CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) Read OP

Away With The Fairies · 21-03-2020 08:17PM

Nijmegen wrote: »

Get/offer a credible source there would you darling?

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-ireland-ignoring-chinas-offer-help-fight-covid-19-paddy-cosgrave?fbclid=IwAR119BGds3hXsUvovbSjShPySctPoI_GVSXZntvTBPttNj-FzVYSTxDP-7E

stephenjmcd · 21-03-2020 08:17PM

Solli wrote: »

These 102 people developed symptoms over 7-14 days. It took 3-7 days to get referred and tested and another 4-6 days to get results. These cases are about 3 weeks to a month old.
The current infection rate is far far higher.

If they were 3 weeks to a month old the majority would test negative. Not all but most.

Naggdefy · 21-03-2020 08:17PM

Loughc wrote: »

Fantastic news 2 days in a row. I think any country that had 3 decreases in a row essentially turned the tide on it completely. Hopefully we get a 3rd decrease tomorrow.

Please stop. Italy had 3 days in a row with a plateau a week ago. There are so many variables. Slightly positive but no need for hyperbole.

trumptheman · 21-03-2020 08:17PM

joeguevara wrote: »

More than likely people would say ah sure the worry is over and leave their hose.

Similar to the mid 20s U.K. lad who was out in a pub and argued that because there was only 200k worldwide, chances of being in a small pub in U.K. was negligible. Followed it up by saying he was visiting his mum for mother’s day tomorrow.

https://twitter.com/JOE_co_uk/status/1241292212446486529

I've seen smarter hamsters, it's people like them with the IQ of a goldfish are going to feck everyone over.

growleaves · 21-03-2020 08:17PM

I'm beginning to think there should be an IQ test for people before they are allowed on the internet.

The economy is bad enough without putting Internet Service Providers out of business as well.

Greensoup · 21-03-2020 08:17PM

Seeing as though there is a 4 to 5 day wait to get a test and a 3-5 day wait now for your result what day are these 102 new cases for? I mean if you got a test Wednesday in Croke Park there might not be a result until 2moro or Monday. So when were the tests for today’s results carried out? Last Monday, Tuesday???? Or maybe these are straight away results for people in hospital already.....I don’t know.

is_that_so · 21-03-2020 08:18PM

Solli wrote: »

These 102 people developed symptoms over 7-14 days. It took 3-7 days to get referred and tested and another 4-6 days to get results. These cases are about 3 weeks to a month old.
The current infection rate is far far higher.

4-6 days was and is possible in the community, 12 hours in a hospital setting. Your one month claim would also have to include people, where the virus has come and gone. You do seem a bit disappointed with the total.

borderlinemeath · 21-03-2020 08:18PM

Nijmegen wrote: »

Please god we're seeing the positive results of heightened awareness and then the shutdown starting to flatten the curve, as our testing is increasing significantly. We'll see, give it a few days worth of data, but really positive now to have two days where it's lower than the previous.

https://twitter.com/higginsdavidw/status/1241440208425570304?s=20

TBH, this means nothing unless testing has been hugely ramped up. I know someone who's GP had been trying to get a test for a week before they finally got tested on Thursday. They were told it would be next week for results.

cosanostra · 21-03-2020 08:19PM

I think Dr Honaghan said last night that the figures can be a bit jumpy because of the way the different labs report their findings to them i think it has to go through the notifiable diseases protocols which can delay things. My big worry is that people see a drop in the rate of growth and think we've beaten it and can go back to normal

Duke of Url · 21-03-2020 08:19PM

lbj666 · 21-03-2020 08:19PM

I can't remember what I projected this time last week in my Excel chart for today, think it was 1,200.

But the data set is so flawed and any interpretation can be contrued as a misinterpretation.

The flaws are
It's mostly hospital worthy cases so far
Testing from the ramp up hasn't been fully seen yet
The virus will always be 5-14 days ahead

Bob24 · 21-03-2020 08:20PM

threeball wrote: »

Europe has already began the travel lockdown. Soon our only significant travel will be with the U.K.

My understanding is that they are only closing the external borders of the EU though? (which is stupid as within those borders you have countries with different strategies including the infamous herd immunity one - it only makes sense to lock borders around areas with a uniform and tough internal strategy)

Some countries are closing internal EU borders at their own initiative, but I don't believe this is an EU wide thing.

Or did I get that wrong?

Valhallapt · 21-03-2020 08:21PM

102 is good. But we probably had a few hundred arrive in from affected areas by plane today, they won’t show in the numbers for another 10 days or so.

Shutting the pubs down in Dublin to allow people have a few scoops in London Friday night and come home for the weekend is just so feckless

nacho libre · 21-03-2020 08:21PM

Bob24 wrote: »

Not just the UK. Any country which has a significant outbreak (i.e. that includes most Western European countries).

