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Exit poll: The post referendum thread. No electioneering.

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Comments

  • #932
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    Hotblack Desiato wrote: »
    That's an amazing (predicted) result

    Hope IT won't be left with egg on their face if the actual margin is much less

    But it's definitely a Yes win.


    RTE's one at 11.30. Can't understand why they want to wait so long. Polls are long shut.


  • #933
    Overheal
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    doylefe wrote: »
    When a 12 week old human is being executed on a whim all the Yes voters will have blood on thier hands.

    Sad day for this country.

    Fortunately nobody is advocating for infanticide up to 12 weeks past birth.


  • #934
    Nettle Soup
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,312 ✭✭✭Nettle Soup


    Shurimgreat wrote: »
    Sad day for Ireland if so. I feel ashamed to be Irish if that's the way it goes.

    Quit your whinging and lobby your local TDs for the legislation you want.

    The Dail now has the right to introduce abortion legislation so you can lobby the candidates for the abortion laws you want now and for every single election in your future. Knock yourself out.


  • #935
    OldMrBrennan83
    Closed Accounts Posts: 26,658 ✭✭✭✭OldMrBrennan83


    This post has been deleted.


  • #936
    seenitall
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,733 ✭✭✭seenitall


    In total shock. Thrilled, happy, in love with this country all over again. Thank you Ireland! :)


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  • #937
    Teyla Emmagan
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,641 ✭✭✭Teyla Emmagan


    eviltwin wrote:
    How likely is this to be completely wrong?

    Only a margin or error of 1 to 1.5% so either way, it's gone!!


  • #938
    Lackey
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,118 ✭✭✭Lackey


    http://www.thejournal.ie/referendum-yes-no-4035145-May2018/?utm_source=facebook_short

    saving ye from Ryan


  • #939
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    That would be an incredible result. I suspect the final margin will be much tighter but it's certainly an encouraging sign for a Yes vote! :)


  • #940
    Try_harder
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,681 ✭✭✭Try_harder


    Shurimgreat wrote: »
    Iona do no represent the vast majority of No voters. They should not have been allowed a platform in the major debates.

    My take is most No voters are in favour of limited abortion for hard cases but against unrestricted abortion. I am certainly in that bracket.

    Well then you should have supported the Repeal. Hard Cases couldnt be dealt with with the 8th in place


  • #941
    iamwhoiam
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,248 ✭✭✭✭iamwhoiam


    Wow ! Great margin


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  • #942
    Overheal
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 86,725 ✭✭✭✭Overheal


    fritzelly wrote: »
    IT polling has been pretty accurate in the past - hope to god this is damn close to what they predict. Resounding win for the Yes side
    Be interesting to see what RTE's poll shows but I hazard a guess very similar

    My understanding is that their accuracy is expected to be +/- 1.5%.


  • #943
    Wibbs
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 60,313 Mod ✭✭✭✭Wibbs


    seamus wrote: »
    Irish times exit polls predicting 68% victory for Yes.

    That would be incredible.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/irish-times-exit-poll-projects-ireland-has-voted-by-landslide-to-repeal-eighth-amendment-1.3508861?mode=amp&__twitter_impression=true
    Though I felt it would pass, that's a much higher gap than I expected TBH S. Higher than the SSM vote too. Bigger turnout though and the bigger the turnout the more democracy is working so a great result for same.

    Many worry about Artificial Intelligence. I worry far more about Organic Idiocy.



  • #944
    testicles
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,198 ✭✭✭testicles


    This post has been deleted.


  • #945
    BarryD2
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,732 ✭✭✭BarryD2


    Shurimgreat wrote: »
    My take is most No voters are in favour of limited abortion for hard cases but against unrestricted abortion. I am certainly in that bracket.

    That is not possible with the 8th in place and you know it.

    If the result does turn out more than 2:1, it's going to be very hard for FF hardliners to impose their will in any forthcoming legislation. They will have to face the electorate sooner or later.


