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Brexit discussion thread X (Please read OP before posting)

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭swampgas


    Excellent animation of cross-border traffic, in The Guardian

    Hopefully it helps to visualise what's a pretty distant and abstract border to a lot of people in GB.


  • Posts: 31,828 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    swampgas wrote: »
    If your livelihood is threatened by Brexit, and you tune it out because it's "boring", that's ... what can I say? Darwinian?

    So what would you suggest these people do?
    Especially when there is no realistic strategy that they can follow.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,192 ✭✭✭trellheim


    Tell us exactly what not fully and entirely leaving the EU means and I will answer that.

    Numerous attempts have been put forward in the HoC to begin the process of leaving the EU. All failed.

    So unless you have something wonderful to propose that a majority in the HoC can vote for, then nothing has changed.

    Do you have something to propose that would get a majority in the HoC?

    My point was, what I wrote there was fact, which I note you have not disagreed with....

    'fully and entirely' did not feature in the referendum choice. This is not debatable - it didn't feature on the ballot.

    You are entirely at liberty to take that to mean what you want , my opinion is that this is the heart of the problem - everyone did just that.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    That’s a dramatic drop for the DUP but expected

    https://twitter.com/electionmapsuk/status/1168489976805429248?s=21


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,057 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger




    There can no longer be any doubt that Corbyn wants brexit in any form, the fact that he thinks he could win an election being fought over the Tories delivering Brexit prior to the repercussions coming into effect is also just insanity


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    VinLieger wrote: »
    There can no longer be any doubt that Corbyn wants brexit in any form, the fact that he thinks he could win an election being fought over the Tories delivering Brexit prior to the repercussions coming into effect is also just insanity

    Really? Hes saying exactly the opposite but I don’t know how to read him.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,192 ✭✭✭trellheim


    He wants one. This just today
    Ah lads - pull back from the Brink and THEN GE is what was said. read the article ffs


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 801 ✭✭✭woohoo!!!


    woohoo!!! wrote: »
    The backstop with the process to review is the fudge. The border cannot become a bargaining chip in trade talks which is why any time limit implies that it can be. To give here, crossing red lines means giving at Dover Calais. Such would be unacceptable to France. It comes back to this outdated thinking that the big boys decide things while the smaller ones fall into line. The whole point of the EU with common rules and seats at the table for all PMs of member states is the opposite, deliberately, for what reigned in Europe before (and all those wars with different groups manoeuvring for power).

    It is up to the UK to come to a solution, given they're the ones leaving and want a deal with the larger remaining bloc.

    I think something like that was agreed back in March between the EU and May. The UK Attorney General advised it still didn't give enough legal guarantees the UK could leave the backstop unilaterally. This was enough to swing the vote to another defeat in the HoC.

    Hence the reason for a clear legally guaranteed timeline for exiting the backstop, probably after a referendum on the issue or something like that.

    An unending backstop just has no mandate in the HoC, this seems to escape a log of people.
    Everything bar saying no to a no deal Brexit does not have enough support in HoC, but that won't stop no deal. Forget about everything else, what does the UK want? I've still no idea beyond cake and eat it, on both sides, which no non EU country will ever get. It's better for us to accept a temporary border, than signing anything that leads to a permanent one.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,619 ✭✭✭swampgas


    So what would you suggest these people do?
    Especially when there is no realistic strategy that they can follow.

    It not what they can do now so much as what they haven't done over the last 2 or 3 years. People need to take some responsibility for their own actions here.

    And if there really are no options, then unfortunately you're going to become a casualty of Brexit, like there were many casualties of the financial crash. At least this time round the warnings were there if you were prepared to pay any attention to them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,644 ✭✭✭✭Zubeneschamali


    Because it made No Deal a much greater possibility

    No Deal suits the SNP, since it will bring about the end of the UK through Scottish Independence. Same reason SF are keeping pretty quiet, let the Tories/DUP do the damage, builds pressure to escape from incompetent Westminster rule later.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,057 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Really? Hes saying exactly the opposite but I don’t know how to read him.


