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CoVid-19 Part VIII - 292 cases ROI (2 deaths) 62 in NI (as of 17th March) *Read OP*

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,575 ✭✭✭RandomName2


    Nermal wrote: »
    Like I said, driven by emotion. All of us, parents or not, have to die of something.

    I'm totally in favor of looking at things without emotion, and just from a pragmatic point of view.

    For instance I have felt that the migrant crisis was dealt with mainly from an emotive, and not a rational position.

    If the only vulnerable people were infirm individuals in nursing homes, who are only kept alive due to regular intervention from the nursing home management (due to financial motivation, not ethical) you might actually have a point.

    That isn't really the case though.

    The later and less radical the response to covid-19, the more economic damage is done. Our current economic woes were generated due to the sluggish and lackluster response by Europe to the threat of covid-19. Their motivation was mainly monetary. How's that working out for them?

    The insinuation is that those affected by the disease are predominantly economic burdens. The callous nature of this first has to be addressed. In civil society we implicitly accept that people will be well treated from cradle to grave. It is the reason why our society works, why we surrender some civil liberties to the state, not to mention a lot of the money we earn in taxation. People on pensions aren't a net negative if they contributed to the finances of the state that is caring for them! What incentives are there for people to work towards a better society in the future, if it is clear we are willing to throw a large section of society into the dutbin at the first sniff of a crisis?

    Covid-19 also affects people of all ages. Sure, older people are more affected, but so are all people with underlying conditions. Most of these people would be very productive, and many are very young. Malaysia has reported its first two deaths, one being a 31 year old, the other a 60 year old. I'm guessing that both people had underlying conditions. Many people do.

    Finally if the health service becomes overwhelmed, which, let's be frank, wouldn't take much, we are going to have deaths indirectly related to covid-19, from people who would normally be suffering from conditions easily treatable in a functioning health service, but who now perish for lack of available care.

    I think this is something worth saying. This is much more than just being emotional.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,073 ✭✭✭sReq | uTeK


    Have you got a few sources handy? Thanks in advance.

    The majority of this post, all 99% was iterated by Professor Luke O'Neill, immunologist from Trinity. He was on a Pat Kenny NewsTalk this morning.

    You can readily download the podcast.

    The interview was excellent as well as all the positive news coming out he also gave detailed information on how best to live a healthy lifestyle to build up the immune system.

    Everyone should go listen to it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 445 ✭✭iwillyeah1234


    "Good news from South Korea, where the number of new cases is declining."

    the South Korean approach is a textbook case on how to deal with outbreaks like this.

    Key part : the South Korean police were mobilised to stamp out , and arrest people , spreading fake news and rumours

    "We are promptly asking the telecommunications regulator and site operators to delete or block false information that can lead to social confusion"

    But with that stick, there was also the carrot - from the Washington Post:

    "South Korea was one of the worst-hit countries in the early stages of the coronavirus outbreak. But an aggressive response has made it one of the exemplars in the midst of the pandemic — thanks to its swift implementation of a mass-scale testing regime as well as its consistent, transparent messaging to the public throughout the arc of the crisis."

    mass testing
    transparent messaging


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 5,134 ✭✭✭caveat emptor


    What do you think is likely to happen when they 'return to normal'?




    Source



    I sincerely hope this is the case and manufacturing will be able to keep up with demand.




    That report suggests an ON/OFF trigger for suppression techniques over a 2 year period. I highly suggest reading it.


    While I've followed Niall Ferguson from the start and he clearly is a world renowned expert. He is not infallible. The model the used to advise UK government assumed that 5% of people infected would need critical care. They went with an estimate based on other viral pneumonia instead of using the 10% which was clearly observable in China and Italy.

    UK has used this "error / update" to update their approach.

    With that said the numbers are incredibly scary. Particularly next autumn. When the 1918 pandemic occurred that's when the largest number of deaths occurred.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 651 ✭✭✭Irish_peppa


    Ultimately have the HSE said what the expected infection rate percentage will be if we have success in flattening the curve?


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,149 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,842 ✭✭✭Rob A. Bank


    INMO Trolley Watch figures for March 18th 2020

    https://www.inmo.ie/Trolley_Ward_Watch

    Only 16 beds short today in Irish hospitals.

    Most of them in Kerry.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,621 ✭✭✭tobefrank321


    joeguevara wrote: »
    I have tried to search for news reports on this but can’t find any.

    A quick google through up the following:

    https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/world-news/medic-aged-46-dies-coronavirus-17929745
    A 46-year-old paramedic who worked as an emergency call handler has become one of the youngest victims of Italy's coronavirus outbreak.
    Dad-of-one Diego Bianco, who worked in Bergamo, is one of an estimated 700 emergency workers who have contracted Covid-19 in Italy.

