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Election Thread - Dublin West - SEE MOD NOTE IN POST 1

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    #302
    ArmaniJeanss
    Registered Users Posts: 13,341 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    thomasj wrote: »
    What happens the surplus if he exceeds the quota?

    I assume if the surplus is bigger than the gap between RC and RoG that they would then distribute it as count 7.

    Though an earlier poster said count 6 was the final count - not sure if they were getting that from an official source or someone just misinterpreting the situation.


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    #303
    Zaph
    Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 47,284 ✭✭✭✭Zaph


    There are only 2 seats and 3 candidates left, so this has to be the last count as there's nobody else left to eliminate after it.


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    #304
    StoptheClocks
    Registered Users Posts: 215 ✭✭StoptheClocks


    angel eyes 2012 wrote: »
    Any chance JC will be eliminated?

    No, My understanding is that Emer Currie's 2nd Preferences will go to Leo and he's already elected. So the 3 left won't pick up many votes there. It will be Joan Burtons that will decide the last seat. It doesn't look like the last 2 seats will meet the quota so it will be whoever is ahead. There is no way they could both overtake JC


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    #305
    ArmaniJeanss
    Registered Users Posts: 13,341 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    Zaph wrote: »
    There are only 2 seats and 3 candidates left, so this has to be the last count as there's nobody else left to eliminate after it.

    But there is potentially a surplus to distribute.
    Say Chambers gets 300 above the quota in this count, and RoG reduces the gap vis a vis Coppinger to 250.
    Surely they have to distribute the surplus rather than just declaring RC elected?


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    #306
    RoryMac
    Registered Users Posts: 5,159 ✭✭✭RoryMac


    Don't think this will be enough for O'Gorman to close the gap

    https://twitter.com/RTEdublinWEST/status/1226620772954902528?s=19


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    #307
    ArmaniJeanss
    Registered Users Posts: 13,341 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    StoptheClocks wrote: »
    No, My understanding is that Emer Currie's 2nd Preferences will go to Leo and he's already elected. So the 3 left won't pick up many votes there.

    Leo being gone doesn't really matter. The vote will instead transfer to her 3rd, 4th or even 9th preference, basically whichever of JC, RC & RoG got the highest preference on each of Currie's votes.


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    #308
    thomasj
    Registered Users Posts: 4,793 ✭✭✭thomasj


    https://twitter.com/davitter/status/1226627630893608966?s=19


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    #309
    oLoonatic
    Registered Users Posts: 375 ✭✭oLoonatic


    Word from the count centre is that O Gorman looks set to take the final seat.


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    #310
    RoryMac
    Registered Users Posts: 5,159 ✭✭✭RoryMac


    https://twitter.com/RTEdublinWEST/status/1226628357628071944?s=19


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    #311
    StoptheClocks
    Registered Users Posts: 215 ✭✭StoptheClocks


    If it's very tight, there might be a recount?


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    #312
    blanch152
    Registered Users Posts: 27,347 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Zaph wrote: »
    There are only 2 seats and 3 candidates left, so this has to be the last count as there's nobody else left to eliminate after it.

    There is the Varadkar surplus of 47 if the last two are close, and possibly a Chambers surplus.


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    #313
    Toto Wolfcastle
    Registered Users Posts: 25,005 ✭✭✭✭Toto Wolfcastle


    Chambers elected according to Newstalk.


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    #314
    Toto Wolfcastle
    Registered Users Posts: 25,005 ✭✭✭✭Toto Wolfcastle


    And Roderic! \o/


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    #315
    RoryMac
    Registered Users Posts: 5,159 ✭✭✭RoryMac


    Chambers & O'Gorman elected

    https://twitter.com/RTEdublinWEST/status/1226632507808010245?s=19


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    #316
    Zaph
    Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 47,284 ✭✭✭✭Zaph


    Delighted for Roderic, it's been a long time coming!


