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Budget 2019

  • 05-10-2018 3:28pm
    #1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,600 ✭✭✭veryangryman


    Good time to start a thread on this?

    So whats been confirmed/rumoured sofar and your opinions?

    -> VAT rate for Tourism industry going up 2%
    Good move, their emergency is long over. The sooner it is put to an apt rate, the better.
    -> Fuel taxes increasing
    A serious PITA, the Green party are back

    Any others? I wonder if any income taxes are going up/down. Our VAT rate is ridiculous at 23% (an apparent temp measure), we should look to get it down to 20% or so, make us competitive with UK.


«134567

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 84 ✭✭GSRNBP


    Rumour seems to be increase in 20% band, but a third band of 43% over €80,000. That seems to me to be a very low threshold for a third rate - individuals on €80k aren't exactly living the high life.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,762 ✭✭✭✭Inquitus


    Seems the HSE overran on budget by 700m, not sure what impact that will have on the budget.


  • Posts: 14,344 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    GSRNBP wrote: »
    Rumour seems to be increase in 20% band, but a third band of 43% over €80,000. That seems to me to be a very low threshold for a third rate - individuals on €80k aren't exactly living the high life.

    Wish they'd leave the 20% bracket as is. If you're stuck in the 20% bracket then you're gonna miss every euro they take.

    Wouldn't mind seeing that 43% sometime.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,294 ✭✭✭✭VinLieger


    While an income tax cut is a nice visual it really means F all in the long term. What we all really need is action by the government on reducing the cost of living, ie childcare, gas electricity costs, fuel hikes - both in taxes and the price of crude skyrocketing, insurance for health/car/house, public transport increases etc


    Within the next year the constant rising cost of each of those, along with many others, will have outstripped the benefit of any income tax reduction for the vast majority of us.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 69,538 ✭✭✭✭L1011


    Letting the IA refuse an increase on diesel specifically is insane if true. The price differential and tax system are encouraging people to buy and drive more damaging vehicles based on a Green Party decision a decade ago that is now obviously wrong


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    -> VAT rate for Tourism industry going up 2%
    Good move, their emergency is long over. The sooner it is put to an apt rate, the better.
    As crazy as it sounds to say it, I do think a certain amount of cooling in our tourism rate is necessary. As great as a booming tourism sector is, it's fighting with our housing crisis. Putting the dampers on short-term lets and hotels even just a little, might be necessary.

    I'm hoping they foresight tomorrow to forward-plan. We're about to enter choppy waters; the housing market is cooling (could it dip again?), Brexit is coming, all indicators are for a worldwide slow-down being imminent; and we need to make a huge pivot on environmental issues.

    No giveaway budget; maybe tweak the tax regime to be fairer without reducing the tax take, and pour surpluses into savings, capital investment and environmental issues.


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,933 ✭✭✭Blanco100


    wasnt there a rumour of a new SSIA type scheme aimed at first time buyers? or did I imagine this?


  • Posts: 17,728 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    GSRNBP wrote: »
    Rumour seems to be increase in 20% band..............
    Wish they'd leave the 20% bracket as is. If you're stuck in the 20% bracket then you're gonna miss every euro they take.

    Wouldn't mind seeing that 43% sometime.

    An increase in the 20% band in the sense that one would pay less tax is what's being rumoured ;)


  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 14,535 Mod ✭✭✭✭johnnyskeleton


    Apparently the government are going with the line that this will be the first balanced budget in years:

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/budget-2019-leo-varadkar-confirms-cuts-in-usc-and-income-tax-1.3654431

    However, the Taoiseach suggests that the reason for this may be due to increased corporation taxes as a windfall due to a change in accounting procedures, and suggests that this windfall will not be repeated next year.

    It's an interesting, if risky strategy for them, as there are no votes in a balanced budget or repaying debt, and there are massive demands for additional funding for housing and healthcare. Even with increased funding for both of these, labelling it as a balanced budget will give opposition parties an opportunity to point out that they could do more.

