Off Topic Thread 4.0

swiwi_ · 21-03-2020 06:13AM

These videos will haunt Trump's re-election campaign. He will be hoping they don't ahem go viral.

Zzippy · 21-03-2020 08:15AM

mfceiling wrote: »

I'm not sure how I feel.

Well... do you feel flu-ey??? :P

dregin · 21-03-2020 10:53AM

It's times like this that I wish there was a decent rugby game I could play online. I've been stuck to Championship Manager 97/98 running in dosbox on the phone. Such a classic.

irishbucsfan · 21-03-2020 11:42AM

dregin wrote: »

It's times like this that I wish there was a decent rugby game I could play online. I've been stuck to Championship Manager 97/98 running in dosbox on the phone. Such a classic.

Well someone has to write one!

mfceiling · 21-03-2020 11:50AM

Lads if you have the cabin fever and are running out of stuff to watch or listen to then check out 'the nobody zone' podcast.
It's an rte programme about a homeless irish lad in london in the 70's who had a tendency to kill people!!

It's a 6 part series and the final part is next Tuesday.

Just don't listen to it with headphones on when it's dark.

thegreycity · 21-03-2020 12:29PM

dregin wrote: »

It's times like this that I wish there was a decent rugby game I could play online. I've been stuck to Championship Manager 97/98 running in dosbox on the phone. Such a classic.

Back in the day I had the whole Harchester United Dream Team recreated in that game using the editor.

Squidgy Black · 21-03-2020 12:35PM

NFL free agency is the shining light in the lack of sports.

Tom Brady gone to the Bucs, Philip Rivers gone to the Colts, Hopkins traded for a second round pick and a washed up running back, Melvin Gordon turning down the Chargers offer last year to move to a division rival this year for less money, Rams cutting Todd Gurley and then the Falcons signing him despite the fact he basically has no cartilage in his knee, Diggs going to the Bills.

Absolutely wild.

Podge_irl · 21-03-2020 03:36PM

Squidgy Black wrote: »

NFL free agency is the shining light in the lack of sports.

Tom Brady gone to the Bucs, Philip Rivers gone to the Colts, Hopkins traded for a second round pick and a washed up running back, Melvin Gordon turning down the Chargers offer last year to move to a division rival this year for less money, Rams cutting Todd Gurley and then the Falcons signing him despite the fact he basically has no cartilage in his knee, Diggs going to the Bills.

Absolutely wild.

I do not for the slightest second understand the Hopkins trade. Seems like an absolutely appalling deal for the Texans.

Think Brady will crash and burn in Tampa...

Buer · 21-03-2020 05:06PM

Podge_irl wrote: »

I do not for the slightest second understand the Hopkins trade. Seems like an absolutely appalling deal for the Texans.

Think Brady will crash and burn in Tampa...

I can understand Brady's move even less than the Texans. He's currently viewed generally as the greatest of all time. He's going to move to a completely mediocre side (at best) who have 1 winning season in the past 9.

I think people generally accept that he's past his best and is on the decline. I don't see him having a great time there and he's going to be hit. A lot. And it's a 2 year deal which is even more odd, to me.

He's going to give an opportunity to people to say "It was Bellichick, not Brady".

irishbucsfan · 21-03-2020 05:52PM

Buer has blessed us

swiwi_ · 21-03-2020 05:57PM

Irish population 4.7M. 66% between 15 & 64. Infection rate 70 %. Conservative death rate 0.2% for that demographic.

4300 deaths.

Italy lost 700 people today. A whole elderly generation will be just wiped out.

Grim.

dregin · 21-03-2020 06:00PM

swiwi_ wrote: »

Irish population 4.7M. 66% between 15 & 64. Infection rate 70 %. Conservative death rate 0.2% for that demographic.

4300 deaths.

Italy lost 700 people today. A whole elderly generation will be just wiped out.

Grim.

That omits the North. I'd expect their inaction to have a fairly heavy impact on infection rates both north and south of the border.

thomond2006 · 21-03-2020 06:32PM

Buer wrote: »

I can understand Brady's move even less than the Texans. He's currently viewed generally as the greatest of all time. He's going to move to a completely mediocre side (at best) who have 1 winning season in the past 9.

I think people generally accept that he's past his best and is on the decline. I don't see him having a great time there and he's going to be hit. A lot. And it's a 2 year deal which is even more odd, to me.