  • #946
    pleas advice
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,492 ✭✭✭pleas advice


    eviltwin wrote: »
    How likely is this to be completely wrong?

    the margin might be tighter, but its a definite yes, no question


  • #947
    martingriff
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,339 ✭✭✭✭martingriff


    BarryD2 wrote: »
    Are you joking? Don't know what age you are but I'll be 'six feet under' before any Irish government would dare hold another referendum on this issue.

    37 thank you very much. I do believe there would have been if there was a no vote which I didn't believe would happen but I am surprised at the 62% to 38% thought it be a closer near 55% 45%


  • #948
    RobertKK
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,771 ✭✭✭✭RobertKK


    Landslide for Yes according to the IT, but I am happy I voted No as whatever happens from here on, I will know I voted for what I believed in, and anything legislated for has nothing to do with my actions.


  • #949
    jca
    Closed Accounts Posts: 8,585 ✭✭✭jca


    Yes.


  • #950
    fergus1001
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,625 ✭✭✭fergus1001


    Shurimgreat wrote:
    So much for not celebrating the result.


    I am celebrating, we have swept the iona institute into the dustbin


  • #951
    Try_harder
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,681 ✭✭✭Try_harder


    All the money No threw at this. Millions of posters and ads. People power looks to have won


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  • #952
    chicorytip
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,342 ✭✭✭chicorytip


    May God save Ireland!


  • #953
    GarIT
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,671 ✭✭✭GarIT


    eviltwin wrote: »
    How likely is this to be completely wrong?


    There is a 5% chance that it is more than 1.5% wrong.


  • #954
    Infini
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,650 ✭✭✭Infini


    I'd expected a reasonable 55%ish Yes vote but if its a crushing 68% then I actually wouldn't be suprised as while this country can be headwrecking some days, Us Irish tend to be able to cop ignorant BS from a mile off and I feel that's why the NO side will lose.


  • #955
    Shurimgreat
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,133 ✭✭✭Shurimgreat


    Larbre34 wrote: »
    Yes they do, their views began to diversify in the last 6 days after 35 years of failure to engage.

    Unrestricted abortion up to 12 weeks was only proposed in the last year.
    Another misrepresentation from the Yes side.
    In fact no legislative proposals to deal with this came from any side until the last year.


  • #956
    123balltv
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,110 ✭✭✭123balltv


    super_furry wrote: »
    Ireland's a mad country. At the same time this news breaks, there's a woman on the Late Late show talking about how she sees and talks to angels on a daily basis.


    Looks like a yes she'll have a lot more innocent angels to talk too next year.


  • #957
    Shurimgreat
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,133 ✭✭✭Shurimgreat


    fergus1001 wrote: »
    I am celebrating, we have swept the iona institute into the dustbin

    And many innocent unborn with it. Congrats.


  • #958
    [Deleted User]
    Posts: 0 ✭ [Deleted User]


    doylefe wrote: »
    When a 12 week old human is being executed on a whim all the Yes voters will have blood on thier hands.

    Sad day for this country.

    Absolutely spot on. Sure we should just continue letting the Brits dirty their hands on our behalf.
    Have a bit of cop on and respect whatever the democratic decision chooses


  • #959
    strandroad
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,676 ✭✭✭strandroad


    fergus1001 wrote: »
    I am celebrating, we have swept the iona institute into the dustbin

    They still have school patronage. But yes, the country is not with them QED.


  • #960
    Movementarian
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 265 ✭✭Movementarian


    Shurimgreat wrote: »
    Sad day for Ireland if so. I feel ashamed to be Irish if that's the way it goes.

    Luckily for the rest of us the majority of the country doesn't appear to agree with you. Irish and proud today!


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  • #961
    Trasna1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 565 ✭✭✭Trasna1


    spookwoman wrote: »
    The No side conceding?
    https://twitter.com/DavQuinn/status/1000116261702029314

    The no side knew the game was up at the start of the week. According to sources on another forum, their private polling was indicating a similar result to the exit poll. That's why No went into meltdown, went off message and became (more) hysterical.


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