Turning very warm/hot, heatwave conditions likely; Sunday 24th -->

hinault · 06-07-2018 08:09PM

Just driving through Laois on the way to Cork (for a wedding tomorrow). Very overcast and couple of raindrops on the windscreen. Nothing heavy.

Temperature gauge is reading 22 degrees at the moment.

sryanbruen · 06-07-2018 08:15PM

United road wrote: »

This was an hour or so ago?
Heck of a reliable poster is Kermit, and as i want this weather to stick around, im going to concentrate on the positives of this post!!

Too early to take breakdown talk to seriously. Yes its eventually going to happen, but not set in stone yet!!
Sryan, cmon, chin up!
Dont lose hope, you said it yourself, how many times we seen this breakdown in FI this summer!!

24 hours later, I have not changed my mind on losing hope.

Latest CFSv2 for 20th-26th July rounds it off.

cherryghost · 06-07-2018 08:29PM

Very weak fronts next weekend, not entirely confident of a breakdown BY next weekend, looking likely after the weekend.

EdgeCase · 06-07-2018 08:47PM

hinault wrote: »

Just driving through Laois on the way to Cork (for a wedding tomorrow). Very overcast and couple of raindrops on the windscreen. Nothing heavy.

Temperature gauge is reading 22 degrees at the moment.

The cloud is starting go & becoming a lot more broken over Cork City at the moment. Turning into a very pleasant late evening now, after a very overcast day.

SleetAndSnow · 06-07-2018 08:55PM

Very sunny in cork city now. Beautiful, warm evening.

Speak Now · 06-07-2018 09:29PM

Another glorious summer's evening, the reliable time frame looking lovely. Any breakdown is in FI and even most of those options are tame enough. Long live summer 18.

mg1982 · 06-07-2018 09:33PM

A few bright spells here today and feeling humid, mainly overcast. Most other summers and you be delighted to get a day like this. Looks like overcast is how its going to be here for the forseeable future. Sligo.

sryanbruen · 06-07-2018 09:43PM

https://twitter.com/MetEireann/status/1015335124827852806

Gonzo · 06-07-2018 09:57PM

With regards to next weekend and beyond I'm just going with my gut feeling. It's exceptional to go much more than 1 week of nationwide warm temperatures and dryness in this country, but there has been nearly 3 weeks of it.

The form horse in this country is always the Atlantic, it's win's the race almost every time. It effects us more than any other nation in Europe. IF the current run of warm and settled conditions continue for another few weeks that would be almost a once in a lifetime event.

I'm backing the subtle lowering of temperatures and increasing cloud day by day from Monday and shower activity later next week to merge into normal Irish weather and Atlantic influenced conditions by next Sunday.

We have a weekend of mostly warm, dry and settled conditions, best to make plans and enjoy it.

esposito · 06-07-2018 10:14PM

Wouldn’t it be great if the Atlantic/jet came back for a few days only for it to f*** off again. I think thats’s the most frustrating thing for me. It just hangs around like a bad smell that just won’t go away.

hinault · 06-07-2018 10:15PM

Gonzo wrote: »

With regards to next weekend and beyond I'm just going with my gut feeling. It's exceptional to go much more than 1 week of nationwide warm temperatures and dryness in this country, but there has been nearly 3 weeks of it.

The form horse in this country is always the Atlantic, it's win's the race almost every time. It effects us more than any other nation in Europe. IF the current run of warm and settled conditions continue for another few weeks that would be almost a once in a lifetime event.

I'm backing the subtle lowering of temperatures and increasing cloud day by day from Monday and shower activity later next week to merge into normal Irish weather and Atlantic influenced conditions by next Sunday.

We have a weekend of mostly warm, dry and settled conditions, best to make plans and enjoy it.

This is logical. The evidence as you say shows that the west/south west direction of our weather incoming from the Atlantic Ocean prevails usually.

20 degrees celsius is still a pretty good temperature by Irish summer heat standards.

sryanbruen · 06-07-2018 10:17PM

Would not be talking 20c if the air is coming off the cold North Atlantic, that's the thing. I'm talking 14-18c at best. That's the point people are missing here that I'm saying. The North Atlantic is unusually cool since February due to how the Atlantic Circulation has gone its way courtesy of the SSW event. July 2015 is a recent example of what I'm talking about. Summer would turn to utter trash.

Rougies · 06-07-2018 10:26PM

sryanbruen wrote: »

Some of our max temps today (°C):
25.3 Oak Park, Carlow

A pity about yesterday's 24.9C. Just for record breaking's sake they should have a mobile carpark ready for moments like that.

harr · 06-07-2018 10:39PM

sryanbruen wrote: »

Would not be talking 20c if the air is coming off the cold North Atlantic, that's the thing. I'm talking 14-18c at best. That's the point people are missing here that I'm saying. The North Atlantic is unusually cool since February due to how the Atlantic Circulation has gone its way courtesy of the SSW event. July 2015 is a recent example of what I'm talking about. Summer would turn to utter trash.

