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US Open 2019

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  • Registered Users Posts: 5,054 ✭✭✭The Golden Miller


    walshb wrote: »
    Yes, I was expecting this.....

    I can see him being competitive, but I don't see him really putting a dent in the other three. I didn't day he would not compete, but the poster I was quouting seemed to suggest he'd be winning a lot more slams. That I cannot at all see..

    Hasn't a chance in France vs. Nole/Nadal or Fed. They have far too much....May push Fed really close...

    SW19: No way he hangs with any of them.....A 2006/2007/2008/2009/2010/2011 version of the three hammer him.

    All at peak and Agassi clearly suffers...

    Best chance is Oz...

    He won the first three matches vs a Federer that was maybe 4 years pre prime for Roger.

    All at the height of their powers see Agassi losing to the three regularly.

    I don't really see where you're getting any of this from. If he grew up with today's game, his strength, stamina, conditioning would be better, as would whatever else goes with today's preparations.

    Otherwise, in terms of actual skill and talent, I don't see how the "big 3" are superior. Splitting hairs really, as with the top talents from any generation


  • Registered Users Posts: 54,598 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    If this if that...

    I can’t see much change for Andre. Is he suddenly going to be so much faster and stronger?

    Talent wise with a racket he is up there. Fed is superior, though. Athlete wise I think all three are superior, eras notwithstanding.

    The big three are outliers; not even generational. Agassi was just another top player in his era. These three are above that.

    Like Bolt in the sprints....an outlier......not much to do with era. Just special.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,533 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    Chivito550 wrote: »
    Yep, so players just stopped using serve and volley by pure coincidence then? A method of tennis that proved very effective on all surfaces but clay right up until the early 2000s.

    The rallies just got longer by pure coincidence too.

    The science comparing speed and height when the ball bounces from the 90s to the present day are all lies too.

    Exactly .

    Anyone denying the fact that the courts and balls have been slowed down considerably since the 90's is frankly deluded.
    The science is overwhelming .
    Now, if (to borrow your hypothesis narrative) the surfaces were wildly different, as they were in the 90's, what's not to say that Nadal (and Djokovic) would not have adapted to those courts as well? Who knows

    You think Nadal standing 10 yards behind the baseline at the US Open and hitting winners would have worked in the 90's ?
    Do you think his grip and huge topspin would be anywhere as effective with older rackets on faster courts with lower bounce ?
    The fact is the Big3 have all competed under the same conditions - why the need for hypothesizing otherwise?

    Yes they have ,conditions that give the advantage to the more defensive type of player .
    The strings,balls and court manufacture all contribute to this .
    Its not opinion its science .

    Golf is another sport where technology has played a huge part .
    Modern technology means US golf competitions have largely become a putting competition as the drivers are so forgiving that its a bombers paradise .
    Ball striking is no longer as important as it used to be as the clubs are so forgiving .
    The ball has also been changed like as in tennis .
    You cant change the courses though like what has happened in tennis ,to make them faster/lower bounce etc .


  • Registered Users Posts: 54,598 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    You think Nadal standing 10 yards behind the baseline at the US Open and hitting winners would have worked in the 90's ?
    Do you think his grip and huge topspin would be anywhere as effective with older rackets on faster courts with lower bounce ?
    .

    This is the silliness, as if it's all Nadal does or is.....ridiculous. He would simply play tennis, and from my viewing and knowledge, he'd be winning most of the time, just like he is now. On all courts and surfaces against all players and styles.

    Nobody is disputing changes in courts and balls and rackets.....it's the whole OTT emphasizing it to try and lessens a couple players' chances that is being disputed....and what about the 90s players, what would they need to adapt to when now having to face a Nadal or Nole? Chip and charge as successful?

    I'll take my chances that a Nadal, who has beaten a "prime Fed" many times during this era, does pretty fine against a Becker/Sampras/Edberg/Agassi from the 90s.......prime Fed in this era is still a whole other animal compared to the others from the 90s. Fed is that amazing a talent.

    Again, smell of Fed fandom off this..


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,854 ✭✭✭dominatinMC


    Ah Christ, it's pathetic really - the levels to which Fed fans will go to convince themselves that he is the best, whilst Nadal & Djokovic are mere pretenders, when all the facts and stats are beginning to say otherwise. I like Fed every bit as much as Nadal & Djoker, but I am actually hoping that Nadal (or even Djokovic) surpasses Fed in the slam count - just to see the excuses and goalpost-shifting that will come from Federer fans if it happens! The mind boggles as to what they will think of to undermine that achievement :rolleyes:


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 6,306 Mod ✭✭✭✭mzungu


    Chivito550 wrote: »
    Yep, so players just stopped using serve and volley by pure coincidence then? A method of tennis that proved very effective on all surfaces but clay right up until the early 2000s.

