The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread IV

Division · 17-12-2016 07:07AM

mailburner wrote: »

west brom awful big at 5.75 at home to utd surely, seems like big value to me

took dc at 2.15 (Betw)
win at 5.75 and rondon anytime at 3.95 (betw/888)

Would betting the draw be better than the DC?

Division · 17-12-2016 07:11AM

Will throw up my both teams to score selections. Singles only.

Man City v Arsenal @ 1.53 Bet365
Schalke v Freiburg @ 1.8 Stan James
Granada v Real Sociedad @ 1.8 @ Bet365
Sevilla v Malaga @ 1.75 Bet365

I also like Tottenham to win to nil @ 1.92 Bet Victor.

Good Luck.

inforfun · 17-12-2016 08:46AM

inforfun wrote: »

All these guys that were banging them in against Oss, Achilles and a few other, were on the pitch last night.

Danger with Helmond could be that they won the 2nd period "trofee" which qualifies them for promotion play offs at the end of the season, last week. Might keep them a bit quiet tonight. Then again, everybody wants to win against Ajax.
For the right odds (and that 2,35 at Pinny i do consider "right"), i will go with Helmond.

Right....

Double
Helmond win (2.2 on 888)
Tom Boere (Oss) AGS ( 2.67 on 888)
@ 5.87

Rubbish.
Helmond lost
Boere was subbed in the 86th, Oss got a penalty in the 87th which he would have taken if on the pitch (scored 7 pens so far this season)

inforfun wrote: »

Hoffenheim not only undefeated at home but away as well.

DC @ 1.9
Sandro Wagner AGS @ 3.1
Normally would go for Kramaric there but it is Wagner who scores the goals lately

Both won.

Dio On The Doubles · 17-12-2016 10:50AM

Estoril v Benfica at 8.30 tonight

Benfica travel to play Estoril tonight and it is a great looking BTTS fixture (with a slight snag to it!)

The record between Benfica and Estoril on soccerway and flashscores goes back to 2013. In this time BTTS has landed every time that Estoril have been the hosts. In fact more than that, every time Estoril have played host Benfica win and BTTS has landed.

It worries me slightly that Hills are best price on BTTS as I respect their ability to price a market well. I am however going to take on the odds and here's why.

In my opinion the reason the odds are generous on BTTS is because Estoril are under a new coach who has only had three days with the team. They are also without main striker Kleber. Personally I think they will go all out to impress the new coach and although Kleber is the main striker soccerway shows he hasn't scored at all in the league this season.

Benfica are missing two left backs tonight. They are also missing winger Salvio and Jonas up front.

I believe the left back situation for Benfica along with the H2H will bring the BTTS in.

BTTS @2.5 on Hills

This is the last game before the winter break so Benfica will look to put the nail in that top spot after getting the victory over Sporting last day out. For that reason (and it's history in the H2H) I am also taking

Benfica win and BTTS @3.65 on 888 sport

Given the left back situation for Benfica I am also looking at the top two scorers for Estoril for anytime scorer if they start. They will be positioned to take advantage of the Benfica defensive situation on the left should they get the nod.

Gustavo Tocatins anytime @5.5 anytime (all books)

Matheus Indio @4.33 anytime (all books)

Oh yeah I also fancy West Brom DC against Utd @2.25 on bet365

Good luck with any bets

9de5q7tsr8u2im · 17-12-2016 11:04AM

Atletico -1.5
Psg
Wolfsburg +1
Man utd to win a half

Four fold main bet

inforfun · 17-12-2016 11:09AM

888 is not stupid.

Each and every week they have Karim El Ahmadi available for a card bet but not this week.
He is 1 card away from suspension and since he is off to the ACN next month and will miss 3 matches for Feyenoord, ther is a good chance he ll do a "Sergio Ramos/Real Madrid"

That said, 888 have over 2,5 cards @ 1.83 available for Feyenoord - Vitesse while Higler is the ref.
The same ref who got me my Twente card bet last week.

