CoVid19 Part XII - 4,604 in ROI (137 deaths) 998 in NI (56 deaths)(04/04) Read OP

splinter65 · 02-04-2020 05:47PM

Local_Chap wrote: »

200 staff and 100 residents, surely that can't be right?

With 100 residents they’d need at least 200 staff.

me89 · 02-04-2020 05:47PM

owlbethere wrote: »

Got a call earlier of someone who has the symptoms of the virus. I don't know what his test status is. Guess where he was? Cheltenham.

I'm glad our government stepped up at the right time and cancelled the St Patricks day parades or we would be in a worse position now.

I doubt it's from Cheltenham at this stage, Cheltenham finished 3 weeks tomorrow.

bennyl10 · 02-04-2020 05:47PM

JP Liz V1 wrote: »

RIP those 13

That's high in new cases

No it’s not.
Not at all.

It’s in fact quite low

hotmail.com · 02-04-2020 05:47PM

I've said a few days ago here.

Nursing homes struggle retaining staff in good times, but if many of the staff are isolating, who is looking after the residents in these homes?

I shudder to think about older people not getting bathed etc at the moment.

Cody montana · 02-04-2020 05:47PM

Ace2007 wrote: »

Oh really, I thought that this was a medical and economics forum, given some of the advice being thrown around on a day basis.

:rolleyes:

Well it’s not.

RebelButtMunch · 02-04-2020 05:47PM

Strazdas wrote: »

Dr Holohan says he hopes / expects to see new case growth dropping 'by the end of next week'.

That has to be joke. I thought they're ramping up testing

normanoffside · 02-04-2020 05:47PM

poppers wrote: »

Cheltenham ended 3 weeks ago. I think anyone showing symptoms from now got it somewhere else.

They could have got it from someone who went to Cheltenham or someone who got it from someone who went to Cheltenham.

podgeandrodge · 02-04-2020 05:48PM

Strazdas wrote: »

Dr Holohan says he hopes / expects to see new case growth dropping 'by the end of next week'.

That would be so great to hear, and give a bit of hope to people. So long as it isn't down to low testing rates.

Ace2007 · 02-04-2020 05:48PM

Local_Chap wrote: »

200 staff and 100 residents, surely that can't be right?

No it was 100 in total, 35% (or 70) staff tested positive

CitizenFloor · 02-04-2020 05:49PM

podgeandrodge wrote: »

When the pubs open, I intend to give them a lot of business for as long as my liver holds out!

A true patriot

FVP3 · 02-04-2020 05:49PM

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Incredible story from China of the Americans snatching consignments of masks meant for France. They showed up with "wads of cash".

The supplies are now not going to France.

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/amphtml/face-masks-china-intended-france-101726494.html?__twitter_impression=true

Time Europeans realised the US is our enemy.

SweetCaliber · 02-04-2020 05:49PM

402 new Cases today, 13 new Deaths.

Table with 10% prediction for April and charts:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IMavHMFAT59NaRmSJxfHIVxAhiT46CmzL0tj0Esqalc/

poppers · 02-04-2020 05:49PM

endainoz wrote: »

If it takes nearly two weeks to get results, and if you factor in the incubation period it absolutely could come from Cheltenham.

I said anyone showing symptoms from now on never mentioned anything about people waiting for tests or results

Strazdas · 02-04-2020 05:49PM

RebelButtMunch wrote: »

That has to be joke. I thought they're ramping up testing

There are anecdotal reports of fewer people being admitted to hospitals in the last 24-48 hours.

Bob24 · 02-04-2020 05:49PM

fr336 wrote: »

I'm guessing it wouldn't be too wise to get a takeaway such as a Domino's at the present time? Not because of contact with the driver, more infection via the food etc or am I being OTT?

Yeah I think the highest risk would be for whoever baked/packaged the pizza to be contaminated and leave some droplets on the food after cooking or on the inside of the box (ideally Dominos’s could give surgical masks to whomever takes the pizzas from the oven and puts them into the boxes to alleviate that risk, but I am not sure they can).

In the grand scheme of things and assuming you’re not getting them too often it is a fairly low risk. But it is there.

Loafing Oaf · 02-04-2020 05:50PM

Strazdas wrote: »

Dr Holohan says he hopes / expects to see new case growth dropping 'by the end of next week'.

