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Brexit discussion thread X (Please read OP before posting)

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  • Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭ToBeFrank123


    SeaBreezes wrote: »
    I disagree. Jacob has been quoted that they won't have another election as they wouldn't get the same result... hmmm.. doesn't sound like democracy to me.. and what if, they work out more than one deal option, publish them online then run a referendum with the options: stay as is or leave with options a,b or c. Could be done by oct 25th easily. Now THAT would be democracy..

    This is more fantasy I'm afraid if you think Johnson will do this and you know it. There isn't a hope of a new referendum any time soon.


  • Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭ToBeFrank123


    I always find it funny when someone points out Brexit is about to happen and they are then accused of being a Brexiteer.

    Its like pointing out a car crash is about to happen and being accused of causing it.

    Really odd.

    Its not actually people who say Brexit is about to happen that are at fault. Its the people who bury their head in the sand and deny it can happen that are really at fault. People like our current government who have buried their heads in the sand for way too long. Events have passed them by at this stage.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,855 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    This is more fantasy I'm afraid if you think Johnson will do this and you know it. There isn't a hope of a new referendum any time soon.
    Apart from the fact that it would take six months minimum to hold a referendum.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,057 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    I always find it funny when someone points out Brexit is about to happen and they are then accused of being a Brexiteer.

    Its like pointing out a car crash is about to happen and being accused of causing it.

    Really odd.

    Its not actually people who say Brexit is about to happen that are at fault. Its the people who bury their head in the sand and deny it can happen that are really at fault. People like our current government who have buried their heads in the sand for way too long. Events have passed them by at this stage.


    What a strange and completely inaccurate analogy


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,917 ✭✭✭GM228


    You know what they say, be careful what you ask for...

    https://twitter.com/nigelmp/status/1168519316309970944?s=19


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  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Sports Moderators Posts: 24,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭robinph


    This is more fantasy I'm afraid if you think Johnson will do this and you know it. There isn't a hope of a new referendum any time soon.

    Yep, but only because people have been allowed to get away with the narrative that it is somehow undemocratic to ask the people what they want that now the population is believing that for some unknown reason.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,855 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    robinph wrote: »
    Yep, but only because people have been allowed to get away with the narrative that it is somehow undemocratic to ask the people what they want that now the population is believing that for some unknown reason.
    The entire narrative has been the constant gaslighting of the population. Going back decades. Very successfully of course. And yet people will swear that they were not influenced by this.


  • Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭ToBeFrank123


    VinLieger wrote: »
    What a strange and completely inaccurate analogy


    Well what analogy would you use?

    Do you think its strange that when someone points out Brexit is about to happen, they are accused of being a Brexiteer?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,855 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    Well what analogy would you use?

    Do you think its strange that when someone points out Brexit is about to happen, they are accused of being a Brexiteer?
    You made that point without quoting anyone who actually made that accusation. Analogy aside, could you point to that accusation being made?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,644 ✭✭✭✭Zubeneschamali


    Any chance of it being re-run is long gone.

    Not according to the leader of the opposition.

    And when the Government is in a minority, propped up only by bribery, with a working majority of one, and threatening to eject upwards of 20 rebels from its backbenches, I think it would be wise to pay attention to what the leader of the opposition says.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,288 ✭✭✭CelticRambler


    You want to talk about the legitimacy of the referendum result, I don't. Discussing its legitimacy in my view is a waste of time at this stage.

    Wellwhaddyaknow: we've found common ground! Now if only the British politicians could learn from our example! :D

    I agree: the settle-a-Tory-argument opinion poll, masquerading as a referendum, is ancient history and there's little point in discussing its legitimacy now, more than three years later and less than two months till Brexit day.

    Except ... see paragraph 1: MPs in Westminster haven't learnt a damn thing about democracy or collaborative governance in the meantime, and that's a problem for everyone - the British on both side of the Leave/Remain divide, the Irish, the EU and even the non-European nations that want to continue to trade with the UK post-Brexit.

