Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie

CoVid-19 Part IX - 785 cases ROI (3 deaths) 108 in NI (1 death) (20 March) *Read OP*

14950525455325

Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    So whats the plan for those northern Italian town that have no new cases ?

    They'll still need to be lockeddown .... otherwise it just all starts up again.

    Like I said, the only way lockdowns work are if they are done untill the wide availability of a vaccine

    In your opinion. :D


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 749 ✭✭✭EmptyTree


    kona wrote: »
    Maybe she should go sell the coverage to skysports. Get that lovely ppv money....

    I'm sure most people would be happy to pay the price of a years subscription to Sky Sports for a cure now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 141 ✭✭mick987


    murpho999 wrote: »
    Does that really help.

    He touches packaging with the virus on it, then touches other letter, and doors and passes it on just as if he had no gloves?
    More for his protection than yours.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,905 ✭✭✭✭Bob24


    is_that_so wrote: »

    Interesting how each country can leverage its own specialty! (in France it is LVMH turning its perfume production lines into gel production lines - here we have whiskey :-))


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    Simplistic rubbish. Shutting down an economy for a virus that is a minor illness for the vast majority of people is economic and social suicide. That is where the most hardship for most people will stem from, not the virus itself. The resources should have been focused on protecting the vulnerable.

    OMG... So the whole world got it wrong ! The fools. Our Jimmy has the answer.

    All the worlds top Epidemiologists and Virologists were mistaken, the politicians are all wrong too !

    You have solved the problem... we are saved !! :rolleyes:

    And you have the cheek to accuse others of 'Simplistic rubbish'


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,539 ✭✭✭Widdensushi


    Not more of this Herd Immunity bolloxollogy...

    Up to 20% will need hospitalisation. 5%+ will need ICU treatment.

    It will swamp the health system and mean those with other life threatening illnesses that are not Covid-19 will be impacted. Some fatally. More health workers will get it and be put out of commission.

    People will be scared and won't go to work. People will stay at home and look after sick relatives.

    The economy will collapse anyway.

    There is a reason the British rowed back on Herd Immunity.

    The choice we have is take the pain now or eke it out and destroy the fabric of our society.

    Up to 2% will need hospitalization, most of those are in the over 65 and underlying condition category, of course there are exceptions. Up to 90% won't know they have it .


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,643 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    If the economy can't deal with being shut down for a while in the interest of people's health, perhaps the problem is with the economic system.

    What alternative economic system can survive when a significant part of economic activity abruptly stops?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,575 ✭✭✭RandomName2


    People over 65 could have been quarantined without any major effect on the economy.

    You would need to quarantine between 20-30% of the population.

    I'm absolutely serious.

    That's the rate of hospitalization of this disease. Anyone immunocompromized, or over 50 may be hospitalized. Reliable projections place that between 20-30% of the population. Of these people about 10% would be expected to die.

    It would also be hard for people who fall into the categories of being immunocompromized or over 50 from successfully quarantining themselves if there was no cohesive effort.

    You are 52 with crohn's disease. You are going to drop your kids off at school, but then you realize that they might pick up covid-19 at school, but you can't pull them out of school unilaterally. You aren't over 70 so you don't feel entitled to put your foot down, so you're just going to have to risk it, right? That's the situation that many people would have found themselves in, and we know how that would have gone, ultimately.


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 18,886 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Simplistic rubbish. Shutting down an economy for a virus that is a minor illness for the vast majority of people is economic and social suicide. That is where the most hardship for most people will stem from, not the virus itself. The resources should have been focused on protecting the vulnerable.

    Are you advising Boris Johnson? :rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 622 ✭✭✭sheepsh4gger


    The reaction to the virus is worse than the actual threat.
    It's mostly:
    - men
    - that smoke
    - over 70
    That are most susceptible. Isolate them (if they want it) and let the rest of the economy work.
    In 2017 tuberculosis killed 6 million people and nobody covered it. It's selective.

    I suspect that the market was about to crash already and Americans are just using the virus as an excuse.


  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,758 ✭✭✭threeball


    So whats the plan for those northern Italian town that have no new cases ?

    They'll still need to be lockeddown .... otherwise it just all starts up again.

