, but that was a few weeks ago:rolleyes:

When I was reading the "100k a day" stories, it just sounded ridiculously high and unrealistic, good to hear it wasn't actually the case. 100k a day wouldn't have made any sense in a country this small.

I think I read yesterday on Irish Times that the UK capacity is around ~41k a day, so they'd need to more than double it to get to 100k.

0
#5459 26-04-2020 10:53PM

BorneTobyWilde

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,635 ✭✭✭✭

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Posts: 37578

DevilsHaircut wrote: »

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1254480884801167366

Another success for the Trump Drug, he was indeed in a '' what have you got to lose moment''

0
#5460 26-04-2020 10:53PM

1800_Ladladlad

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,454 ✭✭✭

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Posts: 3360

link

Loads of dip****s out today that were not making any sort of an effort to distance themselves.

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#5461 26-04-2020 11:07PM

BorneTobyWilde

Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,635 ✭✭✭✭

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Posts: 37578

1800_Ladladlad wrote: »

link

Loads of dip****s out today that were not making any sort of an effort to distance themselves.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8258383/More-people-leave-homes-flock-DIY-stores-parks-despite-Covid-19-lockdown.html

It was a free for all in UK.

0

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