CoVid19 Part XIV - 8,089 in ROI (288 deaths) 1,589 in NI (92 deaths) (10/04) Read OP

wakka12 · 06-04-2020 05:59PM

Blanco100 wrote: »

Uk deaths are down by a third to 434. Still alot, but seems to be stabilizing.

I would say measures are not in place long enough in the UK to have taken effect yet

Coyote · 06-04-2020 05:59PM

Number updated to match today's report
I believe that there is up to 3 week delay from someone being infected to it being reported
if you were infected on the 16th and take 4-5 days to become sick then 3-4 days to get a test and 7 days for the results we will only start to see the lock down affect numbers slowly this week

we are not beating this yet we need the number to keep dropping
if we stay at 7% in 3 weeks infected would be 24K

No Change in number

Slow Change

Big Drop in numbers

again with all of this I'm just trying to show people the 14 day delay in an change in how we deal with this
if you wait till we are overloaded it's too late

interesting visualization of covid19
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/

Ficheall · 06-04-2020 05:59PM

podgeandrodge wrote: »

are people confident that the "lower" figures we are still getting are down to a success, or is it still a risky figure given low testing rates still?

Some people were trumpeting success when the numbers were still just blowing up, so probably best not to read too much into it.

I've given up looking at case numbers, and just look at death numbers now. My optimism may lag a little as a result :P

Brianmwalker · 06-04-2020 06:00PM

KathleenGrant wrote: »

At a lower rate. Flattening the curve. It's not that hard to understand.

101 to 102 to 103 is not flatening!

AllGunsBlazing · 06-04-2020 06:00PM

Italy may have taken a bullet for us.

If it wasn't for the horror being visited upon that country I do wonder if we would have taken social distancing quite so seriously?

spookwoman · 06-04-2020 06:00PM

Where those who numbers came from ref 5111

https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/geographical-distribution-2019-ncov-cases

Level 42 · 06-04-2020 06:01PM

stephenjmcd wrote: »

https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1247205688490811398?s=19

In other words no we'll extend this.

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if the lockdown wasn't extended id be worried

KathleenGrant · 06-04-2020 06:01PM

Brianmwalker wrote: »

101 to 102 to 103 is not flatening!

It actually is.

igCorcaigh · 06-04-2020 06:01PM

Brianmwalker wrote: »

101 to 102 to 103 is not flatening!

It is though... The rate of increase tells you the slope of the curve.

take everything · 06-04-2020 06:02PM

SleetAndSnow wrote: »

99 in nursing homes now

Isn't it 99 nursing homes

owlbethere · 06-04-2020 06:02PM

There you go lads - a journalist taking Tony on about the mean and average

wakka12 · 06-04-2020 06:02PM

Only 4 of the 16 people who died today had underlying conditions

JP Liz V1 · 06-04-2020 06:02PM

podgeandrodge wrote: »

are people confident that the "lower" figures we are still getting are down to a success, or is it still a risky figure given low testing rates still?

We have testing back log, results delays and lost swabs, we need to up the testing imho

normanoffside · 06-04-2020 06:02PM

What a gobSh1te of a reporter asking for the average rather than the mean :rolleyes:

stephenjmcd · 06-04-2020 06:02PM

https://twitter.com/rtenews/status/1247207566632943616?s=19

He also added in that they would require the lab capacity to be fully up to lift any restrictions

fritzelly · 06-04-2020 06:02PM

owlbethere wrote: »

There you go lads - a journalist taking Tony on about the mean and average

And being educated on it

Fr_Dougal · 06-04-2020 06:03PM

fritzelly wrote: »

476 additional cases from German testing - is that additional???

Where did this figure come from, did they announce it in the press conference?

fritzelly · 06-04-2020 06:03PM

Doesn't look like anyone is gonna ask about the German tests

Fr_Dougal wrote: »

Where did this figure come from, did they announce it in the press conference?

Yes

Ficheall · 06-04-2020 06:03PM

AllGunsBlazing wrote: »

Italy may have taken a bullet for us.

If it wasn't for the horror being visited upon that country I do wonder if we would have taken social distancing quite so seriously?

And China...

NegativeCreep · 06-04-2020 06:04PM

normanoffside wrote: »

What a gobSh1te of a reporter asking for the average rather than the mean :rolleyes:

He’s asking for the average rather than the median. 2 different things

Arghus · 06-04-2020 06:04PM

Ciúnas cailín capall bainne

AlmightyCushion · 06-04-2020 06:05PM

Fr_Dougal wrote: »

Where did this figure come from, did they announce it in the press conference?

Tony holohan mentioned it in the press conference.

JP Liz V1 · 06-04-2020 06:05PM

is_that_so wrote: »

He said they were older tests and by the sounds of it more for modelling.

Sorry but what does for modelling mean?

normanoffside · 06-04-2020 06:06PM

NegativeCreep wrote: »

He’s asking for the average rather than the median. 2 different things

You've just made the same mistake as the journalist.

This is it · 06-04-2020 06:07PM

wakka12 wrote: »

Only 4 of the 16 people who died today had underlying conditions

Well he said that so far it has only been indicated that 4 of the 16 had underlying conditions, that's not to say that "only" 4 had underlying conditions.

easypazz · 06-04-2020 06:07PM

Brianmwalker wrote: »

I don't understand the love of lower %s.it doesn't mean much.
Say you have 1000 cases then 100 so 10% increase. Next days you have 101,102,103, etc. % keeps going down. Actual number keeps going up!

We have 5364 cases since the start. 370 new today.

But how many of the 5364 recovered today?

Eventually the number of recovered each day exceeds the new and the number of live cases begins to recede, as we pass the peak.

ACitizenErased · 06-04-2020 06:07PM

wakka12 wrote: »

Only 4 of the 16 people who died today had underlying conditions

That are known. That doesn't mean only 4. All 16 could have had underlying conditions, they're just not known.

kilkenny31 · 06-04-2020 06:07PM

Were doing pretty good. Deaths and New cases are around the same for well over a week now.

Seamai · 06-04-2020 06:07PM

Fr_Dougal wrote: »

Where did this figure come from, did they announce it in the press conference?

Pay attention Father! ðŸ˜œ

Ficheall · 06-04-2020 06:08PM

Arghus wrote: »

Ciúnas cailín capall bainne

cailín capall -> bóthar cailín

Smh.

CoVid19 Part XIV - 8,089 in ROI (288 deaths) 1,589 in NI (92 deaths) (10/04) Read OP

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