Beast from the east?

ninjarambohd · 27-12-2018 12:06PM #1

Hey all. So having lived in this beautiful country for the past 18 years I never really experienced mild winters like we are kind of experiencing now. Last year it was kind of the same and then in March we got hit with a lot of snow. Now me having emigrated from a country which snowed a lot in winter I must say I am really fond of snow so do you all think we may get snow again this year?

engiweirdo · 27-12-2018 12:08PM

No. In all likelihood. This type of winter is far more normal here. Will probably get a bit colder for ya in January/February bit snow, at least real snow is rare enough.

ytpe2r5bxkn0c1 · 27-12-2018 12:11PM

Nobody has the slightest clue about that at this stage.

If I had to guess I'd say there days of light snow showers starting 27th or 28th January.

antodeco · 27-12-2018 12:12PM

February 2nd at 4pm in a very specific part of the country. More details will follow

Marley and Marley · 27-12-2018 12:16PM

It seems to me that 20 years ago November was much colder and February was much milder.In school we were always thought that November,December and January were winter and February was when Spring started.

Last few years November has been fairly mild but February and March have felt colder.

November was defiently winter weather when I was growing up and February was spring weather whereas it feels the last few years that November is more like Autumn weather and February/March has more wintry weather.

27-12-2018 12:40PM

My auld fella could, and has, gone on about the big snow of 1947 until the cows come home. Meanwhile, I'm old enough to remember the big snow of 1982, and himself arriving into Dublin airport and ringing home to say he was bringing a couple of people who were stranded there home and to have beds ready. I also remember the local fire station ringing around asking us and others could we put up people whose buses couldn't travel any further. Great excitement in the early days. And hilarious photos of us all in bit woolly hats falling over our faces (hand-me-downs ruled the 80s!), duffel coats and the like. My mother sent myself and my siblings around to elderly neighbours to see if they had enough milk, etc, while the snow drifts were absolutely massive - about 3 times my height in many places. With non-stop cold and very few supplies, we kids were absolutely sick of it all after a while. 'Ní bheidh a leithéid arís ann', as Tomás Ó Criomhthain might have put it.

All you whippersnappers haven't seen real snow yet.

Pictures of the Big Snow of 1982

Sonics2k · 27-12-2018 12:43PM

The snow from this year was a massive exception. In all my life living in Ireland I honestly can't remember a time it snowed that much, especially not here in Cork where it's too warm.

Bunch of people in my office are 'predicting' blizzards just like it for 2019 even though it's extremely unlikely.

antodeco · 27-12-2018 12:46PM

Sonics2k wrote: »

The snow from this year was a massive exception. In all my life living in Ireland I honestly can't remember a time it snowed that much, especially not here in Cork where it's too warm.

Bunch of people in my office are 'predicting' blizzards just like it for 2019 even though it's extremely unlikely.

2010/2011 if I remember correctly? Certainly in Dublin it was fairly heavy!

Dalomanakora · 27-12-2018 12:49PM

antodeco wrote: »

2010/2011 if I remember correctly? Certainly in Dublin it was fairly heavy!

I remember that! Working in town, living out near Clare hall. No buses running by the time I finished work so muggins here got to feckin walk home at 10pm :pac:

ActingDanClark · 27-12-2018 12:52PM

antodeco wrote: »

February 2nd at 4pm in a very specific part of the country. More details will follow

Uhoh!!! I live in a very specific part of the country😦

Swampy · 27-12-2018 12:56PM

antodeco wrote: »

2010/2011 if I remember correctly? Certainly in Dublin it was fairly heavy!

And it got cold, very cold. Roads were lethal.

Deebles McBeebles · 27-12-2018 12:57PM

3 big snow storms in the last 40 years from my memory. Your chances aren't good going by those numbers, OP but take solstice in the fact that the weather is f*cked and it could basically snow at any time now.

Pherekydes · 27-12-2018 01:02PM

ninjarambohd wrote: »

Now me having emigrated from a country which snowed a lot in winter I must say I am really fond of snow so do you all think we may get snow again this year?

Highly unlikely. The forecast for the next 4 days is fairly mild.

27-12-2018 01:10PM

Deebles McBeebles wrote: »

3 big snow storms in the last 40 years from my memory. Your chances aren't good going by those numbers, OP but take solstice in the fact that the weather is f*cked and it could basically snow at any time now.

Ahem :eek:.

winter-solstice.jpg?itok=9iEebU2H

27-12-2018 01:13PM

i love the snow for a while but the reality of dealing with it is so annoying

Day Lewin · 27-12-2018 01:15PM

In Ireland, we get a snowy winter about once a decade.

Likewise, a hot summer, about once a decade.

Rest of the time, it's just endless variations on mild-to-cool.

You may quote me on this :-)

Deebles McBeebles · 27-12-2018 01:15PM

Deleted User wrote: »

Ahem :eek:.

Yes, I mixed up 2 words. I'm sure you can guess what I meant.

Sonics2k · 27-12-2018 01:33PM

antodeco wrote: »

2010/2011 if I remember correctly? Certainly in Dublin it was fairly heavy!

Bloody Dubs, taking all the snow away from us!

Nah but Cork is too coastal, something to do with the warm waters coming up from Mexico if I vaguely remember my Geography classes.

I'd bloody well love it to snow like that again this year, but I doubt it will/can happen.

Defaulter1831 · 27-12-2018 01:39PM

ninjarambohd wrote: »

Hey all. So having lived in this beautiful country for the past 18 years I never really experienced mild winters like we are kind of experiencing now. Last year it was kind of the same and then in March we got hit with a lot of snow. Now me having emigrated from a country which snowed a lot in winter I must say I am really fond of snow so do you all think we may get snow again this year?

You'd be best advised to go to the Weather forum.

