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CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) *Read OP*

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 395 ✭✭Class MayDresser


    Gods Gift wrote: »
    Roger.

    Roger.

    What's your vector Victor?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,277 ✭✭✭✭normanoffside


    Where did Leo get the figure of 10000 by end if March? Italy had 35000 on 17th, we were 2 weeks behind according to experts when he made this statement. Our pop is circa 8% of Italy. Going by Italian figures we should be around 3k by end of March. Am I missing something?

    You are missing the fact that we have community testing while most other countries only test you when you get to hospital.

    Obviously we have a lower infection rate as a result but at the same stage higher overall numbers.

    Approx 90% of contact and symptom tested patients have no need to seek medical intervention apart from to stay home to stop spreading to others.

    I’m Amazed how people don’t realise that having higher number of cases is not a negative thing. The more the better. The death rate is the only important bit. For example, Iceland still has the highest rate of infections per head of population but has no deaths.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,181 ✭✭✭CinemaGuy45


    What's your vector Victor?

    Roger Over?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    All the deaths popping up in developing countries is very worrying, lots have a couple of deaths but a tiny number of cases, likely a huge number of cases going undetected

    Bangladesh just 24 cases and 2 deaths
    Ukraine jus 47 cases and 3 deaths
    Burkina Faso 3 deaths and just 64 cases
    Algeria 15 deaths and just 139 cases
    Iraq 17 deaths and just 200 cases


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,406 ✭✭✭alan partridge aha


    fritzelly wrote: »
    Take the figure on the day and increase it by 30% every day

    Ya but that ain't happening. 191 126 103 last 3 days


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    Do we have an updated figure for the number of ventilators available in this country?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,220 ✭✭✭cameramonkey




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,354 ✭✭✭nocoverart


    pawdee wrote: »
    All we need now is a wet summer, potato blight, bubonic plague, foot and mouth, rabies and ebola. Have I left anything out?

    Yellowstone Super Volcano, Gamma Ray Bursts and an Asteroid off the top of my head. Obviously none are Viral, just worse.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,187 ✭✭✭FVP3


    statesaver wrote: »
    He said 15000 by the end of March. No idea where he got that number from.

    Since we are not testing everyone, he probably would have meant that to be all cases. I would say thats fairly likely, assuming we catch 1 in 4 cases.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,713 ✭✭✭Gods Gift


    What's your vector Victor?

    Ok for clearance?
    Clarence.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 395 ✭✭Class MayDresser


    Roger Over?

    Striker! STRIKER!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Unfortunately Ireland does not look after people who have been laid off from their jobs temporarily due to unforeseen circumstances or been let go.

    Ireland rewards the long term unemployed with no intention of ever working.

    Maybe just maybe this could be the start of a reform of welfare for people who lose their jobs, like in other EU countries, where you get a declining percentage of your wage in benefits.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,858 ✭✭✭irishproduce


    Woodsie1 wrote: »
    Harry,You are in no position to be taking any moral high ground.

    https://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showpost.php?p=112814214&postcount=5586

    I'm actually shocked that that guys post is verbatim.
    I can't believe a grown adult is proposing that people get purposely infected over a soccer trophy. In the current situation
    You'd wonder about the intellectual maturity of some of these guys, a bloody soccer trophy when people are fighting for their lives in hospitals around the world.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,829 ✭✭✭Cork Boy 53


    nocoverart wrote: »
    Yellowstone Super Volcano, Gamma Ray Bursts and an Asteroid off the top of my head. Obviously none are Viral, just worse.

    Isn`t there an asteroid due to come close to Earth sometime in April?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    Ya but that ain't happening. 191 126 103 last 3 days

    Yes but that first figure of 191 was a 125% increase on the day before

    Since the announcement that cases would grow by 30% daily, 191+126+103 when combined and spread over 3 days is is actually far more than a 30% increase daily


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 816 ✭✭✭Macdarack


    Gods Gift wrote: »
    Ok for clearance?
    Clarence.