    Like I said, the only way lockdowns work are if they are done untill the wide availability of a vaccine

    The lockdown will gradually ease, cases will rise but in a controlled manner and hopefully the older generation stay isolated and life can begin to get back to normal. That is the end game.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,753 ✭✭✭SleetAndSnow


    I think everybody with any sort of symptoms just panics now. I do have a bit of a cough but I also have a runny nose and know myself I get this a lot so it isn't the virus but still am anxious.

    It's a shocking situation we are in really, it's going to cause people a lot of stress and worry


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,525 ✭✭✭kona


    EmptyTree wrote: »
    I'm sure most people would be happy to pay the price of a years subscription to Sky Sports for a cure now.

    Im sure they would. I pay far more than that in tax, which i where it should go. Not bailing out banks and subsidising tax breaks for american multinationals but thats for another discussion.
    What im saying is shes a bit of a spanner to be taking out her frustration on 2 footballers who are paid what they are worth as regards to the income they generate for the football industry.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    Very interesting paper describing the various timings of the disease. Very easy to see the lag effect that can cause complacencies and over optimistic death ratios.
      [*]Mean onset symptoms ~ 5 days
      [*]Mean onset to death ~ 20 days



      506187.png

      https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/210a/892deb1c61577f6fba58505fd65356ce6636.pdf?_ga=2.73970898.1111571470.1584609703-484965398.1584609703
      ecoli3136 wrote: »
      Very valid point.

      All of us should see any flattening out in transmission, new cases, contacts reported by newly diagnosed people etc as motivation to double down on social restriction and hygiene measures.


      Yes I agree. One other thing that this study demonstrates is the importance of going to hospital earlier. The people who survived versus those who ultimately succumbed to the virus, went to hospital on average 3 days early than those that died.

      Backs up what Mike Ryan was saying about early intervention. Now the government advice and difficulty in getting diagnosed hampers this. I think if people do get infected and really do feel poorly they should absolutely not take this lightly and hope that they'll be grand. It get progressively worse in some people and they go downhill quite quickly.

      Don't be a hero.


    • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,570 ✭✭✭Ulysses Gaze


      Up to 2% will need hospitalization, most of those are in the over 65 and underlying condition category, of course there are exceptions. Up to 90% won't know they have it .

      What are your sources for that figure?


    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,218 ✭✭✭✭Bannasidhe


      That’s a bit different from tweeting updates of a person’s final hours including their symptoms. Posting death notices on social media is nothing new. What this woman did is very different.

      To be perfectly blunt what gives you the right to be so judgemental about how someone else deals with a horrific situation?

      I read those tweets- it began because a bed bound woman with a very limited and known number of visitors still got infected. That was the point. How easy it was. And I, for one, think that was a damn valuable message to share.

      We have had many many requests here for someone who is infected to share their symptoms so people know what to look for.

      'This woman' thought her mother was 'safe' as she was so isolated. Turns out her mother wasn't isolated enough and 'this woman' decided to get that message out.
      'This woman' was living the nightmare and she chose to let people know in a few tweets what that was like. And it was a few tweets.

      If I was in that situation I would do the exact same thing because it might just get the message through to one person how easy it is for the vulnerable to get infected and die.

      There are people in this country who deserve to be scorned - those who are price gouging, those who are ignoring social distancing, those who will use a crises to their advantage - a woman who in her despair and grief wrote a few tweets about what happened to her mother is not one of them.

      Have we run out of compassion already?


    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,136 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


      Reliable projections place that as between 20-30% of the population.

      Let's not put those two words together.


    • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,431 ✭✭✭Mortelaro


      Up to 90% won't know they have it .

      You've done a survey on that yourself have you?


    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 42,436 ✭✭✭✭Boggles


      is_that_so wrote: »

      I'm not drinking that.


    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 141 ✭✭mick987


      For the vast majority of people the 'cure' will be way worse than the disease.

      Hundreds of thousands on the dole queues, tax receipts down the toilet and investments into critical services will have to be drastically slashed. The coming recession will kill way more people than the virus - just over a longer period and without the newspaper headlines.

      People over 65 could have been quarantined without any major effect on the economy.

