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Ulster Team Talk Thread III: Les Miserables SEE MOD WARNING POST #1924 + #2755

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,120 ✭✭✭Paul Smeenus


    I suppose the issue is that most Ulster fans assume a player who is sent to Ulster rather than excited to go won't be our 10 for the next decade. If it's Carbery, he'll improve, stay a couple of seasons and then go back to Leinster, leaving us in much the same home in two years time.

    Anyway, it's not about what Ulster, Leinster,Carbery or Byrne wants. It's about depth at 10 for the RWC. All other priorities rescinded.


  • Posts: 20,606 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    prawnsambo wrote: »
    He's been injured a lot. But he had ten starts last season despite being out injured for a chunk of that too.

    Yeah, I think people are forgetting that probably the main reason he hasn't had more game time at 10 is injury. He's been unlucky that he came back fit just in time to be shepherded into the 6 nations squad.

    He'll start against Connacht and I presume he'll get a start over the Summer tour.

    I wouldn't be surprised if Ross Byrne travels to Australia, not just because he probably deserves it at this stage but also because it might be the carrot the IRFU can use to encourage him to consider a move north.


  • Subscribers, Paid Member Posts: 44,242 ✭✭✭✭sydthebeat


    I can't see how it could be Ross.
    How could Leinster go into international camp weeks with cathal Marsh and ciaran frawley as their squad 10s?

    And that's assuming no injures


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,258 ✭✭✭✭Buer


    If it's Carbery, he'll improve, stay a couple of seasons and then go back to Leinster, leaving us in much the same home in two years time.

    Regardless of whether it's Carbery or Byrne, I just don't see this happening. Two years will pass. The one who stays will establish themselves as the starting 10. I don't see the one who leaves wanting to return to try and fight it out for a jersey when they're developing and getting a load of game time in Belfast. Whoever leaves won't be back any time soon unless the one who stays flops.

    As posted previously, there are also going to be a few other guys coming through in the next 2 years who will probably have played for the senior side at that point.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,405 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    I can't see how it could be Ross.
    How could Leinster go into international camp weeks with cathal Marsh and ciaran frawley as their squad 10s?

    And that's assuming no injures
    That's exactly the situation it was two seasons ago when it was Ross Byrne and Cathal Marsh. Ross Byrne had pretty much the same game time the previous season as Frawley has this season.

    I know the thinking is to keep the guy who's less likely to be away playing for Ireland, but that's short term thinking with Sexton in his last few seasons. A career ending injury to Jonny in the next year or so, would leave Leinster with Ross Byrne and Ciaran Frawley plus the academy guys. I know that's a pessimistic view, but that's the way Leinster have to prepare.


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  • Administrators Posts: 55,733 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    I don’t see either Byrne or Carbery wanting to go (Carbery has pretty much dismissed the idea publicly before), and aside from anything else a player who doesn’t really want to be there is not what we need.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 21,815 ✭✭✭✭Squidgy Black


    sydthebeat wrote: »
    I can't see how it could be Ross.
    How could Leinster go into international camp weeks with cathal Marsh and ciaran frawley as their squad 10s?

    And that's assuming no injures

    We would've said the same thing in 2016 when it was Ross Byrne in place of Frawley in fairness.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,405 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    awec wrote: »
    I don’t see either Byrne or Carbery wanting to go (Carbery has pretty much dismissed the idea publicly before), and aside from anything else a player who doesn’t really want to be there is not what we need.
    By the sound of things, it looks like it's an ultimatum that can't be ignored. How the IRFU get around the issue of making it worth whoever's while is up to them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    awec wrote: »
    I don’t see either Byrne or Carbery wanting to go (Carbery has pretty much dismissed the idea publicly before), and aside from anything else a player who doesn’t really want to be there is not what we need.

    It's an easy enough sell I think. Ross Byrne is on the outs from the Leinster first choice 23. He could go to Ulster, become first choice playing week in week out and put himself in the frame for Ireland and RWC 2019.

    If Munster could make it work money wise I would take Byrne in a heartbeat.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,405 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    It's an easy enough sell I think. Ross Byrne is on the outs from the Leinster first choice 23. He could go to Ulster, become first choice playing week in week out and put himself in the frame for Ireland and RWC 2019.
    As far as I know, the two lads' contracts are up at the end of the season. They both signed senior contracts in January 2017.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,258 ✭✭✭✭Buer


    It's an easy enough sell I think. Ross Byrne is on the outs from the Leinster first choice 23. He could go to Ulster, become first choice playing week in week out and put himself in the frame for Ireland and RWC 2019.

    Exactly. I'd imagine the case for them can be made very easily. I reckon it would be easier to convince Byrne. Guaranteed starter at this point, a huge opportunity to go to the RWC and a nice bump in salary.

