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The Daily bets, Banter & Accumulators thread IV

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  • Registered Users Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    I do it myself. Basic excel skills and some maths are necessary if you want to be able to price up markets.


  • Registered Users Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Little accum for the weekend with an expected strike rate of 26%. EV is a bit larger than you would expect as I disagree with the bookies ratings by a large margin on the over/under market in Bournemouth v Sunderland.

    Burnley Double Chance
    Stoke Double Chance
    Bournemouth v Sunderland - Under 3.5 Goals
    Swansea v Man Utd - Under 3.5 Goals

    5/1 Boylesports


  • Registered Users Posts: 17,191 ✭✭✭✭Shanotheslayer


    Burnley Clean Sheet Yes. 3.5

    Middlesbrough Over 3.5 Corners 2.1

    City CS NO 1.9

    West Ham CS YES 3.00

    All 1pt. All singles.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,107 ✭✭✭✭retalivity


    I like that burnley cs price, will take that.
    Also Stoke +0.5gls ah @1.975

    And a championship/fa cup anytime gs lucky 15
    Mitrovic @2.2
    Kodija @2.5
    G murray @2.87
    J morris @3.1


  • Registered Users Posts: 862 ✭✭✭unplayable


    Yeah was definitely under 3.5 and southampton win, to be honest it's a bet I've never done before but worked out alright !

    They've been on fire this week, find them very good on the euro football - off the top of my head this week they tipped :

    Southampton win and under 3.5
    Shaktar SW
    Leicster - draw
    Juventus Under 2.5
    Bayer Lev + 1
    Fenerbache SW
    Dortmund HT/FT
    Monaco SW
    Sevilla to nil
    Porto to nil
    Barca /City Btts and over 2.5
    Arsenal btts and over 2.5


    Any RP tips for the PL..


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,270 ✭✭✭clairewithani


    It's down to 2 in our local Last Man Standing. I have Chelsea, Utd, Leicester, Southampton (among others). Anyone care to throw out an opinion in who to pick?


  • Registered Users Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    It's down to 2 in our local Last Man Standing. I have Chelsea, Utd, Leicester, Southampton (among others). Anyone care to throw out an opinion in who to pick?

    Tough week, could be a few upsets.

    Would avoid Leicester as they are without their first choice goalkeeper, have to see how they handle that.

    Hull didn't allow a shot on target last time out but they are the weakest opponent of your options.

    Everton can spring a surprise but Chelsea are so good at home this season.

    Utd are unreliable so would leave them for another week and wait for them to play at home.

    Good luck.


  • Registered Users Posts: 806 ✭✭✭bigboss1986


    Korona Kielce lost 6 games in a row.Very unusual for Polish Ekstraklasa
    Korona DC @ 2.05 medium stake,SW @ 5.25 small

    Also on SW Sunderland @ 5.75 medium

    Small double @ 4.70 :
    Korona DC
    Sunderland DC


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,270 ✭✭✭clairewithani


    Southampton and United I had picked already in my own head so went with Southampton. Utd have lost me the last 2 Last Man Standings. Thanks for reply Division. Fingers crossed.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,107 ✭✭✭✭retalivity


    Korona Kielce lost 6 games in a row.Very unusual for Polish Ekstraklasa
    Korona DC @ 2.05 medium stake,SW @ 5.25 small

    Also on SW Sunderland @ 5.75 medium

    Small double @ 4.70 :
    Korona DC
    Sunderland DC

    Las, youre signed into the wrong account!


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,848 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Burnley overpriced at home to palace
    Took 5/2
    Small on vokes anytime 12/5


  • Registered Users Posts: 806 ✭✭✭bigboss1986


    mailburner wrote: »
    Burnley overpriced at home to palace
    Took 5/2
    Small on vokes anytime 12/5

    2min ;)


  • Registered Users Posts: 90 ✭✭JamesFitz


    Fantastic shout mailburner


  • Registered Users Posts: 806 ✭✭✭bigboss1986


    Korona Kielce lost 6 games in a row.Very unusual for Polish Ekstraklasa
    Korona DC @ 2.05 medium stake,SW @ 5.25 small

    Also on SW Sunderland @ 5.75 medium

    Small double @ 4.70 :
    Korona DC
    Sunderland DC

    Korona won 3-1 :D:D Profit.Waiting for Sunderland now.Red card and goal disallowed :mad:


  • Registered Users Posts: 501 ✭✭✭Division


    Division wrote: »
    Little accum for the weekend with an expected strike rate of 26%. EV is a bit larger than you would expect as I disagree with the bookies ratings by a large margin on the over/under market in Bournemouth v Sunderland.