    He's still refusing to say if he would vote against an election scheduled for after October 31st in the case that the no deal legislation fails


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,290 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio


    Ah I knew a post like this was coming. I point out the facts and someone like you says I'm defending it.

    Its like pointing out the facts of a serious crime in the past, and then being accused of condoning it.

    Deal with the facts. You can ignore countless votes in the HoC all you like. They are still facts that you have to deal with.

    Facts will always trump opinion.

    What facts did you mention?

    I'm not sure there is anything worth engaging with here to be honest. You like to use metaphors and such but there is no substance and you didnt address my response to your point on the vote. I'm not sure we will be able to debate in a purposeful manner, but - as I mentioned - it was not a legitimate vote and can't be considered one - would you care to address that point?

    That point aside, there are several other issues.

    It was actually an advisory (non-binding) referendum which was overly simplistic and did not provide a specific mandate. Yes/No for an extremely complex issue with far reaching implications that weren't sufficiently clear. It certainly did not instruct the government to behave like a clown academy and steer toward a crash out brexit.

    The referendum itself was run in an unbelievably cavalier manner: no proper oversight as to the conduct of the respective campaigns and no proper referendum commission providing impartial, factual information. You see, the UK arent used to running referendums, and it shows.

    Part of the problem was that barely anyone in the UK even knew what the EU was at the point. Many still don't. There were certainly some vague notions that they outlawed bananas of a particular shape. Theresa May bravely triggered Article 50 in a patriotic flourish... but 'without a sketch of a plan'.

    The mandate is bollocks. The far right types have been literally making it up as they go along, becoming progressively more obtuse and obdurate. They are spurred on by some bizarre exceptionalism and a nasty, nationalistic media.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,855 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    That’s a dramatic drop for the DUP but expected

    https://twitter.com/electionmapsuk/status/1168489976805429248?s=21
    Alliance are gobbling up support from everywhere it looks like. SDLP, SF, DUP and a little bit of UUP. Will be an interesting election in NI if it happens soon.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,644 ✭✭✭✭Zubeneschamali


    trellheim wrote: »
    Ah lads - pull back from the Brink and THEN GE is what was said. read the article ffs

    In fairness, the BBC article is so short that it is unclear exactly what Corbyn is saying.

    Here is the whole speech:
    https://labour.org.uk/press/29461/

    Excerpts:

    But first, we face the threat of No Deal which would decimate industry and destroy people’s jobs in those very same regions.

    ...

    So, first we must come together to stop No Deal. This week could be our last chance.

    We are working with other parties to do everything necessary to pull our country back from the brink.

    Then we need a general election.


    ...

    And in that election, Labour will give the people the chance to take back control, and have the final say in a public vote, with credible options for both sides including the option to remain.



    So my read is first, stop Tory shenanigans trying to cause No Deal by default.

    Second, hold an election, with a 2nd referendum including Remain in the manifesto.

    Third, win the election.

    Fourth, hold a 2nd referendum with Remain as an option.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 4,850 ✭✭✭Stop moaning ffs


    prawnsambo wrote: »
    Alliance are gobbling up support from everywhere it looks like. SDLP, SF, DUP and a little bit of UUP. Will be an interesting election in NI if it happens soon.

    It’s brilliant to see the extremes losing out. Alliance set to take 3 DUP seats.
    Also this

    https://twitter.com/sarmcdonnell/status/1168496622164160512?s=21


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 55,847 ✭✭✭✭Headshot


    Anyone see Politics live on BBC today?

    We'll that was quite spiky at the end lol


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28 Murph76


    So what about the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland? There is no way that they would be able to watch the myriad of streets connecting the two, would they?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 332 ✭✭Tikki Wang Wang


    Headshot wrote: »
    Anyone see Politics live on BBC today?

