CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) Read OP

Ficheall · 24-03-2020 11:38PM

woohoo!!! wrote: »

Interesting chart but incomplete without projected recoveries and deaths.

Go easy on him, he only has one arse to pull numbers out of.

Absoluvely · 24-03-2020 11:38PM

ACitizenErased wrote: »

Anyone worrying about ICU beds at 35 people rn needs to calm a little bit. My father is a senior executive in the HSE, and he has told me that ICU numbers are approaching 3 times what we had before this.

Moy daddy is the highest-earning partner in KPMG

darced · 24-03-2020 11:39PM

spookwoman wrote: »

They may have if he is saying they are up to 22/23

How could they be up to 22/23, I was tested 19th. No news, its only a text message if you are negative. That has to be bull.

briany · 24-03-2020 11:39PM

Thargor wrote: »

Is anyone else just in total shock that this is happening and how suddenly it came along? I forget about it then remember that its happening all over again a minute after my alarm goes off every morning, its absolutely mad when you think about it. Bill Gates was warning us we were completely unprepared for a pandemic in his TED talks from 2015 onwards.

Imagine if this was some kind of airborne Ebola that was actually killing 90% of the people who got it, society would just collapse.

On a human timescale, pandemics like COVID-19 are pretty rare in the west. The last thing to really compare it to was probably Spanish Flu and that was 100 years ago. If you had the extra capacity needed to deal with an epidemic always on hand, it'd probably be the first thing cut in budget restructuring.

It seems to be a poor part of human nature. As a society we're not really prepared for many of potential crises facing us. If a large asteroid struck the Earth tomorrow or a supervolcano exploded, we'd most probably say we were woefully underprepared. Even for less speculative disaster such as energy shortages or climate change - things we can visibly see coming down the line - there is very little preparedness for these eventualities. Not really surprising, therefore, that there wasn't that much epidemic readiness.

amadangomor · 24-03-2020 11:40PM

froog wrote: »

they should probably write off a big chunk of that backlog and start again with the new criteria.

Feck off. I'm breathless and tight chest etc but never had a temperature. You haven't a clue what you are talking about.

Lots of people with it don't have a temperature.

dan786 · 24-03-2020 11:40PM

The first known death of a child due to the novel coronavirus in the United States has been reported, despite the disease not typically proving severe for juveniles.

The death of a "youth under the age of 18" from Lancaster, just north of Los Angeles, was confirmed in a statement by county health officials.

MipMap · 24-03-2020 11:40PM

Fergal: Well Tony can you tell us a little bit more about the testing process.

Tony: SO .... Well Fergal with regard to the testing process we are basically hitting it in spots!

Kermit.de.frog · 24-03-2020 11:41PM

I reckon we will see our surge start some day this week. Most other countries it tends to be sudden and fast. Be surprised if we didn't see a +1,000 for a daily figure by Monday or Tuesday. We are still on the taxi way waiting for takeoff.

Rob A. Bank · 24-03-2020 11:41PM

murpho999 wrote: »

Airport is dead, flights are almost empty.

Most returning Irish people home.
People arriving from countries like Spain or Italy are required to self isolate.

I think people are placing too much focus on this.

It's spreading amongst the community not from foreigners.

A ridiculous unproven statement... It's spreading from both !

Jim_Hodge · 24-03-2020 11:41PM

WoollyRedHat wrote: »

Quick question, if someone only has one of the associated symptoms that are minor, eg sore throat, are they ok to continue as normal, unless they begin to develop other major symptoms that accompany it e.g. fever and cough?

Ask your GP. A phone call is all it takes.

punchdrunk · 24-03-2020 11:41PM

WoollyRedHat wrote: »

Quick question, if someone only has one of the associated symptoms that are minor, eg sore throat, are they ok to continue as normal, unless they begin to develop other major symptoms that accompany it e.g. fever and cough?

absolutely not- self isolate and book a test!

Quantum Erasure · 24-03-2020 11:42PM

tobefrank321 wrote: »

Suddenly how? Its called Covid 19. Its been known about since 2019!

Health authorities in Wuhan, the capital of Hubei province, China, reported a cluster of pneumonia cases of unknown cause on 31 December 2019,[230] and an investigation was launched in early January 2020

first thread here was started on 21st January, and was relatively quiet for the first month

fritzelly · 24-03-2020 11:43PM

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

I reckon we will see our surge start some day this week. Most other countries it tends to be sudden and fast. Be surprised if we didn't see a +1,000 for a daily figure by Monday or Tuesday. We are still on the taxi way waiting for takeoff.

That would require 50% of all tests to be positive at the current testing rate

darjeeling · 24-03-2020 11:43PM

is_that_so wrote: »

No, he said 22nd-23rd in the NVRL and that 18000 have received results. They also mentioned the 20000 a day looking for tests, which from the perspective of this are not practical or useful to test. I think they expect their new definitions to have much higher level of positives.

That sounds like a very good idea - if the system is clogged up with a huge backlog of tests that you know will be 95% negative, then finding a way to filter out a lot of the negatives means you can find the positives in a time that will be much more useful.