    Huh?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,981 ✭✭✭Naggdefy


    We currently have 800 cases, Do you honestly think it will be 3,000 in 10 days?

    We had a 15% increase today. On the low side. Let's use that until the end of March, a very low projection.

    22 March 903
    23 March 1038
    24 March 1194
    25 March 1373
    26 March 1580
    27 March 1817
    28 March 2090
    29 March 2403
    30 March 2764
    31 March 3179

    Now this is at a really low 15% growth rate. Growth averaged 29% over the past week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 816 ✭✭✭Macdarack


    And the never employed.

    Non working class


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Ya but that ain't happening. 191 126 103 last 3 days

    You don't take just a few days to extrapolate your data - what if tomorrow there is 300 cases? Then the next day 100, then the next 500 - the result is the same


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,052 ✭✭✭saabsaab


    elperello wrote: »
    Thanks for that.
    Needs further verification.


    See link. Adds to Warming overall it seems.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,354 ✭✭✭nocoverart


    Isn`t there an asteroid due to come close to Earth sometime in April?

    Yeah, I remember hearing something about that. Nothing of grave concern if I recall, then again... either was this a few months back.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,442 ✭✭✭✭Quantum Erasure


    https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/21/politics/north-korea-trump/index.html
    North Korea said President Donald Trump sent Kim Jong Un a personal letter in which he expressed his willingness to help with "anti-epidemic work,"

    fair play


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,808 ✭✭✭threeball


    wakka12 wrote: »
    All the deaths popping up in developing countries is very worrying, lots have a couple of deaths but a tiny number of cases, likely a huge number of cases going undetected

    Bangladesh just 24 cases and 2 deaths
    Ukraine jus 47 cases and 3 deaths
    Burkina Faso 3 deaths and just 64 cases
    Algeria 15 deaths and just 139 cases
    Iraq 17 deaths and just 200 cases

    Africa will be devastated. Already huge numbers with HIV and TB. They have no hope.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 1,117 ✭✭✭Technophobe


    Macdarack wrote: »
    Huh?

    What's your vector Victor?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 65 ✭✭1882


    pawdee wrote: »
    All we need now is a wet summer, potato blight, bubonic plague, foot and mouth, rabies and ebola. Have I left anything out?
    Another Boyzone comeback...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,406 ✭✭✭alan partridge aha


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Yes but that first figure of 191 was a 125% increase on the day before

    Since the announcement that cases would grow by 30% daily, 191+126+103 when combined and spread over 3 days is is actually far more than a 30% increase daily

    Correct but we are testing far more people than we were. As we are testing more how come cases have dropped in the last 2 days?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,992 ✭✭✭✭gozunda


    OwlsZat wrote: »
    A quarter of all confirmed Irish cases are associated with healthcare workers.

    Are we missing something here? How does that compare with other Countries?

    A large percentage of these health care workers were infected in Cork Limerick and Waterford by cases which were exposed pre clinical diagnosis at the beginning of the outbreak here - eg doctor in Limerick who worked in UHL following return from abroad and undiagnosed casesin UHC and Waterford.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 18,749 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Correct but we are testing far more people than we were. As we are testing more how come cases have dropped in the last 2 days?

    When testing you will hit clusters of infected one day and the next you might not

    I wonder how the GP referrals are working in to it that its a phone consultation and they think you may have it but just as much chance its flu or a cold or ...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,149 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman


    threeball wrote: »
    Africa will be devastated. Already huge numbers with HIV and TB. They have no hope.

    Add the odd ebola and famine outbreak as well


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,497 ✭✭✭coolshannagh28


    statesaver wrote: »
    He said 15000 by the end of March. No idea where he got that number from.

    Italian bases increased by 22% per day over the first two weeks , we could reach 5 to 6000 , W seem to be using the 30% figure which is well on the high side.


This discussion has been closed.
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