    Whilst Leinster might rather Carbery to go due to availability during international windows, the carrot of test rugby doesn't apply to him given he already has that.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,159 ✭✭✭✭bilston


    Interesting conundrum for the coaches this weekend.

    We are away to Munster...mathematically we can still finish 3rd in the conference but it would require a bit of a miracle. We would need a BP win and hope that Glasgow ensure Edinburgh get nothing out of their game. It's not impossible but doesn't seem likely.

    Therefore do we send a weak team down to Thomond and rest players like Best, Henderson, McCloskey and Stockdale for the likely Ospreys game or do we go all out in search of a miracle.


  • Administrators Posts: 55,733 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    bilston wrote: »
    Interesting conundrum for the coaches this weekend.

    We are away to Munster...mathematically we can still finish 3rd in the conference but it would require a bit of a miracle. We would need a BP win and hope that Glasgow ensure Edinburgh get nothing out of their game. It's not impossible but doesn't seem likely.

    Therefore do we send a weak team down to Thomond and rest players like Best, Henderson, McCloskey and Stockdale for the likely Ospreys game or do we go all out in search of a miracle.

    Go all out, keep the momentum.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,779 ✭✭✭✭molloyjh


    awec wrote: »
    Go all out, keep the momentum.

    This. Munster will have a days less recovery having travelled back from France after 2 weeks in SA. Munster can't catch Glasgow, but similarly Cheetahs can't catch Munster. It's a nothing game from that perspective and there's a strong chance that Munster will look to rest front liners in advance of the QF game the following week.

    Although with Edinburgh at home to Glasgow, and Glasgow being home and hosed themselves, it'd be tough to see Ulster overtaking them. They'd need Edinburgh to get nothing at all from the game because even a LBP would do them given that they have 2 more wins than Ulster. This should really be all about momentum as awec says and not the placing in the table.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 254 ✭✭Wheeker


    awec wrote: »
    Go all out, keep the momentum.

    I would agree, we need to go for it & at long last we finally have some momentum.

    I read somewhere that if either Leinster win the Champions Cup or Cardiff win the Challenge Cup, then there will be no need for a PRO14 Euro Playoff anyhow (both Ulster & Ospreys automatically qualify?). Either is fairly likely to happen I would have thought, just surprised no-one is picking-up on this?

    From reading the qualification rules below, Leinster, Racing 92 & Cardiff have all already qualified for the Champions Cup & Gloucester are about to(?). But if that is the case then surely a Pau v Newcastle Falcons play-off (losing Challenge Cup semi-finalists) would take prioirity over the Ulster/Ospreys? Unless I have it wrong....

    Qualification
    Champions Cup

    Nineteen clubs will qualify automatically for the 2018/19 Champions Cup in the following ways :.
    • Guinness PRO14 (7): The three highest ranked clubs from each conference. The fourth-ranked clubs from each conference will play off for the seventh place. (NB South African clubs are not eligible.)
    • TOP 14 (6): The six highest-ranked clubs based on their final finishing positions.
    • Aviva Premiership (6): The six highest-ranked clubs based on their final finishing positions.
    In accordance with a decision of the EPCR Board comprising the nine unions, federations and league bodies, the 20th place in the Champions Cup will be determined as follows:
    i) Champions Cup winner, if not already qualified
    ii) Challenge Cup winner, if not already qualified
    iii) Challenge Cup losing finalist, if not already qualified
    iv) Play-off match between the losing Challenge Cup semi-finalists, if not already qualified
    v) Highest ranked non-qualified club by virtue of league position from the same league as the Champions Cup winner


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,636 ✭✭✭✭errlloyd


    Wheeker wrote: »
    From reading the qualification rules below, Leinster, Racing 92 & Cardiff have all already qualified for the Champions Cup & Gloucester are about to(?). But if that is the case then surely a Pau v Newcastle Falcons play-off (losing Challenge Cup semi-finalists) would take prioirity over the Ulster/Ospreys? Unless I have it wrong....

    You're correct, but Newcastle and Pau are also pretty close to qualifying. Newcastle in 4th and Pau in 7th of their respective leagues. Now I think the final games will be too tough for Pau, but there is a chance.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 254 ✭✭Wheeker


    errlloyd wrote: »
    You're correct, but Newcastle and Pau are also pretty close to qualifying. Newcastle in 4th and Pau in 7th of their respective leagues. Now I think the final games will be too tough for Pau, but there is a chance.

    Ah I see that now, Newcastle have already qualified & Pau (didn't know they are called Section Paloise) are currently 7th in the Top 14. Still, if Pau do qualify it's another permutation whereby a PRO 14 Euro playoff doesn't happen.

    It all got a bit confusing on Sat night what with Tommy Bowe, Paul Marshall & Charles Piutau all playing their "last ever" matches at Ravenhill & waving goodbye.... unless there's a PRO 14 Euro playoff v Ospreys!!:confused:

    Then Tony McWhirter was saying that Ulster are guaranteed European Cup rugby next season:confused: Challenge Cup maybe......


