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Brexit: The Last Stand (No name calling)

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,964 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Iwasfrozen wrote: »
    Too much risk in that. It's far easier to slam the veto break as soon as we get a wiff of something bad for Ireland.

    It is always there, but tbh you are either in or out. Another thing the UK should have learned. And it will probably suffer for that policy as a result. Their worries and cries for special treatment/deals will fall on deaf ears.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,565 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    Iwasfrozen wrote: »
    Are you going to answer my question or keep dodging?

    Your question implies that Germany is in the driving seat. Every country is in the driving seat.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,250 ✭✭✭✭Iwasfrozen


    It is always there, but tbh you are either in or out. Another thing the UK should have learned. And it will probably suffer for that policy as a result. Their worries and cries for special treatment/deals will fall on deaf ears.

    We can be in while still slamming the veto break if we even get a wiff of anything disadvantageous to ourselves. It's not a zero sum game.

    Also the British government did know this, it was the idiot Joe Bloggs on the street who didn't.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,250 ✭✭✭✭Iwasfrozen


    steddyeddy wrote: »
    Your question implies that Germany is in the driving seat. Every country is in the driving seat.
    If that were true Germany wouldn't be in the driving seat.


  • Posts: 14,242 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Iwasfrozen wrote: »
    We can be in while still slamming the veto break if we even get a wiff of anything disadvantageous to ourselves. It's not a zero sum game.
    Ironically enough, Ireland has no powers to veto a straightforward hard Brexit, we can only veto a very favourable, complex Brexit agreement.

    Our effective veto is not of much use in that case.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,182 ✭✭✭demfad


    The EU must learn lessons from Brexit, Trumpism etc.

    These are very poor and dangerous solutions to symtoms.

    There is a theory that social democracy was just a western concession to ward off communism. What we are seeing now is the people with money (coorporations, Big Finance) attacking minimum wages etc. with no threat.

    Post Brexit Britain or the US of Trump wont fix this. But these are big warnings that the EU must head. Capitalism and big Finance must go hand in hand with some kind of social democracy including an emphasis on good education. Otherwise you will have populism, unrest and disaster.


  • Posts: 1,654 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Ironically enough, Ireland has no powers to veto a straightforward hard Brexit, we can only veto a very favourable, complex Brexit agreement.
    .


    Very true.

    In fact the likely outcome is that other countries will use their vetos to block any special treatment for the Island of Ireland, not because there isn't good will towards Ireland but because they'll want their own special situations taken care of as well (eg Spain for Gibralter and Cyprus for the British territories, and many other situations), and then the negotiations get so complex that nothing gets agreed in the time available.

    Not excluding that Germany and France would demand their pounds of flesh re taxation as well.

    The most likely outcome is Brexit with no special conditions (hard brexit) meaning an external EU border that we would be obliged to maintain...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,250 ✭✭✭✭Iwasfrozen


    demfad wrote: »
    The EU must learn lessons from Brexit, Trumpism etc.

    These are very poor and dangerous solutions to symtoms.

    There is a theory that social democracy was just a western concession to ward off communism. What we are seeing now is the people with money (coorporations, Big Finance) attacking minimum wages etc. with no threat.

    Post Brexit Britain or the US of Trump wont fix this. But these are big warnings that the EU must head. Capitalism and big Finance must go hand in hand with some kind of social democracy including an emphasis on good education. Otherwise you will have populism, unrest and disaster.
    Every country in western Europe is already a social democracy.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 13,404 ✭✭✭✭sKeith


    jmayo wrote: »
    So really we just imagined all those dictats by frau merkel.

    I must have imagined how we are now meant to be taking 4,000 refugees she invited into Europe without consultation with her fellow member states.

    Merkel invited the refugees into Germany, not into Europe. Why should she need to consult any other member states about inviting people into Germany!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,644 ✭✭✭✭Zubeneschamali


    Ironically enough, Ireland has no powers to veto a straightforward hard Brexit, we can only veto a very favourable, complex Brexit agreement.

    That is what people keep telling you: no one country can veto a hard Brexit. Any one country can torpedo a soft Brexit.

    This makes a soft Brexit much harder to achieve.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,964 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Iwasfrozen wrote: »
    We can be in while still slamming the veto break if we even get a wiff of anything disadvantageous to ourselves. It's not a zero sum game.

    Also the British government did know this, it was the idiot Joe Bloggs on the street who didn't.

    You have to accept in any union that things will sometimes go against your interests.
    Did the UK wholeheartedly enter the union with a desire to see it working?
    TBH I don't think they did, they opt out of just too much and that will work against them now.
    Lessons are about to be learned.