He's going to give an opportunity to people to say "It was Bellichick, not Brady".

Florida is a tax free state. The Buccaneers offense is stacked with one of the best set of receivers in the league and Arians has history of taking a supposed washed QB in Carson Palmer and getting miles out of him. The division will be interesting as Brees looks cooked as well and has signed on for two more years. The Panthers are in flux. The Falcons have been a huge disappointment in recent seasons.

The Texans move is far more bizarre. Trading away a HOF calibre player for a second rounder and a RB past his best and on huge money for the position is insanity. I thought it was a mistake or clickbait when I first saw the transaction. The idea that this was the best offer on the table is hard to believe. Most teams would surely give up a first rounder for Hopkins but obviously I'm wrong...

Neil3030 · 21-03-2020 06:47PM

Don't Brady's family also live in the Caribbean? Much shorter commute.

Stheno · 21-03-2020 06:55PM

swiwi_ wrote: »

Irish population 4.7M. 66% between 15 & 64. Infection rate 70 %. Conservative death rate 0.2% for that demographic.

4300 deaths.

Italy lost 700 people today. A whole elderly generation will be just wiped out.

Grim.

793 today

Over 1400 in two days

Only good news is the increase in new cases is dropping

Squidgy Black · 21-03-2020 07:49PM

Neil3030 wrote: »

Don't Brady's family also live in the Caribbean? Much shorter commute.

Nah they were living in Massachusetts. I'd say it's more moving the entire family to a tax-free state for his final contract combined with not having to play in Foxborough in the winter.

irishbucsfan · 21-03-2020 10:46PM

swiwi_ wrote: »

Irish population 4.7M. 66% between 15 & 64. Infection rate 70 %. Conservative death rate 0.2% for that demographic.

4300 deaths.

Italy lost 700 people today. A whole elderly generation will be just wiped out.

Grim.

That is correct if the average holds true, but at a 15% admission rate (which is from an early HSS model), they’ll be pushing half a million bed days at the expected infection rate and no one knows if those beds will be available when they’re needed or what would happen to the mortality rate if they’re now. Jesus I hope they are.

22-03-2020 09:41AM

UK government in turmoil and Cummings looks to be on the way out. Significant % of the UK population still totally disregarding the threat.

At what stage do we bluntly start telling people in NI to ignore Westminster and lock down themselves?

Felt that Leo hinted their way in his speech but if our starts to flatten our biggest risk could come from an explosion of cases in the North.

Bazzo · 22-03-2020 10:11AM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

UK government in turmoil and Cummings looks to be on the way out. Significant % of the UK population still totally disregarding the threat.

At what stage do we bluntly start telling people in NI to ignore Westminster and lock down themselves?

Felt that Leo hinted their way in his speech but if our starts to flatten our biggest risk could come from an explosion of cases in the North.

Like Trump, I'll believe it when I see it.

Just an aside but isn't the advice from Westminster more or less in line with Ireland now? More that they took a while to get there and now people are basically ignoring it.

Buer · 22-03-2020 10:24AM

There's very little reason to believe us saying anything to NI would prompt a cooperative or beneficial response. Police had to break up a gathering of 300 youths celebrating end of school yesterday. There's plenty of anecdotal evidence of people in NI taking a very lax approach to the whole thing.

It's also going to be difficult for us to preach a lockdown to anyone when we're not doing anything like it ourselves. Yes, we're getting better but there's flagrant examples of people ignoring the government instructions every time you set foot outside the door. Businesses remain open, many supermarkets are still allowing free access, the images from Glendalough yesterday were laughable.

Westminster made a balls of it but they're trying to correct things. Unfortunately, their mixed messages and initial cavalier response has done a huge amount of damage in terms of how the public now perceive the threat i.e. It's not a threat.

Squidgy Black · 22-03-2020 10:33AM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

UK government in turmoil and Cummings looks to be on the way out. Significant % of the UK population still totally disregarding the threat.

At what stage do we bluntly start telling people in NI to ignore Westminster and lock down themselves?

Felt that Leo hinted their way in his speech but if our starts to flatten our biggest risk could come from an explosion of cases in the North.

Hard to tell NI to lockdown when Ireland hasn't done it. The current advice is just social distancing as much as possible, but there's plenty of people flagrantly ignoring it down south too. You just have to look at how busy supermarkets are with minimal social distancing being practiced, and beaches/other nature spots busier than ever with people trying to get out of the house. Plenty of retail stores still open too despite not offering essential services, and I do understand that businesses need to survive during this period but we're far from lockdown at the moment.