    Sinn Fein have put forward a costed pre budget submission which would see them spending 3.5bn extra and raising taxes by 2.4bn, the largest of which would be taxing intellectual property rights which are currently tax free to raise 750bn extra per annum:

    http://www.sinnfein.ie/files/2018/AlternativeBudget2019.pdf

    Sinn Fein don't quite say how much it will cost to build 10,000 new homes. If it is revenue neutral are they just going to implement the Government's existing plan with some modifications? They have costed 34.9m for housing, but this appears to be non house building matters such as homeless support, domestic violence shelters etc.

    I would anticipate that FF will stick to their confidence and supply deal to get the budget through, but will be highly critical of the government in this budget afterwards. The strategy to be to see how the polls react to the budget and if FG drop dramatically they might end confidence and supply in favour of an election.

    They have suggested that there would be 200m available for house building which is welcome, but is not nearly enough to provide the 4,000 homes they are suggesting would be built, amounting to some 50,000 per unit. Perhaps this is predicated on using existing state land to build on, but even still it sounds too small.

    https://www.rte.ie/news/budget-2019/2018/1005/1001184-budget-2019/

    Further, FF are also suggesting tax reductions and increases in expenditure elsewhere.

    So we have a government that is promising some small tax cuts, small expenditure increases and a balanced budget, which sounds very sensible but not very popular. Then we have a party promising large spending increases and, to be fair to them, this would be funded by increased taxes. Lastly we have a party who will in effect allow the government's budget through, but will criticse it for not providing more tax cuts and increasing spending, presumably to be based on borrowed money from the magic money tree.

    Interesting times ahead.


  • Registered Users Posts: 286 ✭✭abcabc123123


    seamus wrote: »
    As crazy as it sounds to say it, I do think a certain amount of cooling in our tourism rate is necessary. As great as a booming tourism sector is, it's fighting with our housing crisis. Putting the dampers on short-term lets and hotels even just a little, might be necessary.
    I don't think it's crazy at all. There isn't much of it here but across Europe there's a lot of discussion about the need to make tourism more sustainable. Europe is the primary destination for international travel and the tourism industry is forecast to grow by 40% in the next decade. A lot of the cities and towns on the Mediterranean are basically historical theme parks for tourists now and residents are rightly unhappy about it. Dublin will go the same way eventually unless it is managed better.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,457 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    https://www.rte.ie/news/budget-2019/2018/1008/1001743-budget-outline/

    So welfare payments up almost as much as the combined effect of changes to income tax and USC

    Such a token change that the vast majority won't even notice it. The lad on 70k will be a whopping €275 a year better off. And that's as good as it gets.
    The 4.75% rate of the USC will cut to 4.5%. It will effect more than one million workers and will cost more than €100m. The 4.75% rate of USC is paid on income over €19,372 and below €70,044.

    The point at which people hit the 40% higher rate of income tax will rise by €750 to €35,300. It is currently €34,550.

    What's the point? Nothing inventive. Just more of the same.

    Looking after 'the squeezed middle' my hole.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,304 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    If you would like a night-time fairy tale, here is some appropriate reading.


    http://www.pbp.ie/people-before-profit-launch-alternative-budget-statement/


    The nonsense in this alternative budget statement makes some of the stuff on these boards appear rational.

    PBP believe that the State can build housing for €138,095.

    Free public transport for everyone will only cost €580m. Yeah, but you won't be able to get on a bus or a train.

    I wonder have they had these proposals costed by the Department of Finance.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,654 ✭✭✭✭For Forks Sake


    blanch152 wrote: »
    If you would like a night-time fairy tale, here is some appropriate reading.


    http://www.pbp.ie/people-before-profit-launch-alternative-budget-statement/


    The nonsense in this alternative budget statement makes some of the stuff on these boards appear rational.

    PBP believe that the State can build housing for €138,095.

    Free public transport for everyone will only cost €580m. Yeah, but you won't be able to get on a bus or a train.

    I wonder have they had these proposals costed by the Department of Finance.

    I got as far as point 1 :
    Invest an additional €2.9 billion to build public and affordable housing on public land – in 2019, this would provide 21,000 extra homes.

    That's a flat-out lie. They do know that houses take time to build right (and that's not even factoring in the planning process, which their acolytes on local councils seem to object to for the most spurious of reasons)

    The rest of it reads like it was composed on the back of a beermat.