The FI (fantasy island) thread looks at weather forecasts beyond 5 days. Also some attempt LRFs, long range forecasts.

A strat warming is due to take place within a week. This could lead to colder, snowy weather in 3 weeks time.

Defaulter1831 · 27-12-2018 01:42PM

Marley and Marley wrote: »

It seems to me that 20 years ago November was much colder and February was much milder.In school we were always thought that November,December and January were winter and February was when Spring started.

Last few years November has been fairly mild but February and March have felt colder.

November was defiently winter weather when I was growing up and February was spring weather whereas it feels the last few years that November is more like Autumn weather and February/March has more wintry weather.

No. Meteorological winter has always been Dec, Jan, Feb. Feb is colder than November over 95% of the time.

Summer is June, July, August etc. Again August is almost always warmer than May.

Defaulter1831 · 27-12-2018 01:44PM

Sonics2k wrote: »

Bloody Dubs, taking all the snow away from us!

Nah but Cork is too coastal, something to do with the warm waters coming up from Mexico if I vaguely remember my Geography classes.

I'd bloody well love it to snow like that again this year, but I doubt it will/can happen.

No. Under the correct synoptics Cork can have snow. 12-13 Jan 1987. The max temp on the 12th was -7C, heavy snowfall with a bitter easterly.

Gimme A Pound · 27-12-2018 01:45PM

It was severe for Ireland in both late 2010 and last March. 2010 was worse because it lasted much longer. Late 2009/early 2010 saw some heavy enough snow too.

There is often a bit of snow here, but just a bit. The last time there was an event comparable with March 2018 or late 2010 was late 1981/early 1982.

Gimme A Pound · 27-12-2018 01:47PM

Sonics2k wrote: »

Bloody Dubs, taking all the snow away from us!

Nah but Cork is too coastal, something to do with the warm waters coming up from Mexico if I vaguely remember my Geography classes.

I'd bloody well love it to snow like that again this year, but I doubt it will/can happen.

I thought it was still pretty darn severe here in Cork last March and late 2010.

Defaulter1831 · 27-12-2018 01:49PM

Pherekydes wrote: »

Highly unlikely. The forecast for the next 4 days is fairly mild.

I wouldn't say highly. Unlikely. We'll have mild weather until the end of the year. So only one out of 3 winter mts gone.

We have an SSW about to take place.

Also it depends on where you're talking about. I live at an altitude of 1,100 ft and we're 3C cooler because of this altitude and get snow every year. Once as late as mid May 1993. Lying snow.

Graces7 · 27-12-2018 01:49PM

antodeco wrote: »

2010/2011 if I remember correctly? Certainly in Dublin it was fairly heavy!

I was up in the Bluestacks in Donegal that time. Snowed in for six weeks. But for a kind boardsie with a 4 wheel drive and a heart of gold.... ran out of gas and fuel and food was low. Finally drove down o n 3 inches of ice and made it but getting back up was a different matter... kept having to be pushed and finally the neighbours who had refused to fetch me fuel had to turn out to get me home..

"Ah yes I remember it well!"

Sonics2k · 27-12-2018 01:50PM

Dane Unsightly Vehicle wrote: »

I thought it was still pretty darn severe here in Cork last March and late 2010.

That's what I'm saying. The snow in Cork in Feb/March was a massive exception to the the norm that we'd see possible here.

2010 was light snow that barely lasted a day. Roads were a bit icy and that was it mostly.

EdgeCase · 27-12-2018 01:51PM

Snow in Ireland is exceptional, especially in the populated areas which are on the coasts or near the coasts.

It's an island in the Atlantic and has very little continental predictability when it comes to weather patterns. The systems here are basically oceanic - mild, wet, moderately windy but with very little stability or predictability beyond a normal forecast.

We have seasonality but it's not very clear compared to the distinct season changes you get on larger continental landmasses.

Any very hot of very cold weather events here are caused by unusual airflow patterns bringing a continental weather system far further off shore than normal. They can happen but you can't really forecast them beyond a few weeks at best.

That's probably why we spend so much time talking about the weather - prediction is much more challenging.

Gimme A Pound · 27-12-2018 02:04PM

Sonics2k wrote: »

2010 was light snow that barely lasted a day. Roads were a bit icy and that was it mostly.

The snow in late 2010 lasted several days and the roads were not just a bit icy. It was treacherous. It started in early December, then thawed, then came back about 10 days before Christmas, and thawed very quickly - overnight Christmas day and into St Stephen's Day.

You know it didn't just barely last a day.

Marley and Marley · 27-12-2018 02:11PM

Defaulter1831 wrote: »

No. Meteorological winter has always been Dec, Jan, Feb. Feb is colder than November over 95% of the time.

Summer is June, July, August etc. Again August is almost always warmer than May.

In school we were taught that Winter was November,December and January and Summer was May,June and July.

Defaulter1831 · 27-12-2018 02:18PM

Marley and Marley wrote: »

In school we were taught that Winter was November,December and January and Summer was May,June and July.

Yes I was too. But they were wrong

It's only in recent years the curriculum has been changed to the proper definition.

We all got the St. Bridget's day start of Spring etc. I remember a Dutch girl in college laughing at the concept of the seasons in Ireland.

igCorcaigh · 27-12-2018 02:21PM

Marley and Marley wrote: »

It seems to me that 20 years ago November was much colder and February was much milder.In school we were always thought that November,December and January were winter and February was when Spring started.

Last few years November has been fairly mild but February and March have felt colder.

November was defiently winter weather when I was growing up and February was spring weather whereas it feels the last few years that November is more like Autumn weather and February/March has more wintry weather.

Yes, very much this. Was just talking to my mum about this on Christmas day. The seasons have seemed to move forward.

Beast from the east?

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