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Covid19 Part XV - 15,251 in ROI (610 deaths) 2,645 in NI (194 deaths) (19/04) Read OP

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Comments

  • #6242
    Iamabeliever
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 464 ✭✭Iamabeliever


    statto25 wrote: »
    I totally agree which leads me to ask why were they tested then? Are we purposely keeping the numbers low so as to maintain calm with the restrictions in place? If the numbers were way higher which I believe they are, would the adherence to the rules be so successful?

    Ignorance is blind


  • #6243
    wakka12
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    Lockdown in the UK extended until at least May 7th


  • #6244
    bilston
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,163 ✭✭✭✭bilston


    What Username Guidelines wrote: »
    Another jump in Italy :( 3,786 new cases and 525 new deaths

    Might be the Easter holiday lag. Numbers had been a lot lower recently.


  • #6245
    ACitizenErased
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,865 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Reminder we'll be seeing the new and updated modelling from Prof. Phillip Nolan at the 6:30 briefing. Worth tuning in.


  • #6246
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    An Ciarraioch wrote: »
    Contained for now at least - that number could rise again if the easing of lockdowns in stages happens too quickly.

    My view - 2 weeks of R0 below 1 and two further weeks to confirm it is being maintained - in which case they should plan for light easing from the 11th of May


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  • #6247
    is_that_so
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Larbre34 wrote: »
    I don't think we are failing to isolate cases properly at all. The vast majority of people feeling ill are taking overt measures to isolate themselves in line with HSE guidance, there is a widespread attitude of presumptive positive. If we weren't, we wouldn't be seeing the R-0 stats of <1 we are seeing today.

    Also, the severe surge does not seem to have materialised, they are not having to use the Garda College, UL, Citywest etc it would seem.

    I'd say we have arrived in a far better place thus far, overall, than was feared.
    I think I saw a figure of 70 or so currently for Citywest.


  • #6248
    An Ciarraioch
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,806 ✭✭✭An Ciarraioch


    Deaths in Welsh care homes more than double compared with the same month last year:

    https://nation.cymru/news/senedd-roundup-deaths-in-care-homes-in-wales-more-than-double-this-time-last-year/


  • #6249
    SCOOP 64
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 5,750 ✭✭✭SCOOP 64


    What Username Guidelines wrote: »
    Another jump in Italy :( 3,786 new cases and 525 new deaths


    Italy one of the worst-hit countries during the coronavirus pandemic, have re-opened thousands of businesses this week, with millions of workers heading back to their job.
    Dont understand it myself.


  • #6250
    is_that_so
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Deleted User wrote: »
    My view - 2 weeks of R0 below 1 and two further weeks to confirm it is being maintained - in which case they should plan for light easing from the 11th of May
    I think they'll go with the original May 5th once the testing system is up and running. Not much information to be had from one extra week.


  • #6251
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    What Username Guidelines wrote: »
    Another jump in Italy :( 3,786 new cases and 525 new deaths

    look at the Italian data - they tend to get 3 low days followed by 4 high days, but the lower than the previous high days


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  • #6252
    is_that_so
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    road_high wrote: »
    Is there any evidence of it going away over summer months?
    Unknown but not something anyone is banking on, except Trump.


  • #6253
    RugbyLad11
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 547 ✭✭✭RugbyLad11


    I see the guards no longer have checkpoint set up in the city, why did it stop?

    https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/ireland/leinster/dublin/dublin-o-connell-street.html


  • #6254
    wadacrack
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,172 ✭✭✭wadacrack


    https://twitter.com/MKWilliamsRome/status/1250820527503151105


  • #6255
    wakka12
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    road_high wrote: »
    Is there any evidence of it going away over summer months?

    Theres no evidence but that doesnt mean its not possible


  • #6256
    1641
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,339 ✭✭✭1641


    silverharp wrote: »
    I see Belgium has the highest rate of deaths in the world 419 per million, do they have a nursing home problem?

    Belgium include care homes, etc. in their numbers , unlike many others (including neighbours Holland).


  • #6257
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    is_that_so wrote: »
    I think they'll go with the original May 5th once the testing system is up and running. Not much information to be had from one extra week.

    Don't know what they will go with, but 4 weeks after dropping below 1 is two full incubation cycles, which to me makes sense


  • #6258
    Mic 1972
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    SCOOP 64 wrote: »
    Italy one of the worst-hit countries during the coronavirus pandemic, have re-opened thousands of businesses this week, with millions of workers heading back to their job.
    Dont understand it myself.