  • Posts: 14,242 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    That is what people keep telling you: no one country can veto a hard Brexit. Any one country can torpedo a soft Brexit.

    This makes a soft Brexit much harder to achieve.
    People keep telling me?

    What makes you think I ever had any opinion in the alternative?

    Of course a hard Brexit is easier to achieve than a soft Brexit, in the same way as a simple agreement is easier to achieve than a complex one. On whose planet is that remotely contentious?

    Perhaps you're getting confused with the fact that I expect a complex agreement will be reached, even though it will be more difficult, and will require more concessions on both sides. The reason I think this way, on balance, is because of the political and financial costs of a hard Brexit, including (but not limited to) concerns over the Northern Ireland peace process.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 26,567 ✭✭✭✭Fratton Fred


    You have to accept in any union that things will sometimes go against your interests.
    Did the UK wholeheartedly enter the union with a desire to see it working?
    TBH I don't think they did, they opt out of just too much and that will work against them now.
    Lessons are about to be learned.

    You and your bloody lessons.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,964 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    You and your bloody lessons.

    You think countries/nations don't learn them? The Brits are past masters at handing out lessons on their own and as 'special friend'. :)


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,227 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    Like any union the EU has it's problems. As said, it was always heading towards closer union. But until now it has been a beneficial union for Ireland.
    We are not properly collecting CT anyway, so maybe we should fix that first locally before getting in a strop about EU directives on it.

    Some people would doubt how beneficial it was when the EU demanded we pay unsecured bond holders, but that is another big argument.

    Yeah how dare us get in a strop about being lectured how to collect taxes for all of Europe.
    And if you read the text that is exactly what the competition commissioner said.
    Contrary to some with a particular political leaning all those billions are not really ours, but in fact destined to the states in which the revenue was earned.
    wtf is airstrip one?

    so all countries in the eu should be treated equal, but some more equal than others?

    Yep some are more equal than others.

    Thankfully some like the Hungarians do have a pair of balls.
    No surprise seeing how they stood up to the Russians.
    steddyeddy wrote: »
    Your question implies that Germany is in the driving seat. Every country is in the driving seat.

    And there goes a pig at 1000 feet.
    ...

    The most likely outcome is Brexit with no special conditions (hard brexit) meaning an external EU border that we would be obliged to maintain...

    In which the case the EU is no longer beneficial to Ireland so then where do our all Europhiles see us going ?
    sKeith wrote: »
    Merkel invited the refugees into Germany, not into Europe. Why should she need to consult any other member states about inviting people into Germany!

    Ehh no she broke the Dublin regulations or agreement on how the EU deals with refugees and then she started lecturing other sovereign nations on how they should deal with refugees entering their territory on their way to Germany.

    And then somehow in contravention to how we are all meant to be drivers of this wonderful all inclusive EU vehicle she got the EU to start forcing other states to take in her overflow.

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,565 ✭✭✭✭steddyeddy


    Iwasfrozen wrote: »
    If that were true Germany wouldn't be in the driving seat.

    Germany is in the driving seat because Germany is in the driving seat.......

    It would hurt me to continue this conversation with you.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,301 ✭✭✭Snickers Man


    jmayo wrote: »
    But the ever increasing globalisation and movement of people and resources that the likes of the EU laud and proffer isn't all it is cracked up to be for a lot of normal people.


    Look at the labels here being slammed on people who voted for Brexit or those who claim they will vote for Trump.

    There are huge divisions opening up and one side looking down it's nose at the other will only cause the fissures to go deeper.

    Is it the "European Project" that is driving globalisation and freer movement of people or is it business and technology? Is the fact that you can browse for a cut price phone on Alibaba and have it sent across from the other side of the world anything to do with the working time directive and the minimum wage or is it simply a matter of business people exploiting available technologies and marketing channels?

    Globalisation is primarily technology-induced change. Some of us remember a time when there were no mobile phones, no texting, no video on demand, no internet, no cable TV, no personal computers, even. A time when the thought of a young person "Flying" to Britain or the continent was the height of luxury. Get the boat and train! That's what young people do.

    Technology has cut the price of flying and opened up foreign destinations to the less well off. OK so deregulation has had its effect but only to enable what was already technically feasible.

    Whether or not there is a thriving EU, globalisation is here to stay.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,740 ✭✭✭the evasion_kid


    Is it the "European Project" that is driving globalisation and freer movement of people or is it business and technology? Is the fact that you can browse for a cut price phone on Alibaba and have it sent across from the other side of the world anything to do with the working time directive and the minimum wage or is it simply a matter of business people exploiting available technologies and marketing channels?