    Think about it for a second: the referendum came about because of an dispute within the Conservative Party from around the turn of the century; 20 years later, the headline news today is ... a dispute within the Conservative Party.

    If those "in charge" of the UK cannot even agree amongst themselves, how the feck can the rest of us be expected to deal with them? It is unfortunate that the Island of Ireland has an EU-UK frontier running through it, but as is the case with any undesireable neighbours in an otherwise desireable neighbourhood, sometimes you've just got to grow some trees along the fence, put up with their carry-on and hope they default on their rent/mortgage and are replaced by nicer people.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 384 ✭✭mrbrianj


    prawnsambo wrote: »
    No. The last time, roads were blown up, blocked or marked as 'unapproved'. Didn't stop smuggling and all the other illegal crossings by paramilitaries etc.

    Border (no deal) will wreck our agri & food industries.
    No Border (no deal) will wreck our agri & food industries.
    No Border (soft deal?no backstop & no alignment) will wreck our agri & food industries.

    Not to mention other industries and social problems. The Backstop is the only solution which works for this Island.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    They know it would be remain in a second referendum. Exactly why they won’t allow one to take place

    https://twitter.com/theneweuropean/status/1168444254655537152?s=21


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,644 ✭✭✭✭Zubeneschamali


    Its like pointing out a car crash is about to happen and being accused of causing it.

    I don't think you are going to cause Brexit by saying it is definitely going to happen.

    I don't think you must support it to think it is definitely going to happen.

    I just think you are wrong when you say it is definitely going to happen, especially that it is definitely going to happen the exact way Boris is pretending he wants it to happen this week.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,554 ✭✭✭SeaBreezes


    prawnsambo wrote: »
    Apart from the fact that it would take six months minimum to hold a referendum.

    Why 6 months?


  • Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭ToBeFrank123


    Wellwhaddyaknow: we've found common ground! Now if only the British politicians could learn from our example! :D

    I agree: the settle-a-Tory-argument opinion poll, masquerading as a referendum, is ancient history and there's little point in discussing its legitimacy now, more than three years later and less than two months till Brexit day.

    Except ... see paragraph 1: MPs in Westminster haven't learnt a damn thing about democracy or collaborative governance in the meantime, and that's a problem for everyone - the British on both side of the Leave/Remain divide, the Irish, the EU and even the non-European nations that want to continue to trade with the UK post-Brexit.

    Think about it for a second: the referendum came about because of an dispute within the Conservative Party from around the turn of the century; 20 years later, the headline news today is ... a dispute within the Conservative Party.

    If those "in charge" of the UK cannot even agree amongst themselves, how the feck can the rest of us be expected to deal with them? It is unfortunate that the Island of Ireland has an EU-UK frontier running through it, but as is the case with any undesireable neighbours in an otherwise desireable neighbourhood, sometimes you've just got to grow some trees along the fence, put up with their carry-on and hope they default on their rent/mortgage and are replaced by nicer people.

    I could be wrong here but I believe at one stage or another every single party leader in the UK has said the referendum result needs to be respected.

    Here's what Corbyn said.
    Jeremy Corbyn: 'Brexit result must be respected'

    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/jeremy-corbyn-brexit-result-must-be-respected-a3313661.html

    Yep, Tory hating Corbyn said that. He didn't say it was illegitimate, he didn't say it was an opinion poll. He said the result must be respected.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,057 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    SeaBreezes wrote: »
    Why 6 months?


    Because it takes 24 weeks from start to finish to arrange a referendum in the UK, ive no info why but its the most commonly quoted time frame when anyone who would be involved with organising one discusses it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,855 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    SeaBreezes wrote: »
    Why 6 months?
    You have to enact legislation first. Get that passed. Then get the Referendum Commission to establish the question, then all interested campaigning organisations have to be established and registered and then time for a campaign and the referendum date follows. Six months is a ballpark figure. It could take longer, but unlikely to be much shorter than six months.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    Seeing it mentioned a very possible outcome of a GE could be a Tory/BP/DUP alliance.

    That’s a whole new hellscape


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,917 ✭✭✭GM228


    SeaBreezes wrote: »
    Why 6 months?

