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new coronavirus outbreak China, Korea, USA - mod warnings in OP (updated 24/02/20)

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Comments

  • #6722
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    bodhrandude wrote: »
    Thread's gone quiet does this mean the virus in disappearing, hopefully a good sign.

    They’re all in quarantine and access to boards has been blocked.

    :D

    But seriously, if I get it I’m telling you lot first.


  • #6723
    ceadaoin.
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,613 ✭✭✭ceadaoin.


    saabsaab wrote: »
    No good news yet on this except that there are no 'confirmed' cases here yet.

    And it doesn't appear to be spreading wildly in most countries with confirmed cases. For example it's been weeks now since the first confirmed cases in the US and canada and aside from spouses , no other infection chains have been observed, that we know of.


  • #6724
    Mic 1972
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    ceadaoin. wrote: »
    And it doesn't appear to be spreading wildly in most countries with confirmed cases. For example it's been weeks now since the first confirmed cases in the US and canada and aside from spouses , no other infection chains have been confirmed.


    They are doing a good job at keeping the spread under control, lets hope the level of control stays high until the emergency is over


  • #6725
    tara73
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,358 ✭✭✭tara73


    bodhrandude wrote: »
    Thread's gone quiet does this mean the virus in disappearing, hopefully a good sign.


    I don't have a link to back it up at the moment, but I read today in the morning somewhere that new infections in province Hubei are falling for the last 3 days... also dr. john didn't do a video today, so kind of good news also as nothing new to explain probably...?:)


  • #6726
    silverharp
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,854 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    I'd still be sceptical of Chinese reporting, easy to picture smaller outlying regions not wanting to report cases.

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



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  • #6727
    s7ryf3925pivug
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,007 ✭✭✭s7ryf3925pivug


    tara73 wrote: »
    I don't have a link to back it up at the moment, but I read today in the morning somewhere that new infections in province Hubei are falling for the last 3 days... also dr. john didn't do a video today, so kind of good news also as nothing new to explain probably...?:)
    Yes that's mentioned in The Guardian. They still think kids are hit less hard by it and that the severity of the critical form is related to age.

    80% have a mild disease
    14% have severe disease including pneumonia
    5% have critical disease including respiratory failure
    2% die

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/17/coronavirus-causes-mild-disease-in-four-in-five-patients-says-who


  • #6728
    Mic 1972
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,213 ✭✭✭Mic 1972


    Yesterday there have been "only" 2000 new reported cases, the trend is slowing down
    But most importantly the spread outside China has been prevented with several countries now going back to 0 infected, that's a very good sign


  • #6729
    wakka12
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    It looks well contained everywhere in the world except some countries around China, such as Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong and a few others where cases with no known links to existing infected people continue to pop up , and would suggest it is more widespread than has been detected


  • #6730
    RebelButtMunch
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭RebelButtMunch


    wakka12 wrote: »
    It looks well contained everywhere in the world except some countries around China, such as Japan, Singapore, Hong Kong and a few others where cases with no known links to existing infected people continue to pop up , and would suggest it is more widespread than has been detected

    Give it a couple of weeks. I'd be very surprised if it doesn't take off in India and we get more than a few cases


  • #6731
    bodhrandude
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,850 ✭✭✭✭bodhrandude


    RebelButtMunch wrote: »
    Give it a couple of weeks. I'd be very surprised if it doesn't take off in India and we get more than a few cases

    Or Africa for that matter.

    If you want to get into it, you got to get out of it. (Hawkwind 1982)



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  • #6732
    MarkY91
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,071 ✭✭✭MarkY91


    RebelButtMunch wrote: »
    Give it a couple of weeks. I'd be very surprised if it doesn't take off in India and we get more than a few cases

    There's Indians all over Singapore and Bangkok. I'm shocked it hasn't reached India yet


  • #6733
    tillyfilly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 567 ✭✭✭tillyfilly


    India reported the first confirmed case of the coronavirus infection on 30 January 2020 in the state of Kerala. The affected had a travel history from Wuhan, China
    https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/features/coronavirus-affected-countries-india-measures-impact-pharma-economy/


  • #6734
    RebelButtMunch
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,398 ✭✭✭RebelButtMunch


    tillyfilly wrote: »
    India reported the first confirmed case of the coronavirus infection on 30 January 2020 in the state of Kerala. The affected had a travel history from Wuhan, China
    https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/features/coronavirus-affected-countries-india-measures-impact-pharma-economy/

    Yeah. 2 weeks ago now. I find it hard to believe there's nobody else in the entire country not infected


  • #6735
    MadYaker
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,335 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    bodhrandude wrote: »
    Or Africa for that matter.

    Getting very hot in Africa and India over the next few weeks viruses don’t like that. That’s why these events always kick off around Christmas and fade away by summer as it gets warmer. It was the same with SARS.


  • #6736
    Speak Now
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,764 ✭✭✭Speak Now


    Kaya Prehistoric Landlord wrote: »
    Yes that's mentioned in The Guardian. They still think kids are hit less hard by it and that the severity of the critical form is related to age.