Burial. · 17-12-2016 11:16AM

Anyone want to aware me on why Accrington are slight favourites at home to Plymouth today?

mailburner · 17-12-2016 11:46AM

Division wrote: »

Would betting the draw be better than the DC?

not if the home side win
i've a small bet on the home win and a bigger bet on the dc, like the combined price on the double chance

mailburner · 17-12-2016 11:47AM

Burial. wrote: »

Anyone want to aware me on why Accrington are slight favourites at home to Plymouth today?

up till last week plymouth were manure for a few games though did seem
to bounce back away to doncaster last time, if they are back on song it sure does look a great price

spock. · 17-12-2016 12:21PM

Small on Zaha anytime @ 6/1

Dio On The Doubles · 17-12-2016 01:04PM

Very good write up here on the Sassuolo v Inter game from a punter with good returns. Might be one of those rare weekends when Inter are backable.

http://www.betrush.com/pick,Sassuolo___Inter,137180.html

Chuppa Siopa · 17-12-2016 01:31PM

Benfica O2.5 & BTTS
PSG
Athletico -1.5 AH
Newcastle -1 AH

Fourfold small at 14.35

eh i dunno · 17-12-2016 02:04PM

Over 2.5 in the 4 prem games 20/1

mailburner · 17-12-2016 02:58PM

Stoke 9/5

Small on joe Allen 16/5 feel it in my blood:pac:
On the overs at 20s also

mailburner · 17-12-2016 03:49PM

mailburner wrote: »

Stoke 9/5

Small on joe Allen 16/5 feel it in my blood:pac:
On the overs at 20s also

All is forgiven joe, you owed me :cool:

Dio On The Doubles · 17-12-2016 03:53PM

Well done Mail, I wonder will this be the start of a Christmas Wee Joe run now! Might have to give him a lash in the next game.

mailburner · 17-12-2016 03:57PM

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

Well done Mail, I wonder will this be the start of a Christmas Wee Joe run now! Might have to give him a lash in the next game.

Thanks dio
Hope so, he still owes me a bit
Really paying to back against leic away and swans, the 9/5 stoke looked big compared to the 11/10 boro, still regret not doing something on boro though

fuzzydunlop85 · 17-12-2016 04:28PM

West Ham doggin anyone else at the moment !?

Division · 17-12-2016 06:40PM

fuzzydunlop85 wrote: »

West Ham doggin anyone else at the moment !?

I was on West Ham today but will avoid them for a while. Hull should have gotten something from the game today. WH had some mad 3-4-2-1 formation that allowed Hull to boss the midfield and they looked like a decent mid table side even though they haven't scored in their last 5 away games.

fuzzydunlop85 · 17-12-2016 07:31PM

Division wrote: »

I was on West Ham today but will avoid them for a while. Hull should have gotten something from the game today. WH had some mad 3-4-2-1 formation that allowed Hull to boss the midfield and they looked like a decent mid table side even though they haven't scored in their last 5 away games.

Yeah I do the auld post on boards thing when a team is letting me down I usually find it brings me luck ! Had a special Chelsea Newcastle West Ham 5/1 and also have them in very speculative accum that is still going aswell, didn't see the game but seemed they were pretty lucky alright.

inforfun · 17-12-2016 08:09PM

inforfun wrote: »

888 is not stupid.

Each and every week they have Karim El Ahmadi available for a card bet but not this week.
He is 1 card away from suspension and since he is off to the ACN next month and will miss 3 matches for Feyenoord, ther is a good chance he ll do a "Sergio Ramos/Real Madrid"

That said, 888 have over 2,5 cards @ 1.83 available for Feyenoord - Vitesse while Higler is the ref.
The same ref who got me my Twente card bet last week.

Damn you 888

Over 2,5 cards won though.

Loafing Oaf · 17-12-2016 11:45PM

No. Selections Event Event Date E/W Terms Odds Result
1 Yes
Man City v Arsenal
(Both Teams to Score) 18/12/2016 None 8/15 To Run
2 Yes
Everton v Liverpool
(Both Teams to Score) 19/12/2016 None 4/6 To Run
3 Bournemouth
Bournemouth v Southampton
(Full Time Result) 18/12/2016 None 19/10 To Run
4 Tottenham to win to nil
Tottenham v Burnley
(To Win to Nil) 18/12/2016 None 10/11 To Run
5 Draw or Man Utd
West Brom v Man Utd
(Double Chance) 17/12/2016 None 1/6 Won

inforfun · 18-12-2016 09:20AM

Ajax - PSV
Both cant afford to lose and with a ref who averages just over 3 cards in his 15 matches this season:

Over 3,5 cards @ 2.16 888sport

For those without an 888 account, bet365 has over 3,5 Asian cards @ 1.95
Still odds i would consider worth it.

retalivity · 18-12-2016 10:57AM

Bournemouth ah 0.0 @2.3

Are decent at home and Southampton havent won away in their last 5

Also ags yankee
Wilson
Eriksen
De bruyne
Lukaku

magherakid · 18-12-2016 01:04PM

Bournemouth v Southampton BTTS 10/11

Dio On The Doubles · 18-12-2016 01:40PM

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

Estoril v Benfica at 8.30 tonight

Benfica travel to play Estoril tonight and it is a great looking BTTS fixture (with a slight snag to it!)