    The Constitution Unit has previously outlined the time frame of 24 weeks and why it takes so long here.
    Allowing one week between passage of legislation and the start of the regulated campaign, and a 10-week regulated campaign period, would take the total period from start to finish to 24 weeks

    That would seem to be the minimum, the reality is it would probably take longer.


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  • Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭ToBeFrank123


    VinLieger wrote: »
    Because it takes 24 weeks from start to finish to arrange a referendum in the UK, ive no info why but its the most commonly quoted time frame when anyone who would be involved with organising one discusses it.

    I'm guessing its to organise and vote the legislation through parliament, debate the wording, etc. And its right it should take that long, otherwise people can be rushed into something. I think Cameron announced the referendum in early 2015 before the GE. People had plenty of time to discuss and debate it.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,057 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Seeing it mentioned a very possible outcome of a GE could be a Tory/BP/DUP alliance.

    That’s a whole new hellscape


    If the BP split the Tories vote leaving nobody honestly knows how the new parliament will look


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 20,435 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    I could be wrong here but I believe at one stage or another every single party leader in the UK has said the referendum result needs to be respected.

    Here's what Corbyn said.
    Jeremy Corbyn: 'Brexit result must be respected'
    https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/jeremy-corbyn-brexit-result-must-be-respected-a3313661.html

    Yep, Tory hating Corbyn said that. He didn't say it was illegitimate, he didn't say it was an opinion poll. He said the result must be respected.

    It is possible to respect a result without actually implementing it. For example, you can show respect by explaining why it is a very bad idea to go through with it, because the original result came about by misleading information or even by deliberate lies.

    Court decisions are respected even when they are overturned on appeal.

    If a referendum was passed to bring back hanging, no self-respecting Western Government would implement such a result. A popular result is not necessarily a workable result.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,644 ✭✭✭✭Zubeneschamali


    I think an election before Brexit Day will go badly for the Tories - Leavers will split to support the Brexit Party as Johnson has failed, Remainers will be energized by the possibility that a Remain Alliance can stop Brexit altogether.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    VinLieger wrote: »
    If the BP split the Tories vote leaving nobody honestly knows how the new parliament will look

    I’ve heard farage say he’s support Johnson but only if the entire WA was dropped. But Farage says a lot of things.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 199 ✭✭kuro68k


    So frustrating that Labour, Lib Dems, SNP and all the other remain leaning parties can't get their act together. If there is a GE then they need to beat Boris who will be standing on a platform of delivering brexit no matter what, nullifying the BP vote.

    They need unity to win.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 36,646 ✭✭✭✭LuckyLloyd


    Johnson doesn’t have the power to enact any legislation
    He doesn’t have the power to stop any legislation
    He doesn’t have the power to call a general election himself


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,855 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    I think an election before Brexit Day will go badly for the Tories - Leavers will split to support the Brexit Party as Johnson has failed, Remainers will be energized by the possibility that a Remain Alliance can stop Brexit altogether.
    But an election that was 'forced' on him? By 'remainers'? Couldn't get more brexity than a man standing for an election that he's tried to avoid and looking for a majority to implement the 'will of the people' and thwart the remoaners. I could write reams of manifestos on those talking points alone. There would be something compelling for brexiters in supporting the only party that can deliver brexit. Because Brexit Party Limited can't do that on their own. :)


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,057 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    prawnsambo wrote: »
    But an election that was 'forced' on him? By 'remainers'? Couldn't get more brexity than a man standing for an election that he's tried to avoid and looking for a majority to implement the 'will of the people' and thwart the remoaners. I could write reams of manifestos on those talking points alone. There would be something compelling for brexiters in supporting the only party that can deliver brexit. Because Brexit Party Limited can't do that on their own. :)


    Indeed BUT thanks to FPTP if the BP do split the conservative vote it gives the other parties a better chance to take some previously secure conservative seats, but they would need to agree to a non aggression pact like was done in Wales for the by election where they dont compete against each other for these seats


This discussion has been closed.
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