  • Posts: 14,344 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Augeo wrote: »
    An increase in the 20% band in the sense that one would pay less tax is what's being rumoured ;)


    Ah, so it's meant in the sense that you can earn more money whilst only paying 20%, rather than the sense I thought it was (the 20% itself was being increase, to, say, 21% or 22%).


    In that case i'd agree with others on here - leave it alone. Much like the OAP increase last year, you're giving so little to so few, that very few will value it, many will feel insulted by it ( :rolleyes: ) and at the end of the day it's money that would be much better in government pockets (much as it kills me to say that).


    If I can walk away from this budget with a few thousand euro in my pocket each year, it's worth it to me, personally. But If I'm only benefiting by one or two hundred euro, then it's not much money to me on a personal level, and would be better off being pooled with the other 100-200 other people would have gotten and being spent on something useful.

    (not sure if the point I'm trying to make is legible or not).


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,165 ✭✭✭Captain Obvious


    50c on a pack of 20 cigarettes
    Social welfare Christmas payment full restored
    €5 a week increase in social welfare payments
    2 weeks paid parental leave for each parent from November2019


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,539 ✭✭✭The Specialist


    50c on a pack of 20 cigarettes
    Social welfare Christmas payment full restored
    €5 a week increase in social welfare payments
    2 weeks paid parental leave for each parent from November2019

    50c increase is pure idiocy, doing nothing at all but furthering the black market for tobacco and cigarettes.


  • Registered Users Posts: 4,165 ✭✭✭Captain Obvious


    Corporation tax remaining but there is an exit tax being applied to unrealised gains from assets transferred overseas.

    Tourism VAT to 13.5%


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,240 ✭✭✭✭Hurrache


    -> Fuel taxes increasing
    A serious PITA, the Green party are back

    Disingenuous to bring the Green Party into it, every political party the world over will be considering and introducing such measures, apart from the US I suppose.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,304 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Still nothing on carbon tax. It will be very disappointing if they do not increase carbon tax, a measure that is badly needed.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 10,240 ✭✭✭✭Hurrache


    blanch152 wrote: »
    Still nothing on carbon tax. It will be very disappointing if they do not increase carbon tax, a measure that is badly needed.

    Sounds like it's coming up now.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25 Desiree Burch


    Dole over €200 pw now. A full-time worker on €10 ph will take home about €350.

    So so wrong.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,539 ✭✭✭The Specialist


    blanch152 wrote: »
    Still nothing on carbon tax. It will be very disappointing if they do not increase carbon tax, a measure that is badly needed.

    Who badly needs it? The price of a litre of petrol at the pumps at the moment tells me this Carbon tax needs to be left well alone, nobody wants it.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Dole over €200 pw now. A full-time worker on €10 ph will take home about €350.

    So so wrong.

    After deductions and travel expenses, the difference between two gets smaller


  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,533 Mod ✭✭✭✭Amirani


    Who badly needs it? The price of a litre of petrol at the pumps at the moment tells me this Carbon tax needs to be left well alone, nobody wants it.

    Lots of people want it. Complete embarrassment that our country performs so badly in environmental metrics. If you give a damn about our environment and future generations, then you'll be supportive of measures that reduce the damage we're doing to it.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Who badly needs it? The price of a litre of petrol at the pumps at the moment tells me this Carbon tax needs to be left well alone, nobody wants it.
    Except future generations and the ability of the human race to live on our own planet.

    But sure, who needs that when I want to drive to work?

    Kind of disappointed they didn't go for something radical like the abolition of VRT on electric vehicles and a five-year suspension of motor tax for them, along with increasing VRT and motor tax on all other vehicles.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,617 ✭✭✭✭_Brian


    Dole over €200 pw now. A full-time worker on €10 ph will take home about €350.

    So so wrong.

    When the worker runs a car to/from a job it’s disgustingly close to being better off on tue dole. This is so wrong it’s unbelievable.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,268 ✭✭✭✭Sleepy


    After deductions and travel expenses, the difference between two gets smaller

    Add some dependents, HAP or Differential Rent for a Council Property and your better off on welfare than working for much below 40k p.a.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,539 ✭✭✭The Specialist


    Amirani wrote: »
    Lots of people want it. Complete embarrassment that our country performs so badly in environmental metrics. If you give a damn about our environment and future generations, then you'll be supportive of measures that reduce the damage we're doing to it.

