June 2019 Boards weather forecast contest

M.T. Cranium · 30-05-2019 05:58AM #1

1. Predict the IMT, mean temperature at five locations in Ireland (Claremorris, Casement, Mullingar, Oak Park, Shannon) for June, 2019. The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 13.6 deg C.

2. Predict the MAX temperature at any regularly reporting Met-E station as reported in the Monthly Summary (and daily in the "yesterday's weather" section of their website), during June.

3. Predict the MIN temperature during June (see above for overview).

4. Predict the PRC (rainfall at this time of year) as a percentage of normal values (1981-2010) at eleven locations, namely Ballyhaise, Cork, Malin Head, Belmullet, Cork, Johnstown Castle, and the five locations for the IMT (section 1 above), during June.

5. Predict the SUN (sunshine) as a percentage of normal values (1981-2010) at six locations, Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork and Valentia, during June.

6. Bonus question. Cork vs Dublin ... using the data for Cork (A) and Dublin (A) what will be the score of higher daily maxima for the month? Express it as a score with Cork first then Dublin, e.g., 11-19, 15-15 etc. If max temps are tied (to nearest tenth of a degree as reported) then min temps are used to break the tie. If those are also tied, the previous day's winner takes the tied day (and any that follow). With tenths of a degree in play, there probably won't be too many ties. I am not sure what the normal value for this might be, probably something like 12-18?

The usual late penalties will apply and the deadline is Saturday 1st of June at 0300h or very very late Friday evening in other words. Sorry this is a bit late but I will post reminders.

200motels · 30-05-2019 11:49PM

200motels

13.7

26.8

2.7

73

88

13-18

pauldry · 31-05-2019 12:31AM

pauldry

13.0

25.1

2.9

125

93

12-18

sryanbruen · 31-05-2019 03:17PM

sryanbruen __________ 13.3 _ 24.7 _ 0.8 _ 115 _ 085 ___ 13-17

Artane2002 · 31-05-2019 05:55PM

Artane2002 __________ 13.4 _ 26.1 _ 1.2 _ 110 _ 087 ___ 17-13

John mac · 31-05-2019 07:25PM

john mac__________ 13.5 _ 28.7 _ 1.2 _ 102 _109___ 11-19

should the last scores add up to 30 ?

waterways · 31-05-2019 08:36PM

John mac wrote: »

should the last scores add up to 30 ?

Good question. How does a standoff count?

Gonzo · 31-05-2019 08:53PM

Gonzo

12.9

23.4

0.5

129

82

13-17

waterways · 31-05-2019 08:55PM

The instruction says there is always a winner. Should have read it.

rameire · 31-05-2019 09:10PM

Rameire..... 13.8.....23.8.....2.5.....99.0.....124.0....14.16.....

sunflower3 · 31-05-2019 09:36PM

Sunflower3 __________ 13.2 _ 24.5 _ 2.2 _ 130 _ 082 ___ 10-20

mrskinner · 31-05-2019 09:38PM

Skinner____14.3____28.3_____2.3_____93____103____9-21.

M.T. Cranium · 31-05-2019 09:53PM

I am going to assume the Cork warmer numbers are correct and change the Dublin numbers of any entries that fail to add up to 30.

See the original post for details on tied days.

Here's the final version for NormaL and myself ...

NormaL __________ 13.6 _ 26.0 _ 2.5 _ 100 _ 100 __ 12-18

MT Cranium _______ 13.4 _ 26.2 _ 1.8 _ 115 _ 090 __ 10-20

(edit your posts if possible rather than posting again, if you want Cork-Dublin other than your forecast for Cork + Dublin = 30).

waterways · 31-05-2019 09:59PM

waterways

13.7

28.2

1.2

123

103

10-20

adam240610 · 31-05-2019 10:38PM

adam240610___14.8___27.4___2.2___88___120___13-17

dacogawa · 31-05-2019 10:58PM

Dacogawa _______ 13.8 _ 29.1 _ 0.7 _ 140 _ 092 __ 12-18

Joe Public · 31-05-2019 11:02PM

Joe Public __________ 13.9 _ 27.7 _ 1.6 _ 120 _ 089 ___ 9-21

Rikand · 31-05-2019 11:10PM

Am I the only one who doesnt understand the bonus question at all ?

14.0 ___ 28.0 ___ 2.0 ___ 90 ___ 120 ___ 12-18

sryanbruen · 31-05-2019 11:15PM

Rikand wrote: »

Am I the only one who doesnt understand the bonus question at all ?

14.0 ___ 28.0 ___ 2.0 ___ 90 ___ 120 ___ 12-18

Nope, I was very confused too.

mickger844posts · 31-05-2019 11:24PM

mickger844posts __________ 12.7_ 23.9_ 1.2_ 110 _ 085 ___ 10-20

pauldry · 31-05-2019 11:26PM

The bonus question is out of the 30 days of the month how many will be warmer in Cork and how many in Dublin

For example on 12 days Cork will have a warmer max than Dublin while on the other 18 Dublin will be warmer than Cork

12-18

Tae laidir · 31-05-2019 11:49PM

Tae laidir _______ 14.2 _ 28.1 _ 2.0 _ 128 _ 95 __ 14-16

DOCARCH · 01-06-2019 12:07AM

DOCARCH ____ 14.1 ___ 26.1 ___ 2.3 ___ 93 ___110 ___ 10-20

Jpmarn · 01-06-2019 01:15AM

Jpmarn __________ 12.8_ 24.5 _ 0.5 _ 140 _ 85 __ 10-20

M.T. Cranium · 01-06-2019 02:07AM

I guess that could have been worded a bit more clearly, but it seems that most entrants have at least approximated the right framework, can't say that rameire has an answer that I can easily convert to a score though (it's currently 14.20) so I will send a message there. The others that need a bit of fixing are either adding up to 31 or 29.

Bsal · 01-06-2019 02:27AM

Bsal __________ 13.5 _ 26.6 _ 3.0 _ 105 _ 98 __ 13-17

Jpmarn · 01-06-2019 10:07AM

Maybe you could allow contestants adjust the bonus part of the question without penalties for today to grasp the understanding of this question. I often interested which airport wins the the contest of warmer of the 2, Cork or Dublin. With my answer I posted up the tread I thought Cork would win the contest on only 10 out of the 30 days of the month. Cork has 2 distinct disadvantages. First it is on relatively on high ground. I would imagine Cork City centre would potentially much warmer. The second disadvantage is on days when we have southerly winds most of the country benefit from the warmth but not Cork due the the cool sea.

JCX BXC · 01-06-2019 10:36AM

JCXBXC __________ 13_ 26.7 _ 2.4 _ 105 _ 095 ___ 14-18

YanSno · 01-06-2019 11:08AM

YanSno __________ 11.2 _ 25.0 _ 2.5 _ 130 _ 092 ___ 10-20

dasa29 · 01-06-2019 11:33AM

Dasa29

13.0

25.5

5.0

120

110

16-14

sorry for been late, also am I the only one so far to go for cork in the bonus.

M.T. Cranium · 01-06-2019 04:01PM

Yes I think you are the only one with a higher number for Cork, Rameire edited his to 14-16 which is probably second highest at a glance (tied with tae laidir).

Anyone who wants to edit theirs has until end of today, then a table of forecasts will appear. There are only three with minor problems now, one adds up to 29, another to 31 and a third to 32. Will be taking their Cork scores as legit and adjusting Dublin if they don't make a different edit.

(edit, Artane2002 changed his earlier post and went one higher for Cork at 17-13, so now there's two predictions in favour of Cork.)

June 2019 Boards weather forecast contest

Welcome!

Comments

Welcome!