    Globalisation is primarily technology-induced change. Some of us remember a time when there were no mobile phones, no texting, no video on demand, no internet, no cable TV, no personal computers, even. A time when the thought of a young person "Flying" to Britain or the continent was the height of luxury. Get the boat and train! That's what young people do.

    Technology has cut the price of flying and opened up foreign destinations to the less well off. OK so deregulation has had its effect but only to enable what was already technically feasible.

    Whether or not there is a thriving EU, globalisation is here to stay.

    You'll be hit with a nice customs and vat charge on that same nice cut price phone thanks to the EU!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,227 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    Is it the "European Project" that is driving globalisation and freer movement of people or is it business and technology? Is the fact that you can browse for a cut price phone on Alibaba and have it sent across from the other side of the world anything to do with the working time directive and the minimum wage or is it simply a matter of business people exploiting available technologies and marketing channels?

    The EU or EEC opened up free trade within Europe.
    It facilitated the free movement of people and capital.
    Then World trade agreements, the collapse of the communist soviet union and all it's satellites and the opening of China has had massive influence on global trade.
    Globalisation is primarily technology-induced change. Some of us remember a time when there were no mobile phones, no texting, no video on demand, no internet, no cable TV, no personal computers, even.

    Thanks for reminding of the days when you didn't get updates about your friend's and neighbour's holidays, weekends away and where they had their latest coffee. :rolleyes:
    (expecting more minus points :D)
    A time when the thought of a young person "Flying" to Britain or the continent was the height of luxury. Get the boat and train! That's what young people do.

    Technology has cut the price of flying and opened up foreign destinations to the less well off. OK so deregulation has had its effect but only to enable what was already technically feasible.

    Actually deregulation had a huge massive impact.
    Oh and the bette noir of the leftie unions and old established airlines, one Mr O'Leary, has had huge affect on our ability to move throughout Europe cheaply.

    Aircraft were well capable of flying between Ireland and Europe in the 70s and 80s, but our home grown monopoly Aer Lingus and some other national carriers made it unreachable for most normal people.

    The technology drive of late has been to make aircraft more fuel efficient in order to counteract environmental impact and cost of fuel.
    Whether or not there is a thriving EU, globalisation is here to stay.

    Yes globalisation is here to stay, but a lot of people are been left behind.

    It is all well and good if you work for a high tech company, have a sought after skillset, but not so good if you are a normal grunt who just does manufacturing work.
    Globalisation benefits the most the ones who have the money.
    Apple shareholders can watch their shares rise astronomically, not alone because they can site their company in a tax friendly jurisdiction like Ireland, but because they can use very cheap labour in places like China.

    Yep you can get a fancy enough phone out of it, but are you seriously telling me the €700 phone cost anything like €700 to manufacture.
    And even if you factor it in software develop costs and design costs I would bet there is still a huge profit margin.

    A lot of people in the Western world are finally copping on to fact that globalisation means the gulf between rich and poor is growing ever steadily.
    It is one of the factors behind Trumps whole success.

    And please do not resort to that tired cliche of upskilling or going for further education.
    Everyone is not suited and capable enough not more than every footballer is capable of playing for Barcelona.

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,250 ✭✭✭✭Iwasfrozen


    You have to accept in any union that things will sometimes go against your interests.
    Did the UK wholeheartedly enter the union with a desire to see it working?
    TBH I don't think they did, they opt out of just too much and that will work against them now.
    Lessons are about to be learned.
    We don't have to accept it if we can help it. That includes any issue we can veto.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,964 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    Iwasfrozen wrote: »
    We don't have to accept it if we can help it. That includes any issue we can veto.

    You don't go into a union thinking it is all about you. Yes, yo might occasionally use a veto but the UK opted out of so much as a big player it hurt the success of the union.
    I think we can now see it was the English influence that caused that. Indeed, English arrogance will probably bring down that other union, the UK itself.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 26,567 ✭✭✭✭Fratton Fred


    You don't go into a union thinking it is all about you. Yes, yo might occasionally use a veto but the UK opted out of so much as a big player it hurt the success of the union.

    examples please.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,250 ✭✭✭✭Iwasfrozen


    You don't go into a union thinking it is all about you. Yes, yo might occasionally use a veto but the UK opted out of so much as a big player it hurt the success of the union.
    I think we can now see it was the English influence that caused that. Indeed, English arrogance will probably bring down that other union, the UK itself.

    You don't go into a Union and concede your national self interest. Ireland has benefited from the EU but as soon as they try to change something we benefit from we should do anything in our power, including using our veto, to shut it down.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,129 ✭✭✭R P McMurphy


    jmayo wrote: »
    Some people would doubt how beneficial it was when the EU demanded we pay unsecured bond holders, but that is another big argument.