    I don't. I give a damn about the here and now which I live in, and the exhorbitant costs left right and centre. Tree hugger stuff like this can go and ****...


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 828 ✭✭✭tototoe


    Amirani wrote: »
    Lots of people want it. Complete embarrassment that our country performs so badly in environmental metrics. If you give a damn about our environment and future generations, then you'll be supportive of measures that reduce the damage we're doing to it.

    Problem is, thAt while the USA and China, don't bother...we are getting hit. The impact of any change by Ireland is minimal, considering the size of the place. We are miniscule when talking about our carbon output. It's just more tax. Our actions will have very limited impact on climate change.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 4,165 ✭✭✭Captain Obvious


    Amirani wrote: »
    Lots of people want it. Complete embarrassment that our country performs so badly in environmental metrics. If you give a damn about our environment and future generations, then you'll be supportive of measures that reduce the damage we're doing to it.


    Will a carbon tax help? I have to travel the same distance to work no matter how much the fuel costs. I'd rather see them make economical cars much more attractive.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,617 ✭✭✭✭_Brian


    I don't. I give a damn about the here and now which I live in, and the exhorbitant costs left right and centre. Tree hugger stuff like this can go and ****...

    It’s reasonable to expect people to be able to balance an interest in both.

    Yes, we have to live in the here and now, but the “here and now” we pass to our kids is also our responsibility.

    I’m concerned about people who can’t see that the future environment is importand because they’re essentially saying they don’t care about the lives their kids and grandkids will have to lead - that pretty sad.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25 Desiree Burch


    _Brian wrote: »
    When the worker runs a car to/from a job it’s disgustingly close to being better off on tue dole. This is so wrong it’s unbelievable.

    An extra €203 at Christmas brings it to an extra €9 pw while someone who will be getting up early on the cold dark mornings will be lucky to get an extra €3 pw into their hand.

    A budget for the lazy and career breeders.

    Sickening.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,617 ✭✭✭✭_Brian


    tototoe wrote: »
    Problem is, thAt while the USA and China, don't bother...we are getting hit. The impact of any change by Ireland is minimal, considering the size of the place. We are miniscule when talking about our carbon output. It's just more tax. Our actions will have very limited impact on climate change.

    Somewhat true, but it’s not people coming from China and America overnight who are flytipping in every green lane way. Throwing TVs and mattresses everywhere. It’s not their waste we’re burying so we can pretend it’s dealt with. Environment is an all encompassing project, we shouldn’t tune in and out to what suits us, I don’t feel a carbon tax is helpful unless the revenue is ringfenced and used appropriately, but pointing over the ocean and saying it’s their fault so we shouldn’t try is just playground talk. In time everything will matter, it’s a lifestyle and that has to build from trying.


  • Registered Users Posts: 369 ✭✭codrulz


    the only real problem I have with this budget is that tax on betting only rose to 2% I think that is criminally low. Gambling is a dangerous and addictive activity scourging many people. It is akin to alcohol and cigarettes and should be levied as such.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Higher rate band is being increased to 35,300 (up by €750)

    Decreasing top rate of USC from 4.75% to 4.5%

    This means for middle income workers, an effective 1% reduction in their tax payable.

    Hourly Minimum wage increased to €9.80

    USC band 2 moving to €19,874 - meaning a full time worker on minimum wage will not pay any higher rate of USC


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  • Moderators, Politics Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators Posts: 16,091 Mod ✭✭✭✭Quin_Dub


    codrulz wrote: »
    the only real problem I have with this budget is that tax on betting only rose to 2% I think that is criminally low. Gambling is a dangerous and addictive activity scourging many people. It is akin to alcohol and cigarettes and should be levied as such.

    It should certainly be taxed at at least the same level as tourism - I don't think 13.5% should be a problem for anyone on gambling..


