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Brexit discussion thread III

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  • Registered Users Posts: 11,504 ✭✭✭✭For Forks Sake


    Yes, moment number two coming up fast for Leo and Simon. The DUP are clearly marking their performances out as being the suspect ones.

    It's utterly hilarious how the DUP are pitifully trying to paint Varadkar and Coveney as some sort of up-the-ra republican freedom fighters


  • Registered Users Posts: 91 ✭✭Bar_Prop


    We nordies are told that although we voted to remain the UK as a whole voted to leave and so we must go along with that because that's democracy.
    So if the EU and the UK (as a whole) had agreed on these terms, what need was there to consult a minority interest group?

    That might not reflect my actual thoughts on the matter, but it seems like any UK/EU team spokesperson who was to take that line would be justified, no?


  • Registered Users Posts: 67,385 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    The DUP had as much right to see the document as any other party in Ireland and the UK.

    How many parties got to see it before it was agreed?

    And they say the Tory/DUP deal has not upset the balance of the GFA? :D:D


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,528 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Good evening!

    I'm not trying at all. I just read this in The Guardian and had the questions pop into my mind.

    The alternative is that she was told a fib by the British. That's also a very interesting possibility.

    Much thanks,
    solodeogloria

    It has been your angle on it since the whole thing broke.

    Yes maybe May has questions to answer but what about the Irish messing up the communications.

    Its clear that no matter what the Irish did the DUP was never going to agree to this and it lies totally at the feet of May to have made it sound like she could make a deal when she hadn't got it signed off by the cabinet.

    She is the PM. It is not the EU's or Irelands job to work out the internal working so the UK.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    Leroy42 wrote: »
    Kowtow, the you make it sound like sovereignty was taken from the UK by EU when it was exactly the same process as with Ireland. The difference is that our constitution requires the public to have a vote whereas UKs process is that the decision lies with the democratically elected government.

    SO UK voters had plenty of opportunities. If they felt they weren't listened to it seems they prefer to blame the EU rather than themselves

    I don't mean it to sound that way - I agree with you. I wasn't in the UK at the time but if I recall it was a manifesto commitment by Labour to hold a referendum on Lisbon, which was broken when the EU - I think partly in response to democratic unrest in various nations - managed to slice and dice Lisbon enough to allow it to slip past the hurdle set by Labour in their manifesto.

    I'm not suggesting that the EU set out to do this unilaterally, or even with the UK in mind, - it's simply a fact of life. Slice by slice sovereignty has been eroded during the UK membership of the EU and there has never - until now - been a referendum. It's interesting to speculate whether, had one been held in 2008 or earlier, the Brexit result might have been different (although I dare say a referendum on Brexit might not have been required at all).

    But it is simply not true to say that British Sovereignty has not been diminished in favour of the EU, because it has.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 27,564 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    This is a bit controversial. Arelene Foster is telling the media that the British negotiating team told her the Irish government didn't want her to see the text on the border deal. This from the Guardian.

    Now I don't think Arlene's the most trustworthy source at the best of times, but this feels like someone's telling porkies. If it were true that Irish government asked the British negotiating team to withhold the border terms then that would mean that the British government are taking orders from the Irish government. How likely is that exactly?

    “Once we saw the text, we knew it was not going to be acceptable,” she told RTE’s Northern Ireland correspondent Tommy Gorman.

    She told him the DUP had been asking for the text for five weeks.

    She also said she had a very open conversation with May after the DUP press conference in which she said they could sign not up to anything that would mean a border in the Irish sea.

    She told her “it could have been dealt with differently”.

    Foster said she had been told by British negotiators that the Irish government did not want her to see the text ahead of yesterday’s crunch meeting in Brussels.

    “We are told that the Irish government prevented it coming to us.

    Gorman asked: “Who told you that?”

    She replied: “The British negotiating team”


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,056 ✭✭✭Odhinn


    Blowfish wrote: »
    Well, ****. Now it begins. Sinn Féin are going to hold rallys and protests in support of 'special status' for NI in the Brexit deals.

    When have rallys and protests ever gone wrong up in NI, eh?

