The 8th Amendment Part 2 - Mod Warning in OP

NuMarvel · 20-04-2018 07:57AM

RobertKK wrote: »

It is from observing referendums for long time at this stage.
Googled and found this from RedC research:

https://redcresearch.ie/brexit-polls-lessons-ireland/

It says almost all undecided in the marriage referendum ended up voting no.

So your source for claiming "History shows that don’t no’s mostly go for the status quo if they don’t know rather than vote for change" is an analysis of a single referendum that you looked for after you made the claim. Riiiight... :rolleyes:

nice_guy80 · 20-04-2018 08:00AM

turnout might not be that high

so you can discount a lot of don't knows who won't bother to vote

amdublin · 20-04-2018 08:02AM

Zubeneschamali wrote: »

I had the first canvassers of the campaign yesterday evening - gave me a Together for Yes flyer.

I gave them a thumbs up and said I voted against it last time and will again, and got smiles and thanks.

After they were gone I thought to ask how it was going, but too late. This would not be a very pro-choice constituency, I hope they get on OK.

It's a funny situation right?...voting against it meant a no vote in 83 but means a YES to Repeal in 2018. Do I have that right?!

Yes would be interesting to hear how they were getting in.

I'm out canvassing tomorrow and will post here how it went.

baylah17 · 20-04-2018 08:11AM

NuMarvel wrote: »

So your source for claiming "History shows that don’t no’s mostly go for the status quo if they don’t know rather than vote for change" is an analysis of a single referendum that you looked for after you made the claim. Riiiight... :rolleyes:

Did you really expect anything better?
At least it wasnt accompanied by a picture of a Barbie Doll and a claim that this is what you will be murdering!

ELM327 · 20-04-2018 08:15AM

RobertKK wrote: »

You have the patience of an angry bull.

I don't expect an apology as I don't think you are that type when wrong to admit, as I answered another poster while you were posting that crap.

Let me post it again: The former chairman of the royal college of obstetricians and Gynaecology at the Royal College of Physicians of Ireland, said no Irish doctor would ever fail to intervene to save the life of a pregnant woman - even if that risked the life of her unborn child.

A well known pro life institute.
Disregard.

And as for the rest of your post, you've disappointed me.
What does the head of BPPAS and the other youtube people think of it?

Zerbini Blewitt · 20-04-2018 08:17AM

A polling/betting enthusiast, Keith Mills (who is strongly pro-life btw) has said of this poll:-

“No question now, "Yes" has it in the bag unless the other polls show a very different result.”

“If #savethe8th aren't over 30% at this stage in the campaign, then it's virtually impossible to see a path to victory”.
(He had been flagging this weekends polls and that ‘no’ had to be over 30% for a while now)

“Hard to see much movement from now on.”

AnneFrank · 20-04-2018 08:17AM

No matter what side your on, it's such a hard thing to have to think about deeply and vote upon

seachto7 · 20-04-2018 08:21AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

No matter what side your on, it's such a hard thing to have to think about deeply and vote upon

It’s not hard to think about really: give women a choice what to do with their own bodies.
There is nothing to think about or debate.
People will still have abortions whether it’s a yes or a no result.

AnneFrank · 20-04-2018 08:24AM

I respectfully disagree, ending a 12 week babies life is very hard for me personally to vote on

baylah17 · 20-04-2018 08:25AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

No matter what side your on, it's such a hard thing to have to think about deeply and vote upon

No

Saving women lives and recognizing their right to choose will not be hard for me to vote on at all.
I shall have a wistful smile on my lips as i tick yes, and I will think of Louise and Savita and the other victims of the evil 8th

baylah17 · 20-04-2018 08:26AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

I respectfully disagree, ending a 12 week babies life is very hard for me personally to vote on

There is no such thing as a twelve week baby, unless you mean 12 weeks after birth , in which case that would murder!

Triceratops Ballet · 20-04-2018 08:29AM

I think if the poll says anything it's go and talk to your grandparents/older relatives if they're still living explain why this is so important to generations to come, answer any and all questions they have openly and honestly, don't get angry frustrated and hyperbolic, just be frank tell them why a yes is important for you personally

seachto7 · 20-04-2018 08:30AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

I respectfully disagree, ending a 12 week babies life is very hard for me personally to vote on

Well if it’s a yes win how will it affect your life ?

seachto7 · 20-04-2018 08:32AM

Triceratops Ballet wrote: »

I think if the poll says anything it's go and talk to your grandparents/older relatives if they're still living explain why this is so important to generations to come, answer any and all questions they have openly and honestly, don't get angry frustrated and hyperbolic, just be frank tell them why a yes is important for you personally

Why do you assume they will vote no

Hooks Golf Handicap · 20-04-2018 08:33AM

Both sides spinning the latest poll I see.

One poster knocked it on the head when they questioned whether all that 63% would come out to vote.
The 37% will have a higher amount of older voters & we know they will all be out in force.

The Yes campaign need a push for the youth vote along the lines of the Equality Referendum despite it being a much harder sell.