    The rallies just got longer by pure coincidence too.

    The science comparing speed and height when the ball bounces from the 90s to the present day are all lies too.

    The game has evolved. The surfaces do play differently, but they play differently for everybody. The same way that players had to adapt to the big hitters of the 90s, now players need to adapt to the the more physical demands of todays slugfests.

    Arguments around string technology and the speed of the courts are a rabbit hole.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 6,306 Mod ✭✭✭✭mzungu


    walshb wrote: »
    I will add that of all the top 90s players, it is Agassi's all around game that makes him the best threat to the top three....

    I don't think a Sampras matches up well at all against the top three. He has a serve and volley....Other than this the others are far stronger...far stronger baseline games....Sampras would be hard pressed to break their serves from the back of the court, and he is risking too much trying to chop and charge...

    Aye. I don't think Sampras could stay in touch with a Djokovic or Nadal. Don't get me wrong, he was a wonderful player in his era and watching him play was a joy. But all I am thinking now is that the big three would have attacked his backhand like no mans business. Sampras used it well as a means of defence and at times for hitting wonderful passing shots (his forehand was majestic for that too). But a sustained onslaught from peak Nadal where he will have to hit each backhand at a difficult height would have caused him major problems.


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 6,306 Mod ✭✭✭✭mzungu


    I don't really see where you're getting any of this from. If he grew up with today's game, his strength, stamina, conditioning would be better, as would whatever else goes with today's preparations.

    Otherwise, in terms of actual skill and talent, I don't see how the "big 3" are superior. Splitting hairs really, as with the top talents from any generation

    Apart from being wonderful physical specimens, the big 3 possess superior mental strength (with Nadal and Djokovic being stronger than Fed) and self belief. Agassi had the belief, but his form could be very patchy at times. His will to win/play faded for long periods. While the big three have hit their slumps, they eventually always bounced back with interest.

    Psychology is very important in tennis. It often gets overlooked but it is crucial. Sometimes it's that iron will and self belief that gets them through tough matches where others would lose. It's ingrained into them, almost a part of who they are. Not everybody has that kind of belief, in fact very few do and even fewer can sustain it for pretty much their entire career. If you want an example, look at the chasing pack. They don't have the belief, they may have some good shots and a consistent game, but that on its own won't be enough to reach the heights of the big three if there is no mental strength to match it.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    yes it's like Nadal's extreme mental strength isn't as sexy as some other player's attributes but he wouldn't have won a single grand slam without it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,810 ✭✭✭Hector Savage


    Got money on Nadal only at 4/1 .... stupid to wait, he was on 5/1 about a week ago.
    Guess the draw makes it a lot easier.

    Still, money in the bank though.

    Ah hello there!
    I've been away, I will say I was very impressed with Medvedev, a far cry from his 6-3 6-0 loss a few weeks back.

    He could have done him in the 5th set ! finally a new young lad that might be able to challenge Nadal.

    Still he's favourite for AO (assuming Djojovic shoulder is still arsed which is quite likely)


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,930 ✭✭✭jr86


    Still he's favourite for AO (assuming Djojovic shoulder is still arsed which is quite likely)

    Wrong, that would be Djokovic :) and rightly so


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,810 ✭✭✭Hector Savage


    jr86 wrote: »
    Wrong, that would be Djokovic :) and rightly so

    Saying if Djokovic shoulder is still injured which is likely as shoulder injuries are absolute feckers to get rid of...


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,854 ✭✭✭dominatinMC


    Saying if Djokovic shoulder is still injured which is likely as shoulder injuries are absolute feckers to get rid of...
    Ya, I've just seen a report on reddit that he could be going for surgery on the shoulder...must be serious


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,810 ✭✭✭Hector Savage


    Ya, I've just seen a report on reddit that he could be going for surgery on the shoulder...must be serious

    And before I would have said Nadal will clean up now .... but after seeing Medvedev impress ... let's see - Tennis needs a young slam winner.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,054 ✭✭✭The Golden Miller


    walshb wrote: »
    If this if that...

    I can’t see much change for Andre. Is he suddenly going to be so much faster and stronger?

    Talent wise with a racket he is up there. Fed is superior, though. Athlete wise I think all three are superior, eras notwithstanding.

    The big three are outliers; not even generational. Agassi was just another top player in his era. These three are above that.

    Like Bolt in the sprints....an outlier......not much to do with era. Just special.

    Bolt is an outlier? Possibly, possibly not. But in this scenario, we just happen to have 3 outliers in the history of the sport at the one time? And in 20 years, another few? Everything improves over time, generation to generation, even to minute details, ways of practice, consistency at the top etc. Everything today is the "best ever" more or less, if we go down that road.