    Yeah how dare us get in a strop about being lectured how to collect taxes for all of Europe.
    And if you read the text that is exactly what the competition commissioner said.
    Contrary to some with a particular political leaning all those billions are not really ours, but in fact destined to the states in which the revenue was earned.



    Yep some are more equal than others.

    Thankfully some like the Hungarians do have a pair of balls.
    No surprise seeing how they stood up to the Russians.



    And there goes a pig at 1000 feet.



    In which the case the EU is no longer beneficial to Ireland so then where do our all Europhiles see us going ?



    Ehh no she broke the Dublin regulations or agreement on how the EU deals with refugees and then she started lecturing other sovereign nations on how they should deal with refugees entering their territory on their way to Germany.

    And then somehow in contravention to how we are all meant to be drivers of this wonderful all inclusive EU vehicle she got the EU to start forcing other states to take in her overflow.

    The largest factor in that mess was the Irish government's decision to unilaterally offer a guarantee that covered the Irish banks. That was without indicating they would do so to their European partners. Blaming the big bad EU was an attempt by FF and the greens to mitigate their role in it. Once the guarantee was in place it was always going to be incredibly difficult to get around paying bondholders. The Irish government took a gamble and lost, they blew their hand early on.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 75,964 ✭✭✭✭FrancieBrady


    examples please.

    They have all been mentioned before, many times. Schengen, Monetary union, human rights, Justice and Home Affairs etc. And a less than wholehearted Remain campaign.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 2,260 ✭✭✭Nate--IRL--


    The largest factor in that mess was the Irish government's decision to unilaterally offer a guarantee that covered the Irish banks. That was without indicating they would do so to their European partners. Blaming the big bad EU was an attempt by FF and the greens to mitigate their role in it. Once the guarantee was in place it was always going to be incredibly difficult to get around paying bondholders. The Irish government took a gamble and lost, they blew their hand early on.

    Blame for that whole mess lies firmly at FFs door. They bet the country to protect vested interests. They had the chance to let the stakeholders of the banks truly understand what capitalism is and chose not to. Instead they guaranteed, with public money, that they'd not lose their stake in their now worthless investments.

    It was only after all was said and done FF squeaked that the big boys (EU) made them do it. Bull****. They tried to pull a fast one and it blew up in the country's face. That should never ever be forgotten about Fianna Fial.

    Nate


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 95,816 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    wtf is airstrip one?

    so all countries in the eu should be treated equal, but some more equal than others?
    In George Orwell's distopian novel 1984 the world is split into three factions constantly at war.

    Eastasia is Greater China and it's neighbours, all the countries called Dragons. These are the economic powerhouses today. The ones that can call the shots in post Brexit negotiations.

    Eurasia is Europe and Russia. An enlarged EU if you like.

    Oceania is the English speaking countries, including UK colonies in Africa and America north and south. USA is of course predominant.


    Airstrip one is the name for England. It's marginalised with no real control over it's destiny. At odds with the continent.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 16,250 ✭✭✭✭Iwasfrozen


    In George Orwell's distopian novel 1984 the world is split into three factions constantly at war.

    Eastasia is Greater China and it's neighbours, all the countries called Dragons. These are the economic powerhouses today. The ones that can call the shots in post Brexit negotiations.

    Eurasia is Europe and Russia. An enlarged EU if you like.

    Oceania is the English speaking countries, including UK colonies in Africa and America north and south. USA is of course predominant.


    Airstrip one is the name for England. It's marginalised with no real control over it's destiny. At odds with the continent.

    Actually no area of Oceania is predominant. This is intentional to avoid a feeling of colonialism.

    And although it doesn't say so in the book you can assume Ireland is called Airstrip Two. :p


  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 95,816 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    This is what Brexit leads to. And is as well thought out as Brexit.

    http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-37904703
    A decision to space out the distinctive triangular chocolate chunks in two Toblerone bars sold in the UK has upset fans who say that they do mind the gap.

    The product's makers, US-based Mondelez International, said it had changed the design to reduce the weight of what were 400g and 170g bars.

    Some consumers have described the move as "the wrong decision" and said the bigger spaces looked "stupid".

    Mondelez said the move was down to a rise in the cost of ingredients.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 68,173 ✭✭✭✭seamus


    jmayo wrote: »
    It may be jingoism to you, but to some of us it is looking after our own interests.
    Potaytoes, potahtoes.

    Nationalism is for idiots and bigots. It's nearly as dumb as religion and just as divisive and damaging.


This discussion has been closed.
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