Covid19 Part XV - 15,251 in ROI (610 deaths) 2,645 in NI (194 deaths) (19/04) Read OP

Michael Dwyer wrote: »

Can't believe we have a couple of Trump defenders on here. At best he's a dangerous fool.

Misguided populism brought him to power. It also brought people like Hitler to power. Trump is an egotistical charlatan in charge of the most powerful military nation on earth. And it appears like he's becoming senile, more erratic to boot.

The one good thing about Trump is he is afraid of war, the alternative had voted for every war going and is a war monger.
The US didn't have a good choice, but I know people who voted for him due to speaking out against more wars like Iraq, Libya etc
The alternative in 2016 was far more dangerous, but that is due to two terrible candidates.

World Coronavirus Cases: 1,993,645. now

It will be 2,000,000 by morning.

4 months to reach 1,000,000, 14 days to reach 2,000,000.

Exponential growth in a pandemic is really scarey.

Terrible !

Nonoperational wrote: »

For those interested I am on approx day 8 now. Feel ok still. Have a cough this evening with a small bit of chestiness to it. Still was able to get out and have a BBQ in the garden this evening. Don't feel normal though. Have a strange detachment and fatigue. I still have no sense of smell. I can't complain given the way some are suffering. I managed a 30 minute work out this morning because I though I was through it, but maybe I am paying for that this evening. Probably wansn't the smartest.

Get well soon and wishing you a speedy recovery

fritzelly wrote: »

I feel sorry for Fauci and Birx

Why

eagle eye wrote: »

Vegas is a horrible place.

Not really. its pretty nice. Vegas is not the strip BTW. Source, I live here.

And we are doing ok here so far and following the social distancing measures better than most states in the US. According to some models, we are already over the peak. If the governor decided to start opening up again gradually in May, I would be OK with and so would most people here. There's a lot of people out of work right now. Its not sustainable

The vast majority of the US is not in a situation like NYC. Some lifting of restrictions in places could be ok.

This is a really good paper showing what Iceland has done testing-wise to control their epidemic:

Spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the Icelandic Population
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2006100

Because they've done so much testing, and so much sequencing of virus from people who tested positive, they have a very detailed understanding of how the virus was introduced and transmitted.

Most of the early positive tests were from people who picked it up in the Italian and Austrian Alps. Later positives were linked to travel from the UK, Spain, USA, which weren't initially designated as high risk areas, meaning travellers weren't tested until later. From tracking the virus sequences detected over time, the authors suggest this initial oversight could have been the cause of the virus becoming established in the population.

They also figured what they think is the minimum number of people who brought it in via Reykjavik airport: 42.

They've tracked who gave it to whom in Iceland with remarkable accuracy. They give an example of 14 people who interacted with each other, and - based on virus sequences - show who could have passed it to whom, and who could not have.

They show the incidence of each of the different symptoms, and the % with none, the way the source of infection changes over time (initially mostly from travel, later more within families), and the incidence in the population over time as the epidemic declines.

By doing all this testing (10% of pop), along with contact tracing and quarantining (5% of pop), the number of new cases has come down from a peak of over a hundred in a day to nine yesterday (covid.is/data).

We also know that eight people have died and 989 have been discharged after recovering, for a closed CFR of 0.8%.

The ongoing random population survey shows there could have been ~2k people infected at the start of April, yet only 400 cases have been detected through targeted testing since then. That tells us that many mild or asymptomatic cases are undetected, so the true infection fatality rate will be substantially below 0.8%.
That said, they've also been able to keep the infection away from the elderly (under 5% of cases are over 70 compared with 10% of the population), which no doubt has prevented deaths.

Blueshoe wrote: »

3,529 in Europe today too. Just numbers on a screen. Crazy stuff

Covid 19 Lives Matter, everyone
& Everytime

Crazy to think there’s Humans still trading in wet shops in China. I legit felt guilty having to go Chemist to get a cream for my Mother who I’m caring for, but there’s actual Humans still doing what they do in these hotbed type of environments where Viruses can thrive. Fooking unbelievable when you think about it!

Sorry if I’m coming across as Racist in PC Land.

he said 'bats'

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

It's like 9/11 everyday , yet because it's so common now no one bats an eyelid. The whole world has become desensitised to mass loss of life,

kyote00 wrote: »

no one bats an eyelid

he said 'bats'

Eye of newt, and toe of frog, wool of bat, and tongue of dog. Adder's fork, and blind-worm's sting. Lizard's leg, and howlet's wing.

Sweden is looking like they made a big mistake.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/sweden