Silence of the Wolves - A Game of Werewolf GAME THREAD

Jesus there's so many posts, sorry I haven't been about I only finished my exams yday, I'm about 1\3rd through the thread

Lynch again tonight isn't it?

Strawberry Milkshake wrote: »

I suppose we should wait and see if any are mod killed tonight and come back to it in next phase?

Unvote: Crosstownk
Vote: Kolido

Come at me, bro!

You're consistant, is that 2 switcharoos now.

Your reaction is what I was hoping for but the mistake you made is not voting me first.

Still watching you.

This was my FFA pter.

I reckon I'd like to add the four lowest posters into my village lean too. That would be digi, cross, lough and succubus.

Barney92 wrote: »

#FFA1

fixxxer - I didn't particularly like this post of fixxxer's. Says that I didn't mention something in my round-up, when I actually did. That leads me to think they either didn't read the post (possible) or are a wolf trying to sow a bit of confusion (semi-successfully with tusk jumping on it)




Kolido - who would munch whiplashy? Potentially someone who had been called out by whiplashy as a wolf early on (even in jest). Kolido's lack of response to this makes me a bit suspicious. I know it's sort of a damned if you do, damned if you don't sort of thing and people might question them if they defended themselves seriously but the lack of a joke-y reply makes me a bit uneasy. Not the strongest reasoning I've ever come up with but we're quite early on without a huge amount to go on

Not really sure of a third to be honest.

I'm leaning good towards
Strawberry - as outlined in my previous post, it's a general feeling coupled with the sacrifice thing,
TB - the posts about her 'lack' of posting seemed genuine so I reckon she's not a wolf,
clarabel - I'd be shocked if a wolf flip flopped so openly, so quickly on day 1 like they did with me. Moved from FFA to leaning good in fifteen minutes.
sKeith - I don't really buy the lock clear thing but does come across as trying to find wolves

“Yummy, yummy, yummy I got love in my tummy and I feel like loving you!”.. Me singing to my morning coffee :P

Time for some notes.

Fixxxer - Suspected Trit as a wolf after Whips death, said wolves love misdirection. Not much to go on after Kitten lynch and Trit munch. Null read for now, slight wolf lean for the misdirection comment.

Clara - Wants to vote low posters, doesn’t agree with it but would rather have talkers as we get more information. Can agree with this. Voted Duff initially “for obvious reasons”? No further info given. Then changed to Crosstown. Convinced SK is village. Fluffy posts? Not sure if that’s what that means.. Asks add on questions to others rather than her own mostly. Leaning wolf.

SK - Aggresive posting style at start, noticable change in posting style. Seems more relaxed(which I like) but unsure whether wolf changing tactic from heat growing or just realised he needed to cool it. Changed vote from Fixxxer, deciding vote on Kitten lynch. Believes Ecto is good like I do, could have thrown under the bus after lynch but didn’t. Feels more a village move. Removing from definite wolf to leaning wolf for now with all info together.


Duffman - Straight in with “in a different life I was a wolf”. Only contribution throwing shade on Whip and Andy. Said voted when last online which was 12.30. Last vote on Andy though. Did other two vote and declare before 12.30? Will look back. Null to wolf lean for now.

Crosstown - No posts but got a vote in. Why? If able to vote, even say what your thoughts are. Null read.

Digi - One post “First”. Nothing else to go on. Got a vote in so same above. Null

LoughC - Nothing, possibly forgot game? Null

Succubus - A post here and there, thought she’d vote as posted close to lynch time. Hasn’t been around since. Possible RL. Null

TB - Genuine frustration when abscence questioned. Nearly p!ssed myself when I read “what’s with everyone’s boner for posting over the bank holiday weekend” Null read but funny

Kolido - Not the most input, short posts. Had similar opinions as me on SK. Made a joke about other posters teeth, SK called shading. Very laid back. Null read for now.

Pter - Not much stood out after going back a few pages. Shared opinions on SK and G&R. Suspicious of Andy, I don’t understand. Null to village.

Quickbeam - Good explanations when asked questions, seems genuine in response. No bad vibes. Null to leaning village.

