After Hours Presidential Election Poll

Grayson · 22-10-2018 07:10PM

naughtb4 wrote: »

Sean Gallagher is winning the Buzz one :eek:

There's something about him that strikes me as "That job is mine. I'm owed it" Just don't like the fecker.

Edit: Chatting to my mum last night and she said it would be good to have a president who can bring jobs to Ireland. I had to point out that he wouldn't really be negotiating deals.

FrancieBrady · 22-10-2018 07:12PM

deadlineday wrote: »

Have him on both but was very surprised the odds dropped so fast.Cheers

He has been 60/1 - 80/1 - and now 40/1 in the last few days. In that order.

dudara · 22-10-2018 07:16PM

Peter Duffy was on the news this evening saying that the other two “dragon” candidates have cost him his chance in the elections. I honestly groaned at this.

ThunbergsAreGo · 22-10-2018 07:27PM

dudara wrote: »

Peter Duffy was on the news this evening saying that the other two “dragon” candidates have cost him his chance in the elections. I honestly groaned at this.

Whose this?

dudara · 22-10-2018 07:29PM

naughtb4 wrote: »

Whose this?

LOL, just realised it must have been Gavin Duffy. Goes to show how little impact they’ve had on me that I can’t even remember their names correctly.

eeepaulo · 22-10-2018 07:30PM

naughtb4 wrote: »

Whose this?

The one who no longer likes the dragons Gavin Gallagher and Sean Casey

4068ac1elhodqr · 22-10-2018 07:37PM

FrancieBrady wrote: »

He has been 60/1 - 80/1 - and now 40/1 in the last few days. In that order.

Max 40/1 on the exchanges (which generally are more open), and very little liquidity. Down as low as 25/1.

'Price down, volume up'.

Grayson · 22-10-2018 07:41PM

dudara wrote: »

LOL, just realised it must have been Gavin Duffy. Goes to show how little impact they’ve had on me that I can’t even remember their names correctly.

To be fair, no-one wants a president called Gavin.

FrancieBrady · 22-10-2018 07:47PM

Kamden Fit Worker wrote: »

Max 40/1 on the exchanges (which generally are more open), and very little liquidity. Down as low as 25/1.

'Price down, volume up'.

You lost me after 'max'

Choochtown · 22-10-2018 08:04PM

I know this is After Hours but seriously???

Over half have said they'd vote for Casey?

Imagine that idiot representing the country. He can barely construct a full sentence. Any question I've heard put to him results in him starting one sentence and finishing another.

This morning on Newstalk for instance
these are direct word for word quotes...

When asked about Varadkar

"It's not his perogative to get involved in the process of the presidency a duly elected nominated by 4 counties and a candidate and he tells people not to vote for the person who has been nominated by Kerry, Clare, Limerick and Tipperary"

And when asked about his comments on a welfare state...

"Do you know if you give a person a fish you feed him for a day you know people are if you teach we should the middle Ireland are the ones that are being squeezed"

I think I'd prefer a president that can string a few words together arranged basically in a order that makes a bit of sense. Casey would be an embarrassment.

McMurphy · 22-10-2018 08:14PM

Not just after hours.

Check out the online poll in the limerick leader.

Not far away from this one.

4068ac1elhodqr · 22-10-2018 08:17PM

Another price cut (on the odds on Casey) just within the last hour with Boyles.
Powers half halfed his odds since last night from 80 into 40/1. Interesting.

Silentcorner · 22-10-2018 09:14PM

As I have said in a previous thread, do not underestimate how out of step the Irish Political Establishment and Irish media are with Irish people.

There is an anti establishment vote out there but it is brushed under the carpet.

Look at the anger when Bertie Ahern is normalised in Irish media.
Look at the anger when we see people with multiple convictions given a blank check with free legal aid, which is anything but free.
Look at the anger of the Water Protesters, who despite the media narrative were from all classes and demographics.

The state is highly dysfunctional and highly concentrated in one city, which has been over developed threatening the quality of life of 1.3 million people who pay too much for their homes, and have to travel too far to work, and pay too much childcare, who receive a shockingly bad Health service, a clearly Poisoned Garda Management culture, highly paid bureaucrats, millionaire Ministers etc etc

I could go on and on, I'll be taking this opportunity to use my vote to vote anti establishment.

Pherekydes · 22-10-2018 09:47PM

Grayson wrote: »

To be fair, no-one wants a president called Gavin.

Jim Gavin for president! :pac:

tayto lover · 22-10-2018 10:07PM

Silentcorner wrote: »

As I have said in a previous thread, do not underestimate how out of step the Irish Political Establishment and Irish media are with Irish people.

There is an anti establishment vote out there but it is brushed under the carpet.

Look at the anger when Bertie Ahern is normalised in Irish media.
Look at the anger when we see people with multiple convictions given a blank check with free legal aid, which is anything but free.
Look at the anger of the Water Protesters, who despite the media narrative were from all classes and demographics.

The state is highly dysfunctional and highly concentrated in one city, which has been over developed threatening the quality of life of 1.3 million people who pay too much for their homes, and have to travel too far to work, and pay too much childcare, who receive a shockingly bad Health service, a clearly Poisoned Garda Management culture, highly paid bureaucrats, millionaire Ministers etc etc

I could go on and on, I'll be taking this opportunity to use my vote to vote anti establishment.

If you're a worker forget about party political for this election. Get out and give the establishment a good kick in the balls. It's probably the only chance you'll get. Would be very funny to watch the reaction.

Idbatterim · 22-10-2018 10:53PM

All hell will break loose if he wins. It will then bring up Ireland’s silently majority anc potentially open the flood gates. Any of you on social media , I’d encourage you to put up a post on Thursday outlining why people should go out and vote Casey! Bring it on. The rotten to the core establishment needs to be torn down. I wasn’t even going through vote until I heard of Casey’s comments!