    80% have a mild disease
    14% have severe disease including pneumonia
    5% have critical disease including respiratory failure
    2% die

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/17/coronavirus-causes-mild-disease-in-four-in-five-patients-says-who

    Nice number crunching by The Guardian...101%


  • #6737
    fritzelly
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,107 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    Speak Now wrote: »
    Nice number crunching by The Guardian...101%

    They're quoting the figures by the WHO


  • #6738
    s7ryf3925pivug
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,007 ✭✭✭s7ryf3925pivug


    Speak Now wrote: »
    Nice number crunching by The Guardian...101%

    Rounding four values to the nearest whole number would mean it could add up to anything from 98% to 102% and still be accurate, just imprecise.

    I took the 2% who die to be a subset of the 5% who experience critical illness in this case.


  • #6739
    Fr_Dougal
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    Expect a large increase today in the number of infected:
    From today, WHO will be reporting all confirmed cases, including both laboratory-confirmed as previously reported, and those reported as clinically diagnosed (currently only applicable to Hubei province, China). From 13 February through 16 February, we reported only laboratory confirmed cases for Hubei province as mentioned in the situation report published on 13 February. The change in reporting is now shown in the figures. This accounts for the apparent large increase in cases compared to prior situation repor

    https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200217-sitrep-28-covid-19.pdf?sfvrsn=a19cf2ad_2


  • #6740
    Blud
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 424 ✭✭Blud


    Fr_Dougal wrote: »
    Expect a large increase today in the number of infected:



    https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200217-sitrep-28-covid-19.pdf?sfvrsn=a19cf2ad_2

    Well I for one fully expect tomorrow's Daily Mail to go to great lengths to convey this nuance.


  • #6741
    SeaBreezes
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,554 ✭✭✭SeaBreezes


    Blud wrote: »
    Well I for one fully expect tomorrow's Daily Mail to go to great lengths to convey this nuance.

    It drops the fatality number in closed cases to
    13% ... it has dropped exactly 1% per day since the WHO have boots on the ground...


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  • #6742
    VinLieger
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,937 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Certain posters on here who previously lauded the Chinese and WHO cooperation might want to rethink their stances, the chinese governments own propaganda wing has admitted the WHO team wont be going to Hubei



    https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1179882.shtml


  • #6743
    tuxy
    Closed Accounts Posts: 14,983 ✭✭✭✭tuxy


    SeaBreezes wrote: »
    It drops the fatality number in closed cases to
    13% ... it has dropped exactly 1% per day since the WHO have boots on the ground...

    That was always going to happen as there is about a 2 weeks lag on recovery time compared to fatality.


  • #6744
    SeaBreezes
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,554 ✭✭✭SeaBreezes


    tuxy wrote: »
    That was always going to happen as there is about a 2 weeks lag on recovery time compared to fatality.

    And the number of infections doubling every 7 days...
    Until WHO arrived as well.
    Fabulous news!


  • #6745
    wakka12
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    The age demographics of those killed in China have finally been released.
    https://www.reddit.com/r/China_Flu/comments/f5h8j0/fatality_rate_of_covid19_in_different_age_groups/
    Very low death rate in those under 40. A whopping 50%+ in those over 70 though, and 30% in those aged 60-69, also quite surprisingly over 10% of those in their 50's hospitalised with the virus died


  • #6746
    fritzelly
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,107 ✭✭✭✭fritzelly


    9117 are seriously ill and 1853 are critically ill

    https://twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1229539908487958528


  • #6747
    Fr_Dougal
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    Increases don’t appear to be in sync with what the WHO had warned about.


  • #6748
    s7ryf3925pivug
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,007 ✭✭✭s7ryf3925pivug


    wakka12 wrote: »
    The age demographics of those killed in China have finally been released.
    https://www.reddit.com/r/China_Flu/comments/f5h8j0/fatality_rate_of_covid19_in_different_age_groups/
    Very low death rate in those under 40. A whopping 50%+ in those over 70 though, and 30% in those aged 60-69, also quite surprisingly over 10% of those in their 50's hospitalised with the virus died
    No deaths in 0-9 category and only one in 10-19. Great news.


  • #6749
    wakka12
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,786 ✭✭✭wakka12


    Kaya Prehistoric Landlord wrote: »
    No deaths in 0-9 category and only one in 10-19. Great news.

    Yes, but would make me worried about my grandparents who are all over 75. If it became pandemic, would be likely I'd lose a family member, or even two


  • #6750
    Fr_Dougal
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,166 ✭✭✭Fr_Dougal


    wakka12 wrote: »
    The age demographics of those killed in China have finally been released.
    https://www.reddit.com/r/China_Flu/comments/f5h8j0/fatality_rate_of_covid19_in_different_age_groups/
    Very low death rate in those under 40. A whopping 50%+ in those over 70 though, and 30% in those aged 60-69, also quite surprisingly over 10% of those in their 50's hospitalised with the virus died

    Somewhat worrying for those of us with parents/relatives who are 60+.


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  • #6751
    laurah591
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 326 ✭✭laurah591


    wakka12 wrote: »
    Yes, but would make me worried about my grandparents who are all over 75. If it became pandemic, would be likely I'd lose a family member, or even two

    Based on number of cases outside China, I'm hoping it won't get to pandemic stage.

    Although this report is worrying ... alot of healthcare professionals catching this virus. This doc was/is director of the hospital :(

    https://mobile.twitter.com/BNODesk/status/1229487338780286981


This discussion has been closed.
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