    We'll that was quite spiky at the end lol

    Any chance you could reference what was said maybe ?


  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 43,365 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    I don't agree with Johnson on much, but I agree that not to respect referendum results would fundamentally undermine credibility in UK politics.

    No-one would bother voting again or there'd be p*ss poor turnout in future referenda or elections. "Why bother, they will only ignore the outcome", would be what people say.
    But to prorogue parliament thereby undermining the members of the houses from doing their jobs doesn't undermine UK politics?
    What about the likes of Gove suggesting that the British government may ignore the laws in place to prevent a no-deal exit (by not ruling it out)? Surely that undermines UK politics?
    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/sep/01/brexit-gove-refuses-rule-out-ignoring-law-passed-stop-no-deal-


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 55,847 ✭✭✭✭Headshot




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,057 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    Headshot wrote: »


    He's not wrong discussing the reaction instead of the actual story is a pretty pathetic and self indulgent


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,855 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    Murph76 wrote: »
    So what about the border between Northern Ireland and Ireland? There is no way that they would be able to watch the myriad of streets connecting the two, would they?
    No. The last time, roads were blown up, blocked or marked as 'unapproved'. Didn't stop smuggling and all the other illegal crossings by paramilitaries etc.


  • Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭ToBeFrank123


    J Mysterio wrote: »
    What facts did you mention?

    I'm not sure there is anything worth engaging with here to be honest. You like to use metaphors and such but there is no substance and you didnt address my response to your point on the vote. I'm not sure we will be able to debate in a purposeful manner, but - as I mentioned - it was not a legitimate vote and can't be considered one - would you care to address that point?

    That point aside, there are several other issues.

    It was actually an advisory (non-binding) referendum which was overly simplistic and did not provide a specific mandate. Yes/No for an extremely complex issue with far reaching implications that weren't sufficiently clear. It certainly did not instruct the government to behave like a clown academy and steer toward a crash out brexit.

    The referendum itself was run in an unbelievably cavalier manner: no proper oversight as to the conduct of the respective campaigns and no proper referendum commission providing impartial, factual information. You see, the UK arent used to running referendums, and it shows.

    Part of the problem was that barely anyone in the UK even knew what the EU was at the point. Many still don't. There were certainly some vague notions that they outlawed bananas of a particular shape. Theresa May bravely triggered Article 50 in a patriotic flourish... but 'without a sketch of a plan'.

    The mandate is bollocks. The far right types have been literally making it up as they go along, becoming progressively more obtuse and obdurate. They are spurred on by some bizarre exceptionalism and a nasty, nationalistic media.

    Still engaging in questioning the Referendum Result I see. You might agree or disagree with the result, but the Referendum is done, over, finito.

    Its the ultimate waste of time discussing the Referendum result, time I don't intend to waste. The debate has moved on. We are now at the stage of looking at a No Deal Brexit and how it can be avoided.

    Crying over the spilled milk that was the election result gets no-one nowhere fast.

    Any chance of it being re-run is long gone.

    Any chance of its impact being reduced was rejected in the HoC including by the likes of Corbyn who by their actions handed Brexit on a plate to Boris Johnson.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,290 ✭✭✭✭J Mysterio


    Ok, I'm going to save myself the bother with you I think. I'm not even sure you know what it is you are arguing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,855 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    Still engaging in questioning the Referendum Result I see. You might agree or disagree with the result, but the Referendum is done, over, finito.

    Its the ultimate waste of time discussing the Referendum result, time I don't intend to waste. The debate has moved on. We are now at the stage of looking at a No Deal Brexit and how it can be avoided.

    Crying over the spilled milk that was the election result gets no-one nowhere fast.

    Any chance of it being re-run is long gone.