    If you think these 3 are just 3 freakish players who would destroy the likes of Agassi or Spamras, or Borg or whoever, then so be it. I think it's a ridiculous assumption, particularly when we see how competitive Agassi actually was against Federer in his pomp. You accuse me of "if this and if that", but that's all you have too, hypotheticals.


  • Registered Users Posts: 54,598 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Agassi won sets and matches against a young Fed..

    All competing together at their prime, and Agassi would need clear improvements to be successful against them. They are simply too strong in all areas..

    And let’s not pretend Agassi is ancient and was competing in a far away era..

    As for Borg.....not really worth considering...

    Sampras’ baseline and ground-stroking would be brutally exposed..


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,695 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    walshb wrote: »
    Agassi won sets and matches against a young Fed..

    All competing together at their prime, and Agassi would need clear improvements to be successful against them. They are simply too strong in all areas..

    And let’s not pretend Agassi is ancient and was competing in a far away era..

    As for Borg.....not really worth considering...

    Sampras’ baseline and ground-stroking would be brutally exposed..

    Recency bias. It's easy for people to forget just how good those players of the past were, with inferior technology and different courts.

    Agassi took Federer to 5 sets at the US Open in 2004 and pushed him hard in the 2005 US Open Final. Both those US Open's Federer went on to win.

    Granted it was an exhibition series but I remember Sampras coming out of retirement to play Federer 3 times when he was world number and he won one of them.

    Not sure why you are so dismissive of Borg. He won the French Wimbledon double 4 times back when the courts were complete polar opposites. That's far more impressive than achieving the feat today. Give Federer and Nadal a wooden racquet too and see how they get on. Would love to see Nadal hit winners from way behind the baseline with a wooden racquet.


  • Registered Users Posts: 54,598 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    And before I would have said Nadal will clean up now .... but after seeing Medvedev impress ... let's see - Tennis needs a young slam winner.

    Watch Borg. Forget what he won...

    It’s like slo motion tennis compared to recent times...

    Even with eras and improvements, he’d need a massive step up to compete...

    I loved Agassi in the day, but I thought your view that he’d win a lot more slams in this era to be well off the mark..

    Remove the three big names, and yes, he has a good chance..

    Otherwise he has a serious mountain to climb to beat Nadal/Nole/Fed on any surface...he is not strong enough, just like Hewitt would be competitive, but fall short..

    I believe Hewitt is a great analogy here. Dogged, relentless and very good baseliner. He suffered against the big three, because he was just not strong enough. He also beat Sampras several times, and he is not as strong as the big three.

    And this nonsense of going back in time? Bringing the big three back to 70s and 80s wooden rackets...there’s no logic here. The debate has to be about bringing the 70s and 80s forwards...


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,054 ✭✭✭The Golden Miller


    walshb wrote: »
    Agassi won sets and matches against a young Fed..

    All competing together at their prime, and Agassi would need clear improvements to be successful against them. They are simply too strong in all areas..

    And let’s not pretend Agassi is ancient and was competing in a far away era..

    As for Borg.....not really worth considering...

    Sampras’ baseline and ground-stroking would be brutally exposed..

    You can't just pick a guy out of another era and place him in today's era, say he'd get destroyed and consider no external factors. You grow up with the game of your day. The game and conditions Agassi and Sampras grew up with were vastly different to Federer, Nadal and Djokovic.

    Sampras would be brutally exposed on today's courts or on 90's courts? Except in serious exhibitions, Federer has yet to "brutally" expose him for example, on far slower courts. If Sampras grew up today, he wouldn't be playing a serve and volley game to begin with. I don't think you're fully grasping this concept.

    All we can really compare is the raw talent across generation, and how under the same conditions for every generation, how it would hypothetically play out. And when it comes to raw talent across the top players from each generation, you're splitting hairs


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,054 ✭✭✭The Golden Miller


    walshb wrote: »
    Watch Borg. Forget what he won...

    It’s like slo motion tennis compared to recent times...

    Even with eras and improvements, he’d need a massive step up to compete....

    If he grew up today, he'd have that massive step up by default, by being conditioned and having the advantages of today


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  • Registered Users Posts: 54,598 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    I think Hewitt is the analogy here. Very good player, similar to Andre..

    Hewitt’s game was very tough for a still very good Sampras. He beat Sampras several times, when Pete was still 30 or below, and when Hewitt was young.

    I cannot see any Sampras having an easier time with Nole or Nadal, who were both clearly stronger than Hewitt..Sampras would be punished more..

    Whatever game Sampras decides to play today, he is still Sampras, and his weaknesses would still be heavily punished by theee monsters of the game. Outliers.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,695 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    walshb wrote: »
    Watch Borg. Forget what he won...