If I had to call it now I'd go along with 55:45 to repeal.

seachto7 · 20-04-2018 08:34AM

Remember 38% votes against ssm

AnneFrank · 20-04-2018 08:35AM

baylah17 wrote: »

There is no such thing as a twelve week baby, unless you mean 12 weeks after birth , in which case that would murder!

I know many women who would be deeply offended by this post, having miscarried around that mark

ELM327 · 20-04-2018 08:35AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

I respectfully disagree, ending a 12 week babies life is very hard for me personally to vote on

No babies. 12 week old babies have birth certificates

This is about fetus, a jelly like clump of cells.

Of course you know that these foetuses are being terminated already, by Irish women, daily. 9-10 per day.
Just with the additional complications of paying to travel, time off work, risk of blood clots on the way home. No support network and they can't get aftercare. So you know... the 8th causes active harm to Irish women. And that for me is not a palatable option.

ELM327 · 20-04-2018 08:36AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

I know many women who would be deeply offended by this post, having miscarried around that mark

SO don't put up any doctored photos of foetuses then

amdublin · 20-04-2018 08:36AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

I respectfully disagree, ending a 12 week babies life is very hard for me personally to vote on

Are you on Facebook? There is a page on it called In Her Shoes where women tell their stories. You might find it useful to read women's experiences of abortion and maternity healthcare in Ireland. Its eye opening. And heart breaking.

Anyone who is undecided should take a look imo

AtomicHorror · 20-04-2018 08:38AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

No matter what side your on, it's such a hard thing to have to think about deeply and vote upon

It can certainly be, initially. Once you understand the medical and biological reality of it, it becomes much easier to think about the unborn, but much harder to think about the mother. That was my experience at any rate.

For most, it is still not going to be a pleasant topic to think of, but the balance of the concern definitely swings firmly in favor of the mother.

AnneFrank · 20-04-2018 08:39AM

ELM327 wrote: »

SO don't put up any doctored photos of foetuses then

Strange that you find this debate humorous, and I have already mentioned I do not lobby, canvas put up posters or force my opinion on anyone

AtomicHorror · 20-04-2018 08:40AM

Does AnneFrank have a history of posting pro-life or disingenuous fence-sitting? If not, I'm not too enamored by the responses to her so far.

amdublin · 20-04-2018 08:41AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

Strange that you find this debate humorous, and I have already mentioned I do not lobby, canvas put up posters or force my opinion on anyone

Would you consider looking at the In Her Shoes page on Facebook? It might help if you are undecided

ELM327 · 20-04-2018 08:42AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

Strange that you find this debate humorous, and I have already mentioned I do not lobby, canvas put up posters or force my opinion on anyone

I find the likes of the militant youtube video poster humorous as they are ridiculous.
I find you funny because you are in the same vein, professing initially to be "on the fence" but then you want to vote no to kill Irish women and force them to travel.

Anyway the TogetherForYes crowdfunding seems to have marked this in people's mind. I'd suggest reading the latest MRBI poll. Looks (thankfully) like you and your ilk who supported this amendment in 1983 are dying out.

Zubeneschamali · 20-04-2018 08:43AM

amdublin wrote: »

voting against it meant a no vote in 83 but means a YES to Repeal in 2018. Do I have that right?!

Exactly. Canvassers looked enthusiastic, anyhow.

AnneFrank · 20-04-2018 08:43AM

ELM327 wrote: »

I find the likes of the militant youtube video poster humorous as they are ridiculous.
I find you funny because you are in the same vein, professing initially to be "on the fence" but then you want to vote no to kill Irish women and force them to travel.

Anyway the TogetherForYes crowdfunding seems to have marked this in people's mind. I'd suggest reading the latest MRBI poll. Looks (thankfully) like you and your ilk who supported this amendment in 1983 are dying out.

Where exactly did I say I was on the fence ?
Me and my ilk ? Seriously

Triceratops Ballet · 20-04-2018 08:43AM

seachto7 wrote:

Why do you assume they will vote no

I don't assume, the poll says the largest percentage of no voters are over 65, so if you ask and they are a yes happy days if you ask and they are a no then explain

ELM327 · 20-04-2018 08:44AM

AtomicHorror wrote: »

Does AnneFrank have a history of posting pro-life or disingenuous fence-sitting? If not, I'm not too enamored by the responses to her so far.

Multiple spam posts just stating "Save the 8th".
Don't be fooled, she's another one like Mr KK, et al.

amdublin wrote: »

Would you consider looking at the In Her Shoes page on Facebook? It might help if you are undecided

+1
To all the genuine undecideds out there this is a great resource to read personal accounts of how the 8th really hurts our women/

AtomicHorror · 20-04-2018 08:45AM

AnneFrank wrote: »

I know many women who would be deeply offended by this post, having miscarried around that mark

They might, though I think the flippancy rather than the factual element would be the cause of the offence.

I've known women who have had similar experiences, but they're still pro-choice. Their reasoning being that their pain was about what the unborn meant to them, about the death of a wanted future, of a collection of ideas and dreams about what was coming, as much as a child. I don't think they feel their loss was the equivalent losing an newborn or infant. Most critically, they understand their experience to be subjective, and that how they feel about it won't necessarily be how someone else feels in the same scenario.

The 8th Amendment Part 2 - Mod Warning in OP

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