    In fairness I can't see 'Special Status For NI In Brexit' inspiring any wanna be petrol bombers or PSNI baton charges.


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    steddyeddy wrote: »
    This is a bit controversial. Arelene Foster is telling the media that the British negotiating team told her the Irish government didn't want her to see the text on the border deal. This from the Guardian.

    Now I don't thin Arlene's the most trustworthy source at the best of times, but this feels like someone's telling porkies. If it were true that Irish government asked the British negotiating team to withhold the border terms then that would mean that the British government are taking orders from the Irish government. How likely is that exactly?

    whether or not this is true, I can't help thinking that her biggest problem is that Leo was poised to announce this and would have received kudos for it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 67,385 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Enda (remember Enda? :)) sticking his oar in. I thought both Leo and Simon were remarkably reserved in their remarks. Mind you I see the usual media heads out (Olivia O'Leary etc) giving out about an Irish person having the temerity to mention they would like to see a UI.
    The last Irish prime minister before Leo Varadkar has advised that Ireland’s rhetoric regarding Brexit needs to be toned down.

    In a significant intervention on Tuesday evening, Enda Kenny warned about heated language in the delicate negotiations involving Dublin, London, Belfast and Brussels.

    Kenny, who was taoiseach at the time of the Brexit referendum, said:

    It is important that the work being undertaken by the foreign minister Simon Coveney and Taoiseach Leo Varadkar is focussed on having an agreement on what will have to be sensitive language in order to achieve the outcome what we want here.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,112 ✭✭✭Blowfish


    Odhinn wrote: »
    In fairness I can't see 'Special Status For NI In Brexit' inspiring any wanna be petrol bombers or PSNI baton charges.
    Depends, if it gets portrayed by the other side as 'trying to weaken the union', then who knows.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 27,564 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    Good evening!

    Apparently the Irish Government told the British Government not to share the text with the DUP before going forward.

    I realise that it comes from Foster, but if true that muddies the water somewhat. There are two questions:
    1) Why did the Irish Government want to keep this from the DUP? Surely they could have foreseen this scenario.
    2) Why did Theresa May & the British negotiating team accept that?

    Now of course it could be cobblers but these are interesting questions if it is true.

    Much thanks,
    solodeogloria

    Apologies S. I posted this before I seen your post on the subject.

    Right let's think logically shall we.

    You're effectively saying that the Irish government told the UK government to withhold it from their coalition partners and they agreed? This says more about Arlene's connection with reality than any events of the past few days.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,885 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Isn't it pretty clear that the objective of both Governments was to keep the DUP behind the velvet rope for as long as possible, then drag them over it and bounce them into it? Admirable in one way and bloody stupid in another.

    May shouldn't have been on the phone to Arlene right after this, she should have been on to Corbyn saying "listen, the point we are at now is that we are about to sign a deal that addresses most of your concerns, get me the votes to guide through all the brexit legislation and abstain on anything you dont like until March 19 and we'll bin the confidence and supply deal that holds us to ransom with the DUP"


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,135 ✭✭✭kowtow


    steddyeddy wrote: »
    This is a bit controversial. Arelene Foster is telling the media that the British negotiating team told her the Irish government didn't want her to see the text on the border deal. This from the Guardian.

    Now I don't thin Arlene's the most trustworthy source at the best of times, but this feels like someone's telling porkies. If it were true that Irish government asked the British negotiating team to withhold the border terms then that would mean that the British government are taking orders from the Irish government. How likely is that exactly?

    It is acknowledged that the first tweet from RTE was from an outdated version of the text, divergence vs alignment.

    It also, initially, missed the second part of the paragraph which qualified the rules as being only those which affected the GFA.

    And - of course - it begun with the spin "UK concedes...." which is natural, if premature.

    Am I the only one who thinks that having read only the first tweet, and the joyful re-tweeting of it, Arlene & Co might simply have gone off on one and appeared for an impromptu news conference? Without realizing that taken as a whole the text was exactly as it had been patiently described to them over recent weeks?

    If that is the case, then all that is really needed is a period of calm and it might explain why May & Foster are not meeting today. There is no negotiation to be done, but some time must pass so that she can save face.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,739 ✭✭✭solodeogloria


    steddyeddy wrote: »
    Apologies S. I posted this before I seen your post on the subject.

