Severe Winter Weather, Snow/Ice - Sun 25th Feb (Onwards) READ MOD NOTE POST #1

cherryghost · 26-02-2018 09:52AM

jdcv94 wrote: »

Hey everyone, long long time lurker here (I remember following this forum by the second in 2012 looking to get a day off during my leaving cert year, oh sweet summer child). Thanks to MT and the usuals for the great entertainment and weather forecasting over the years.

I don't understand the big fuss about Friday ending the snow. Even a day forecast like Wednesday would be taken in a split second during the last few winters. Let's just enjoy the next couple of days while we can because it could be another 5 years before we see the likes of again!

Bitterly cold in Sandyford this morning, no sign of any snow on the M11 yet which I'm sure will require a snowmobile and/or dogs to commute on midweek!

24hrs from now we will see light snow showers
48hrs from now we will see heavy snow showers with acc Tues night into Weds, 5-10cm locally along coasts, could see more on higher grounds, 2-5 probably elsewhere.
72hrs from now, same situation as above
96hrs from now, lord knows, charts are still arguing but I think disruptable snow potential is very high.

Macy0161 · 26-02-2018 09:53AM

jdcv94 wrote: »

I don't understand the big fuss about Friday ending the snow. Even a day forecast like Wednesday would be taken in a split second during the last few winters. Let's just enjoy the next couple of days while we can because it could be another 5 years before we see the likes of again!

I think the fuss is the potential for either massive snow, and/or a quick thaw causing flooding (and I think the tides are high on Friday).

The Bishop Basher · 26-02-2018 09:55AM

dharma200 wrote: »

going by my friends on social media who seem a little surprised by my warnings of having water and blankets in the car etc etc. Hope proper warnings come out today or I am gonna look like a proper spoon.....

Unless your planning a spin up the Sally Gap in the middle of a blizzard, why would you need water and blankets in your car ?

Macy0161 wrote: »

The narrative has become that it wasn't dangerous at all on the east, but plenty of trees and branches down and roads blocked around Wicklow. We just don't know the "might have been" impact if everyone had just been going about their business. The way it has been talked down is quite dangerous imo, for the heeding of future warnings.

I disagree. I think it's the complete over hyping both online and in the media followed by the inevitable anticlimax that leads people to become complacent about these warnings..

Trees and branches down all over Wicklow is nothing new.. It happens on a regular basis. We were led to believe by many that Ophelia would be the storm of a lifetime. It wasn't.

That said, this thread has got me hooked back in again as it does appear like we may actually have a snow event in the east. Let's hope it lives up to expectations..

YanSno · 26-02-2018 09:56AM

Currently cloudy in glasnevin. might see a few flurries in the afternoon nothing too significant just yet. tomorrow afternoon onwards looks quite disruptive

Mullaghteelin · 26-02-2018 09:56AM

George Sunsnow wrote: »

She also said turning back to rain Friday from the south
Also said first showers in east tomorrow from a front will be rain

There is a pocket of less cold air just ahead Tuesdays front, 850hPa temps peak around -9C, but plummet again after it passes.
Some of the models have dew points nudge above zero in the Irish Sea during this time.
I suspect soft hail or wet snow will be the outcome at sea level.
Fridays event is still anyone's guess at this stage.

Surinam · 26-02-2018 09:57AM

Mullaghteelin wrote: »

There is a pocket of less cold air just ahead Tuesdays front, 850hPa temps peak around -9C, but plummet again after it passes.
Some of the models have dew points nudge above zero in the Irish Sea during this time.
I suspect soft hail or wet snow will be the outcome at sea level.
Fridays event is still anyone's guess at this stage.

Spot on!

Drumpot · 26-02-2018 09:58AM

I’ve been following thread since it started but am I right in the following layman interpretation of forecasts:

Tonight: Gets Colder, sprinkling of snow in east coast

Tomorrow: colder still but more prolonged snow showers

Wednesday: colder still and heavier snow showers, made worse from snow previous day

Thursday: sort of same as weds

Friday: potentially start of the thaw which could lead to flooding or if the cold front remains we will have “the day after tomorrow” kind of blizzards”?

Mullaghteelin · 26-02-2018 09:59AM

emo72 wrote: »

Lucan too. No frost on cars. Dry air I guess.

I noticed the soil starting to go hard in Balbriggan. Its an invisible frost but it's there.

sdanseo · 26-02-2018 10:03AM

Drumpot wrote: »

I’ve been following thread since it started but am I right in the following layman interpretation of forecasts:

Tonight: Gets Colder, sprinkling of snow in east coast

Tomorrow: colder still but more prolonged snow showers

Wednesday: colder still and heavier snow showers, made worse from snow previous day

Thursday: sort of same as weds

Friday: potentially start of the thaw which could lead to flooding or if the cold front remains we will have “the day after tomorrow” kind of blizzards”?