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,728 ✭✭✭Former Former


    Basically, the Ulster v Ospreys playoff might be redundant as both will qualify by other means, but we won't know than until after it's happened so it has to be treated as though it does matter.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,636 ✭✭✭✭errlloyd


    Basically, the Ulster v Ospreys playoff might be redundant as both will qualify by other means, but we won't know than until after it's happened so it has to be treated as though it does matter.

    But it might still have to happen! As I said in different thread, the play off is between Ospreys (9th ranked club in pro14) and Ulster (7th ranked club in pro14), but Benneton (8th ranked club in pro14) are actually ahead of Ospreys in terms of the European qualifying criteria.

    So Ulster and Ospreys may have to play a game, if Ospreys win it both teams qualify, but if Ospreys lose, Ulster and Benneton qualify.

    It is also very very confusing.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,779 ✭✭✭✭molloyjh


    I'm getting very confused here.

    As it stands, the 7 Pro14 places go to Glasgow, Leinster, Scarlets, Munster, Edinburgh, Cardiff and the winner of the Ulster-Ospreys play-off.

    The last place goes to Pau as the only Challenge Cup semi finalist not currently qualified. If they qualify in the meantime and Leinster win in Bilbao, then surely the loser of the Ulster-Ospreys game qualify. There's no scenario at this stage that sees Benetton qualify, is there? Isn't league position for Europe based first on the final standing of the conferences minus the SA teams, which means Ospreys are 4th?

    Ugh, this is a pain....


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,636 ✭✭✭✭errlloyd


    molloyjh wrote: »
    Isn't league position for Europe based first on the final standing of the conferences minus the SA teams, which means Ospreys are 4th?

    That's the Pro14 rule alright, but it may not be the EPCR rule. It would be awful harsh on Bennetton if they came 5th in their conference, Ospreys also came 5th in their conference, but Bennetton had more wins and more points, but Ospreys qualified ahead of them?

    That would be ridiculous.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 45,433 ✭✭✭✭thomond2006


    errlloyd wrote: »
    That's the Pro14 rule alright, but it may not be the EPCR rule. It would be awful harsh on Bennetton if they came 5th in their conference, Ospreys also came 5th in their conference, but Bennetton had more wins and more points, but Ospreys qualified ahead of them?

    That would be ridiculous.

    Benetton are in the weaker conference to be fair. Plus they have gotten into Europe for years despite finishing below numerous teams simply because they're Italian, so they can't exactly moan now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 24,779 ✭✭✭✭molloyjh


    errlloyd wrote: »
    That's the Pro14 rule alright, but it may not be the EPCR rule. It would be awful harsh on Bennetton if they came 5th in their conference, Ospreys also came 5th in their conference, but Bennetton had more wins and more points, but Ospreys qualified ahead of them?

    That would be ridiculous.

    No more ridiculous than if Ospreys qualify having beaten Ulster in the as-is scenario. By your logic (which I totally understand) the play-off should be between Ulster and Benetton. But that's not the way it's structured, so I'd imagine there is no way for Benetton to qualify now.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 12,636 ✭✭✭✭errlloyd


    I mean I think it's all fairly ridiculous. But Benneton are way ahead of Ospreys in a combined table, 14 points and three wins. And they have a game against Zebre to come, while Ospreys travel to Cardiff. So that gap could widen.

    I think Bennetton have had the easiest fixtures this season, with 7 games against Dragons, Kings and Zebre.

    How about this for an argument. The pro14 might be getting an extra slot due to having a winner. Why not just have the next qualifier come from the winners conference.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 569 ✭✭✭Hands Like Flippers


    What ages were the two Leinster 10's when they got their senior debuts?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,405 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    What ages were the two Leinster 10's when they got their senior debuts?
    They were both 20.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 569 ✭✭✭Hands Like Flippers


    So Angus Curtis and McPhillips, Lowry, Huston etc should be given a fair chance. McPhillips hasn't let anyone down yet.

    These lads should be given time.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 569 ✭✭✭Hands Like Flippers


    Our half backs should be given the same opportunity before boys are parachuted in.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,405 ✭✭✭✭prawnsambo


    Our half backs should be given the same opportunity before boys are parachuted in.
    I think it's a bit unfair to characterise this as them being parachuted in. It doesn't seem to be at their behest and the IRFU are unlikely to be driving it on their own bat. Ulster have to be looking for it too.


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  • Administrators Posts: 55,733 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭awec


    It would be a bit much to go into a season with McPhillips as the sole 10 who has ever played a senior fixture. Curtis and Lowry need to be given game time but having either one of them deputise for McPhillips for an entire season is just crazy.

    We cannot afford another season like this one.


This discussion has been closed.
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