    Right let's think logically shall we.

    You're effectively saying that the Irish government told the UK government to withhold it from their coalition partners and they agreed? This says more about Arlene's connection with reality than any events of the past few days.

    Good evening!

    No. I'm not saying anything. That's why I used the phrase "if it is true" and "if true" in my post.

    It would be helpful if people stopped trying to read things that weren't said into my posts. It'd be nice to discuss the substance of the issues raised.

    Much thanks,
    solodeogloria


  • Registered Users Posts: 91 ✭✭Bar_Prop


    Watching Dodds on the UTV news now I cannot fail but conclude that the DUP intention is a hard border.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,056 ✭✭✭Odhinn


    Blowfish wrote: »
    Depends, if it gets portrayed by the other side as 'trying to weaken the union', then who knows.

    No, I'd say the real danger is a hard border. Armed men and checkpoints would be a potential time bomb.


  • Registered Users Posts: 27,564 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    Enda (remember Enda? :)) sticking his oar in. I thought both Leo and Simon were remarkably reserved in their remarks. Mind you I see the usual media heads out (Olivia O'Leary etc) giving out about an Irish person having the temerity to mention they would like to see a UI.

    Actually as an Irishman living in the UK I am delighted with the fortitude, intelligence and pragmatism with which the Irish negotiating team are representing us. Of all the belligerents of Brexit they are the only ones putting forward cogent arguments and fighting for the well being of their own citizens.


  • Registered Users Posts: 24,298 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    Bar_Prop wrote: »
    Neither of them have the least influence over the DUP, in fact, the reverse.

    The reverse?


  • Registered Users Posts: 27,564 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    Good evening!

    No. I'm not saying anything. That's why I used the phrase "if it is true" and "if true" in my post.

    It would be helpful if people stopped trying to read things that weren't said into my posts. It'd be nice to discuss the substance of the issues raised.

    Much thanks,
    solodeogloria

    Ha ha sorry. I thought you were being serious about it. No S, Arlene's not one to be taken seriously.


  • Registered Users Posts: 15,528 ✭✭✭✭Leroy42


    Good evening!

    No. I'm not saying anything. That's why I used the phrase "if it is true" and "if true" in my post.

    It would be helpful if people stopped trying to read things that weren't said into my posts. It'd be nice to discuss the substance of the issues raised.

    Much thanks,
    solodeogloria

    So you spent yesterday claiming that the Irish were at least partially to blame and then today you put up 'if it true' proof that the Irish were duplicitous during the affair.

    What is hidden between the lines there?


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  • Registered Users Posts: 27,564 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    Leroy42 wrote: »
    So you spent yesterday claiming that the Irish were at least partially to blame and then today you put up 'if it true' proof that the Irish were duplicitous during the affair.

    What is hidden between the lines there?

    A lack of understanding maybe?


  • Registered Users Posts: 24,298 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    Good evening!

    Apparently the Irish Government told the British Government not to share the text with the DUP before going forward.

    I realise that it comes from Foster, but if true that muddies the water somewhat. There are two questions:
    1) Why did the Irish Government want to keep this from the DUP? Surely they could have foreseen this scenario.
    2) Why did Theresa May & the British negotiating team accept that?

    Now of course it could be cobblers but these are interesting questions if it is true.

    Much thanks,
    solodeogloria

    Engaging even the most primitive of critical faculties would direct someone to conclude that that is utter bullcrap.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,162 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Leroy42 wrote: »
    So you spent yesterday claiming that the Irish were at least partially to blame and then today you put up 'if it true' proof that the Irish were duplicitous during the affair.

    What is hidden between the lines there?

    I wouldn't waste my time. The Uk govt are to blame here. It's clear to everyone how completely incompetent they are. As for foster she would blame Dublin for the rain up north if she felt she could get away with. It's the only policy they have which is why the northern economy is the joke it is.


  • Registered Users Posts: 91 ✭✭Bar_Prop


    lawred2 wrote: »
    The reverse?