If we do go in to lockdown, I'd imagine there'll be some form of gardai presence on busy border roads.

aloooof · 22-03-2020 11:08AM

Stheno wrote: »

793 today

Over 1400 in two days

Only good news is the increase in new cases is dropping

I didn’t think new cases had dropped in Italy? 6,500 new cases yesterday, I thought, their highest figure to date.

I did see tentative suggestions they were around 2 weeks from their peak. If that’s the case, it’s going to get even worse before it gets better.

swiwi_ · 22-03-2020 11:16AM

Deleted User wrote: »

UK government in turmoil and Cummings looks to be on the way out. Significant % of the UK population still totally disregarding the threat.

At what stage do we bluntly start telling people in NI to ignore Westminster and lock down themselves?

Felt that Leo hinted their way in his speech but if our starts to flatten our biggest risk could come from an explosion of cases in the North.

People are fools! It's like at the time of Noah "just a few drops of rain" at the start...

There is a lag time for the virus. Assuming 30 % daily increase in NI, starting with 10 cases on the first day.

After 1 week: 50 cases
2 weeks: 300 cases
3 weeks: 1900 cases - people start to take notice, but it's too late to influence week 4
4 weeks: 12'000 cases

12'000 cases. Two-thirds in the 15 to 64 age age group, death rate 0.2 % = 16 deaths

5 weeks: 75'000 cases. 99 deaths in the "not at risk" group.

TBH I don't think death will be the main problem for the young group, it will be economic holocaust.

stephen_n · 22-03-2020 11:21AM

Went for a walk yesterday to try get some exercise, avoiding people as much as possible. Most people were doing similar but some just seemed oblivious and acting as normal. Walked back up Grafton Street on the way home. About 90% of businesses closed. Phone shops all remained open, as did Claire’s, JD Sports and Molton Brown. Marks and Spencer’s was the only large shop open and not just the food hall. Amazingly Captain America’s was open, which really shocked me. Went shopping in Aldi and they had a line outside with 2m distancing, only allowing a certain amount of people into the shop at a time. They also had 2m distances marked out at the tills too.

22-03-2020 11:29AM

I went out for a run last night at 7:00 and my estate was a ghost estate. Anytime I've been out people are keeping their distance and anecdotally I would say that compliance is pretty good. I also think we've enough people taking this seriously that the minority are feeling enough pressure that they are getting in line.

No doubt some people are taking higher level risks and no doubt some idiots and younger people are taking no heed but overall I think our response has been well above average.

The total absence of leadership in the UK and the DUP not wanting to show any divergence from the attitude pervasive in London is going to be a problem however. A Tory MP was on Channel 4 promoting conspiracy thinking earlier in the week, suggesting that covid19 has been doing the rounds for a while and isn't that severe. This is what happens when you purge all the grown ups and dissenters from your party.

22-03-2020 11:34AM

I have a house full of Brazilians living next door to me and they've taken to having nightly house parties. Aside from the noise, they obviously don't give a ****. It's infuriating.

Squidgy Black · 22-03-2020 04:45PM

Photos from Glendalough carpark earlier today and Howth

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ByC4t2a_d.jpg?maxwidth=640&shape=thumb&fidelity=medium

Gardai had to shut down the upper carpark in Glendalough and both sides of Sally's Gap, as well as the carparks in Slieve Bloom and Glenbarrow because there was too many people.

https://twitter.com/GardaTraffic/status/1241750806816227331?s=19

Bazzo · 22-03-2020 05:02PM

Morons. Exact same here, live on a big park and it's busier than I've ever seen it bar when they've hosted massive music events. Massive groups of people meeting up and going about.

22-03-2020 05:05PM

I think we'll have a full lockdown soon due to the most irresponsible

Squidgy Black · 22-03-2020 05:10PM

[Deleted User] wrote: »

I think we'll have a full lockdown soon due to the most irresponsible

It'll have to be done at this rate if this is how people are interpreting social distancing and self isolation. And that's when the economy really starts to take a dip because people aren't allowed to leave their houses other than essential trips and walking dogs etc.

Plenty of posts on social media of people using hashtags for social distancing and stuff but meeting up with friends in parks and other public places.

Off Topic Thread 4.0

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