Barney - Questioned Clara for taking him off her FFA, don’t think a wolf would do this. Not much else stands out. Village lean.

Andy - Love story time, he’s open to people explaining themselves. Put his neck on the line defending me. Gut feeling village.

Ectoplasm - Good observations, not afraid to speak out. Good reaction to Kitten lynch, stood by the decision they made. Didn’t try to backtrack. Voted Kitten second but didn’t know she’d be lynched, would have to be a wolf team with SK for that to work but don’t think that’s the case. Village lean.

Tusk - Initially on my FFA. New player finding their feet. Confidence growing asking questions. Village lean.

Strawbs - Offered to be offed for newbie to play. Says to gather information on anyone hopping aboard. Came up with idea to declare votes. Moved votes around a few times. Took vote off Kitten who was village. Seems genuine. Leaning village.

Bounty Hunter - Like all his posts so far, find them very helpful. Gut feeling village.

That’s all mine, sorry if I forgot anyone. I wrote them in a different order on notes than how I posted as wanted to group together. Also apologies that’s it’s a big wall of text. I’m on my phone. Would love to do something like a Ecto but times not on my side.

Check back in later

Pter wrote: »

Waiting for a no-show modkill seems like madness to me. If they are modkilled and, because we are giving the low posters a pass for the mods to deal with, we will lynch someone else who could turn out to be a NRV; our village numbers and the number of mislynches we can afford is seriously damaged. And there is no evidence one way or the other that going into the active group is more or less likely to yield a lynched wolf. IE THERE COULD BE A WOLF IN THE LOW POSTERS; either by strategy or by disinterest.

And then the person we will have lynched is a contributor to the thread as well, which imo is more valuable (if they are a NRV, they are helping the team, if they are a wolf they are giving us the rope to eventually hang them).

We should be lynching into the low posters, guys.

For the ghost voters its a complete non villagery move, if you have time to vote at least show your face, explain you cant be around.

For those not playing at all, more likely village imo, waste of a lynch on them imo.

If someone breaks down why we shouldnt do this plan, im willing to change my mind. Noone seems to be going through the permutations though.

Digital Solitude wrote: »

Jesus there's so many posts, sorry I haven't been about I only finished my exams yday, I'm about 1\3rd through the thread

Lynch again tonight isn't it?

'tis.

Give us your impressions so far Digi.

Pter wrote: »

Vote moved to Crosstownk now.

Hold on. Why are you lynching a player who will not be modkilled.

Though Cross did make a wolf move voting last time.

quickbeam wrote: »

Really??? We should waste a lynch on someone who might be modkilled?


How about we start with those less likely to be modkilled (ie, those who got a vote in), and leave the ones who didn't vote until last and see what the mods do with them?

We need to keep our village numbers up until we have as much info as possible on the wolves on thread.

There are no RVs coming in later in the game to the rescue. All we will have to go on is vote analysis and post analysis, so we need to keep NRV numbers UP for as long as possible.

I dont think we can treat this game like we would treat any other game. Keeping NRVs alive is essential, so if we can get in before the modkill to keep NRV numbers up, we should do it.

AND then there is also the possibility that we would kill a wolf down there.

quickbeam wrote: »

Because between each lynch, the wolves get a munch.


So, my scenario above:
Currently 17V / 3W
Mislynch 1: 16V / 3W
Munch: 15V / 3W
Mislynch 2: 14V / 3W
Munch: 13V / 3W
Mislynch 3: 12V / 3W
Munch: 11V / 3W
Mislynch 4: 10V / 3W
Munch 9V / 3W


But consider if the non voters are modkilled:
Currently 17V / 3W
Mislynch 1 + 2 modkills: 14V / 3W
Munch: 13V / 3W
Mislynch 2: 12V / 3W


We're in a better situation and still have lost four Villagers.


That's worst case scenario. If the theory that there's wolves among the four doesn't pan out.

So statistically it's better to mislynch a likely modkill...? That's where my head was thinking, but I couldn't put the thoughts logically.

I'm gonna try round up my thoughts on everyone and post in the next hour or so.