    The DUP will almost by rote take a contrarian position to anything promoted by Dublin or Brussels.


  • Registered Users Posts: 27,340 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Itssoeasy wrote: »
    So Arlene foster is saying she wasn't shown the text of the brexit deal in advance of Teresa May talks with the EU. My question is on what basis should she or any of the DUP have been shown it ? She is not first minister of NI and her party are not in coalition with the Conservative party in Britain. They are in a supply and confidence agreement with them. Also they have the same right as any of the other parties in NI.

    Varadkar showed it to Martin, so we can hardly make a fuss about that.


  • Registered Users Posts: 67,385 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    I wouldn't waste my time. The Uk govt are to blame here. It's clear to everyone how completely incompetent they are. As for foster she would blame Dublin for the rain up north if she felt she could get away with. It's the only policy they have which is why the northern economy is the joke it is.

    If she is lying here I hope Leo or Simon put her firmly back in her box.

    Her rhetoric is highly dangerous.


  • Registered Users Posts: 24,298 ✭✭✭✭lawred2


    kowtow wrote: »
    I don't mean it to sound that way - I agree with you. I wasn't in the UK at the time but if I recall it was a manifesto commitment by Labour to hold a referendum on Lisbon, which was broken when the EU - I think partly in response to democratic unrest in various nations - managed to slice and dice Lisbon enough to allow it to slip past the hurdle set by Labour in their manifesto.

    I'm not suggesting that the EU set out to do this unilaterally, or even with the UK in mind, - it's simply a fact of life. Slice by slice sovereignty has been eroded during the UK membership of the EU and there has never - until now - been a referendum. It's interesting to speculate whether, had one been held in 2008 or earlier, the Brexit result might have been different (although I dare say a referendum on Brexit might not have been required at all).

    But it is simply not true to say that British Sovereignty has not been diminished in favour of the EU, because it has.

    Anything that was 'ceded' was done so willingly and via the sovereign democratic mechanisms as exist in Westminster.


  • Registered Users Posts: 27,340 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    BoatMad wrote: »
    My concern is that a new form of words will be agreed with the EU that will be a watered down version , the EU will go ahead with phase 2 , and ireland will come under pressure to agreed and we will be left with very little in reality

    Yup, I expect the same.

    A watered down version, limited to existing areas of North-South co-operation operating purely under the GFA, with the Northern Assembly having a veto or needing to approve any future co-oepration or EU Regulations, after all it is under the North-South co-operation, not the East-West one.

    Either that, or a further watered-down version that covers all of the UK.


  • Registered Users Posts: 27,564 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    blanch152 wrote: »
    Yup, I expect the same.

    A watered down version, limited to existing areas of North-South co-operation operating purely under the GFA, with the Northern Assembly having a veto or needing to approve any future co-oepration or EU Regulations, after all it is under the North-South co-operation, not the East-West one.

    Either that, or a further watered-down version that covers all of the UK.

    Does the border negatively affect any cross border co-operation? I don't think you have the first clue about the Good Friday agreement and the spirit of the agreement.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,739 ✭✭✭solodeogloria


    blanch152 wrote: »
    Yup, I expect the same.

    A watered down version, limited to existing areas of North-South co-operation operating purely under the GFA, with the Northern Assembly having a veto or needing to approve any future co-oepration or EU Regulations, after all it is under the North-South co-operation, not the East-West one.

    Either that, or a further watered-down version that covers all of the UK.

    Good evening!

    Another interesting thing emerged in the urgent questions in the Commons.

    Davis said that the regulatory alignment was intended to be for the whole of the UK. I suspect the UK used that wording so it didn't oblige it to be a member of the SM or CU but simply to mirror rules in particular sectors. This isn't ideal. I would have been keen on much more control but if it doesn't mean the UK joining the customs union and single market formally it could work as the UK could regain control of immigration and have scope for FTAs on a more limited basis.

    It's also interesting that the appetite amongst the EU27 is waning on taking away Euro derivatives clearing from London with a number of regulators saying they feel hosting central counterparties for OTC derivatives is too risky in their member states.

    Much thanks,
    solodeogloria


This discussion has been closed.
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