CoVid-19 Part VIII - 292 cases ROI (2 deaths) 62 in NI (as of 17th March) *Read OP*

Wibbs wrote: »

Ah jaysus WUG, keep safe and well. More lego may be required.

Sure if anything, we were doing the isolation thing before it was cool.

stephenjmcd wrote: »

The modeling doesn't seem to take any impact from the measures already put in place.

They've used the term flatten the curve and we're doing that but they wont be 30% per day say 3 or 4 weeks down the line if the measures being put in place are effective.

Like I said if its 15k that gives us the highest number of cases per capita in the world

It takes account of people coming back from Cheltenham, Uk in general Spain and all over Europe etc.

It takes account of people who have been out socializing over the past few weeks.

It takes into account that testing has been put on the long finger.

It takes into account numbers told to self isolate.

It takes into account people who have been behaving as if nothing is happening.

I saw a claim that by the end of the week the real figure may already be 2000.

statesaver wrote: »

I agree but 15000 cases by the end of March ???? That would mean nearly a 1000 cases for he next 14 days

That isn't the way it works. The spread is running at 30% new cases a day. That means the number of cases is doubling every 2.5 days. So, it doubles twice every 5 days. So if we are at 15,000 cases in, say, 4 weeks time, we would only be at 3750 total cases 5 days before that. It ramps up each day, not a constant addition each day.

One big issue with that is that if we go much beyond the 15k, we will be at huge numbers. Even if we manage to push the doubling rate out from 2.5 days to 7 days with our current social distancing, we would still be at 60,000 cases by mid April, 240,000 cases by the end of April. Obviously we wouldn't let it get that far because if we continue to see exponential growth after April 1st we will baton down the hatches to try and stop it exceeding 60k (if we haven't done that already before then).

Honestly your man's speech in Independence day was way better

Please, leo is a waste if space and only his speech writer is keeping him going.
Yes, all bow down before him now but as with everything in life, he better make the most of the praise he's receiving here ..it's very transitory.

Syncpolice wrote: »

Getting back to the coronavirus

Is there a good chance of rolling lockdowns


Week locked down and then a week allowed out?

Legislation to put it on the books will probably be passed Friday. But it will be used when needed. The worst has yet to come, but we will be ready for it.

I want Leo to call me precious

Why the hate for the UK and US? I watched both their press conferences and they are going to massive lengths and throwing billions at the virus. At the end of the day it will probably be one of them who will beat the virus in the end.

I was very quick to criticise the early handling of this situation by the government, but Leo will go down in the history books for that speech.

Himself and his colleagues have impressed me hugely over the last week or so.

Fareplay for coming out with a reassuring address on an iconic day..

I hope a lot of elderly people feel assured and some security after watching that. Compare it to Boris who basically said ye are all gonna die good luck t’ye

Doctors room ghost wrote: »

No we are not at war.relax with the drama

Not actually at war of course, but Emmanuel Macron has frequently mentioned being 'at war' with the virus in a figurative sense.

These speech was to put the Irish public into the same frame of mind.
'Never was so much owed by so many to so few', was a phrase for on Churchill during WW2 in relation to the RAF crew.
Varadker tweaked it slightly but pretty much said the same about our Frontline Healthcare staff.

He also specifically used the word Emergency, in a sense that would evoke reminders for people here to WW2, or 'The Emergency' as it was known in Ireland.

He is preparing people for extraordinary circumstances, where many will have to perform above and beyond their normal duties in work/life, and imo he did a decent job in getting that message across.

carolmon wrote: »

Cocooning? What a sugar coated term for isolation for months....my god even prisoners are not allowed to be put in solitary confinement for more than a regulated period of time... it's a human rights breach

What the hell are you on about?
He is trying his best to protect people who are at risk, I am seriously glad we have him as our leader at the minute tbh.

_feedback_ wrote: »

I was very quick to criticise the early handling of this situation by the government, but Leo will go down in the history books for that speech.

Himself and his colleagues have impressed me hugely over the last week or so.

Fareplay for coming out with a reassuring address on an iconic day..

I'd agree, and Coveney speaking well too