    3K cases for a 60 million people country is less in % than the daily increases we get here


  • #6259
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 10,049 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    RugbyLad11 wrote: »
    I see the guards no longer have checkpoint set up in the city, why did it stop?

    https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/ireland/leinster/dublin/dublin-o-connell-street.html

    If checkpiont is always in the same place its kind of pointless


  • #6260
    Sam Russell
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,582 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Do not forget that testing is about 14 days behind infection, and death perhaps another 10 to twenty days behind infection.

    So, we are not quite into seeing the lockdown affecting infection, and a few weeks before the deaths start showing the effect of the lockdown.

    Let us hope that they begin to show soon.


  • #6261
    fr336
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,179 ✭✭✭✭fr336


    Amusing seeing the "we must get the economy going but protect the vunerable" posts - do people realise how many vunerable people live with younger, healthier people? Let's be honest, it's just window dressing. Once our own house is in order, we don't give a stuff about the community at large - we want our "freedom" and right here right now wasteful economy back.


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  • #6262
    Wombatman
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,349 ✭✭✭Wombatman


    expectationlost wrote: »
    lidl managers fault

    was it portmarnock?

    https://twitter.com/ArleneJCock/status/1250799049646714880

    cork street ?
    https://twitter.com/MichelleAMKC/status/1250780739089678337

    Rathfarnham
    https://twitter.com/RoisinMcGarr/status/1250707300026851328

    castlebar
    https://twitter.com/lidl_ireland/status/1250756152469618689

    Maybe we are seeing the "“behavioral fatigue” the British predicted?


  • #6263
    is_that_so
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Deleted User wrote: »
    Don't know what they will go with, but 4 weeks after dropping below 1 is two full incubation cycles, which to me makes sense
    It's not just R0, the testing system is a big element of getting out of this. The problem of an extra week is the much greater risk of people just flouting it as a week just looks like a random number.


  • #6264
    caveat emptor
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    That deal on the private hospital beds looking like a farce.

    https://twitter.com/paulmurphy_TD/status/1250816347115851778?s=20


  • #6265
    Snow Garden
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,126 ✭✭✭Snow Garden


    https://www.jpost.com/health-science/israeli-scientists-in-three-weeks-we-will-have-coronavirus-vaccine-619101
    Israeli scientists: 'In a few weeks, we will have coronavirus vaccine'
    Once the vaccine is developed, it will take at least 90 days to complete the regulatory process and potentially more to enter the marketplace.
    “Let’s call it pure luck,” he said. “We decided to choose coronavirus as a model for our system just as a proof of concept for our technology.”


  • #6266
    BorneTobyWilde
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 38,783 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8225759/Protesters-swarm-Michigan-North-Carolina-Ohio-Utah-Wyoming-demonstrate-lockdown-orders.html

    Could gather traction. This is what Trump is speaking of when he claims people want to open up, they want to go back to normal.


  • #6267
    Red for Danger
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 128 ✭✭Red for Danger


    Does anyone really know what the **** is going on or what to do...


  • #6268
    is_that_so
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Wombatman wrote: »
    Maybe we are seeing the "“behavioural fatigue” the British predicted?
    I don't think we are too far off it. We can probably do the 18 more days but beyond that we need to see something happen.


  • #6269
    Stateofyou
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,431 ✭✭✭Stateofyou


    Red for Danger wrote: »
    Does anyone really know what the **** is going on or what to do...

    I think we're all what the f-k'g right now.


  • #6270
    wakka12
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    Six funerals per hour at some churches and cemeteries in Madrid
    https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-between-30-and-50-funerals-a-day-being-held-at-spanish-church-11974190
    "It is worse than a war" - that's how families burying their dead in Spain's worst hit region are describing the impact of the coronavirus.


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  • #6271
    smelly sock
    Closed Accounts Posts: 6,820 ✭✭✭smelly sock


    Mic 1972 wrote: »
    There is no reason for a couple or a family of 3 to go shopping together. Nobody enjoys the lockdown, we are following specific rules for our own safety not for fun

    Yes there is. Primary carers without anyone to step in and mind their loved one is a good reason why they both might have to go.

    It's no liner this thing. The rules need to be flexible to allow people to continue to function while at home. Again your another one who comes on here spouting nonsense about people not isolating etc but give no solutions to issues I have highlighted above.


This discussion has been closed.
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