It's not going to happen, unless it becomes politically unsustainable for the Government, flights between UK and Ireland will continue to operate at a reduced schedule. Was the advice to Leo about 15000 potential cases a worse case scenario? If it's well below that figure it's of course very good fror us all, and it will probably ensure a big rise in support for Fine Gael after this is all over.

lak · 21-03-2020 08:21PM

Are the low numbers not just down to running out of swabs a few days ago and the results yesterday and today are the last of those results to come through.

MipMap · 21-03-2020 08:21PM

The Hound Gone Wild wrote: »

102 new cases here. 785 all in.

https://www.gov.ie/en/news/7e0924-latest-updates-on-covid-19-coronavirus/#march-21

And nobody died - Good day

Rickytumtum · 21-03-2020 08:21PM

My brother is waiting since last Saturday for a test, he’s finally getting one on Monday...we are at least a week behind (on average) with these figures

stephenjmcd · 21-03-2020 08:22PM

Away With The Fairies wrote: »

https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/why-ireland-ignoring-chinas-offer-help-fight-covid-19-paddy-cosgrave?fbclid=IwAR119BGds3hXsUvovbSjShPySctPoI_GVSXZntvTBPttNj-FzVYSTxDP-7E

Paddy cosgrove to put it mildly is nothing but a loud mouth who threw the toys out of the pram when the irish government wouldn't bow to his request to spend millions on his events in the country. The man is an attention seeking gob****e

cosanostra · 21-03-2020 08:22PM

lak wrote: »

Are the low numbers not just down to running out of swabs a few days ago and the results yesterday and today are the last of those results to come through.

Id say this is something to do with it

delly · 21-03-2020 08:22PM

As most have already said, nothing can be read into these figures, way too early and we are still at the stage of a very inconsistent pattern.

As an aside however, as someone who has a child with an underlying condition, we are on week 3 of no school, so we were 2 weeks ahead of the official announcement and had restricted movements as soon as the first case occurred. There are a lot like us, so I'm just hopeful that had some positive effect on the at risk category.

boardise · 21-03-2020 08:22PM

On the point of golf - I don't know about 'golf courses being full' -but some do go out for a few holes under strict conditions as I did yesterday with my wife. We played just 6 holes and contravened no guidelines.The GUI have issued a list of clear directions to enable limited play continue. All competitions are cancelled.
Contact team sports are another ballgame -so to speak. It's a typical 'dog in the manger' attitude to resent anyone who fortuitously find themselves in a position of relative advantage in any small way.
In any case -those who play golf now would not necessarily be fully observant of the contact etiquette away from the course - at least when they are playing they are complying with the constraints in a controlled environment.

lbj666 · 21-03-2020 08:22PM

Duke of Url wrote: »

It will be 15,000 at some point in 1-2 weeks. Leo has a thankless job will this one, he'll be blamed if it hits that number in a week and he'll be blamed for scaremongering and destroying the economy if it doesnt.

Valhallapt · 21-03-2020 08:22PM

Rickytumtum wrote: »

My brother is waiting since last Saturday for a test, he’s finally getting one on Monday...we are at least a week behind (on average) with these figures

True but they should have been self isolating which will bring down the curve

yourdeadwright · 21-03-2020 08:22PM

Mr.S wrote: »

You almost seem disappointed!!

He'll no

PokeHerKing · 21-03-2020 08:24PM

The general curve the world over has been a doubling of cases every 4-6 days. Ireland will be no different. How that doubling occurs within the 4-6 day period is anyone's guess, plenty of factors would play into it I imagine.

CB19Kevo · 21-03-2020 08:24PM

Every day that goes by with lower figures is a positive but please keep this in context. It is rising and in all likelihood will continue to rise and rise.
Whilst i have seen many making significant efforts with social distancing and the like there is still many who are completely ignoring this.

I really do believe all flights should be grounded and additional measures rapidly brought in. Italy may be just a anomaly but if not we are in big trouble.

Duke of Url · 21-03-2020 08:24PM

lbj666 wrote: »

It will be 15,000 at some point. Leo has a thankless job will this one, he'll be blamed if it hits that number in a week and he'll be blamed for destroying the economy if it doesnt.

I don’t believe so. The people with brains understand what’s happening.

amadangomor · 21-03-2020 08:24PM

cosanostra wrote: »

Id say this is something to do with it

Also when I was being examined by the doctor on Wed. he said the system for referring for testing was down due to volume of requests.

What Username Guidelines · 21-03-2020 08:24PM

Rickytumtum wrote: »

My brother is waiting since last Saturday for a test, he’s finally getting one on Monday...we are at least a week behind (on average) with these figures

How is he?

iwillyeah1234 · 21-03-2020 08:24PM

Channel 4 News interview with an Italian doctor who was at “ground zero”

https://youtu.be/dkozG3IcXUU

It started in a nursing home. From a nurse with corona.
Within 5 days , it “exploded”.

CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) *Read OP*

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CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) Read OP