    Any chance of its impact being reduced was rejected in the HoC including by the likes of Corbyn who by their actions handed Brexit on a plate to Boris Johnson.
    I think you need to go back to his original post (which I think you misunderstood) and re-read. Essentially what he's saying is that the referendum result stemmed from a notion of brexit which was all things to all people. A 'whatever you're having yourself brexit'. In view of that, no agreement on brexit can ever be reached since no two people (exaggeration, I know) have the same end result in mind. I've often referred to it as Schroedinger's brexit, which remains in the sunny uplands of the mind until it's written down, when it immediately becomes "not the brexit I voted for". Hence no deal. Because at least with no deal, you can continue the illusion that it can be anything you want. Right up to the point of the dreams/reality interface.

    The question at the end of this is; should we and the EU try and pander to this impossible dream, or just move on and try and limit the damage.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,554 ✭✭✭SeaBreezes


    Still engaging in questioning the Referendum Result I see. You might agree or disagree with the result, but the Referendum is done, over, finito.

    Its the ultimate waste of time discussing the Referendum result, time I don't intend to waste. The debate has moved on. We are now at the stage of looking at a No Deal Brexit and how it can be avoided.

    Crying over the spilled milk that was the election result gets no-one nowhere fast.

    Any chance of it being re-run is long gone.

    Any chance of its impact being reduced was rejected in the HoC including by the likes of Corbyn who by their actions handed Brexit on a plate to Boris Johnson.

    I disagree. Jacob has been quoted that they won't have another election as they wouldn't get the same result... hmmm.. doesn't sound like democracy to me.. and what if, they work out more than one deal option, publish them online then run a referendum with the options: stay as is or leave with options a,b or c. Could be done by oct 25th easily. Now THAT would be democracy..


  • Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 2,175 ✭✭✭ToBeFrank123


    J Mysterio wrote: »
    Ok, I'm going to save myself the bother with you I think. I'm not even sure you know what it is you are arguing.

    No problem with that. You want to talk about the legitimacy of the referendum result, I don't. Discussing its legitimacy in my view is a waste of time at this stage. Good Luck.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 25,748 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Still engaging in questioning the Referendum Result I see. You might agree or disagree with the result, but the Referendum is done, over, finito.

    Its the ultimate waste of time discussing the Referendum result, time I don't intend to waste. The debate has moved on. We are now at the stage of looking at a No Deal Brexit and how it can be avoided.

    Crying over the spilled milk that was the election result gets no-one nowhere fast.

    Any chance of it being re-run is long gone.

    Any chance of its impact being reduced was rejected in the HoC including by the likes of Corbyn who by their actions handed Brexit on a plate to Boris Johnson.

    You have no basis for stating all this. I have little basis for offering the opposite, but as of now, all bets are off.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,784 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    prawnsambo wrote: »
    I think you need to go back to his original post (which I think you misunderstood) and re-read. Essentially what he's saying is that the referendum result stemmed from a notion of brexit which was all things to all people. A 'whatever you're having yourself brexit'. In view of that, no agreement on brexit can ever be reached since no two people (exaggeration, I know) have the same end result in mind. I've often referred to it as Schroedinger's brexit, which remains in the sunny uplands of the mind until it's written down, when it immediately becomes "not the brexit I voted for". Hence no deal. Because at least with no deal, you can continue the illusion that it can be anything you want. Right up to the point of the dreams/reality interface.

    The question at the end of this is; should we and the EU try and pander to this impossible dream, or just move on and try and limit the damage.

    The British public voted for something that was virtually unimplementable. The thing was doomed to abject failure - it could only have worked if say 80% of Leave voters and politicians were in favour of EEA or EFTA membership.

    Instead they voted for a pipedream sold to them by a bunch of liars and shysters. They may as well have voted to make themselves £200k richer (ie. an undeliverable fantasy).


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,331 ✭✭✭✭MadYaker


    It’s is it not completely hilarious to hear brexiteers saying that UK customs will just wave lorries through? I thought brexit was about retaking control of the borders??


This discussion has been closed.
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