Likely 'hoping' for a drop sooner than that but doesn't want to give a hostage to fortune...

c.p.w.g.w · 02-04-2020 05:50PM

In relation to Dr Holohan speaking about contacts.

I have 1 at home...but in work I had 14 contacts in my 7 hour shift last night alone...yet we are "essential".

I have taken the steps to pretty much isolate myself in my day to day but have to go to work unless i want to get the sack

SleetAndSnow · 02-04-2020 05:50PM

So 84 deaths were not in an ICU setting. I assume the rest were nursing homes etc? Very sad

02-04-2020 05:50PM

stephenjmcd wrote: »

The 402 new cases is fully expected given the tighter testing criteria and this is what they wanted to have a higher positive report out of tested cases.

Still only what, 11% or so too?

branie2 · 02-04-2020 05:50PM

May the 13 people who died rest in peace.

iwillyeah1234 · 02-04-2020 05:51PM

Cheekpieces wrote: »

Cause its absolute bull**** from the worst rag out there

Telegraph corroborates part of the Mail story
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/royal-family/2020/04/01/andrew-parker-bowles-coronavirus-diagnosis-sparks-fears-royals/

kg703 · 02-04-2020 05:51PM

me89 wrote: »

I doubt it's from Cheltenham at this stage, Cheltenham finished 3 weeks tomorrow.

My colleagues were at Cheltenham(working), some got symptoms straight away and one only started showing at the end of last week. A good few still sick. The worst comes towards the end for a lot.

Separately, my sister in laws symptoms started around the 11th March, was in contact with a confirmed case a week before that and just got a positive test result and was told to isolate until April 12th..... thats a month!

Charles Babbage · 02-04-2020 05:52PM

ecoli3136 wrote: »

Still only what, 11% or so too?

Higher I suspect, as they are not reaching their target number of tests.

bennyl10 · 02-04-2020 05:53PM

If only 14 deaths are form ICU
Just how many have been in nursing homes? How bad is that situation looking now we have that figure

Cork Boy 53 · 02-04-2020 05:53PM

splinter65 wrote: »

We’re getting the better of this.

Are we? The death toll will probably be in triple figures by tomorrow and the number in ICU will also be up. And we have a long way to go before hitting the peak.

02-04-2020 05:53PM

Charles Babbage wrote: »

Higher I suspect, as they are not reaching their target number of tests.

11% growth on positive tests.

While I accept that there is a high multiple of undiagnosed cases out there the trend is still encouraging.

iwillyeah1234 · 02-04-2020 05:53PM

kg703 wrote: »

My colleagues were at Cheltenham(working), some got symptoms straight away and one only started showing at the end of last week. A good few still sick. The worst comes towards the end for a lot.

Separately, my sister in laws symptoms started around the 11th March, was in contact with a confirmed case a week before that and just got a positive test result and was told to isolate until April 12th..... thats a month!

There has been one outlier case in China that had a infection to symptoms span of 49 days! ( maybe a mutation of Corona)

Coyote · 02-04-2020 05:53PM

Number updated to match today's report

I have updated the % needing ICU to 6%, I also left the number of new cases going forward as the testing numbers are unsure

No Change in number

Slow Change

Big Drop in numbers

again with all of this I'm just trying to show people the 14 day delay in an change in how we deal with this
if you wait till we are overloaded it's too late
everyone has to make up there own mind but at least look at the maths
if anyone has questions or thinks it could be changed with better data let me know

interesting visualization of covid19
http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/

you need to decide what you do today to affect 3 weeks from now

bennyl10 · 02-04-2020 05:55PM

Cork Boy 53 wrote: »

Are we? The death toll will probably be in triple figures by tomorrow and the number in ICU will also be up. And we have a long way to go before hitting the peak.

According to the CMO we do not have that long to go at all.

People just can’t panic in the coming days when figures go up!

gozunda · 02-04-2020 05:55PM

Professor Moriarty wrote: »

A silver lining in that cloud is that they have surpassed the 60% required for herd immunity.

How the fuk do you figure that finding exactly?

'Herd immunity' without vaccination remains an unknown

CoVid19 Part XII - 4,604 in ROI (137 deaths) 998 in NI (56 deaths)(04/04) **Read OP**

Comments

CoVid19 Part XII - 4,604 in ROI (137 deaths) 998 in NI (56 deaths)(04/04) Read OP