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Covid19 Part XVI- 21,983 in ROI (1,339 deaths) 3,881 in NI (404 deaths)(05/05)Read OP

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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,474 ✭✭✭Obvious Desperate Breakfasts


    I'm not going to get into this nonsense with you again.

    They said there was no human to human transmission. This is a matter of record, not open to dispute. They were wrong. They were also wrong about banning travel to and from hotspots. Again not open to dispute.

    They are now on their own webpage calling into question the accuracy of antibody tests, tests which are critical for front line workers for example.

    Their mistakes deliberate or otherwise have cost tens of thousands of lives.

    They said there was no evidence. That wasn't emphatically saying there isn't person to person transmission. It's saying there was an absence of evidence. Which was true. So what you are saying here is very much open to dispute.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 464 ✭✭Iamabeliever


    Living In a commuter town (high pop), I really don't see the point in half of us obeying restrictions and the other half not. It is absolute pointless


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    https://pitchfork.com/news/detroit-dance-music-legend-mike-huckaby-has-died/

    54 year old Detroit musician dies of stroke complications after contracting covid

    I really hope these stories of the correlation with strokes in younger COVID patients just turns out to be relatively rare anomally


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,474 ✭✭✭Obvious Desperate Breakfasts


    But why given that a million people have recovered with no evidence of reinfection they base their advise on a study or studies which the authors themselves admit they cannot explain the causes of positives after recovery. The authors said there may be a number of explanations, not just reinfection.

    Its jumping the gun to come to any conclusion but thats exactly what the WHO did.

    They didn't come to any conclusion. "There's no evidence for" is not an unequivocal statement. To anyone with decent reading comprehension skills anyway. Maybe they are giving people far too much credit by not dumbing it down.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,474 ✭✭✭Obvious Desperate Breakfasts


    They didn't say we are not sure if there is evidence or no evidence for immunity.

    They ignored any evidence for immunity.

    They ignore 1 million cured in favour of a small study or studies where even the authors can't explain the reason for the results.

    If a new drug was discovered in the morning that cured 99% of covid 19 patients, would you argue there's no evidence for a cure? Of course.

    1 million recovered tells us nothing about whether there is lasting immunity on its own. :confused:

    People weren't cured either, they recovered.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,818 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    1 million recovered tells us nothing about whether there is lasting immunity on its own. :confused:

    People weren't cured either, they recovered.

    I'm beginning to think that that poster has some serous comprehension difficulties.

    Recovering from something and being cured aren't necessarily the same thing, as you correctly state ODB. Just the same as saying that having no evidence doesn't equate to concluding whether something is or isn't happening.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,474 ✭✭✭Obvious Desperate Breakfasts


    Tony EH wrote: »
    I'm beginning to think that that poster has some serous comprehension difficulties.

    Recovering from something and being cured aren't necessarily the same thing, as you correctly state ODB. Just the same as saying that having no evidence doesn't equate to concluding whether something is or isn't happening.

    But feels comfortable pontificating about what the health service, labs and WHO should be doing based on fairly blatant Wikipedia-level science knowledge.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,818 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    But feels comfortable pontificating about what the health service, labs and WHO should be doing based on fairly blatant Wikipedia-level science knowledge.

    Mmmmmm.

    I'll give them the benefit of the doubt and assume that it's the drink talking.

    Of course, I have no EVIDENCE of that, which means I cannot come to a conclusion either way. :pac:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    ek motor wrote: »
    There are over 70 vaccines announced currently. A few are in Phase 1 human trials. One in America, one in UK and one being developed by Sinovac in China.

    I have high hopes for the London trial. I hope the American vaccine succeeds too because there was Galway man working in a lab in Washington working on a vaccine. It would be super if an Irish person had a part to play in a vaccine.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Gretas Gonna Get Ya!


    wakka12 wrote: »
    https://pitchfork.com/news/detroit-dance-music-legend-mike-huckaby-has-died/

    54 year old Detroit musician dies of stroke complications after contracting covid

    I really hope these stories of the correlation with strokes in younger COVID patients just turns out to be relatively rare anomally

    Perhaps younger people might take this more serious, if they knew it wasn't just old folks that could have serious complications... could have a silver lining in a strange way!


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,818 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    owlbethere wrote: »
    I have high hopes for the London trial. I hope the American vaccine succeeds too because there was Galway man working in a lab in Washington working on a vaccine. It would be super if an Irish person had a part to play in a vaccine.