Depressing reading this...we will all be lighting the fire if the temps drop to 14 ..to go from 25+ to that will be a shock

Rougies · 06-07-2018 10:42PM

I don't know if this has been posted yet, but Met Éireann have a nice "preliminary report" about this warm spell/heatwave up on their site now.

https://www.met.ie/recent-warm-weather-report-up-to-6th-july-2018

sryanbruen · 06-07-2018 10:45PM

Rougies wrote: »

I don't know if this has been posted yet, but Met Éireann have a nice "preliminary report" about this warm spell/heatwave up on their site now.

https://www.met.ie/recent-warm-weather-report-up-to-6th-july-2018

Thanks, I didn't come across that. It contains some of the information of that deleted PDF I said on the warm weather of mid-June 2014 so I'm glad they reshared some of the info from that into here. Good preliminary report, however I'm still waiting on the Beast from the East major weather event PDF.

Oneiric 3 · 06-07-2018 10:55PM

Rougies wrote: »

I don't know if this has been posted yet, but Met Éireann have a nice "preliminary report" about this warm spell/heatwave up on their site now.

https://www.met.ie/recent-warm-weather-report-up-to-6th-july-2018

Interesting. I notice that they mention heatwave conditions in Kilkenny last year, so they must be still recording temps at this legendary station, even if they are not making the data public?

sryanbruen · 06-07-2018 10:57PM

Oneiric 3 wrote: »

Interesting. I notice that they mention heatwave conditions in Kilkenny last year, so they must be still recording temps at this legendary station, even if they are not making the data public?

I found that suspicious. Oak Park had 5 consecutive days of 25c+ in June 2017 though.

harr · 06-07-2018 11:18PM

Just hoping to wake up some morning and all models are showing a resurgence of the good weather and everyone here agrees with each other ...as you said enjoy the few days we have left. **** all we can do about anyway.

Meteorite58 · 06-07-2018 11:24PM

AROME showing getting up to 28C around Kilkenny / Carlow, 4C more then the ECM is showing. Perhaps 26C or close to 27C ?

Dickie10 · 06-07-2018 11:25PM

please god it comes to fruition to many false dawns

km79 · 06-07-2018 11:27PM

Dickie10 wrote: »

please god it comes to fruition to many false dawns

Every summer for the last decade ?
We
Don’t
Deserve
This
Weather

sryanbruen · 06-07-2018 11:29PM

On par with Thursday's sunshine totals (with the exception of Cork which was duller on Friday). Didn't give an update today on the sunshine totals because the real sunny spell is now over.

https://twitter.com/MetEireann/status/1015361545545703425

giveitholly · 06-07-2018 11:43PM

km79 wrote: »

Every summer for the last decade ?
We
Don’t
Deserve
This
Weather

Some people's lively hoods depends on getting some rain so you can hardly blame them

mg1982 · 07-07-2018 12:09AM

Heard Evelyn Cusack mention last night on prime time that 76 was a more extreme drought due to 74 and 75 been very dry years. Not sure if anyone on this forum can remember what it was like or did the country face even more extreme drought conditions than we have now.

Speak Now · 07-07-2018 12:15AM

giveitholly wrote: »

Some people's lively hoods depends on getting some rain so you can hardly blame them

And some people's depend on good weather. Weather will do want it wants.

EdgeCase · 07-07-2018 12:24AM

mg1982 wrote: »

Heard Evelyn Cusack mention last night on prime time that 76 was a more extreme drought due to 74 and 75 been very dry years. Not sure if anyone on this forum can remember what it was like or did the country face even more extreme drought conditions than we have now.

The biggest difference in 1976 was the water infrastructure was not as stretched. There's been basically no additional reservoirs built in the Dublin area since then and the greater Dublin Area population in that era was about 600,000 vs about twice that now. The supply is barely meeting the demand in normal times at present.

Kermit.de.frog · 07-07-2018 05:24AM

UKMO this morning shows how we are struggling to break down the continental influence from the north Atlantic in to next weekend.

It's not through even at that stage and may in the end not even make it which would continue the drier and warmer than average period.

Beautiful morning. Highs of 26 or 27c today.

OldRio · 07-07-2018 08:47AM

Speak Now wrote: »

And some people's depend on good weather. Weather will do want it wants.

Well we all know that. The drought conditions are serious in parts of the country. I suppose the consumer will only cop on when they are paying more for their weekly shop and 'Why?' will be the question.

Meteorite58 · 07-07-2018 09:25AM

AROME more in line with the ECM now. Cloud looks a feature today.

Turning very warm/hot, heatwave conditions likely; Sunday 24th -->

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