Pretty much spot on. And this guidance has been largely the same now for over 24hrs. The snow for Tuesday to Thursday is nailed. The position of low pressure towards the weekend will dictate whether we get a pile of slush or a blizzard of 1982 proportions. All to play for.

brookers · 26-02-2018 10:05AM

Swanner wrote: »

Unless your planning a spin up the Sally Gap in the middle of a blizzard, why would you need water and blankets in your car ?

I disagree. I think it's the complete over hyping both online and in the media followed by the inevitable anticlimax that leads people to become complacent about these warnings..

Trees and branches down all over Wicklow is nothing new.. It happens on a regular basis. We were led to believe by many that Ophelia would be the storm of a lifetime. It wasn't.

That said, this thread has got me hooked back in again as it does appear like we may actually have a snow event in the east. Let's hope it lives up to expectations..

People died in storm ophelia and many more would have if red warning not issued, roof blown off school....would that be considered over hype?

antodeco · 26-02-2018 10:08AM

Asked a couple of lads in work there about the snow and their face of confusion ways it all. They have no idea of any bad weather. It's actually scary how little people know about this stuff!

ectoraige · 26-02-2018 10:11AM

irelandspurs wrote: »

Live cams of the new spurs ground being built, it's snowing http://new-stadium.tottenhamhotspur.com/interact/

Try not to step in brown snow.

The Bishop Basher · 26-02-2018 10:13AM

brookers wrote: »

People died in storm ophelia and many more would have if red warning not issued, roof blown off school....would that be considered over hype?

People die in weather related events.. It happens with or without storms..

We had a roof blown off a block of apartments near us some years years ago..

There was no hype at the time..

You think think the hype is warranted.. I don't..

Let's just agree to disagree

George Sunsnow · 26-02-2018 10:13AM

A lot more cloud rolling in off the Irish Sea here in Arklow this morning
Biting breeze

Currently 2c with a dp of -4c

optogirl · 26-02-2018 10:14AM

a lot of dismissive, we've heard it all before talk in work today. I've told my manger I'm taking my laptop home and to expect a call for Wednesday on if not Tuesday as I am not confident of being able to commute. She agreed with me but I could see a few raised eyebrows around.

HONKEY TONK · 26-02-2018 10:14AM

Live Cam Abbey Road London

https://www.earthcam.com/world/england/london/abbeyroad/?cam=abbeyroad_uk

wakka12 · 26-02-2018 10:15AM

Swanner wrote: »

People die in weather related events.. It happens with or without storms..

We had a roof blown off a block of apartments near us some years years ago..

There was no hype at the time..

You think think the hype is warranted.. I don't..

Let's just agree to disagree

Of the extremely few people outside during the storm 3 died. If they hadn't issued an alert I can assure you more would have been killed, what if a tree had fallen in a playground while children were out playing after school?
Im sure you'd be out for blood if met eireann hadn't told the country anything and any incident like that occurred

brianblaze · 26-02-2018 10:15AM

Prediction:

In 9 months a baby boom, or in 5 days, a lot of divorces stating the reason for divorce as 'Wouldn't stop going on about some imaginary snowstorm!'

uck51js9zml2yt · 26-02-2018 10:17AM

no.8 wrote: »

-11C in Zurich this morning (no snow). The beast has arrived....long live the beast!

Hope it does not cause too much disruption in Ireland and elsewhere. Temperature is one thing, it's the quantity of snow forecast which i'd be more worried about. That and the wind.

Will we all have to get 666 tattooed on our foreheads after this?

kingshankly · 26-02-2018 10:17AM

antodeco wrote: »

Asked a couple of lads in work there about the snow and their face of confusion ways it all. They have no idea of any bad weather. It's actually scary how little people know about this stuff!

They Must lead a very sheltered lives then it’s on every weather forecast it’s actually reported in the main news reports
All over Facebook and Twitter
Either that or there taking the pis

Cantona's Collars · 26-02-2018 10:18AM

wakka12 wrote: »

Of the extremely few people outside during the storm 3 died. If they hadn't issued an alert I can assure you more would have been killed, what if a tree had fallen in a playground while children were out playing after school?
Im sure you'd be out for blood if met eireann hadn't told the country anything and any incident like that occurred

Well put, the Warnings were issued and people stayed inside. Unfortunately I had to drive along rural roads as the storm started to peak. It's not a fun thing to do as lumps of boughs and trees come down all over the roads. Thankfully the roads were pretty much deserted, I only met one other vehicle.