    Italian newspapers reported that he didn't smoke, didn't drink and was a healthy man with a seven-year-old son who always used the necessary protective equipment.

    Also covered on Sky News a while ago. Italian medics treating their own colleagues.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,617 ✭✭✭✭RobbingBandit


    Brown Thomas and Arnotts closing at 5 until further notice


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,105 ✭✭✭Kivaro


    Bumping, because we should shine a focus on the positives.


    Some positive news....

    -China has closed down its last coronavirus hospital. Not enough new cases to support them.

    - Doctors in India have been successful in treating Coronavirus. Combination of drugs used: Lopinavir, Retonovir, Oseltamivir along with Chlorphenamine. They are going to suggest same medicine, globally.

    - Researchers of the Erasmus Medical Center claim to have found an antibody against coronavirus.

    - A 103-year-old Chinese grandmother has made a full recovery from COVID-19 after being treated for 6 days in Wuhan, China.

    - Apple reopens all 42 china stores,

    - Cleveland Clinic developed a COVID-19 test that gives results in hours, not days.

    - Good news from South Korea, where the number of new cases is declining.

    - Italy is hit hard, experts say, only because they have the oldest population in Europe.

    - Scientists in Israel likely to announce the development of a coronavirus vaccine.

    - 3 Maryland coronavirus patients fully recovered; able to return to everyday life.

    - A network of Canadian scientists are making excellent progress in Covid-19 research.

    - A San Diego biotech company is developing a Covid-19 vaccine in collaboration with Duke University and National University of Singapore.

    -So it's not all bad news.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,149 ✭✭✭✭spookwoman




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    I wish people would kindly feck off mentioning ‘lockdown’. Most of them can’t even define what it means when you ask them to. Utter gobschites.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,845 ✭✭✭Antares35


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Anyone else still think this feels not real ? I woke up this morning for the first time in a while not thinking about it, momentarily thought it was all a dream

    I did for the first few days. Woke up blissfully ignorant then had that horrible "reality setting in" moment a few seconds later. Now, it has just become the new normal. We are both lucky enough to be working from home and are well stocked up so no need to leave for the next month anyway. I was never a crowd seeker anyway, to say the least so I don't notice a huge difference! I miss the office banter though.

    I think it is as real as it gets, but I also think the damn media are having a total hard on about it and am getting quite sick of the constant updates. Am trying to limit myself to just reading the news once daily.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 581 ✭✭✭Squeaksoutloud


    And keeping the positives going...see below:

    https://twitter.com/RiganoESQ/status/1240000906931974152


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,990 ✭✭✭c.p.w.g.w


    Brown Thomas and Arnotts closing at 5 until further notice

    Smart Decision...but that is going to add another 10,000 to the dole que?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,234 ✭✭✭✭Cee-Jay-Cee


    jonnny68 wrote: »
    Leo Varadakar really needs to take a step back and think about what he is saying on national TV, the calm before the storm is he for fcuking real as if many people aren't already panicking and anxiety through the roof that was the single worst thing he could have possibly said live on TV and i see he's getting serious stick for it too....

    And if he watered it down and took a softly softly approach, you would be on here in a few weeks time complaining that he didn't call it as it was and warn people. You are simply one of those type people that are never happy and will always find something to complain about.

    I have no love or even like for the man but he made a good speech in difficult circumstances.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,073 ✭✭✭sReq | uTeK


    Kivaro wrote: »
    Bumping, because we should shine a focus on the positives.

    Thank you.

    We need as much positive news as possible, in a time when many elderly are at home by themselves, we need to help build resolve and show there is something to fight for.

    99% of those points were discussed on the Pat Kenny show by professor Luke O'Neill Immunologist from Trinity College Dublin so its not fabricated.


  • Posts: 13,839 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Sardonicat wrote: »
    I never asked for more carers! I am asking they get adequate personal protective clothing given that they cannot, by the nature of their work, practice social distancing! Try reading the posts. And I AM his carer. This isolation that's been happening for a few days for people, that's been my life for 3.5 years.

    Sorry, I misread what you said. I’m in the exact same boat as you.

    Get some sheets, fold in two and cut a hole in the head for them. Get carers to wear them then wash at 90 after each use.
    Have hand wash in bathroom for them to wash when they arrive. Have front door open so they don’t touch handles (wash it down each time regardless.
    Go on to amazon and order conti dry wipes (or equivalent). PLEASE EVERYONE ELSE DONT BUY THESE UP! Buy the smaller ones for making disposable face masks. There’s a few videos going around of how to do this with wet wipes

    I do know that the HSE and agencies are taking on as many staff as possible so that they can try and have the same carers going to the same houses. At least to limit contagion. I know over the years that I’ve been told to do the course and I’ve said “hell no” I wanted my life back. But now, if I lose my folks, I’ll be volunteering.