    If a working vaccine is even partially developed within the close of the year, it'll be absolutely remarkable, to say the very least.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    Tony EH wrote: »
    If a working vaccine is even partially developed within the close of the year, it'll be absolutely remarkable, to say the very least.

    I think in London there were working on a vaccine even before this virus emerged and all they had to do was tweak a bits or something. Trials started on Thursday in London. Fingers crossed it goes well.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    Vitamin K2 is supposed to help with blood clotting. Vitamin k2 can be found in green leafy vegetables.

    When someone gets flu they are generally too unwell to eat and keep down food. My understanding of aches and pains experienced during a flu is that, is body is drawing nutrients from anywhere in the body to keep functioning and keep going.

    It wouldn't be any harm to be prepared with a multivitamin that contains the vitamin k2.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,253 ✭✭✭joeguevara


    owlbethere wrote: »
    I think in London there were working on a vaccine even before this virus emerged and all they had to do was tweak a bits or something. Trials started on Thursday in London. Fingers crossed it goes well.

    I don’t think a vaccine could be worked on prior to the virus as each virus has its own specific makeup and the differing vector and acid. You are definitely correct that vaccines were worked on for the Corona group and more specifically Mers and SARS but for Covid 19 only after the virus emerged.

    There appears to be breakthroughs in different parts of the vaccine but it realistically could be developed in 6 months or 10 years. We will have to wait and also learn as much as we can about repelling the virus, treating the virus and vaccinating against as either one of those three could be the key to beating it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,818 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    owlbethere wrote: »
    I think in London there were working on a vaccine even before this virus emerged and all they had to do was tweak a bits or something. Trials started on Thursday in London. Fingers crossed it goes well.

    Fingers crossed for sure.

    But bear in mind that the common cold has yet to be vaccinated successfully and AFAIK, that is a Coronavirus too, albeit on a non-fatal level. Also, no vaccine was found for SARS either.

    Out of everything to do with this Coronavirus outbreak, my own biggest pause for thought has been that if Covid-19 were to successfully mutate into variant strands every year or every few years that circumvent potential vaccines, we could be looking at a very bad situation indeed, that could leave humanity living with this virus for the indefinite future.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,331 ✭✭✭✭Atlantic Dawn
    GDY151


    Tony EH wrote: »
    If a working vaccine is even partially developed within the close of the year, it'll be absolutely remarkable, to say the very least.


    It will be up there with Toyota developing a nuclear reactor small enough to fit in the glovebox of a Yaris for free fuel for life, it ain't going to happen any time soon in the next decade basically.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Gretas Gonna Get Ya!


    Tony EH wrote: »
    Fingers crossed for sure.

    But bear in mind that the common cold has yet to be vaccinated successfully and AFAIK, that is a Coronavirus too, albeit on a non-fatal level. Also, no vaccine was found for SARS either.

    Out of everything to do with this Coronavirus outbreak, my own biggest pause for thought has been that if Covid-19 were to successfully mutate into variant strands every year or every few years that circumvent potential vaccines, we could be looking at a very bad situation indeed, that could leave humanity living with this virus for the indefinite future.

    There really hasn't been a major virus or disease in human history, that we haven't at least managed to get under reasonable control... even if it wasn't possible to outright cure it.

    This is a huge challenge for both medical science and society. But we probably couldn't be living in a better period in human history, in terms of doing battle with something like this.

    Of course, the counter argument might be that there could always be some super-virus out there, that will threaten our very existence as a species... that's the worry I suppose. But then a virus needs living hosts to survive itself, so it doesn't actually make much sense for it to be that deadly. (Assuming it's created by nature, and not cooked up in a lab by people with evil intentions)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,329 ✭✭✭owlbethere


    Tony EH wrote: »
    Fingers crossed for sure.

    But bear in mind that the common cold has yet to be vaccinated successfully and AFAIK, that is a Coronavirus too, albeit on a non-fatal level. Also, no vaccine was found for SARS either.

    Out of everything to do with this Coronavirus outbreak, my own biggest pause for thought has been that if Covid-19 were to successfully mutate into variant strands every year or every few years that circumvent potential vaccines, we could be looking at a very bad situation indeed, that could leave humanity living with this virus for the indefinite future.

    The common cold is mild and doesn't cause serious effects on the body so there's been no reason to develop a vaccine for the common cold. The common cold is easy to treat at home too with plenty of fluids and generally it doesn't floor someone.