The record between Benfica and Estoril on soccerway and flashscores goes back to 2013. In this time BTTS has landed every time that Estoril have been the hosts. In fact more than that, every time Estoril have played host Benfica win and BTTS has landed.

It worries me slightly that Hills are best price on BTTS as I respect their ability to price a market well. I am however going to take on the odds and here's why.

In my opinion the reason the odds are generous on BTTS is because Estoril are under a new coach who has only had three days with the team. They are also without main striker Kleber. Personally I think they will go all out to impress the new coach and although Kleber is the main striker soccerway shows he hasn't scored at all in the league this season.

Benfica are missing two left backs tonight. They are also missing winger Salvio and Jonas up front.

I believe the left back situation for Benfica along with the H2H will bring the BTTS in.

BTTS @2.5 on Hills

This is the last game before the winter break so Benfica will look to put the nail in that top spot after getting the victory over Sporting last day out. For that reason (and it's history in the H2H) I am also taking

Benfica win and BTTS @3.65 on 888 sport

Given the left back situation for Benfica I am also looking at the top two scorers for Estoril for anytime scorer if they start. They will be positioned to take advantage of the Benfica defensive situation on the left should they get the nod.

Gustavo Tocatins anytime @5.5 anytime (all books)

Matheus Indio @4.33 anytime (all books)

Oh yeah I also fancy West Brom DC against Utd @2.25 on bet365

Good luck with any bets

Tripe, became painfully obvious early on that the instructions were to sit back and hold out for a draw. They didn't even take a shot at the Benfica goal till around 70 minutes in after going behind on the hour mark.

Dio On The Doubles wrote: »

Very good write up here on the Sassuolo v Inter game from a punter with good returns. Might be one of those rare weekends when Inter are backable.

http://www.betrush.com/pick,Sassuolo___Inter,137180.html

This guy did the business anyway 0-1 win to Inter. Will keep an eye for more of his posts

Dio On The Doubles · 18-12-2016 01:57PM

I've already made a move on the Chelsea v Bournemouth game taking place tomorrow week.

Costa picked up a card yesterday so he's suspended for this upcoming fixture. In general Bournemouth have been very overish away from home this season and Chelsea games have been very overish while at home so under normal circumstance unders wouldn't be a runner. Chelsea's last three games though have all been 1-0 to Chelsea and Costa has been responsible for two of those three goals.

This is also the start of the busy Christmas run and squad rotation is likely. Teams will also be less likely to go gung ho in a bid to conserve themselves for the busy run.

Odds on under 2.5 goals were best priced @2.5 on Powers yesterday. This morning that was down to @2.1 on powers. odds on under 1.5 goals are also coming in, it was best priced @5.00 yesterday.

I'm trying out under 2.5 goals @2.25 on betfair sportsbook (@2.38 still available on Marathon if outside of Ireland)

Also under 1.5 goals @4.5 on betfair sportsbook.

fuzzydunlop85 · 18-12-2016 05:57PM

fuzzydunlop85 wrote: »

West Ham / Chelsea / Newcastle / Juve / Spurs SW under 3.5 in Man united , Bournemouth , Sunderland games , BTTS in Man City and Liverpool games @ 40/1 is my ridiculously optimistic acca for the weekend.

Well that sucks balls would have had a lovely option to lay off for tomorrow night!

9de5q7tsr8u2im · 18-12-2016 06:26PM

Monaco v lyon draw
Barcelona -1.5
Lazio v fiorentina over 10.5

6.15 Betfair Acca Edge Last throw of the dice

mailburner · 18-12-2016 07:39PM

Player Vs Team WDW L Messi Vs Espanyol
18-12-2016 19:45
Player Vs Team WDW
L Messi @ evens
pp

dung, and messi gets the last goal to rub it in

The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread IV

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