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    #317
    Polar101
    Registered Users Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭Polar101


    O'Gorman 8,260
    Coppinger 7,580


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    #318
    angel eyes 2012
    Registered Users Posts: 904 ✭✭✭angel eyes 2012


    Toto Wolfcastle wrote: »
    Chambers elected according to Newstalk.

    I can't understand anyone voting for that guy.


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    #319
    StoptheClocks
    Registered Users Posts: 215 ✭✭StoptheClocks


    Well done to RG


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    #320
    RoryMac
    Registered Users Posts: 5,159 ✭✭✭RoryMac


    Polar101 wrote: »
    O'Gorman 8,260
    Coppinger 7,580

    Wow that's a far bigger margin than I thought, some amount of transfers to O'Gorman in the last count


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    #321
    Hurrache
    Registered Users Posts: 10,172 ✭✭✭✭Hurrache


    Chambers support around him tells it all at the count, not a person below the age of 65.

    Absolutely fantastic for O'Gorman, I was getting worried for a bit!


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    #322
    BanditLuke
    Registered Users Posts: 2,600 ✭✭✭BanditLuke


    angel eyes 2012 wrote: »
    I can't understand anyone voting for that guy.

    Very angry man.


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    #323
    Hurrache
    Registered Users Posts: 10,172 ✭✭✭✭Hurrache


    Looking at who we elected, I'm actually happy with the range of people in there, less left skewed than I thought it would be too.


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    #324
    Polar101
    Registered Users Posts: 3,795 ✭✭✭Polar101


    RoryMac wrote: »
    Wow that's a far bigger margin than I thought, some amount of transfers to O'Gorman in the last count

    Yeah, O'Gorman got 1990 transfers and Coppinger 589. Didn't think it would happen, but it did.


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    #325
    Zaph
    Registered Users, Subscribers Posts: 47,284 ✭✭✭✭Zaph


    Hurrache wrote: »
    Chambers support around him tells it all at the count, not a person below the age of 65.

    Yeah, I just said the same thing to my wife. Doesn't bode well for the future of FF in Dublin West.


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    #326
    hotmail.com
    Registered Users Posts: 13,156 ✭✭✭✭hotmail.com


    Chambers surrounded by elderly men at the count centre.

    FG will be disappointed with Emer Currie's poor showing.

    Excellent news for Roderic. He's been trying for a long time!


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    #327
    StoptheClocks
    Registered Users Posts: 215 ✭✭StoptheClocks


    We have lost 2 women TD's and it doesn't look like Leo will be Taoiseach but we have more than one gay TD now. We're very progressive.


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    #328
    Seamai
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,250 ✭✭✭Seamai


    Polar101 wrote: »
    Yeah, O'Gorman got 1990 transfers and Coppinger 589. Didn't think it would happen, but it did.

    At least some good news, less of Coppingers's face and whinging on national television is to be welcomed.


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    #329
    Hurrache
    Registered Users Posts: 10,172 ✭✭✭✭Hurrache


    hotmail.com wrote: »
    FG will be disappointed with Emer Currie's poor showing.

    I never heard of her until canvassing.


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    #330
    Hurrache
    Registered Users Posts: 10,172 ✭✭✭✭Hurrache


    StoptheClocks wrote: »
    We have lost 2 women TD's and it doesn't look like Leo will be Taoiseach but we have more than one gay TD now. We're very progressive.

    They didn't lose for being women, well not in the eyes of what I hope is the majority of people. And I doubt anyone won because of their sexual orientation.


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    #331
    KGLady
    Registered Users Posts: 338 ✭✭KGLady


    StoptheClocks wrote: »
    We have lost 2 women TD's and it doesn't look like Leo will be Taoiseach but we have more than one gay TD now. We're very progressive.

    A candidate's quality is more important than their gender or sexuality, sure Burton hasn't exactly been strong on women's issues in recent years anyway.


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