    My understanding of SARS is that it wasn't as contagious as this new virus and it was contained and it died out.


    You are right though. MERS emerged in 2012. Its not as contagious and it was contained but its still around today. That would be my worry here. MERS is from the same family as this SARS and there was 8 years to develop a vaccine for that one.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,818 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


    owlbethere wrote: »
    The common cold is mild and doesn't cause serious effects on the body so there's been no reason to develop a vaccine for the common cold.

    As far as I know, there have been numerous attempts to find a cure for the common cold and none have been successful. I think at this stage, we have just sorta given up, because it only puts us out of action for a few days anyway.

    However, whether the common cold is "mild" or not, is not the point I'm getting at. The point I'm making is that if Covid can mutate like the common cold does, we are in a very serious predicament indeed.
    owlbethere wrote: »
    My understanding of SARS is that it wasn't as contagious as this new virus and it was contained and it died out.

    I think you're correct. SARS wasn't as contagious. Nor did it have the number of asymptomatic carriers, which is the real separation point for both Coronaviruses. Covid-19 was able to spread so fast and undetected because there were so many people walking around with it and they didn't know.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 498 ✭✭JP100


    Sad to say it but the rest of 2020 is a write off. It's now only if 2021 brings alot more positive experience and there's no guarantee of that either.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Gretas Gonna Get Ya!


    Tony EH wrote: »
    As far as I know, there have been numerous attempts to find a cure for the common cold and none have been successful. I think at this stage, we have just sorta given up, because it only puts us out of action for a few days anyway.

    However, whether the common cold is "mild" or not, is not the point I'm getting at. The point I'm making is that if Covid can mutate like the common cold does, we are in a very serious predicament indeed.

    The common cold is not a coronavirus, it's a rhinovirus...

    And the early research suggests that the coronavirus causing covid19 does not mutate anywhere near as fast as something like the common cold or even seasonal flu.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,155 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    The common cold is not a coronavirus, it's a rhinovirus...

    And the early research suggests that the coronavirus causing covid19 does not mutate anywhere near as fast as something like the common cold or even seasonal flu.

    There's many viruses that cause the common cold, coronavirus is one of them


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Gretas Gonna Get Ya!


    JP100 wrote: »
    Sad to say it but the rest of 2020 is a write off. It's now only if 2021 brings alot more positive experience and there's no guarantee of that either.

    Many people are worried about summer being written off by this... but really that is short-sighted. (Not to mention shallow and trivial too) We need to get this under control before the flu season next autumn and winter... forget about getting a grip on this in the next couple of months.

    Nobody should really care about summer being ruined anyway... when people are dying.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,366 ✭✭✭dePeatrick


    The common cold is not a coronavirus, it's a rhinovirus...

    And the early research suggests that the coronavirus causing covid19 does not mutate anywhere near as fast as something like the common cold or even seasonal flu.
    How fast does it mutate? Has it mutated much already?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Gretas Gonna Get Ya!


    fritzelly wrote: »
    There's many viruses that cause the common cold, coronavirus is one of them

    Far more commonly it's a rhinovirus though. Coronaviruses only make up a very small % typically.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,155 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Far more commonly it's a rhinovirus though. Coronaviruses only make up a very small % typically.

    15% and you claimed it wasn't coronavirus


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,155 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    dePeatrick wrote: »
    How fast does it mutate? Has it mutated much already?

    RNA viruses mutate a lot (already dozens and dozens of identified mutations with this) - doesn't make much difference as the underlying structure is the same
    There is another type of mutation that radically affects the virus but that hasn't happened (yet)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Gretas Gonna Get Ya!


    fritzelly wrote: »
    15% and you claimed it wasn't coronavirus

    It can sometimes be 15% influenza too.

    But to classify it as a coronavirus, would be inaccurate... as it can often be up to 80% a rhinovirus.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,245 ✭✭✭Gretas Gonna Get Ya!


    dePeatrick wrote: »
    How fast does it mutate? Has it mutated much already?

    Yes, there have been several mutations already recorded... but based on what I've been reading, they think it's mutating relatively slowly right now.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,155 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    It can sometimes be 15% influenza too.

    But to classify it as a coronavirus, would be inaccurate... as it can often be up to 80% a rhinovirus.

    You made a claim that was wrong - end of story


This discussion has been closed.
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