US Greencard Through Diversity Lotto

Raelyn Hot Magenta wrote: »

e.g. Start at 18 and assume success a few months after your 64th birthday, just in time for retirement, brilliant.

Another way to look at it is: start at 18 and by 27, finished college, saved a few quid you'd have had a 1 in 5 chance. One in two by the time you hit 41. Not bad frankly. Throw in other avenues, sponsorship, alternatives such as Canada, Australia or more exciting Asian countries and you're basically guaranteed to get permanent residency somewhere warm (except Canada!) outside Ireland if you want it.

jme2010 wrote: »

Or just pull an American bird on a night out

Tell me how I do this?!

I work with over 150 Americans and not one has ever heard of the DV program. They literally thought I just applied for a visa and moved my family over, no hassles and thought it was as simple as that. Until I told them what it was and that it was literally impossible for an average joe to move over they where all dumbfounded.

Yes, you can do it. I went to US for 2 weeks, came back to IE and lived for few months and then finally moved to US.
If you know your number you can estimate the date you're going to be called for an interview. Jan-April is very early and indicates a low number, as far as I remember mine was over 30,000 and I had an interview in September.

circular flexing wrote: »

According to CNN, Trump has offered a path to citizenship for up to 1.8 million illegal immigrants (primarily DACA recipients) in exchange for (amongst other things) abolition of the DV.

Next he'll tell them they won a free boat...when they come to collect, BAM deported.

jme2010 wrote: »

Simple. Step 1. Let her know you are Irish in your best Irish brogue. Step 2. Green Card Marriage. :P

Doesn't work... they always decide they want to live here... trust me on that!

*finishes packing for holiday to see american girlfriend*

As much as i dislike the policies... I'm kinda banking on trumps inherent racism to hope i get my application picked this year.

fleet wrote: »

Another way to look at it is: start at 18 and by 27, finished college, saved a few quid you'd have had a 1 in 5 chance. One in two by the time you hit 41. Not bad frankly. Throw in other avenues, sponsorship, alternatives such as Canada, Australia or more exciting Asian countries and you're basically guaranteed to get permanent residency somewhere warm (except Canada!) outside Ireland if you want it.

Well your maths is wrong. Assuming the chances of success in any given year as 2.15127% from the above, the probability of success only surpasses 50% if you assume at least 32 entries... i.e. when you are 49 assuming entry number 1 at 18 and you enter every year. 41 (24 entries) gets you to 40.66%.


But look on the bright side, if a person plans to enter every year from age 18, up to and including age 81, then there will be a 75.14% probability that they'll win.

Assuming the submit up to age 123 will bring the stat to just over 90% :-)


Age
18 2.2%
19 4.3%
20 6.3%
21 8.3%
22 10.3%
23 12.2%
24 14.1%
25 16.0%
26 17.8%
27 19.5%
28 21.3%
29 23.0%
30 24.6%
31 26.2%
32 27.8%
33 29.4%
34 30.9%
35 32.4%
36 33.8%
37 35.3%
38 36.7%
39 38.0%
40 39.4%
41 40.7%
42 41.9%
43 43.2%
44 44.4%
45 45.6%
46 46.8%
47 47.9%
48 49.0%
49 50.1%
50 51.2%
51 52.3%
52 53.3%
53 54.3%
54 55.3%
55 56.2%
56 57.2%
57 58.1%
58 59.0%
59 59.9%
60 60.7%
61 61.6%
62 62.4%
63 63.2%
64 64.0%
65 64.8%
66 65.5%
67 66.3%
68 67.0%
69 67.7%
70 68.4%
71 69.1%
72 69.8%
73 70.4%
74 71.1%
75 71.7%
76 72.3%
77 72.9%
78 73.5%
79 74.0%
80 74.6%
81 75.1%
82 75.7%
83 76.2%
84 76.7%
85 77.2%
86 77.7%
87 78.2%
88 78.6%
89 79.1%
90 79.6%
91 80.0%
92 80.4%
93 80.8%
94 81.3%
95 81.7%
96 82.1%
97 82.4%
98 82.8%
99 83.2%
100 83.6%
101 83.9%
102 84.3%
103 84.6%
104 84.9%
105 85.2%
106 85.6%
107 85.9%
108 86.2%
109 86.5%
110 86.8%
111 87.1%
112 87.3%
113 87.6%
114 87.9%
115 88.1%
116 88.4%
117 88.6%
118 88.9%
119 89.1%
120 89.4%
121 89.6%
122 89.8%
123 90.0%
124 90.2%
125 90.5%
126 90.7%
127 90.9%
128 91.1%
129 91.2%
130 91.4%
131 91.6%
132 91.8%
133 92.0%
134 92.1%
135 92.3%
136 92.5%
137 92.6%
138 92.8%
139 93.0%
140 93.1%
141 93.3%
142 93.4%
143 93.5%
144 93.7%
145 93.8%
146 94.0%
147 94.1%
148 94.2%
149 94.3%
150 94.5%
151 94.6%
152 94.7%
153 94.8%
154 94.9%
155 95.0%

Draw is on Tuesday, right?

I have my IEC visa and will be planning to move to Canada in July.

I think my opinion of living in the US has changed over the last year. With all the mass shootings and Trump economy, Canada looked way more attractive to me while still giving that 'Americanised' feeling.

I don't know what I would do if my number was called for the lottery now that I have an IEC to try.