      That seems harsh, but I agree everybody over 70 and in the high risk group should have been quarantined. I am in the high risk group and have to lock myself away for 3 months, should have been enforced a month ago too late for a lot of people now.


    • Advertisement
    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,905 ✭✭✭✭Bob24


      DOCARCH wrote: »
      Are you advising Boris Johnson? :rolleyes:

      Given the latest developments in the UK - I'd say everyone still giving such advice to Johnson is now getting fired ;-)


    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,824 ✭✭✭facehugger99


      Why are the British rowing back on Herd Immunity if it is "so perfect"?

      Perhaps because it will destroy the NHS and lead to the economy collapsing anyway?

      Who are you quoting here as a matter of interest?


    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 17,997 ✭✭✭✭bilston


      So whats the plan for those northern Italian town that have no new cases ?

      They'll still need to be lockeddown .... otherwise it just all starts up again.

      Like I said, the only way lockdowns work are if they are done untill the wide availability of a vaccine

      Not that I'm an advocate for the idea of herd immunity, but it will be harder for the virus to spread in Northern Italy once the lockdown is removed because a lot of people will now be immune (well in theory in anyway), so at the very least it should move through the population at a slower rate which would then take the strain of the health system.

      Ultimately the main crisis point with this virus is that 4% or 5% of patients who need critical care. It is about saving their Iives. If they get the right treatment they should survive, but if the health system is over stretched then some of them will start to die.

      I did read something very interesting on the Sky News website last night. Doctors in Southampton are going to begin trialling a drug on patients on Monday which they hope will reduce the need for patients to be placed on ventilators. If it works it could be an absolute game changer in the fight against Covid-19...we will see.


    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


      The reaction to the virus is worse than the actual threat.
      It's mostly:
      - men
      - that smoke
      - over 70
      That are most susceptible. Isolate them (if they want it) and let the rest of the economy work.
      In 2017 tuberculosis killed 6 million people and nobody covered it. It's selective.

      I suspect that the market was about to crash already and Americans are just using the virus as an excuse.

      Yeah, the killer virus that infects quickly and kills indiscriminately is just a bit too convenient isn't.


    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,591 ✭✭✭gabeeg


      What are your sources for that figure?

      I'm not sure you want to see a picture of his ass


    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,708 ✭✭✭✭Tony EH


      Blueshoe wrote: »
      McWilliams saying on pat Kenny show that there is 750 billion available to hand to euro folk to spend in order to keep the economies moving. People need to spend and not hoard . Helicopter money. Hong Kong did it successfully. The Us considering it. The European Central bank gave the green light to dish it out.
      Up to Paschal now.

      Hong Kong gave each citizen about 1500 quid in a one off payment. That would cover a month for most people in Ireland.

      Then what.

      As well as "helicopter money" for people's immediate spending purposes, I think government needs to look at a portion of debt forgiveness. Write off some of the debt that people owe and give people some breathing room to get back on track.

      When all this blows over and people are still struggling to pay mortgages, rents and bills, we'll see some very real hardships happening.


    • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,431 ✭✭✭Mortelaro


      Michel Barnier eu Brexit negotiator has tested positive


    • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,570 ✭✭✭Ulysses Gaze


      Who are you quoting here as a matter of interest?

      Answer the question.

      Why are the British rowing back on it?


    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,744 ✭✭✭✭josip


      is_that_so wrote: »

      Nice to see.
      It is also very much in their interest to get the pubs open again.


    • Advertisement
    • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,644 ✭✭✭D9Male


      The reaction to the virus is worse than the actual threat.
      It's mostly:
      - men
      - that smoke
      - over 70
      That are most susceptible. Isolate them (if they want it) and let the rest of the economy work.
      In 2017 tuberculosis killed 6 million people and nobody covered it. It's selective.

      I suspect that the market was about to crash already and Americans are just using the virus as an excuse.

      Are you willfully ignoring the news?

      Have you seen what is happening in Italy? Do you know that people in their 50s that need a respirator to survive are being denied one because it is needed by someone younger?

      This is why there is a crisis. It is probably coming to Ireland, the US, the UK, etc. It is already in Spain.

      Our public health system can't cope if it is that bad here.


    This discussion has been closed.
    Advertisement