JanuarySnowstor · 24-03-2020 11:43PM

There's a swell of opinion now bubbling that some drugs that work on other diseases could well work for covid 19. Early days yet of course but if proven true it could launch us out of this crisis quicker than most could imagine!!

Logan Roy · 24-03-2020 11:43PM

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

I reckon we will see our surge start some day this week. Most other countries it tends to be sudden and fast. Be surprised if we didn't see a +1,000 for a daily figure by Monday or Tuesday. We are still on the taxi way waiting for takeoff.

Why would it take off next week if people have been mostly taking the measures seriously for more than a week? I know the incubation period can be up to 14 days but isn't the average around 6?

amadangomor · 24-03-2020 11:44PM

punchdrunk wrote: »

absolutely not- self isolate and book a test!

His GP will decide if he needs a test but yes he needs to self isolate and talk to his GP.

WoollyRedHat · 24-03-2020 11:44PM

Thanks all, I recommend this was the best course of action to an employee but feel like my advice was ignored, just wanted to confirm that I was right in advising this.

Harry Palmr · 24-03-2020 11:44PM

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

Pence talking like New York is the epicentre, Trump talks of opening up huge parts of US at Easter, isolating New York it seems

So then Escape From New York 2020 will be a very different film.

GooglePlus · 24-03-2020 11:44PM

dan786 wrote: »

The first known death of a child due to the novel coronavirus in the United States has been reported, despite the disease not typically proving severe for juveniles.

The death of a "youth under the age of 18" from Lancaster, just north of Los Angeles, was confirmed in a statement by county health officials.

Are our western ways coming back to bite?

RandomName2 · 24-03-2020 11:45PM

walshb wrote: »

Why would anyone snipe at, or praise France or Spain?

We have such close ties to Britain..makes sense that we debate them, discuss them, praise them and criticise them...

Truth be known, we’re fixated with England and Britain.

This is a European problem. We got pretty much all our cases from northern Italy, not the UK. The lack of any policy by France, Germany, or the UK to handle this crisis until relatively recently seriously jeopardized the success of any action taken here.

I've heard people criticize Johnson for not acting sooner. I think this is fair. I have heard people criticize him for his current measures being overly draconian. I think this is called 'having your cake and eating it.'

24-03-2020 11:46PM

punchdrunk wrote: »

absolutely not- self isolate and book a test!

Don’t you have to have two symptoms now, eg fever and cough, to get a test? Aren’t they trying to cut out people unlikely to have it in order to speed up the testing process?

woohoo!!! · 24-03-2020 11:46PM

FVP3 wrote: »

Assume 1% I suppose.

I would go with 1% until ICU, staff numbers, ventilator capacity is reached then that number will climb. 80% mild symptoms with 2 weeks til recovery. 14% hospitalisation but would need to get an average weeks stay, same for ICU at 6%, for the 3 scenarios outlined.

Quantum Erasure · 24-03-2020 11:47PM

Absoluvely wrote: »

Moy daddy is the highest-earning partner in KPMG

careful now...

Jin luk · 24-03-2020 11:47PM

fritzelly wrote: »

That would require 50% of all tests to be positive at the current testing rate

It will grow expotentially for around 3 weeks now and then we will see a drop due to the restrictions weve put in place.

But having non essential factorys and building sites open does not help at all. Sites in dublin are made up of mostly people from the 32counties of this country so it will be able to still spread.

xabi · 24-03-2020 11:50PM

https://twitter.com/i/events/1242561544249946112

woohoo!!! · 24-03-2020 11:50PM

Coyote wrote: »

i would agree incomplete, but ICU beds needed over a 3-4 week period do not matter that much, we have what 300-400 of them in the stays the same case with most people needing 14-24 days in ICU they are not leaving before the bed is needed, unless you count dead in 4-5 days of hospital.
if you need 12K ICU beds it does not matter who gets well if you only have 400 of them and they are used for 21 days per person

Please see post above I've posted, I'm sure I've missed some things. Your spread sheet is excellent, id do one myself but I'm useless at such things.

Corkgirl20 · 24-03-2020 11:50PM

I can not wait until this is all over !

Popquiz_hotshot · 24-03-2020 11:50PM

I work as a sales rep for a big grocery company calling to Dunnes, spar's, supervalu's every week. I do roughly 7-8 calls per day. The last few weeks has been busy and tough trying to maintain physical distance and washing hands in each call. We have been told we are essential and that our team in Italy are still working.
With 100's of reps from different companies calling to multiple shops each day across Ireland I feel it is very risky for us catching the virus or spreading it.

Cypher_sounds · 24-03-2020 11:50PM

fritzelly wrote: »

Would people stop quoting massive pictorial posts just to add one line of text - ridiculous

Maybe they are trying to use the social distancing of 2 metres on here also?

CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) *Read OP*

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CoVid19 Part X - 1,564 cases ROI (9 deaths) 209 in NI (7 deaths) (25 March) Read OP