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June 2019 Boards weather forecast contest

  • 30-05-2019 5:58am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 13,183 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    1. Predict the IMT, mean temperature at five locations in Ireland (Claremorris, Casement, Mullingar, Oak Park, Shannon) for June, 2019. The 1981-2010 "normal" value is 13.6 deg C.

    2. Predict the MAX temperature at any regularly reporting Met-E station as reported in the Monthly Summary (and daily in the "yesterday's weather" section of their website), during June.

    3. Predict the MIN temperature during June (see above for overview).

    4. Predict the PRC (rainfall at this time of year) as a percentage of normal values (1981-2010) at eleven locations, namely Ballyhaise, Cork, Malin Head, Belmullet, Cork, Johnstown Castle, and the five locations for the IMT (section 1 above), during June.

    5. Predict the SUN (sunshine) as a percentage of normal values (1981-2010) at six locations, Belmullet, Casement, Dublin, Shannon, Cork and Valentia, during June.

    6. Bonus question. Cork vs Dublin ... using the data for Cork (A) and Dublin (A) what will be the score of higher daily maxima for the month? Express it as a score with Cork first then Dublin, e.g., 11-19, 15-15 etc. If max temps are tied (to nearest tenth of a degree as reported) then min temps are used to break the tie. If those are also tied, the previous day's winner takes the tied day (and any that follow). With tenths of a degree in play, there probably won't be too many ties. I am not sure what the normal value for this might be, probably something like 12-18?

    The usual late penalties will apply and the deadline is Saturday 1st of June at 0300h or very very late Friday evening in other words. Sorry this is a bit late but I will post reminders.


«134

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 2,569 ✭✭✭ 200motels


    200motels
    13.7
    26.8
    2.7
    73
    88
    13-18


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    pauldry
    13.0
    25.1
    2.9
    125
    93
    12-18


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,554 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    sryanbruen __________ 13.3 _ 24.7 _ 0.8 _ 115 _ 085 ___ 13-17

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,858 ✭✭✭ Artane2002


    Artane2002 __________ 13.4 _ 26.1 _ 1.2 _ 110 _ 087 ___ 17-13


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,995 ✭✭✭ John mac


    john mac__________ 13.5 _ 28.7 _ 1.2 _ 102 _109___ 11-19

    should the last scores add up to 30 ?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭ waterways


    John mac wrote: »
    should the last scores add up to 30 ?


    Good question. How does a standoff count?


  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 15,171 Mod ✭✭✭✭ Gonzo


    Gonzo
    12.9
    23.4
    0.5
    129
    82
    13-17


  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭ waterways


    The instruction says there is always a winner. Should have read it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,755 ✭✭✭ rameire


    Rameire..... 13.8.....23.8.....2.5.....99.0.....124.0....14.16.....


  • Registered Users Posts: 164 ✭✭ sunflower3


    Sunflower3 __________ 13.2 _ 24.5 _ 2.2 _ 130 _ 082 ___ 10-20


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  • Registered Users Posts: 359 ✭✭ mrskinner


    Skinner____14.3____28.3_____2.3_____93____103____9-21.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,183 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    I am going to assume the Cork warmer numbers are correct and change the Dublin numbers of any entries that fail to add up to 30.

    See the original post for details on tied days.

    Here's the final version for NormaL and myself ...

    NormaL __________ 13.6 _ 26.0 _ 2.5 _ 100 _ 100 __ 12-18

    MT Cranium _______ 13.4 _ 26.2 _ 1.8 _ 115 _ 090 __ 10-20

    (edit your posts if possible rather than posting again, if you want Cork-Dublin other than your forecast for Cork + Dublin = 30).