    It’s like slo motion tennis compared to recent times...

    Even with eras and improvements, he’d need a massive step up to compete...

    I loved Agassi in the day, but I thought your view that he’d win a lot more slams in this era to be well off the mark..

    Remove the three big names, and yes, he has a good chance..

    Otherwise he has a serious mountain to climb to beat Nadal/Nole/Fed on any surface...he is not strong enough, just like Hewitt would be competitive, but fall short..

    I believe Hewitt is a great analogy here. Dogged, relentless and very good baseliner. He suffered against the big three, because he was just not strong enough. He also beat Sampras several times, and he is not as strong as the big three.

    And this nonsense of going back in time? Bringing the big three back to 70s and 80s wooden rackets...there’s no logic here. The debate has to be about bringing the 70s and 80s forwards...

    Jessie Owens is like slow motion sprinting in comparison to Usain Bolt. Meaningless really. Different tracks, footwear, training knowledge etc between the eras. Same for tennis.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,533 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    Chivito550 wrote: »
    Jessie Owens is like slow motion sprinting in comparison to Usain Bolt. Meaningless really. Different tracks, footwear, training knowledge etc between the eras. Same for tennis.

    They compared this recently and estimated that Owens would be within one stride of Bolt if running under similar conditions.



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,695 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    They compared this recently and estimated that Owens would be within one stride of Bolt if running under similar conditions.


    That's a great video. Thanks for sharing.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,411 ✭✭✭EagererBeaver


    Chivito550 wrote: »
    Not sure why you are so dismissive of Borg. He won the French Wimbledon double 4 times back when the courts were complete polar opposites. That's far more impressive than achieving the feat today.

    Couldn't resist that last bit, could you.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,695 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    Couldn't resist that last bit, could you.

    Federer did that double too. I rate Borg's achievement higher.


  • Registered Users Posts: 54,598 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Get a grip..

    They’re elite tennis players...

    Should be able to play on any surface....under any conditions..

    Difficulty level is not relevant here...

    Borg did FO and SW19 several years in a row...

    Absolute no different than anyone else doing it..or doing any other combination..


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,695 ✭✭✭Chivito550


    walshb wrote: »
    Get a grip..

    They’re elite tennis players...

    Should be able to play on any surface....under any conditions..

    Difficulty level is not relevant here...

    Borg did FO and SW19 several years in a row...

    Absolute no different than anyone else doing it..or doing any other combination..

    How come in the 90s the French Open champions often didn't even bother showing up at Wimbledon. How come the likes of Sampras and Ivanesevic were nobodies on clay. Clay and grass were like 2 different sports. One involved rallies of 3-4 shots, the other 15-20 shots. Nowadays the surfaces are far more similar.

    For Borg to win on both surfaces during such an era for so many years is a grossly underrated achievement. It's the equivalent of winning the 100m and the 800m simultaneously.


  • Registered Users Posts: 54,598 ✭✭✭✭walshb


    Chivito550 wrote: »
    How come in the 90s the French Open champions often didn't even bother showing up at Wimbledon. How come the likes of Sampras and Ivanesevic were nobodies on clay. Clay and grass were like 2 different sports. One involved rallies of 3-4 shots, the other 15-20 shots. Nowadays the surfaces are far more similar.

    For Borg to win on both surfaces during such an era for so many years is a grossly underrated achievement. It's the equivalent of winning the 100m and the 800m simultaneously.

    I never claimed there were no differences between surfaces...

    And it’s why Sampras can never be considered the greatest. His poor clay record..

    Nadal and Nole and Fed would have won on any surface in any era under any conditions. That is my point. They are that exceptional..

    Put the three of them into the 90s and Sampras likely wins 3-4 slams max..


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  • Registered Users Posts: 14,533 ✭✭✭✭MisterAnarchy


    Chivito550 wrote: »
    How come in the 90s the French Open champions often didn't even bother showing up at Wimbledon. How come the likes of Sampras and Ivanesevic were nobodies on clay. Clay and grass were like 2 different sports. One involved rallies of 3-4 shots, the other 15-20 shots. Nowadays the surfaces are far more similar.

    Some people in here are in serious denial over the courts being homogenised .
    Its bordering on the ludicrous.

    Have a look at this Australian Open final from 1995 between Sampras and Agassi .



    The difference between the court then and now is night and day .
    Its way faster ,the ball is moving all over the place and kicking like a mule.

    Look how far up the court Agassi ,the best returner of all time is standing to receive Sampras's serve ,arguably the best serve of all time.
    There's none of this Nadal nonsense of standing 10 yards behind the baseline .

    Of the Grand Slams back then the Australian Open was the second slowest court speed .


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