    If you want to have a chat or a rant then PM me. I’ll be your ear xxx


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,424 ✭✭✭✭ILoveYourVibes


    Well on the upside the college assignments I was worried about getting in on time i am now way ahead of.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,474 ✭✭✭Obvious Desperate Breakfasts


    Thank you.

    We need as much positive news as possible, in a time when many elderly are at home by themselves, we need to help build resolve and show there is something to fight for.

    99% of those points were discussed on the Pat Kenny show by professor Luke O'Neill Immunologist from Trinity College Dublin so its not fabricated.

    Was that recently?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 8,474 ✭✭✭Obvious Desperate Breakfasts


    Based on what?

    COVID-19 has an estimated R0 of 1.4 - 3.9 (?3.4% mortality?)

    Ebola has an R0 of 1.5 - 2.5. (25% - 90% mortality)

    Obviously, the larger gap for COVID is because we don't know as much about it, but there is a large overlap here.

    Well, based on the fact that Ebola hasn’t spread around the world despite the largest outbreak travelling out of Africa to western countries. In the western countries it travelled to, it didn’t gain a foothold.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,104 ✭✭✭05eaftqbrs9jlh


    The mother, she works in Marks and spencer where told this morning before the store opened that they are not allowed to wear gloves and they will be allowed to go off the floor to wash their hands every half hour. No explanation has been given.
    Eh that's not really good enough.

    #walkout


  • Posts: 3,226 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Can anyone recommend some good podcasts on the topic - scientific ones? I know I could search myself but I’m trying to keep my anxiety levels down and don’t want to find things that will do nothing but panic me.

    I’ve found the recent Sam Harris podcasts level-headed and informative.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 445 ✭✭iwillyeah1234


    further on South Korea , and it's "transparent messaging":

    "Legislation enacted since then gave the government authority to collect mobile phone, credit card, and other data from those who test positive to reconstruct their recent whereabouts. That information, stripped of personal identifiers, is shared on social media apps that allow others to determine whether they may have crossed paths with an infected person."


    The movements of ALL Corona cases is being shared with the Korean population by the Korean government via social media apps.
    That's "transparent messaging" on steroids.


    Meanwhile in Ireland, we have cases in the "East".


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,458 ✭✭✭✭Sardonicat



    Anyone who trots out the trite, facile “Sure we all die sometimes” in relation to sick people needs to be shot with tightly-compacted balls of their own excrement. Dopes.

    I also think they should be sprayed with some runny ****e as well, just in case they still don't get the point .


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 92,394 ✭✭✭✭JP Liz V1


    What's the story with redundancy during this?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 8,378 ✭✭✭facehugger99


    cnocbui wrote: »
    Nobody sane want's to harm the economy, it's just that they value their mothers more than the government's ability to have a huge tax haul. Clearly you are different.

    The thanks-whoring posts are nothing if not predicable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 114 ✭✭dummy_crusher


    If there is no virus in the country... it is impossible to get infected. They are quarantining everyone who enters the country for 14 days, so infection from abroad is not very likely.

    That remains to be seen.
    With regard to the Imperial College paper... I take any prediction of the future with a large grain of salt, particularly when almost no one else in the world seems to agree with the lunatic 'Herd Immunity" notion it spawned.

    This is incorrect. Have you read the report?

    https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf

    The projection that changed Britain's coronavirus policy


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,073 ✭✭✭sReq | uTeK


    And if he watered it down and took a softly softly approach, you would be on here in a few weeks time complaining that he didn't call it as it was and warn people. You are simply one of those type people that are never happy and will always find something to complain about.

    I have no love or even like for the man but he made a good speech in difficult circumstances.

    Couldn't agree more, there was as much good in his speech illustrating the measures taken so far are having a positive impact but that we absolutely could and will potentially need to do more.

    He iterated on numerous occasions that essential outlets such as supermarkets and supply chains will be prioritized and not to panic.

    There is a storm coming but thankfully we have the luxury of looking into the past to see how countries such as South Korea and China have weathered that storm and are now coming out the other end of it.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,187 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Nermal wrote: »
    Losing 0.6% of the population is preferable to 18 months of economic destruction waiting for a vaccine.

    Comparing the US losing 2M people to a war or a holocaust is nonsensical, 2.6M people die every year there in a normal year - do we say there's 'half a holocaust' happening each year?

    We are letting emotion rule our decision-making.
    Yes but would it not be 2.6m (normal year) plus another 2m (covid) that’s 4.6m.

    Also sometimes emotion and empathy are helpful. If you were in charge I’m sure you wouldn’t give a damn about the extra dead and probably wouldn’t waste resources on trying to save as many as possible.


This discussion has been closed.
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