    Burnley Double Chance
    Stoke Double Chance
    Bournemouth v Sunderland - Under 3.5 Goals
    Swansea v Man Utd - Under 3.5 Goals

    5/1 Boylesports

    Doesn't get much closer than that. Almost home and hosed.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,848 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Had no internet access from 4-5
    Kinda relieved

    Brighton 29/20
    Glen murray anytime 21/10

    City not been great lately, price on murray looks fair to me


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,848 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    Had no internet access from 4-5
    Kinda relieved

    Brighton 29/20
    Glen murray anytime 21/10 365

    City not been great lately, price on murray looks fair to me


  • Registered Users Posts: 806 ✭✭✭bigboss1986


    Korona Kielce lost 6 games in a row.Very unusual for Polish Ekstraklasa
    Korona DC @ 2.05 medium stake,SW @ 5.25 small

    Also on SW Sunderland @ 5.75 medium

    Small double @ 4.70 :
    Korona DC
    Sunderland DC
    Booom.Big profit today!!!


  • Registered Users Posts: 16,123 ✭✭✭✭Loafing Oaf


    On Swansea/United HT/FT @22/1...


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,772 ✭✭✭byronbay2


    Anyone waiting for Everton to score (5-0 down, 15 mins left) to bring up "every team to score in today's 5 PL games"? I'm not, but some people on this forum seem to like those kinds of bets.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 23,848 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    Brighton 29/20
    Glen murray anytime 21/10 365

    City not been great lately, price on murray looks fair to me

    easy for brighton, blank for murray


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,023 ✭✭✭Canonfan


    byronbay2 wrote: »
    Anyone waiting for Everton to score (5-0 down, 15 mins left) to bring up "every team to score in today's 5 PL games"? I'm not, but some people on this forum seem to like those kinds of bets.

    I didn't see this bet thankfully, did the 3pm EPL BTTS @14/1


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,107 ✭✭✭✭retalivity


    retalivity wrote: »
    I like that burnley cs price, will take that.
    Also Stoke +0.5gls ah @1.975

    And a championship/fa cup anytime gs lucky 15
    Mitrovic @2.2
    Kodija @2.5
    G murray @2.87
    J morris @3.1

    stoke bet won, kodijja scored......aaaaaand thats it.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,610 ✭✭✭shocksy


    Liverpool enhanced from 1/4 to Evens (Max Stake €20) when you place the bet in the Paddy Power Messenger App.

    Just text your Stake and ENHANCED LIVERPOOL.

    Edit. New users only.


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,293 ✭✭✭Dio On The Doubles


    Posted in wrong thread last time

    Going for BTTS @1.88 on Betfair Exchange in Swansea v Man United

    United have failed to win any game after the Europa league this year. They conceded three against Watford post Europa, one against Stoke and four against Chelsea. BTTS landed in the Watford and Stoke games but not the Chelsea one.

    BTTS has landed 8/10 recent head to head between the two and 8/10 of Swansea's recent matches

    No Herrera, Bailly, Smalling or Valencia for United today - Herrera and Bailly out are the biggest help to the Swans getting on the scoresheet. Pogba is also out but he wasn't being used right anyway.

    As bad as United are at scoring lately, Swansea are also a complete mess so I think United should net one. Two calamities finding the net against each other today hopefully.

    Best of luck with any bets lads.


  • Registered Users Posts: 39,533 ✭✭✭✭KevIRL


    shocksy wrote: »
    Liverpool enhanced from 1/4 to Evens (Max Stake €20) when you place the bet in the Paddy Power Messenger App.

    Just text your Stake and ENHANCED LIVERPOOL.

    Only for new users of the Messenger App unfortunately :(


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,848 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    really fancy arsenal to do a job on spurs, cards will surely come if this happens

    arsenal 1.92 main bet
    danny rose to be carded at 11/5 (888) booked in last 4 in league, most go evens or less on this bar coral (7/4)

    small on
    sanchez wincast 7/2 hills
    ozil wincast 6.75 888
    vertonghen to be carded 5/2 888


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,848 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    nice 7/5
    plea anytime 9/4 888 (no way am I backing balo)

    top away to 18th placed caen, look like good odds to me


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,848 ✭✭✭✭mailburner


    mailburner wrote: »
    really fancy arsenal to do a job on spurs, cards will surely come if this happens

    arsenal 1.92 main bet
    danny rose to be carded at 11/5 (888) booked in last 4 in league, most go evens or less on this bar coral (7/4)

    small on
    sanchez wincast 7/2 hills
    ozil wincast 6.75 888
    vertonghen to be carded 5/2 888

    ouch! :(


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  • Registered Users Posts: 6,293 ✭✭✭Dio On The Doubles


    Lucas playing Centre half for Pool today.

    He's @2.5 for a booking on most books however betfair sportsbook still have him @4.00 for a booking. Huge price imo so I am on.


This discussion has been closed.
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