Dickerty · 26-02-2018 10:19AM

optogirl wrote: »

a lot of dismissive, we've heard it all before talk in work today. I've told my manger I'm taking my laptop home and to expect a call for Wednesday on if not Tuesday as I am not confident of being able to commute. She agreed with me but I could see a few raised eyebrows around.

Were you booking flights to Barbados while speaking to her? That might have been the kicker...

00benski · 26-02-2018 10:20AM

Living in bray and by the looks of the snow charts all the guys have posted in the technical thread, we won't be getting any snow, can anyone tell me if this is correct? Thank you in advance.

CeilingFly · 26-02-2018 10:21AM

Swanner wrote: »

People die in weather related events.. It happens with or without storms..

We had a roof blown off a block of apartments near us some years years ago..

There was no hype at the time..

You think think the hype is warranted.. I don't..

Let's just agree to disagree

I'll guess you live in or near Dublin and close to the coast. - Due to nature
and speed of that storm it was nigh on impossible to give absolute accuracy.

I'm in Kildare - it was crazy for about 3 hours - real crazy.

Cantona's Collars · 26-02-2018 10:21AM

After a clear night in Wexford the clouds are already building from the East.

iLikeWaffles · 26-02-2018 10:21AM

Mullaghteelin wrote: »

There is a pocket of less cold air just ahead Tuesdays front, 850hPa temps peak around -9C, but plummet again after it passes.
Some of the models have dew points nudge above zero in the Irish Sea during this time.
I suspect soft hail or wet snow will be the outcome at sea level.
Fridays event is still anyone's guess at this stage.

Well if we don't get dry rain it will be disappointing to say the least.

ZeroSum76 · 26-02-2018 10:27AM

00benski wrote: »

Living in bray and by the looks of the snow charts all the guys have posted in the technical thread, we won't be getting any snow, can anyone tell me if this is correct? Thank you in advance.

It's looking that way now. There will probably be precipitation but it could fall as sleet at sea leve due to higher air temps & dewpoint. I'm in Wicklow Town and share the same pessimism based on how things are trending. I hope that's wrong! We got absolutely lashed out of it in 2010 from streamers but there has been nothing since!

George Sunsnow · 26-02-2018 10:28AM

00benski wrote: »

Living in bray and by the looks of the snow charts all the guys have posted in the technical thread, we won't be getting any snow, can anyone tell me if this is correct? Thank you in advance.

There’s a hammering of snow into Dublin in shower form wenesday,the southern extent of which seems to be about shankill or Bray
Another expected south of Wicklow head and into the coast there down to wexford
Modeling of streamers is difficult,it really will be a case of radar watch,thunder is expected

dacogawa · 26-02-2018 10:28AM

First bit of the white stuff arriving on the east coast in the north now, think we should start seeing flurries around or just after lunch along the east coast.

micks_address · 26-02-2018 10:29AM

Swanner wrote: »

dharma200 wrote: »

going by my friends on social media who seem a little surprised by my warnings of having water and blankets in the car etc etc. Hope proper warnings come out today or I am gonna look like a proper spoon.....

Unless your planning a spin up the Sally Gap in the middle of a blizzard, why would you need water and blankets in your car ?

Macy0161 wrote: »

The narrative has become that it wasn't dangerous at all on the east, but plenty of trees and branches down and roads blocked around Wicklow. We just don't know the "might have been" impact if everyone had just been going about their business. The way it has been talked down is quite dangerous imo, for the heeding of future warnings.

I disagree. I think it's the complete over hyping both online and in the media followed by the inevitable anticlimax that leads people to become complacent about these warnings..

Trees and branches down all over Wicklow is nothing new.. It happens on a regular basis. We were led to believe by many that Ophelia would be the storm of a lifetime. It wasn't.

That said, this thread has got me hooked back in again as it does appear like we may actually have a snow event in the east. Let's hope it lives up to expectations..

I was wondering about the blanket in the car to but where's the harm? I've been stuck on a summers day for 2 hours sitting on the m50 wishing I had a snack or two in the car and a bottle of water.. if you are commuting and the worst of the weather comes and in all likelihood you'll know Wednesday morning before starting a journey then its probably worth throwing a few extra bits in the car.. also probably worth having a full tank of fuel in the car

Severe Winter Weather, Snow/Ice - Sun 25th Feb (Onwards) ** READ MOD NOTE POST #1 **

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Severe Winter Weather, Snow/Ice - Sun 25th Feb (Onwards) READ MOD NOTE POST #1