Grayson · 22-10-2018 10:54PM

Pherekydes wrote: »

Jim Gavin for president! :pac:

Is there a Gavin Gavin we could not vote for?

Yer Da sells Avon · 22-10-2018 11:13PM

I see Gavin Duffy has increased his share of the vote to over half a percent since last time I checked.

Idbatterim · 22-10-2018 11:20PM

The others now have euro million odds. Other than bilbo! They must be looking at Casey success and wonder how they can one up him! Go an an anti immigrant, traveler , welfare nanny state tirade! Lol!

Grayson · 22-10-2018 11:26PM

Idbatterim wrote: »

The others now have euro million odds. Other than bilbo! They must be looking at Casey success and wonder how they can one up him! Go an an anti immigrant, traveler , welfare nanny state tirade! Lol!

Are there any non web polls which show Casey in the lead? web polls are really bad at predicting stuff.remember when Roy Keane nearly became Time Magazine person of the century? All it'd take to swing one is for everyone in a facebook group to decide to vote in it.

This is the latest poll i found and it's no-where near the level of support on the web polls.

https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1021/1005620-higgins-ahead/

Yer Da sells Avon · 22-10-2018 11:36PM

Grayson wrote: »

Are there any non web polls which show Casey in the lead? web polls are really bad at predicting stuff.remember when Roy Keane nearly became Time Magazine person of the century? All it'd take to swing one is for everyone in a facebook group to decide to vote in it.

President McPresidentyface for the win.

I think the poll released on the weekend was conducted just before Casey's remarks. Hopefully there'll be another one within the next couple of days, so we can get some idea of how accurate the AH poll is (or isn't).

FrancieBrady · 22-10-2018 11:38PM

Grayson wrote: »

Are there any non web polls which show Casey in the lead? web polls are really bad at predicting stuff.remember when Roy Keane nearly became Time Magazine person of the century? All it'd take to swing one is for everyone in a facebook group to decide to vote in it.

This is the latest poll i found and it's no-where near the level of support on the web polls.

https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1021/1005620-higgins-ahead/

Proper poll out tomorrow.

eeepaulo · 22-10-2018 11:39PM

FrancieBrady wrote: »

Proper poll out tomorrow.

And until then is last weeks poll news still?

MrMusician18 · 22-10-2018 11:47PM

Grayson wrote: »

Are there any non web polls which show Casey in the lead? web polls are really bad at predicting stuff.remember when Roy Keane nearly became Time Magazine person of the century? All it'd take to swing one is for everyone in a facebook group to decide to vote in it.

This is the latest poll i found and it's no-where near the level of support on the web polls.

https://www.rte.ie/news/2018/1021/1005620-higgins-ahead/

That's because those polls were compiled before Casey's traveller remarks and don't capture a potential shift in opinion

FrancieBrady · 22-10-2018 11:56PM

eeepaulo wrote: »

And until then is last weeks poll news still?

That is all the official poll data we have.

The Phantom Jipper · 22-10-2018 11:58PM

Silentcorner wrote: »

As I have said in a previous thread, do not underestimate how out of step the Irish Political Establishment and Irish media are with Irish people.

There is an anti establishment vote out there but it is brushed under the carpet.

Look at the anger when Bertie Ahern is normalised in Irish media.
Look at the anger when we see people with multiple convictions given a blank check with free legal aid, which is anything but free.
Look at the anger of the Water Protesters, who despite the media narrative were from all classes and demographics.

The state is highly dysfunctional and highly concentrated in one city, which has been over developed threatening the quality of life of 1.3 million people who pay too much for their homes, and have to travel too far to work, and pay too much childcare, who receive a shockingly bad Health service, a clearly Poisoned Garda Management culture, highly paid bureaucrats, millionaire Ministers etc etc

I could go on and on, I'll be taking this opportunity to use my vote to vote anti establishment.

And the solution to these problems is voting for some millionaire gobsheen? The man saw he was barely registering at 1% in the polls and decided to pander to the anti-traveller brigade. You're being pandered to so this guy can save face and flog a few more of his next book.

Donald Trump · 22-10-2018 11:59PM

dhaughton99 wrote: »

Wasn’t going to vote myself but will definitely vote now since PC showed us his balls.

Ah, you take after yer aul wan alright.

Once a fella shows you his balls you'll do anything for him

:pac:

Silentcorner · 23-10-2018 12:06AM

The Phantom Jipper wrote: »

And the solution to these problems is voting for some millionaire gobsheen? The man saw he was barely registering at 1% in the polls and decided to pander to the anti-traveller brigade. You're being pandered to so this guy can save face and flog a few more of his next book.

I don't get to vote anti establishment too often, so I am using Casey as much as he is using me for a blunt political office.

We haven't seen a successful alternative to the mainstream parties over the last ten years, why do you think that is? How would it fund itself, how would it get media exposure?

FixdePitchmark · 23-10-2018 01:25AM

The Peter Casey thing is a massive distraction from the real issue of the presidential election.

For someone who has had a long time and perhaps too long in the public service , what is Michael D's motivation to keep going.

He has multiple pensions , homes , wealth.

There is doubt if he will make the full term.

He said he would go once. He looks frail to be honest.

It is all a bit selfish - you had your time , you have earned your money , sorry it is time to move on.

Sadly you have to accept, you'd take a dead Micheal D versus a dragon.

What is a dragon at the end of the day - a person who gets a company at a ridiculous equity and abuses power of a tv show. (no thanks)

DEFTLEFTHAND · 23-10-2018 02:04AM

Seems to be dealing with weight issues also. Not a good thing at an advanced age.

After Hours Presidential Election Poll

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