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    Quin_Dub wrote: »
    It should certainly be taxed at at least the same level as tourism - I don't think 13.5% should be a problem for anyone on gambling..
    It's boiling a frog tbh. Lump too much in one go and you create chaos in the industry, companies uproot, people lose jobs and rather than a massive tax take, you instead lose it all to foreign and online gambling.

    Turn it up slowly, budget by budget and the companies will slowly adjust their costs to suit, while keeping their operations in Ireland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,452 ✭✭✭✭ednwireland


    Will a carbon tax help? I have to travel the same distance to work no matter how much the fuel costs. I'd rather see them make economical cars much more attractive.

    and no investment in public transport outside dublin so no alternative but to drive IMO carbon tax is just a cash grab


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,654 ✭✭✭✭Alf Veedersane


    tototoe wrote: »
    Problem is, thAt while the USA and China, don't bother...we are getting hit. The impact of any change by Ireland is minimal, considering the size of the place. We are miniscule when talking about our carbon output. It's just more tax. Our actions will have very limited impact on climate change.

    Ireland is part of an EU that has set targets. Not unreasonable targets either. We're very far off the mark and so we'll be getting hefty fines. That's the reality of it, regardless of what the US or China are doing.

    Fwiw, in terms of percentage of energy from renewable sources, China are doing better than Ireland.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,174 ✭✭✭✭Captain Chaos


    seamus wrote: »
    Higher rate band is being increased to 35,300 (up by €700)

    Decreasing top rate of USC from 5% to 4.75%

    This means for middle income workers, an effective 1% reduction in their tax payable.

    Hourly Minimum wage increased to €9.80

    USC band 2 moving to €19,874 - meaning a full time worker on minimum wage will not pay any higher rate of USC

    Up by €750.

    And its 4.75% down to 4.5%.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,070 ✭✭✭Franz Von Peppercorn


    tototoe wrote: »
    Problem is, thAt while the USA and China, don't bother...we are getting hit. The impact of any change by Ireland is minimal, considering the size of the place. We are miniscule when talking about our carbon output. It's just more tax. Our actions will have very limited impact on climate change.

    That’s not true about China at all.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,758 ✭✭✭Laois_Man


    I expected them to do something with VRT specifically aimed at those buying cars in the UK

    Maybe it makes sense to see what the Brexit deal is first


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,457 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    seamus wrote: »
    Higher rate band is being increased to 35,300 (up by €700)

    Decreasing top rate of USC from 5% to 4.75%

    This means for middle income workers, an effective 1% reduction in their tax payable.

    Hourly Minimum wage increased to €9.80

    USC band 2 moving to €19,874 - meaning a full time worker on minimum wage will not pay any higher rate of USC

    Woopdedoo


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,070 ✭✭✭Franz Von Peppercorn


    Lads. Don’t spend it all in the one shop.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 52,222 ✭✭✭✭tayto lover


    The man who gets up early in the morning to go to work will be doing cartwheels with the approx extra 5 euro he'll be receiving.
    Cartwheels I tell you. Not even the price of one decent sandwich.
    Meanwhile the "never worked" wasters will get more plus a Christmas bonus.
    Something rotten in this country,


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,174 ✭✭✭✭Captain Chaos


    The man who gets up early in the morning to go to work will be doing cartwheels with the approx extra 5 euro he'll be receiving.
    Cartwheels I tell you. Not even the price of one decent sandwich.
    Meanwhile the "never worked" wasters will get more plus a Christmas bonus.
    Something rotten in this country,

    Not even price of pint in my local.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,317 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    lawred2 wrote: »
    Woopdedoo

    For the average household, it's considerably more than the €5 a week for dole recipients.

    Edit...actually my figures may be wrong...


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Did fuel go up?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,732 ✭✭✭BarryD2


    seamus wrote: »
    Turn it up slowly, budget by budget and the companies will slowly adjust their costs to suit, while keeping their operations in Ireland.

    In that case, you could be looking at 10 years to bring betting tax to a decent level. It really is gobsmacking that such wasteful expenditure is only currently taxed at 1%. Betting is a luxury activity and should attract same rates of taxation as all similar activities.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,900 ✭✭✭thomas 123


    Anyone able to do the before and after on a salary of 30K?


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