  • Registered Users Posts: 350 ✭✭ waterways


    waterways
    13.7
    28.2
    1.2
    123
    103
    10-20


  • Registered Users Posts: 747 ✭✭✭ adam240610


    adam240610___14.8___27.4___2.2___88___120___13-17


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,772 ✭✭✭ dacogawa


    Dacogawa _______ 13.8 _ 29.1 _ 0.7 _ 140 _ 092 __ 12-18


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭ Joe Public


    Joe Public __________ 13.9 _ 27.7 _ 1.6 _ 120 _ 089 ___ 9-21


  • Registered Users Posts: 19,554 ✭✭✭✭ Rikand


    Am I the only one who doesnt understand the bonus question at all ?

    14.0 ___ 28.0 ___ 2.0 ___ 90 ___ 120 ___ 12-18


  • Registered Users Posts: 12,554 ✭✭✭✭ sryanbruen


    Rikand wrote: »
    Am I the only one who doesnt understand the bonus question at all ?

    14.0 ___ 28.0 ___ 2.0 ___ 90 ___ 120 ___ 12-18

    Nope, I was very confused too.

    Weather and climate site - https://www.ukandirelandclimate.com/ (advised to view on PC, not optimised for mobile)

    Photography site - https://www.sryanbruenphoto.com/



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 4,406 Mod ✭✭✭✭ mickger844posts


    mickger844posts __________ 12.7_ 23.9_ 1.2_ 110 _ 085 ___ 10-20


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭ pauldry


    The bonus question is out of the 30 days of the month how many will be warmer in Cork and how many in Dublin

    For example on 12 days Cork will have a warmer max than Dublin while on the other 18 Dublin will be warmer than Cork

    12-18


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  • Registered Users Posts: 621 ✭✭✭ Tae laidir


    Tae laidir _______ 14.2 _ 28.1 _ 2.0 _ 128 _ 95 __ 14-16


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 16,101 Mod ✭✭✭✭ DOCARCH


    DOCARCH ____ 14.1 ___ 26.1 ___ 2.3 ___ 93 ___110 ___ 10-20


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,408 ✭✭✭ Jpmarn


    Jpmarn __________ 12.8_ 24.5 _ 0.5 _ 140 _ 85 __ 10-20


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,183 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    I guess that could have been worded a bit more clearly, but it seems that most entrants have at least approximated the right framework, can't say that rameire has an answer that I can easily convert to a score though (it's currently 14.20) so I will send a message there. The others that need a bit of fixing are either adding up to 31 or 29.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,713 ✭✭✭ Bsal


    Bsal __________ 13.5 _ 26.6 _ 3.0 _ 105 _ 98 __ 13-17


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,408 ✭✭✭ Jpmarn


    Maybe you could allow contestants adjust the bonus part of the question without penalties for today to grasp the understanding of this question. I often interested which airport wins the the contest of warmer of the 2, Cork or Dublin. With my answer I posted up the tread I thought Cork would win the contest on only 10 out of the 30 days of the month. Cork has 2 distinct disadvantages. First it is on relatively on high ground. I would imagine Cork City centre would potentially much warmer. The second disadvantage is on days when we have southerly winds most of the country benefit from the warmth but not Cork due the the cool sea.


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,664 ✭✭✭✭ JCX BXC


    JCXBXC __________ 13_ 26.7 _ 2.4 _ 105 _ 095 ___ 14-18


  • Registered Users Posts: 353 ✭✭ YanSno


    YanSno __________ 11.2 _ 25.0 _ 2.5 _ 130 _ 092 ___ 10-20


  • Registered Users Posts: 457 ✭✭ dasa29


    Dasa29
    13.0
    25.5
    5.0
    120
    110
    16-14

    sorry for been late, also am I the only one so far to go for cork in the bonus.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,183 ✭✭✭✭ M.T. Cranium


    Yes I think you are the only one with a higher number for Cork, Rameire edited his to 14-16 which is probably second highest at a glance (tied with tae laidir).

    Anyone who wants to edit theirs has until end of today, then a table of forecasts will appear. There are only three with minor problems now, one adds up to 29, another to 31 and a third to 32. Will be taking their Cork scores as legit and adjusting Dublin if they don't make a different edit.

    (edit, Artane2002 changed his earlier post and went one higher for Cork at 17-13, so now there's two predictions in favour of Cork.)


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